1887

OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2017-2026

image of OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2017-2026

Over the ten-year Outlook period, agricultural markets are projected to remain weak, with growth in China weakening and biofuel policies having less impact on markets than in the past. Future growth in crop production will be attained mostly by increasing yields, and growth in meat and dairy production from both higher animal stocks and improved yields. Agricultural trade is expected to grow more slowly, but remain less sensitive to weak economic conditions than other sectors. These demand, supply and trade pressures are all evident in Southeast Asia, where this report identifies scope to improve agricultural productivity sustainably. Real prices are expected to remain flat or decline for most commodities.

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From Chapter: Statistical Annex
.

Table A.17.2 - Beef and veal projections: Consumption, food

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OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2017-2026 - © OECD 2017

‌A.17.2Beef and veal projections: Consumption, food
A.17.2Beef and veal projections: Consumption, food
  Calendar year
‌‌
CONSUMPTION (kt cwe)
Growth (%) 4
FOOD (kg rwe/cap) 5
Growth (%) 4
Average
2014-16est
‌2026‌
‌2007-16‌
‌2017-26‌
Average
2014-16est
‌2026‌
‌2007-16‌
‌2017-26‌
WORLD
67 538
 
76 041
 
0.45
 
0.97
 
6.4
 
6.5
 
-0.73
 
-0.02
 
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES
28 347
 
30 096
 
-1.04
 
0.40
 
14.2
 
14.6
 
-1.45
 
0.14
 
NORTH AMERICA
12 424
 
13 838
 
-1.26
 
0.57
 
24.3
 
25.1
 
-2.07
 
-0.13
 
Canada
893
 
1 012
 
-1.73
 
0.72
 
17.4
 
18.0
 
-2.77
 
-0.08
 
United States
11 532
 
12 826
 
-1.23
 
0.56
 
25.1
 
25.9
 
-2.01
 
-0.13
 
EUROPE
11 013
 
10 854
 
-1.65
 
-0.06
 
10.4
 
10.3
 
-1.76
 
-0.04
 
European Union
7 818
 
7 563
 
-1.21
 
-0.45
 
10.8
 
10.4
 
-1.38
 
-0.52
 
Russia
2 177
 
2 240
 
-2.96
 
1.01
 
10.6
 
11.1
 
-2.99
 
1.21
 
Ukraine
372
 
397
 
-3.96
 
1.12
 
5.8
 
6.6
 
-3.59
 
1.73
 
OCEANIA DEVELOPED
819
 
846
 
-0.43
 
0.39
 
20.1
 
18.3
 
-1.92
 
-0.72
 
Australia
734
 
759
 
0.19
 
0.43
 
21.4
 
19.4
 
-1.44
 
-0.74
 
New Zealand
85
 
88
 
-5.02
 
0.08
 
13.2
 
12.4
 
-5.77
 
-0.74
 
OTHER DEVELOPED 1
4 091
 
4 558
 
1.46
 
1.04
 
10.5
 
11.2
 
0.81
 
0.70
 
Japan
1 201
 
1 196
 
0.23
 
0.02
 
6.6
 
6.8
 
0.31
 
0.36
 
Kazakhstan
434
 
508
 
-0.21
 
1.64
 
17.2
 
18.2
 
-1.64
 
0.74
 
South Africa
834
 
931
 
0.54
 
0.87
 
10.7
 
11.1
 
-0.58
 
0.22
 
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
39 191
 
45 945
 
1.66
 
1.36
 
4.6
 
4.8
 
0.27
 
0.20
 
AFRICA
6 036
 
7 601
 
1.85
 
2.35
 
3.7
 
3.6
 
-0.79
 
-0.09
 
NORTH AFRICA
1 803
 
2 212
 
2.63
 
1.72
 
6.9
 
7.2
 
0.83
 
0.30
 
Algeria
224
 
276
 
1.76
 
2.27
 
4.0
 
4.2
 
-0.11
 
0.89
 
Egypt
1 195
 
1 434
 
2.19
 
1.38
 
9.1
 
9.1
 
0.07
 
-0.29
 
SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA
4 234
 
5 389
 
1.53
 
2.61
 
3.1
 
3.0
 
-1.27
 
-0.01
 
Ethiopia
353
 
513
 
-0.97
 
4.32
 
2.5
 
2.8
 
-3.48
 
2.00
 
Ghana
32
 
36
 
-3.26
 
0.47
 
0.8
 
0.7
 
-5.58
 
-1.52
 
Mozambique
33
 
55
 
6.44
 
5.36
 
0.8
 
1.0
 
3.50
 
2.63
 
Nigeria
431
 
538
 
4.46
 
2.02
 
1.7
 
1.6
 
1.71
 
-0.45
 
Tanzania
311
 
444
 
1.57
 
3.27
 
4.1
 
4.2
 
-1.59
 
0.28
 
Zambia
210
 
309
 
14.38
 
3.84
 
9.1
 
9.6
 
10.97
 
0.80
 
LATIN AMERICA and CARIBBEAN
15 440
 
16 878
 
0.42
 
0.68
 
17.1
 
16.9
 
-0.72
 
-0.21
 
Argentina
2 474
 
2 578
 
-0.88
 
-0.26
 
39.9
 
37.7
 
-1.90
 
-1.12
 
Brazil
7 692
 
8 384
 
1.20
 
0.54
 
25.9
 
26.2
 
0.27
 
-0.12
 
Chile
440
 
516
 
3.01
 
1.11
 
17.2
 
18.3
 
1.91
 
0.25
 
Colombia
831
 
856
 
1.33
 
0.48
 
12.1
 
11.5
 
0.30
 
-0.20
 
Mexico
1 588
 
1 837
 
-0.83
 
1.51
 
8.8
 
9.0
 
-2.24
 
0.44
 
Paraguay
230
 
301
 
-0.05
 
2.29
 
24.2
 
27.9
 
-1.37
 
1.12
 
Peru
210
 
253
 
3.04
 
1.64
 
4.7
 
5.0
 
1.71
 
0.53
 
Uruguay
217
 
230
 
2.30
 
0.91
 
44.3
 
45.2
 
1.95
 
0.58
 
ASIA and PACIFIC
17 714
 
21 467
 
2.78
 
1.59
 
3.0
 
3.3
 
1.66
 
0.77
 
Bangladesh
203
 
210
 
0.74
 
0.66
 
0.9
 
0.8
 
-0.44
 
-0.36
 
China 2
7 564
 
9 540
 
2.98
 
1.84
 
3.8
 
4.7
 
2.45
 
1.62
 
India
875
 
1 115
 
-9.88
 
1.10
 
0.5
 
0.5
 
-11.04
 
0.05
 
Indonesia
682
 
889
 
4.89
 
2.63
 
1.9
 
2.2
 
3.55
 
1.66
 
Iran
368
 
417
 
-2.40
 
0.81
 
3.3
 
3.4
 
-3.59
 
0.01
 
Korea
719
 
799
 
4.41
 
0.75
 
10.0
 
10.7
 
3.88
 
0.45
 
Malaysia
228
 
283
 
4.73
 
1.74
 
5.3
 
5.7
 
3.11
 
0.53
 
Pakistan
1 697
 
2 125
 
3.01
 
1.97
 
6.3
 
6.4
 
0.88
 
0.18
 
Philippines
427
 
490
 
-0.08
 
1.28
 
3.0
 
2.9
 
-1.63
 
-0.12
 
Saudi Arabia
179
 
205
 
2.49
 
1.48
 
4.0
 
3.9
 
0.11
 
0.02
 
Thailand
170
 
182
 
-2.00
 
0.63
 
1.8
 
1.9
 
-2.31
 
0.58
 
Turkey
932
 
1 076
 
12.77
 
1.31
 
8.3
 
8.8
 
11.00
 
0.64
 
Viet Nam
1 306
 
1 551
 
14.72
 
1.34
 
9.8
 
10.6
 
13.48
 
0.50
 
LEAST DEVELOPED COUNTRIES (LDC)
4 043
 
5 132
 
1.64
 
2.56
 
3.0
 
2.9
 
-0.74
 
0.31
 
OECD 3
26 448
 
28 240
 
-0.59
 
0.36
 
14.1
 
14.4
 
-1.18
 
-0.04
 
BRICS
19 142
 
22 209
 
0.47
 
1.17
 
4.3
 
4.7
 
-0.39
 
0.57
 
Note: Calendar year: Year ending 30 September New Zealand.
Average 2014-16est: Data for 2016 are estimated.
Disclaimer: http://oe.cd/disclaimer
1.
Includes Israel and also transition economies: Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan, Armenia, Azerbaijan and Georgia.
2.
Refers to mainland only. The economies of Chinese Taipei, Hong Kong (China) and Macau (China) are included in the Other Asia Pacific aggregate.
3.
Excludes Iceland but includes all EU28 member countries.
4.
Least-squares growth rate (see glossary).
5.
Per capita consumption expressed in retail weight. Carcass weight to retail weight conversion factors of 0.7 for beef and veal, 0.78 for pigmeat and 0.88 for both sheep meat and poultry meat.
Source: OECD/FAO (2017), “OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook”,OECD Agriculture statistics(database). doi:dx.doi.org/10.1787/agr-outl-data-en

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