1887

OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2016-2025

image of OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2016-2025

The OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2016-2025 provides an assessment of prospects for the coming decade of the national, regional and global agricultural commodity markets across 41 countries and 12 regions, including OECD countries (European Union as a region) and other key agricultural producers, such as India, China, Brazil, the Russian Federation and Argentina among others. This year's special feature focuses on the prospects and challenges of the agricultural sector in Sub-Saharan Africa. This edition marks the twelfth year of partnership between the two organisations.

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From Chapter: Statistical Annex
.

Table A.7.1 - Rice projections: Production and trade

English French

OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2016-2025 - © OECD 2016

‌A.7.1Rice projections: Production and trade
A.7.1Rice projections: Production and trade
  Marketing year
‌‌
‌PRODUCTION (kt)‌
Growth (%) 5
IMPORTS (kt)
Growth (%) 5
EXPORTS (kt)
Growth (%) 5
Average
2013-15est
‌2025‌
‌2006-15‌
‌2016-25‌
Average
2013-15est
‌2025‌
‌2006-15‌
‌2016-25‌
Average
2013-15est
‌2025‌
‌2006-15‌
‌2016-25‌
WORLD
493 371
 
562 608
 
1.74
 
1.23
 
43 455
 
51 433
 
5.48
 
2.08
 
44 257
 
51 433
 
5.73
 
2.08
 
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES
17 949
 
19 089
 
0.82
 
0.62
 
5 250
 
5 965
 
2.00
 
1.31
 
4 253
 
5 373
 
2.52
 
1.11
 
NORTH AMERICA
6 361
 
7 332
 
-0.14
 
1.03
 
1 148
 
1 359
 
1.73
 
1.61
 
3 104
 
4 051
 
0.27
 
1.22
 
Canada
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
392
 
435
 
1.70
 
0.78
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
United States
6 361
 
7 332
 
-0.14
 
1.03
 
756
 
924
 
1.77
 
2.03
 
3 104
 
4 051
 
0.27
 
1.22
 
EUROPE
2 473
 
2 601
 
1.58
 
0.28
 
1 614
 
1 752
 
1.33
 
1.07
 
561
 
676
 
21.82
 
0.73
 
European Union
1 695
 
1 742
 
0.28
 
0.11
 
1 174
 
1 373
 
2.79
 
1.26
 
231
 
249
 
10.46
 
0.24
 
Russia
701
 
783
 
5.76
 
0.59
 
168
 
123
 
-5.27
 
0.68
 
318
 
417
 
47.90
 
1.05
 
Ukraine
57
 
53
 
-4.24
 
1.32
 
84
 
89
 
-2.47
 
-0.58
 
5
 
2
 
1.27
 
0.57
 
OCEANIA DEVELOPED
694
 
881
 
40.34
 
2.05
 
197
 
202
 
-3.10
 
0.33
 
442
 
487
 
18.62
 
1.04
 
Australia
694
 
881
 
40.34
 
2.05
 
152
 
152
 
-4.21
 
0.21
 
442
 
487
 
18.62
 
1.04
 
New Zealand
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
45
 
49
 
1.63
 
0.70
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
OTHER DEVELOPED 1
8 421
 
8 275
 
0.24
 
0.23
 
2 292
 
2 652
 
3.14
 
1.39
 
146
 
159
 
-2.20
 
0.23
 
Japan
7 863
 
7 593
 
0.05
 
0.12
 
788
 
835
 
0.82
 
0.00
 
89
 
91
 
-6.10
 
0.00
 
Kazakhstan
254
 
314
 
4.32
 
1.43
 
29
 
22
 
1.12
 
-0.55
 
56
 
68
 
12.64
 
0.55
 
South Africa
2
 
2
 
0.00
 
1.44
 
1 059
 
1 312
 
4.74
 
2.40
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
475 421
 
543 519
 
1.77
 
1.25
 
38 205
 
45 468
 
6.04
 
2.19
 
40 004
 
46 060
 
6.13
 
2.20
 
AFRICA
18 430
 
24 784
 
3.53
 
2.92
 
13 516
 
18 552
 
6.17
 
3.16
 
563
 
241
 
-6.28
 
-4.96
 
NORTH AFRICA
4 218
 
4 789
 
-1.37
 
1.61
 
450
 
557
 
3.27
 
1.96
 
410
 
117
 
-7.69
 
-8.19
 
Algeria
1
 
1
 
0.00
 
1.49
 
109
 
129
 
4.42
 
1.53
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
Egypt
4 193
 
4 758
 
-1.38
 
1.61
 
42
 
99
 
2.29
 
5.41
 
410
 
117
 
-7.70
 
-8.19
 
SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA
14 213
 
19 995
 
5.50
 
3.26
 
13 066
 
17 995
 
6.29
 
3.20
 
153
 
123
 
2.22
 
-0.39
 
Ethiopia
75
 
134
 
18.06
 
5.57
 
182
 
193
 
27.70
 
2.77
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
Ghana
345
 
447
 
11.06
 
2.71
 
590
 
837
 
4.02
 
2.51
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
Mozambique
240
 
361
 
9.21
 
3.98
 
505
 
816
 
4.66
 
4.11
 
1
 
1
 
..
 
-0.35
 
Nigeria
2 870
 
3 324
 
4.87
 
1.82
 
2 867
 
4 365
 
6.78
 
3.75
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
Tanzania
1 556
 
2 317
 
8.54
 
4.04
 
152
 
160
 
10.31
 
-0.44
 
53
 
58
 
29.21
 
0.25
 
Zambia
27
 
38
 
8.86
 
4.23
 
21
 
35
 
3.30
 
3.79
 
0
 
0
 
8.19
 
-0.41
 
LATIN AMERICA and CARIBBEAN
18 765
 
21 376
 
1.45
 
0.89
 
3 968
 
4 271
 
2.17
 
1.11
 
3 273
 
3 892
 
6.82
 
1.01
 
Argentina
977
 
1 435
 
3.50
 
2.74
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
448
 
726
 
-0.57
 
3.76
 
Brazil
8 259
 
8 797
 
0.72
 
0.13
 
588
 
529
 
-1.86
 
1.33
 
953
 
1 112
 
18.38
 
0.47
 
Chile
96
 
122
 
1.70
 
1.46
 
121
 
130
 
1.75
 
0.48
 
4
 
4
 
24.14
 
-0.34
 
Colombia
1 333
 
1 680
 
-1.43
 
1.72
 
178
 
83
 
6.71
 
-7.50
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
Mexico
135
 
143
 
-5.12
 
0.58
 
897
 
958
 
1.42
 
0.93
 
2
 
2
 
-17.70
 
0.00
 
Paraguay
545
 
750
 
26.60
 
1.69
 
1
 
1
 
3.13
 
1.31
 
373
 
605
 
28.99
 
1.67
 
Peru
2 060
 
2 567
 
2.57
 
1.40
 
207
 
97
 
17.43
 
-3.40
 
10
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
Uruguay
957
 
1 055
 
1.59
 
1.30
 
1
 
1
 
28.35
 
0.53
 
829
 
921
 
1.14
 
1.30
 
ASIA and PACIFIC
438 226
 
497 360
 
1.72
 
1.19
 
20 721
 
22 645
 
6.86
 
1.66
 
36 168
 
41 928
 
6.45
 
2.38
 
Bangladesh
34 504
 
38 639
 
3.16
 
1.03
 
908
 
985
 
-0.82
 
1.55
 
13
 
12
 
..
 
-0.23
 
China 2
141 024
 
145 152
 
1.46
 
0.47
 
5 623
 
5 957
 
45.92
 
2.39
 
355
 
337
 
-14.70
 
-2.40
 
India
105 246
 
125 330
 
1.53
 
1.21
 
1
 
1
 
45.51
 
0.39
 
11 139
 
6 307
 
17.51
 
-5.37
 
Indonesia
44 990
 
53 167
 
3.09
 
1.49
 
933
 
556
 
7.80
 
-5.51
 
1
 
1
 
-5.49
 
1.11
 
Iran
1 565
 
1 801
 
-0.07
 
0.37
 
1 134
 
1 460
 
1.19
 
1.96
 
1
 
1
 
..
 
-0.15
 
Korea
4 266
 
3 660
 
-1.37
 
-1.00
 
404
 
440
 
7.36
 
0.59
 
2
 
2
 
-35.89
 
0.00
 
Pakistan
6 803
 
7 995
 
1.74
 
1.40
 
40
 
40
 
23.05
 
0.00
 
3 943
 
4 999
 
3.67
 
1.46
 
Philippines
12 155
 
13 671
 
1.97
 
1.29
 
1 653
 
2 251
 
-2.59
 
4.61
 
1
 
1
 
24.60
 
-0.32
 
Thailand
21 911
 
24 796
 
0.72
 
2.23
 
301
 
324
 
3.75
 
3.11
 
9 577
 
10 963
 
0.28
 
6.33
 
Turkey
530
 
596
 
3.49
 
0.47
 
292
 
373
 
3.38
 
3.61
 
26
 
21
 
23.83
 
-3.18
 
Viet Nam
29 083
 
34 906
 
2.89
 
1.97
 
534
 
602
 
3.13
 
2.40
 
8 189
 
12 262
 
8.24
 
4.30
 
LDC Asia 3
28 393
 
39 092
 
0.15
 
2.74
 
1 570
 
652
 
7.28
 
-5.64
 
2 830
 
6 903
 
16.64
 
6.30
 
LEAST DEVELOPED COUNTRIES (LDC)
73 300
 
93 029
 
2.19
 
2.12
 
9 720
 
11 412
 
5.26
 
2.39
 
2 968
 
7 018
 
15.06
 
6.16
 
OECD 4
21 641
 
22 070
 
0.20
 
0.30
 
5 219
 
5 907
 
2.04
 
1.13
 
3 900
 
4 906
 
1.10
 
1.10
 
BRICS
255 232
 
280 064
 
1.47
 
0.78
 
7 440
 
7 922
 
20.43
 
2.27
 
12 764
 
8 173
 
14.05
 
-4.38
 
..
Not available
Note: Marketing year: See Glossary of Terms for definitions.
Average 2013-15est: Data for 2015 are estimated.
Disclaimer: http://oe.cd/disclaimer
1.
Includes Israel and also transition economies: Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan, Armenia, Azerbaijan and Georgia.
2.
Refers to mainland only. The economies of Chinese Taipei, Hong Kong (China) and Macau (China) are included in the Other Asia Pacific aggregate.
3.
LDC Asia includes Afghanistan, Bhutan, Myanmar, Cambodia, Lao Peoples' Democratic Republic, Nepal, Yemen, Timor Leste, Maldives.
4.
Excludes Iceland but includes all EU28 member countries.
5.
Least-squares growth rate (see glossary).
Source: OECD/FAO (2016), “OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook”,OECD Agriculture statistics(database). doi:dx.doi.org/10.1787/agr-outl-data-en

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