1887

OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2016-2025

image of OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2016-2025

The OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2016-2025 provides an assessment of prospects for the coming decade of the national, regional and global agricultural commodity markets across 41 countries and 12 regions, including OECD countries (European Union as a region) and other key agricultural producers, such as India, China, Brazil, the Russian Federation and Argentina among others. This year's special feature focuses on the prospects and challenges of the agricultural sector in Sub-Saharan Africa. This edition marks the twelfth year of partnership between the two organisations.

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From Chapter: Glossary of terms
.

Table 3.A1.7 - World fish and seafood projections

English French

OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2016-2025 - © OECD 2016

‌3.A1.7World fish and seafood projections
3.A1.7World fish and seafood projections
  Calendar year
‌‌
‌‌
Average
2013-15est
‌2016‌
‌2017‌
‌2018‌
‌2019‌
‌2020‌
‌2021‌
‌2022‌
‌2023‌
‌2024‌
‌2025‌
FISH 1
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
World
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Production
kt
166 889
 
170 861
 
173 619
 
177 120
 
181 393
 
185 698
 
186 522
 
188 429
 
190 869
 
193 424
 
195 911
 
of which aquaculture
kt
73 305
 
77 708
 
80 214
 
83 531
 
87 527
 
91 583
 
94 404
 
95 257
 
96 941
 
99 425
 
101 768
 
Consumption
kt
166 187
 
170 782
 
173 546
 
177 043
 
181 322
 
185 623
 
186 444
 
188 356
 
190 792
 
193 344
 
195 827
 
of which for food
kt
146 648
 
151 503
 
154 286
 
157 788
 
162 071
 
166 357
 
168 542
 
170 098
 
172 328
 
175 040
 
177 679
 
of which for reduction
kt
15 623
 
15 359
 
15 426
 
15 498
 
15 580
 
15 680
 
14 402
 
14 834
 
15 116
 
15 031
 
14 951
 
Price
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Aquaculture 2
USD/t
2 145.2
 
2 082.8
 
2 002.7
 
1 931.9
 
1 831.5
 
1 803.5
 
1 849.1
 
1 970.5
 
2 035.7
 
2 115.5
 
2 184.3
 
Capture 3
USD/t
1 527.0
 
1 485.2
 
1 469.7
 
1 457.1
 
1 432.5
 
1 428.8
 
1 451.0
 
1 483.6
 
1 511.1
 
1 572.1
 
1 634.5
 
Product traded 4
USD/t
2 866.7
 
2 722.4
 
2 624.0
 
2 540.0
 
2 412.0
 
2 370.0
 
2 428.0
 
2 539.0
 
2 595.0
 
2 661.0
 
2 719.0
 
Developed countries
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Production
kt
29 018
 
29 198
 
29 165
 
29 215
 
29 353
 
29 430
 
29 433
 
29 326
 
29 247
 
29 251
 
29 305
 
of which aquaculture
kt
4 393
 
4 591
 
4 677
 
4 808
 
5 021
 
5 227
 
5 332
 
5 305
 
5 319
 
5 412
 
5 521
 
Consumption
kt
36 748
 
36 542
 
36 468
 
36 499
 
36 784
 
36 981
 
37 077
 
36 996
 
37 294
 
37 608
 
38 045
 
of which for food
kt
31 917
 
31 678
 
31 778
 
31 880
 
32 231
 
32 500
 
32 635
 
32 673
 
33 065
 
33 441
 
33 950
 
of which for reduction
kt
4 387
 
4 432
 
4 270
 
4 211
 
4 156
 
4 096
 
4 070
 
3 953
 
3 861
 
3 801
 
3 732
 
Developing countries
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Production
kt
137 871
 
141 663
 
144 454
 
147 905
 
152 040
 
156 267
 
157 090
 
159 103
 
161 622
 
164 173
 
166 606
 
of which aquaculture
kt
68 911
 
73 117
 
75 537
 
78 723
 
82 507
 
86 356
 
89 073
 
89 953
 
91 622
 
94 013
 
96 247
 
Consumption
kt
129 439
 
134 240
 
137 079
 
140 544
 
144 539
 
148 642
 
149 367
 
151 360
 
153 499
 
155 735
 
157 781
 
of which for food
kt
114 732
 
119 825
 
122 509
 
125 908
 
129 839
 
133 857
 
135 907
 
137 425
 
139 264
 
141 599
 
143 730
 
of which for reduction
kt
11 235
 
10 927
 
11 156
 
11 286
 
11 424
 
11 584
 
10 332
 
10 881
 
11 255
 
11 230
 
11 220
 
OECD
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Production
kt
31 135
 
31 192
 
31 369
 
31 485
 
31 635
 
31 773
 
31 493
 
31 540
 
31 651
 
31 727
 
31 842
 
of which aquaculture
kt
6 165
 
6 457
 
6 549
 
6 677
 
6 932
 
7 196
 
7 358
 
7 344
 
7 376
 
7 500
 
7 628
 
Consumption
kt
38 680
 
38 996
 
39 153
 
39 258
 
39 587
 
39 838
 
39 809
 
39 870
 
40 306
 
40 710
 
41 227
 
of which for food
kt
32 314
 
32 600
 
32 777
 
32 958
 
33 370
 
33 686
 
33 855
 
33 940
 
34 411
 
34 850
 
35 410
 
of which for reduction
kt
5 827
 
5 833
 
5 824
 
5 758
 
5 684
 
5 629
 
5 442
 
5 417
 
5 381
 
5 348
 
5 304
 
FISHMEAL 5
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
World
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Production
kt
4 436.9
 
4 506.7
 
4 626.0
 
4 723.5
 
4 819.3
 
4 914.3
 
4 654.9
 
4 846.3
 
4 991.0
 
5 047.4
 
5 103.4
 
from whole fish
kt
3 164.9
 
3 166.2
 
3 207.9
 
3 241.8
 
3 274.9
 
3 310.9
 
3 002.9
 
3 125.4
 
3 208.2
 
3 198.1
 
3 188.8
 
Consumption
kt
4 523.4
 
4 527.1
 
4 534.7
 
4 664.5
 
4 770.5
 
4 893.7
 
4 945.2
 
4 730.3
 
4 906.0
 
4 982.5
 
5 077.1
 
Variation in stocks
kt
-86.5
 
-20.3
 
91.3
 
59.1
 
48.8
 
20.6
 
-290.3
 
116.0
 
85.0
 
64.8
 
26.3
 
Price 6
USD/t
1 671.0
 
1 397.2
 
1 101.1
 
1 114.7
 
1 156.5
 
1 203.2
 
1 383.4
 
1 325.5
 
1 360.0
 
1 388.9
 
1 435.2
 
Developed countries
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Production
kt
1 351.7
 
1 483.1
 
1 484.9
 
1 507.6
 
1 535.0
 
1 557.7
 
1 586.3
 
1 596.9
 
1 612.8
 
1 636.0
 
1 657.9
 
from whole fish
kt
893.7
 
915.1
 
886.2
 
877.7
 
869.4
 
860.3
 
858.5
 
837.7
 
822.5
 
813.4
 
802.6
 
Consumption
kt
1 887.3
 
1 711.6
 
1 693.4
 
1 705.8
 
1 709.7
 
1 724.9
 
1 693.4
 
1 608.8
 
1 639.8
 
1 629.7
 
1 627.8
 
Variation in stocks
kt
-32.3
 
27.7
 
22.3
 
10.1
 
9.8
 
6.6
 
-79.3
 
41.0
 
20.0
 
14.8
 
8.3
 
Developing countries
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Production
kt
3 085.2
 
3 023.7
 
3 141.1
 
3 215.9
 
3 284.4
 
3 356.6
 
3 068.6
 
3 249.4
 
3 378.3
 
3 411.4
 
3 445.6
 
from whole fish
kt
2 271.2
 
2 251.1
 
2 321.7
 
2 364.0
 
2 405.5
 
2 450.6
 
2 144.4
 
2 287.7
 
2 385.6
 
2 384.7
 
2 386.2
 
Consumption
kt
2 636.1
 
2 815.4
 
2 841.4
 
2 958.6
 
3 060.8
 
3 168.8
 
3 251.8
 
3 121.4
 
3 266.3
 
3 352.8
 
3 449.4
 
Variation in stocks
kt
-54.2
 
-48.0
 
69.0
 
49.0
 
39.0
 
14.0
 
-211.0
 
75.0
 
65.0
 
50.0
 
18.0
 
OECD
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Production
kt
1 580.7
 
1 731.7
 
1 765.8
 
1 785.0
 
1 806.5
 
1 826.9
 
1 815.1
 
1 843.1
 
1 868.6
 
1 894.2
 
1 918.5
 
from whole fish
kt
1 134.6
 
1 180.8
 
1 186.6
 
1 177.1
 
1 165.4
 
1 156.5
 
1 116.8
 
1 115.9
 
1 112.9
 
1 108.6
 
1 102.8
 
Consumption
kt
2 038.7
 
1 836.1
 
1 822.7
 
1 844.3
 
1 856.0
 
1 880.8
 
1 854.4
 
1 771.4
 
1 812.4
 
1 808.2
 
1 812.2
 
Variation in stocks
kt
-41.2
 
42.7
 
47.3
 
15.1
 
4.8
 
6.6
 
-124.3
 
61.0
 
40.0
 
19.8
 
13.3
 
FISH OIL 5
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
World
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Production
kt
857.8
 
918.1
 
933.8
 
948.9
 
965.5
 
981.8
 
935.0
 
966.1
 
990.0
 
997.7
 
1 005.6
 
from whole fish
kt
531.4
 
591.0
 
594.6
 
597.5
 
600.8
 
604.8
 
546.2
 
565.6
 
577.7
 
573.4
 
569.2
 
Consumption
kt
862.7
 
912.3
 
917.1
 
937.5
 
952.2
 
976.5
 
983.8
 
964.3
 
976.4
 
981.2
 
998.2
 
Variation in stocks
kt
-4.9
 
5.8
 
16.7
 
11.4
 
13.4
 
5.3
 
-48.8
 
1.8
 
13.6
 
16.6
 
7.4
 
Price 7
USD/t
1 922.3
 
1 913.1
 
1 704.2
 
1 665.5
 
1 679.5
 
1 730.6
 
1 966.8
 
1 826.4
 
1 830.6
 
1 837.6
 
1 862.7
 
Developed countries
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Production
kt
390.1
 
399.4
 
400.4
 
406.2
 
413.7
 
419.6
 
426.6
 
429.4
 
433.2
 
438.8
 
444.1
 
from whole fish
kt
170.5
 
184.7
 
177.5
 
175.2
 
173.2
 
170.9
 
170.0
 
165.1
 
161.1
 
158.7
 
155.8
 
Consumption
kt
533.3
 
593.6
 
568.9
 
574.0
 
583.0
 
600.3
 
617.3
 
584.0
 
590.6
 
591.5
 
602.9
 
Variation in stocks
kt
-11.6
 
10.8
 
3.7
 
3.4
 
3.4
 
3.3
 
-15.8
 
0.8
 
2.6
 
2.6
 
2.4
 
Developing countries
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Production
kt
467.7
 
518.7
 
533.4
 
542.6
 
551.9
 
562.1
 
508.4
 
536.8
 
556.7
 
558.9
 
561.6
 
from whole fish
kt
360.9
 
406.3
 
417.1
 
422.3
 
427.6
 
433.9
 
376.1
 
400.5
 
416.5
 
414.7
 
413.4
 
Consumption
kt
329.3
 
318.7
 
348.2
 
363.5
 
369.1
 
376.2
 
366.5
 
380.3
 
385.8
 
389.7
 
395.3
 
Variation in stocks
kt
6.7
 
-5.0
 
13.0
 
8.0
 
10.0
 
2.0
 
-33.0
 
1.0
 
11.0
 
14.0
 
5.0
 
OECD
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Production
kt
489.4
 
504.5
 
514.0
 
520.8
 
528.5
 
536.0
 
537.3
 
545.7
 
553.4
 
561.7
 
569.7
 
from whole fish
kt
237.4
 
255.7
 
255.1
 
251.7
 
248.1
 
245.3
 
236.7
 
235.4
 
233.4
 
231.6
 
229.4
 
Consumption
kt
656.0
 
687.3
 
679.8
 
693.2
 
706.3
 
727.7
 
738.6
 
715.2
 
724.0
 
725.9
 
739.0
 
Variation in stocks
kt
-18.8
 
20.8
 
13.7
 
8.4
 
3.4
 
0.3
 
-22.8
 
0.8
 
3.6
 
6.6
 
2.4
 
Note: The term “fish” indicates fish, crustaceans, molluscs and other aquatic animals, but excludes aquatic mammals, crocodiles, caimans, alligators and aquatic plants.
Average 2013-15est: Data for 2015 are estimated.
Disclaimer: http://oe.cd/disclaimer
1.
Data are in live weight equivalent.
2.
World unit value of aquaculture fisheries production (live weight basis).
3.
FAO estimated value of world ex vessel value of capture fisheries production excluding for reduction.
4.
World unit value of trade (sum of exports and imports).
5.
Data are in product weight.
6.
Fishmeal, 64-65% protein, Hamburg, Germany.
7.
Fish oil, any origin, N.W. Europe.
Source: OECD/FAO (2016), “OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook”,OECD Agriculture statistics(database). doi:dx.doi.org/10.1787/agr-outl-data-en

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