OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2016-2025

The OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2016-2025 provides an assessment of prospects for the coming decade of the national, regional and global agricultural commodity markets across 41 countries and 12 regions, including OECD countries (European Union as a region) and other key agricultural producers, such as India, China, Brazil, the Russian Federation and Argentina among others. This year's special feature focuses on the prospects and challenges of the agricultural sector in Sub-Saharan Africa. This edition marks the twelfth year of partnership between the two organisations.
OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2016-2025 - © OECD 2016
A.9.2 | Soybean projections: Consumption, domestic crush | ||||||||
A.9.2 | Soybean projections: Consumption, domestic crush | ||||||||
Marketing year | |||||||||
| | CONSUMPTION (kt) | Growth (%) 1 | DOMESTIC CRUSH (kt) | Growth (%) 1 | ||||
Average 2013-15est | 2025 | 2006-15 | 2016-25 | Average 2013-15est | 2025 | 2006-15 | 2016-25 | ||
| WORLD | 298 756 | 393 871 | 4.15 | 2.32 | 268 091 | 358 999 | 4.25 | 2.46 |
| DEVELOPED COUNTRIES | 83 303 | 93 414 | 1.17 | 0.75 | 75 258 | 85 691 | 1.04 | 0.86 |
| NORTH AMERICA | 56 733 | 63 404 | 0.87 | 0.80 | 51 582 | 58 171 | 0.56 | 0.83 |
| Canada | 2 354 | 2 876 | 3.86 | 1.87 | 1 713 | 2 105 | 2.93 | 1.38 |
| United States | 54 379 | 60 528 | 0.75 | 0.75 | 49 869 | 56 066 | 0.49 | 0.81 |
| EUROPE | 21 586 | 24 564 | 2.62 | 0.65 | 19 704 | 22 849 | 3.06 | 0.83 |
| European Union | 14 749 | 16 659 | -0.69 | 0.58 | 13 301 | 15 382 | -0.60 | 0.82 |
| Russia | 4 477 | 5 052 | 24.29 | 0.23 | 4 416 | 4 995 | 24.18 | 0.24 |
| Ukraine | 1 414 | 1 792 | 15.09 | 2.20 | 1 274 | 1 649 | 22.35 | 2.40 |
| OCEANIA DEVELOPED | 61 | 98 | 2.33 | 2.34 | 56 | 93 | 2.57 | 2.48 |
| Australia | 60 | 97 | 2.38 | 2.37 | 55 | 92 | 2.63 | 2.52 |
| New Zealand | 1 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| OTHER DEVELOPED 2 | 4 923 | 5 348 | -1.04 | 0.62 | 3 916 | 4 578 | -1.53 | 1.41 |
| Japan | 3 050 | 2 371 | -4.41 | -2.48 | 2 252 | 1 848 | -5.40 | -1.81 |
| Kazakhstan | 219 | 261 | 12.17 | 1.89 | 115 | 142 | 7.57 | 2.36 |
| South Africa | 994 | 2 042 | 15.61 | 5.85 | 903 | 1 934 | 15.55 | 6.24 |
| DEVELOPING COUNTRIES | 215 452 | 300 457 | 5.51 | 2.86 | 192 834 | 273 308 | 5.76 | 3.02 |
| AFRICA | 4 375 | 5 236 | 5.26 | 1.28 | 3 765 | 4 431 | 5.87 | 1.09 |
| NORTH AFRICA | 3 173 | 3 793 | 6.99 | 1.08 | 3 126 | 3 725 | 6.95 | 1.08 |
| Algeria | 245 | 266 | 25.36 | 0.36 | 236 | 241 | 24.82 | 0.28 |
| Egypt | 1 963 | 2 402 | 5.91 | 1.22 | 1 938 | 2 376 | 5.88 | 1.22 |
| SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA | 1 202 | 1 442 | 1.62 | 1.83 | 640 | 706 | 1.67 | 1.15 |
| Ethiopia | 34 | 73 | 3.29 | 3.08 | 22 | 61 | 5.72 | 3.32 |
| Ghana | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1.37 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1.15 |
| Mozambique | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.13 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.11 |
| Nigeria | 654 | 776 | 0.92 | 1.79 | 332 | 353 | 1.11 | 1.02 |
| Tanzania | 8 | 8 | 0.00 | -0.03 | 7 | 7 | 0.00 | -0.03 |
| Zambia | 18 | 24 | -0.21 | 2.97 | 11 | 17 | -0.33 | 4.26 |
| LATIN AMERICA and CARIBBEAN | 97 535 | 137 633 | 3.64 | 3.26 | 91 121 | 129 478 | 3.56 | 3.34 |
| Argentina | 41 101 | 52 458 | 2.83 | 2.97 | 40 267 | 51 550 | 2.80 | 3.01 |
| Brazil | 43 232 | 67 825 | 3.85 | 3.97 | 38 429 | 61 518 | 3.61 | 4.14 |
| Chile | 281 | 237 | 3.22 | -0.01 | 277 | 233 | 3.19 | -0.03 |
| Colombia | 733 | 1 088 | 6.28 | 1.30 | 721 | 1 069 | 6.36 | 1.30 |
| Mexico | 4 158 | 4 944 | 1.71 | 1.29 | 3 925 | 4 698 | 2.87 | 1.34 |
| Paraguay | 3 972 | 6 110 | 12.33 | 2.31 | 3 807 | 5 914 | 12.65 | 2.35 |
| Peru | 203 | 267 | 13.20 | 0.98 | 201 | 262 | 13.19 | 0.98 |
| Uruguay | 83 | 106 | 1.16 | 2.15 | 77 | 100 | 2.40 | 2.27 |
| ASIA and PACIFIC | 113 543 | 157 589 | 7.40 | 2.58 | 97 948 | 139 399 | 8.23 | 2.79 |
| Bangladesh | 508 | 657 | 11.93 | 1.31 | 466 | 601 | 12.82 | 1.34 |
| China 3 | 87 618 | 120 560 | 8.96 | 2.65 | 75 321 | 106 514 | 10.32 | 2.91 |
| India | 8 239 | 11 908 | -0.20 | 3.46 | 6 703 | 9 926 | -1.72 | 3.59 |
| Indonesia | 3 100 | 4 238 | 6.01 | 1.48 | 2 264 | 3 124 | 7.10 | 1.67 |
| Iran | 1 442 | 2 131 | 3.25 | 1.19 | 1 418 | 2 097 | 3.36 | 1.20 |
| Korea | 1 377 | 1 500 | -0.13 | 0.74 | 908 | 1 029 | -0.78 | 1.05 |
| Malaysia | 561 | 632 | -0.59 | 0.83 | 556 | 625 | -0.59 | 0.82 |
| Pakistan | 769 | 3 233 | 19.19 | 4.63 | 761 | 3 217 | 19.24 | 4.65 |
| Philippines | 102 | 158 | 22.17 | 1.97 | 100 | 157 | 25.45 | 1.98 |
| Saudi Arabia | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.39 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.38 |
| Thailand | 2 207 | 2 696 | 2.85 | 1.40 | 2 158 | 2 610 | 3.40 | 1.44 |
| Turkey | 2 093 | 3 544 | 6.22 | 3.34 | 2 067 | 3 508 | 6.44 | 3.37 |
| Viet Nam | 1 582 | 1 832 | 26.20 | 1.30 | 1 472 | 1 709 | 35.17 | 1.32 |
| LEAST DEVELOPED COUNTRIES (LDC) | 1 087 | 1 379 | 4.76 | 1.62 | 794 | 1 006 | 6.42 | 1.43 |
| OECD 4 | 83 536 | 93 856 | 0.48 | 0.77 | 75 386 | 86 033 | 0.35 | 0.89 |
| BRICS | 144 560 | 207 387 | 6.82 | 3.07 | 125 772 | 184 888 | 7.27 | 3.29 |
Note: Marketing year: See Glossary of Terms for definitions. Average 2013-15est: Data for 2015 are estimated. | |||||||||
Disclaimer: http://oe.cd/disclaimer | |||||||||
Least-squares growth rate (see glossary). | |||||||||
Includes Israel and also transition economies: Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan, Armenia, Azerbaijan and Georgia. | |||||||||
Refers to mainland only. The economies of Chinese Taipei, Hong Kong (China) and Macau (China) are included in the Other Asia Pacific aggregate. | |||||||||
Excludes Iceland but includes all EU28 member countries. | |||||||||
Source: OECD/FAO (2016), “OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook”,OECD Agriculture statistics(database). doi:dx.doi.org/10.1787/agr-outl-data-en |