1887

OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2016-2025

image of OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2016-2025

The OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2016-2025 provides an assessment of prospects for the coming decade of the national, regional and global agricultural commodity markets across 41 countries and 12 regions, including OECD countries (European Union as a region) and other key agricultural producers, such as India, China, Brazil, the Russian Federation and Argentina among others. This year's special feature focuses on the prospects and challenges of the agricultural sector in Sub-Saharan Africa. This edition marks the twelfth year of partnership between the two organisations.

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From Chapter: Statistical Annex
.

Table A.4.2 - Wheat projections: Consumption, food

English French

OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2016-2025 - © OECD 2016

‌A.4.2Wheat projections: Consumption, food
A.4.2Wheat projections: Consumption, food
  Marketing year
‌‌
CONSUMPTION (kt)
Growth (%) 4
FOOD (kt)
Growth (%) 4
FOOD (kg/cap)
Growth (%) 4
Average
2013-15est
‌2025‌
‌2006-15‌
‌2016-25‌
Average
2013-15est
‌2025‌
‌2006-15‌
‌2016-25‌
Average
2013-15est
‌2025‌
‌2006-15‌
‌2016-25‌
WORLD
709 941
 
789 588
 
1.69
 
0.91
 
487 689
 
543 772
 
1.25
 
0.97
 
67.1
 
66.8
 
0.07
 
-0.04
 
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES
266 917
 
279 529
 
0.22
 
0.33
 
133 386
 
138 072
 
0.33
 
0.30
 
95.1
 
95.3
 
-0.11
 
0.03
 
NORTH AMERICA
42 430
 
44 433
 
1.29
 
0.43
 
28 830
 
30 824
 
0.27
 
0.62
 
81.2
 
80.2
 
-0.58
 
-0.09
 
Canada
9 753
 
10 396
 
2.52
 
0.99
 
2 702
 
2 561
 
-0.93
 
-0.40
 
76.0
 
65.6
 
-2.00
 
-1.22
 
United States
32 677
 
34 037
 
0.95
 
0.27
 
26 127
 
28 262
 
0.40
 
0.72
 
81.8
 
81.9
 
-0.42
 
0.02
 
EUROPE
179 535
 
185 407
 
-0.28
 
0.14
 
80 621
 
81 433
 
0.04
 
0.08
 
107.7
 
108.8
 
-0.08
 
0.10
 
European Union
122 729
 
126 070
 
-0.30
 
0.04
 
56 017
 
57 441
 
0.23
 
0.20
 
111.0
 
112.8
 
0.03
 
0.12
 
Russia
36 637
 
37 354
 
-0.79
 
0.12
 
14 347
 
13 795
 
-0.36
 
-0.35
 
100.0
 
97.7
 
-0.38
 
-0.17
 
Ukraine
12 085
 
13 615
 
0.65
 
1.07
 
5 317
 
5 314
 
-0.63
 
0.24
 
118.2
 
125.4
 
-0.24
 
0.82
 
OCEANIA DEVELOPED
7 855
 
8 354
 
0.79
 
0.57
 
2 210
 
2 492
 
1.85
 
0.91
 
78.6
 
77.8
 
0.28
 
-0.24
 
Australia
6 941
 
7 300
 
0.34
 
0.42
 
1 892
 
2 083
 
1.20
 
0.72
 
80.1
 
76.9
 
-0.50
 
-0.48
 
New Zealand
914
 
1 053
 
4.83
 
1.64
 
318
 
409
 
6.46
 
1.91
 
70.7
 
83.0
 
5.56
 
1.05
 
OTHER DEVELOPED 1
37 098
 
41 335
 
1.41
 
1.05
 
21 726
 
23 324
 
1.37
 
0.58
 
80.0
 
82.2
 
0.71
 
0.21
 
Japan
6 717
 
6 578
 
1.15
 
0.04
 
5 350
 
5 197
 
0.41
 
-0.26
 
42.2
 
42.3
 
0.47
 
0.05
 
Kazakhstan
7 768
 
8 897
 
0.83
 
1.48
 
2 390
 
2 654
 
1.68
 
0.83
 
137.6
 
136.6
 
0.28
 
-0.10
 
South Africa
3 226
 
3 399
 
1.32
 
0.60
 
3 119
 
3 307
 
1.26
 
0.58
 
57.8
 
56.6
 
0.08
 
-0.09
 
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
443 023
 
510 059
 
2.68
 
1.23
 
354 303
 
405 700
 
1.61
 
1.21
 
60.5
 
60.7
 
0.25
 
0.03
 
AFRICA
65 457
 
81 256
 
3.64
 
1.91
 
54 709
 
68 576
 
2.66
 
2.01
 
50.2
 
48.0
 
0.17
 
-0.44
 
NORTH AFRICA
44 345
 
52 240
 
3.47
 
1.34
 
35 508
 
41 781
 
2.15
 
1.35
 
197.5
 
196.7
 
0.40
 
-0.12
 
Algeria
9 943
 
11 877
 
3.18
 
1.35
 
8 127
 
9 703
 
1.96
 
1.37
 
208.8
 
211.6
 
0.13
 
-0.05
 
Egypt
20 017
 
23 767
 
3.35
 
1.47
 
16 967
 
20 194
 
2.26
 
1.53
 
189.4
 
185.4
 
0.19
 
-0.19
 
SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA
21 112
 
29 016
 
4.01
 
3.03
 
19 200
 
26 795
 
3.67
 
3.14
 
21.1
 
22.0
 
1.01
 
0.48
 
Ethiopia
4 792
 
6 399
 
4.95
 
3.05
 
4 013
 
5 535
 
3.93
 
3.27
 
41.4
 
44.3
 
1.28
 
0.95
 
Ghana
323
 
401
 
0.56
 
2.16
 
320
 
398
 
0.56
 
2.17
 
12.0
 
11.8
 
-1.89
 
0.11
 
Mozambique
585
 
897
 
6.68
 
3.88
 
569
 
884
 
6.28
 
3.91
 
20.9
 
24.3
 
3.34
 
1.21
 
Nigeria
4 020
 
5 302
 
3.61
 
2.71
 
3 620
 
4 841
 
4.00
 
2.84
 
20.4
 
20.7
 
1.26
 
0.33
 
Tanzania
764
 
1 230
 
3.87
 
3.90
 
747
 
1 211
 
4.46
 
3.93
 
14.4
 
16.8
 
1.21
 
0.90
 
Zambia
255
 
380
 
5.89
 
3.48
 
239
 
357
 
5.42
 
3.62
 
15.2
 
16.3
 
2.30
 
0.56
 
LATIN AMERICA and CARIBBEAN
37 560
 
41 418
 
1.68
 
0.97
 
34 084
 
37 785
 
1.92
 
0.99
 
54.3
 
54.3
 
0.73
 
0.08
 
Argentina
5 783
 
6 292
 
2.12
 
0.88
 
5 050
 
5 575
 
1.26
 
0.94
 
117.5
 
117.4
 
0.22
 
0.05
 
Brazil
11 153
 
12 020
 
1.81
 
0.77
 
10 633
 
11 549
 
1.77
 
0.79
 
51.6
 
51.8
 
0.81
 
0.10
 
Chile
2 345
 
2 584
 
0.84
 
0.91
 
2 128
 
2 341
 
1.27
 
0.88
 
119.8
 
119.2
 
0.17
 
-0.02
 
Colombia
1 483
 
1 646
 
2.05
 
0.82
 
1 349
 
1 462
 
1.75
 
0.68
 
28.2
 
28.2
 
0.68
 
-0.04
 
Mexico
6 909
 
7 696
 
2.01
 
1.08
 
5 882
 
6 635
 
4.05
 
1.23
 
46.9
 
46.8
 
2.54
 
0.13
 
Paraguay
411
 
484
 
1.42
 
1.66
 
331
 
397
 
1.64
 
1.82
 
50.5
 
53.2
 
0.28
 
0.63
 
Peru
1 975
 
2 388
 
2.24
 
1.71
 
1 875
 
2 269
 
2.33
 
1.70
 
60.5
 
64.5
 
1.02
 
0.57
 
Uruguay
431
 
447
 
-2.89
 
0.34
 
384
 
399
 
-0.76
 
0.33
 
112.4
 
112.3
 
-1.09
 
-0.01
 
ASIA and PACIFIC
340 007
 
387 385
 
2.61
 
1.13
 
265 511
 
299 339
 
1.37
 
1.07
 
64.1
 
65.6
 
0.25
 
0.21
 
Bangladesh
4 326
 
5 685
 
4.75
 
1.80
 
3 392
 
4 188
 
2.00
 
1.83
 
21.3
 
23.4
 
0.81
 
0.77
 
China 2
128 330
 
136 516
 
2.63
 
0.42
 
91 200
 
92 818
 
0.56
 
0.16
 
66.6
 
65.6
 
0.03
 
-0.10
 
India
88 769
 
103 842
 
2.29
 
1.61
 
76 796
 
90 652
 
1.54
 
1.57
 
59.3
 
62.0
 
0.20
 
0.48
 
Indonesia
7 385
 
9 161
 
5.55
 
1.70
 
5 418
 
6 494
 
3.38
 
1.54
 
21.3
 
22.8
 
2.05
 
0.56
 
Iran
14 863
 
16 676
 
0.35
 
0.97
 
13 047
 
14 686
 
1.24
 
0.90
 
167.0
 
169.8
 
0.01
 
0.04
 
Korea
4 166
 
5 255
 
3.41
 
1.95
 
2 400
 
2 492
 
0.49
 
0.38
 
47.9
 
47.9
 
-0.05
 
0.06
 
Malaysia
1 387
 
1 706
 
4.24
 
1.31
 
1 015
 
1 211
 
2.00
 
1.12
 
33.9
 
35.3
 
0.38
 
-0.11
 
Pakistan
25 030
 
31 400
 
1.81
 
2.14
 
23 250
 
29 800
 
2.18
 
2.19
 
125.6
 
131.2
 
0.06
 
0.34
 
Philippines
4 400
 
5 606
 
7.42
 
1.39
 
2 300
 
2 746
 
1.93
 
1.59
 
23.2
 
23.6
 
0.36
 
0.16
 
Saudi Arabia
3 777
 
4 334
 
5.47
 
1.45
 
2 810
 
3 070
 
2.29
 
1.49
 
91.1
 
83.3
 
-0.15
 
-0.03
 
Thailand
2 687
 
3 148
 
13.01
 
0.82
 
1 227
 
1 394
 
5.08
 
-0.14
 
18.1
 
20.3
 
4.77
 
-0.21
 
Turkey
22 318
 
24 679
 
2.21
 
0.76
 
16 200
 
17 678
 
1.49
 
0.64
 
209.1
 
208.3
 
-0.06
 
-0.05
 
Viet Nam
2 266
 
2 623
 
10.70
 
1.33
 
1 246
 
1 409
 
1.91
 
1.19
 
13.5
 
13.8
 
0.83
 
0.32
 
LEAST DEVELOPED COUNTRIES (LDC)
30 501
 
39 963
 
4.28
 
2.29
 
26 056
 
34 337
 
3.44
 
2.38
 
28.3
 
29.1
 
1.21
 
0.12
 
OECD 3
219 187
 
229 804
 
0.50
 
0.31
 
121 193
 
127 494
 
0.64
 
0.43
 
92.8
 
93.0
 
0.02
 
0.02
 
BRICS
268 115
 
293 131
 
1.95
 
0.80
 
196 095
 
212 120
 
0.94
 
0.74
 
63.9
 
64.3
 
0.05
 
0.11
 
Note: Marketing year: See Glossary of Terms for definitions.
Average 2013-15est: Data for 2015 are estimated.
Disclaimer: http://oe.cd/disclaimer
1.
Includes Israel and also transition economies: Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan, Armenia, Azerbaijan and Georgia.
2.
Refers to mainland only. The economies of Chinese Taipei, Hong Kong (China) and Macau (China) are included in the Other Asia Pacific aggregate.
3.
Excludes Iceland but includes all EU28 member countries.
4.
Least-squares growth rate (see glossary).
Source: OECD/FAO (2016), “OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook”,OECD Agriculture statistics(database). doi:dx.doi.org/10.1787/agr-outl-data-en

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