1887

OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2016-2025

image of OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2016-2025

The OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2016-2025 provides an assessment of prospects for the coming decade of the national, regional and global agricultural commodity markets across 41 countries and 12 regions, including OECD countries (European Union as a region) and other key agricultural producers, such as India, China, Brazil, the Russian Federation and Argentina among others. This year's special feature focuses on the prospects and challenges of the agricultural sector in Sub-Saharan Africa. This edition marks the twelfth year of partnership between the two organisations.

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From Chapter: Statistical Annex
.

Table A.4.1 - Wheat projections: Production and trade

English French

OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2016-2025 - © OECD 2016

‌A.4.1Wheat projections: Production and trade
A.4.1Wheat projections: Production and trade
  Marketing year
‌‌
‌PRODUCTION (kt)‌
Growth (%) 4
IMPORTS (kt)
Growth (%) 4
EXPORTS (kt)
Growth (%) 4
Average
2013-15est
‌2025‌
‌2006-15‌
‌2016-25‌
Average
2013-15est
‌2025‌
‌2006-15‌
‌2016-25‌
Average
2013-15est
‌2025‌
‌2006-15‌
‌2016-25‌
WORLD
720 289
 
791 311
 
1.89
 
0.99
 
155 598
 
174 482
 
3.98
 
1.50
 
157 791
 
174 482
 
4.23
 
1.50
 
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES
381 481
 
403 315
 
1.90
 
0.78
 
30 246
 
31 088
 
3.06
 
0.94
 
139 318
 
153 840
 
4.66
 
1.45
 
NORTH AMERICA
87 879
 
91 592
 
1.02
 
0.92
 
4 087
 
4 519
 
2.35
 
3.58
 
47 625
 
50 771
 
0.13
 
1.32
 
Canada
31 515
 
33 474
 
3.03
 
1.50
 
77
 
50
 
15.04
 
-1.42
 
21 951
 
22 908
 
2.92
 
1.63
 
United States
56 364
 
58 118
 
0.08
 
0.60
 
4 010
 
4 469
 
2.19
 
3.65
 
25 674
 
27 863
 
-1.77
 
1.08
 
EUROPE
240 065
 
252 746
 
2.01
 
0.72
 
9 843
 
9 584
 
2.28
 
0.45
 
66 844
 
76 276
 
9.84
 
1.89
 
European Union
151 047
 
154 580
 
1.88
 
0.31
 
4 750
 
3 795
 
-2.62
 
-1.21
 
30 926
 
31 773
 
9.38
 
0.66
 
Russia
57 201
 
60 322
 
1.05
 
0.45
 
3 075
 
4 094
 
36.10
 
2.94
 
23 093
 
27 065
 
8.09
 
1.29
 
Ukraine
24 256
 
29 295
 
5.13
 
3.73
 
5
 
5
 
1.94
 
-0.53
 
11 739
 
15 589
 
17.79
 
6.24
 
OCEANIA DEVELOPED
24 731
 
27 070
 
7.49
 
0.54
 
522
 
573
 
7.24
 
1.29
 
17 387
 
19 954
 
8.71
 
0.80
 
Australia
24 317
 
26 567
 
7.62
 
0.52
 
21
 
22
 
15.64
 
0.00
 
17 387
 
19 954
 
8.71
 
0.80
 
New Zealand
414
 
504
 
2.01
 
2.02
 
501
 
551
 
7.03
 
1.35
 
0
 
0
 
-27.00
 
0.00
 
OTHER DEVELOPED 1
28 806
 
31 906
 
0.08
 
1.16
 
15 794
 
16 412
 
3.62
 
0.59
 
7 461
 
6 840
 
-1.76
 
-0.21
 
Japan
841
 
897
 
0.22
 
0.46
 
5 845
 
5 676
 
1.57
 
-0.03
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
Kazakhstan
13 565
 
14 718
 
-1.06
 
0.88
 
232
 
106
 
..
 
0.26
 
6 352
 
5 859
 
-2.76
 
-0.26
 
South Africa
1 716
 
1 710
 
-2.43
 
1.38
 
1 733
 
1 840
 
6.83
 
0.58
 
220
 
143
 
-1.75
 
9.69
 
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
338 808
 
387 996
 
1.91
 
1.20
 
125 352
 
143 394
 
4.21
 
1.62
 
18 473
 
20 642
 
2.01
 
1.82
 
AFRICA
24 906
 
31 285
 
3.28
 
1.92
 
42 268
 
51 166
 
3.90
 
2.02
 
994
 
769
 
-1.85
 
-2.06
 
NORTH AFRICA
19 453
 
23 878
 
2.93
 
1.56
 
25 899
 
28 809
 
4.32
 
1.42
 
173
 
155
 
-9.32
 
-0.34
 
Algeria
2 567
 
2 941
 
1.91
 
2.10
 
7 477
 
9 028
 
4.63
 
1.27
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
Egypt
8 867
 
10 097
 
1.67
 
1.32
 
11 000
 
13 755
 
4.32
 
1.79
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA
5 453
 
7 407
 
4.69
 
3.20
 
16 369
 
22 357
 
3.31
 
2.86
 
821
 
614
 
0.76
 
-2.45
 
Ethiopia
3 957
 
5 549
 
7.08
 
3.49
 
785
 
860
 
-4.42
 
0.78
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
Ghana
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
323
 
402
 
1.81
 
2.15
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
Mozambique
19
 
27
 
34.32
 
3.38
 
608
 
882
 
6.39
 
3.99
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
Nigeria
70
 
83
 
3.80
 
1.64
 
4 500
 
5 701
 
4.14
 
2.23
 
550
 
474
 
4.12
 
-2.18
 
Tanzania
127
 
134
 
6.71
 
1.39
 
797
 
1 137
 
2.25
 
4.06
 
97
 
25
 
-9.63
 
-3.90
 
Zambia
262
 
274
 
11.34
 
1.92
 
33
 
137
 
-4.59
 
4.94
 
33
 
24
 
..
 
-4.71
 
LATIN AMERICA and CARIBBEAN
23 765
 
31 273
 
0.38
 
2.44
 
22 535
 
24 109
 
1.92
 
0.89
 
8 181
 
13 790
 
0.65
 
4.31
 
Argentina
9 161
 
14 818
 
-2.94
 
3.49
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
3 383
 
8 513
 
-4.96
 
5.97
 
Brazil
6 877
 
8 011
 
8.31
 
1.84
 
6 713
 
7 027
 
0.67
 
0.74
 
2 271
 
2 925
 
34.91
 
3.80
 
Chile
1 438
 
1 753
 
1.85
 
1.49
 
908
 
833
 
-0.36
 
-0.17
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
Colombia
13
 
18
 
-13.71
 
0.81
 
1 560
 
1 682
 
2.50
 
0.67
 
42
 
46
 
0.00
 
-0.67
 
Mexico
3 551
 
4 100
 
-0.54
 
1.30
 
4 390
 
4 700
 
5.09
 
0.60
 
1 032
 
1 105
 
4.95
 
-0.12
 
Paraguay
1 026
 
1 006
 
2.07
 
1.33
 
41
 
0
 
..
 
0.03
 
500
 
508
 
6.21
 
-0.03
 
Peru
223
 
270
 
1.94
 
1.54
 
1 820
 
2 143
 
2.77
 
1.83
 
5
 
5
 
-11.56
 
-0.72
 
Uruguay
1 194
 
1 010
 
3.91
 
1.20
 
82
 
32
 
18.75
 
-1.65
 
836
 
595
 
23.19
 
1.67
 
ASIA and PACIFIC
290 137
 
325 438
 
1.95
 
1.02
 
60 550
 
68 119
 
5.54
 
1.59
 
9 298
 
6 083
 
3.56
 
-1.85
 
Bangladesh
1 302
 
1 596
 
7.54
 
1.72
 
3 340
 
4 180
 
5.92
 
2.54
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
China 2
126 011
 
133 951
 
1.96
 
0.41
 
3 355
 
3 087
 
42.91
 
5.25
 
284
 
333
 
-17.85
 
0.98
 
India
91 963
 
102 788
 
3.12
 
1.32
 
209
 
642
 
-33.15
 
1.48
 
3 470
 
202
 
155.46
 
-18.89
 
Indonesia
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
7 620
 
9 330
 
6.70
 
1.69
 
118
 
125
 
27.79
 
-1.66
 
Iran
10 468
 
15 210
 
-2.93
 
2.19
 
4 941
 
1 639
 
21.57
 
-3.42
 
81
 
156
 
3.31
 
0.48
 
Korea
25
 
45
 
19.11
 
3.11
 
4 124
 
5 271
 
2.94
 
1.93
 
50
 
53
 
-4.28
 
0.61
 
Malaysia
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
1 492
 
1 821
 
4.97
 
1.19
 
104
 
105
 
5.67
 
-1.18
 
Pakistan
25 224
 
30 650
 
1.91
 
1.84
 
445
 
887
 
-6.60
 
15.42
 
567
 
85
 
-9.08
 
-16.06
 
Philippines
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
4 367
 
5 617
 
7.25
 
1.46
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
Saudi Arabia
377
 
0
 
-30.05
 
-0.08
 
3 633
 
4 386
 
52.53
 
1.82
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
Thailand
1
 
1
 
0.00
 
1.42
 
2 766
 
3 176
 
13.57
 
0.91
 
13
 
14
 
6.34
 
-0.90
 
Turkey
21 217
 
25 502
 
1.76
 
1.33
 
4 473
 
3 225
 
9.06
 
-1.81
 
3 454
 
4 016
 
7.51
 
1.85
 
Viet Nam
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
2 214
 
2 726
 
8.46
 
1.40
 
81
 
92
 
..
 
-1.38
 
LEAST DEVELOPED COUNTRIES (LDC)
13 638
 
16 789
 
4.89
 
2.07
 
17 321
 
23 481
 
3.60
 
2.65
 
165
 
73
 
-5.94
 
-4.03
 
OECD 3
291 796
 
306 621
 
1.93
 
0.61
 
31 782
 
31 676
 
2.40
 
0.58
 
100 479
 
107 677
 
3.87
 
1.03
 
BRICS
283 769
 
306 782
 
2.23
 
0.75
 
15 086
 
16 690
 
3.94
 
1.98
 
29 337
 
30 668
 
9.72
 
1.02
 
..
Not available
Note: Marketing year: See Glossary of Terms for definitions.
Average 2013-15est: Data for 2015 are estimated.
Disclaimer: http://oe.cd/disclaimer
1.
Includes Israel and also transition economies: Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan, Armenia, Azerbaijan and Georgia.
2.
Refers to mainland only. The economies of Chinese Taipei, Hong Kong (China) and Macau (China) are included in the Other Asia Pacific aggregate.
3.
Excludes Iceland but includes all EU28 member countries.
4.
Least-squares growth rate (see glossary).
Source: OECD/FAO (2016), “OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook”,OECD Agriculture statistics(database). doi:dx.doi.org/10.1787/agr-outl-data-en

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