OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2016-2025
The OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2016-2025 provides an assessment of prospects for the coming decade of the national, regional and global agricultural commodity markets across 41 countries and 12 regions, including OECD countries (European Union as a region) and other key agricultural producers, such as India, China, Brazil, the Russian Federation and Argentina among others. This year's special feature focuses on the prospects and challenges of the agricultural sector in Sub-Saharan Africa. This edition marks the twelfth year of partnership between the two organisations.
OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2016-2025 - © OECD 2016
A.9.1 | Soybean projections: Production and trade | ||||||||||||
A.9.1 | Soybean projections: Production and trade | ||||||||||||
Marketing year | |||||||||||||
| | PRODUCTION (kt) | Growth (%) 4 | IMPORTS (kt) | Growth (%) 4 | EXPORTS (kt) | Growth (%) 4 | ||||||
Average 2013-15est | 2025 | 2006-15 | 2016-25 | Average 2013-15est | 2025 | 2006-15 | 2016-25 | Average 2013-15est | 2025 | 2006-15 | 2016-25 | ||
| WORLD | 298 676 | 393 891 | 4.15 | 2.41 | 123 483 | 161 105 | 7.15 | 2.02 | 119 805 | 161 105 | 6.91 | 2.02 |
| DEVELOPED COUNTRIES | 116 993 | 135 869 | 3.83 | 1.22 | 21 252 | 20 785 | 0.22 | -0.31 | 52 034 | 62 999 | 5.45 | 1.12 |
| NORTH AMERICA | 107 625 | 121 401 | 3.22 | 1.00 | 1 537 | 1 023 | 12.70 | -0.56 | 49 652 | 58 974 | 4.89 | 0.94 |
| Canada | 5 882 | 7 212 | 9.10 | 2.58 | 312 | 207 | -0.51 | -2.26 | 3 776 | 4 538 | 11.33 | 2.62 |
| United States | 101 742 | 114 189 | 2.94 | 0.91 | 1 225 | 816 | 20.60 | -0.08 | 45 876 | 54 436 | 4.46 | 0.81 |
| EUROPE | 7 948 | 12 148 | 14.49 | 2.91 | 16 170 | 16 447 | 0.62 | -0.10 | 2 370 | 4 020 | 29.98 | 4.19 |
| European Union | 1 731 | 2 611 | 7.33 | 2.08 | 13 182 | 14 119 | -1.44 | 0.33 | 86 | 70 | 8.45 | 0.00 |
| Russia | 2 345 | 3 493 | 17.87 | 3.09 | 2 488 | 1 779 | 70.48 | -3.30 | 269 | 221 | 76.90 | 8.21 |
| Ukraine | 3 409 | 5 510 | 22.37 | 3.38 | 7 | 10 | 24.49 | 0.02 | 2 007 | 3 718 | 30.52 | 4.08 |
| OCEANIA DEVELOPED | 63 | 98 | 7.15 | 2.34 | 2 | 2 | -8.74 | 0.16 | 4 | 2 | 4.06 | 0.00 |
| Australia | 63 | 98 | 7.15 | 2.34 | 1 | 1 | -11.43 | 0.33 | 4 | 2 | 4.09 | 0.00 |
| New Zealand | 0 | 0 | .. | .. | 1 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| OTHER DEVELOPED 1 | 1 357 | 2 222 | 11.41 | 5.75 | 3 543 | 3 312 | -4.03 | -1.22 | 7 | 3 | -6.69 | -1.21 |
| Japan | 219 | 226 | -0.77 | -0.05 | 2 790 | 2 312 | -4.96 | -1.85 | 0 | 0 | .. | .. |
| Kazakhstan | 204 | 257 | 17.59 | 2.42 | 10 | 4 | -16.52 | -11.33 | 0 | 0 | .. | 1.01 |
| South Africa | 931 | 1 735 | 16.36 | 7.58 | 88 | 324 | 20.11 | 2.54 | 7 | 3 | 9.30 | -1.25 |
| DEVELOPING COUNTRIES | 181 683 | 258 023 | 4.41 | 3.10 | 102 231 | 140 320 | 9.20 | 2.41 | 67 771 | 98 106 | 8.19 | 2.64 |
| AFRICA | 1 224 | 1 466 | 1.46 | 1.81 | 3 170 | 3 815 | 6.65 | 1.10 | 54 | 42 | 2.94 | 0.32 |
| NORTH AFRICA | 73 | 83 | 3.72 | 1.71 | 3 087 | 3 721 | 6.79 | 1.09 | 23 | 9 | 114.35 | -1.20 |
| Algeria | 0 | 0 | .. | .. | 243 | 266 | 24.35 | 0.40 | 0 | 0 | .. | .. |
| Egypt | 41 | 48 | 7.06 | 1.74 | 1 905 | 2 364 | 5.47 | 1.22 | 23 | 9 | 115.53 | -1.21 |
| SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA | 1 151 | 1 382 | 1.33 | 1.82 | 83 | 93 | 2.19 | 1.67 | 31 | 33 | -3.82 | 0.76 |
| Ethiopia | 25 | 26 | 0.00 | 0.42 | 11 | 47 | 19.32 | 4.80 | 0 | 0 | .. | .. |
| Ghana | 0 | 0 | .. | .. | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.05 |
| Mozambique | 0 | 0 | .. | .. | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.13 | 0 | 0 | .. | .. |
| Nigeria | 645 | 777 | 0.33 | 1.79 | 10 | 0 | 38.06 | 0.73 | 1 | 1 | .. | -0.37 |
| Tanzania | 2 | 2 | 0.00 | 0.32 | 6 | 6 | 0.00 | -0.14 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.14 |
| Zambia | 13 | 22 | 0.00 | 5.22 | 5 | 2 | -0.74 | -7.14 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.54 |
| LATIN AMERICA and CARIBBEAN | 158 571 | 227 906 | 5.63 | 3.13 | 6 548 | 7 434 | 0.23 | 0.27 | 67 233 | 97 498 | 8.29 | 2.65 |
| Argentina | 54 234 | 70 271 | 3.76 | 2.59 | 0 | 0 | .. | .. | 13 550 | 17 785 | 6.41 | 1.31 |
| Brazil | 88 550 | 135 456 | 6.55 | 3.42 | 649 | 808 | 33.63 | -0.28 | 45 414 | 68 316 | 10.10 | 2.85 |
| Chile | 0 | 0 | .. | .. | 283 | 239 | 2.89 | 0.00 | 2 | 2 | .. | 0.00 |
| Colombia | 70 | 78 | 1.21 | 1.11 | 683 | 1 012 | 7.39 | 1.26 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.09 |
| Mexico | 340 | 465 | 19.32 | 1.66 | 3 818 | 4 479 | 0.87 | 1.26 | 0 | 0 | 5.59 | 0.00 |
| Paraguay | 8 933 | 13 089 | 5.20 | 3.34 | 5 | 0 | .. | .. | 4 783 | 6 932 | 1.65 | 4.37 |
| Peru | 5 | 5 | 6.72 | -0.01 | 207 | 262 | 13.42 | 1.05 | 0 | 0 | .. | .. |
| Uruguay | 3 297 | 4 223 | 18.66 | 2.81 | 3 | 4 | -8.43 | -2.43 | 3 223 | 4 121 | 19.78 | 2.82 |
| ASIA and PACIFIC | 21 889 | 28 651 | -1.92 | 2.89 | 92 513 | 129 072 | 10.31 | 2.59 | 484 | 566 | -0.67 | 1.28 |
| Bangladesh | 75 | 79 | 3.12 | 0.56 | 433 | 578 | 14.05 | 1.43 | 0 | 0 | .. | .. |
| China 2 | 11 702 | 13 990 | -3.25 | 2.64 | 76 388 | 106 466 | 11.42 | 2.75 | 305 | 385 | -4.37 | 2.57 |
| India | 8 133 | 11 940 | -0.39 | 3.46 | 1 | 1 | 0.00 | -1.32 | 28 | 28 | 4.91 | 2.46 |
| Indonesia | 967 | 1 476 | 4.25 | 1.97 | 2 196 | 2 773 | 7.28 | 1.22 | 3 | 4 | 31.47 | -0.11 |
| Iran | 178 | 207 | -2.50 | 1.48 | 1 332 | 1 972 | 4.69 | 1.16 | 24 | 44 | 31.42 | -1.15 |
| Korea | 134 | 122 | -0.86 | 1.31 | 1 257 | 1 378 | 0.26 | 0.70 | 0 | 0 | .. | .. |
| Malaysia | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1.26 | 601 | 661 | -0.21 | 0.79 | 30 | 28 | 4.92 | -0.79 |
| Pakistan | 6 | 6 | -7.60 | 1.70 | 783 | 3 232 | 20.05 | 4.51 | 0 | 0 | .. | .. |
| Philippines | 1 | 1 | 0.00 | 1.48 | 105 | 157 | 32.35 | 1.96 | 0 | 0 | .. | .. |
| Saudi Arabia | 0 | 0 | .. | .. | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.21 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.21 |
| Thailand | 53 | 62 | -17.19 | 1.67 | 2 188 | 2 644 | 4.21 | 1.40 | 17 | 8 | 25.54 | -1.38 |
| Turkey | 163 | 207 | 22.97 | 1.84 | 2 117 | 3 400 | 6.77 | 3.36 | 43 | 37 | .. | -3.25 |
| Viet Nam | 164 | 192 | -6.38 | 1.69 | 1 422 | 1 643 | 62.60 | 1.28 | 1 | 1 | .. | -0.15 |
| LEAST DEVELOPED COUNTRIES (LDC) | 587 | 692 | 0.84 | 1.73 | 515 | 698 | 11.02 | 1.49 | 12 | 11 | 0.00 | -0.40 |
| OECD 3 | 110 277 | 125 134 | 3.30 | 1.02 | 26 020 | 28 050 | -0.35 | 0.60 | 49 789 | 59 086 | 4.91 | 0.94 |
| BRICS | 111 660 | 166 614 | 4.69 | 3.38 | 79 614 | 109 378 | 11.89 | 2.59 | 46 023 | 68 953 | 9.99 | 2.86 |
Not available | |||||||||||||
Note: Marketing year: See Glossary of Terms for definitions. Average 2013-15est: Data for 2015 are estimated. | |||||||||||||
Disclaimer: http://oe.cd/disclaimer | |||||||||||||
Includes Israel and also transition economies: Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan, Armenia, Azerbaijan and Georgia. | |||||||||||||
Refers to mainland only. The economies of Chinese Taipei, Hong Kong (China) and Macau (China) are included in the Other Asia Pacific aggregate. | |||||||||||||
Excludes Iceland but includes all EU28 member countries. | |||||||||||||
Least-squares growth rate (see glossary). | |||||||||||||
Source: OECD/FAO (2016), “OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook”,OECD Agriculture statistics(database). doi:dx.doi.org/10.1787/agr-outl-data-en |