1887

OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2016-2025

image of OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2016-2025

The OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2016-2025 provides an assessment of prospects for the coming decade of the national, regional and global agricultural commodity markets across 41 countries and 12 regions, including OECD countries (European Union as a region) and other key agricultural producers, such as India, China, Brazil, the Russian Federation and Argentina among others. This year's special feature focuses on the prospects and challenges of the agricultural sector in Sub-Saharan Africa. This edition marks the twelfth year of partnership between the two organisations.

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From Chapter: Statistical Annex
.

Table A.11.1 - Protein meal projections: Production and trade

English French

OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2016-2025 - © OECD 2016

‌A.11.1Protein meal projections: Production and trade
A.11.1Protein meal projections: Production and trade
  Marketing year
‌‌
‌PRODUCTION (kt)‌
Growth (%) 4
IMPORTS (kt)
Growth (%) 4
EXPORTS (kt)
Growth (%) 4
Average
2013-15est
‌2025‌
‌2006-15‌
‌2016-25‌
Average
2013-15est
‌2025‌
‌2006-15‌
‌2016-25‌
Average
2013-15est
‌2025‌
‌2006-15‌
‌2016-25‌
WORLD
301 149
 
385 732
 
3.94
 
2.23
 
80 424
 
99 497
 
3.02
 
1.88
 
84 186
 
99 497
 
3.44
 
1.88
 
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES
99 351
 
111 581
 
2.40
 
0.99
 
37 409
 
40 315
 
0.21
 
0.66
 
22 090
 
23 508
 
6.84
 
1.11
 
NORTH AMERICA
49 414
 
56 014
 
1.16
 
0.96
 
4 576
 
5 043
 
6.07
 
0.71
 
14 862
 
15 926
 
5.47
 
1.24
 
Canada
4 906
 
6 299
 
7.93
 
2.35
 
827
 
633
 
-6.95
 
-3.67
 
3 729
 
4 506
 
11.18
 
2.10
 
United States
44 508
 
49 715
 
0.58
 
0.80
 
3 749
 
4 410
 
12.02
 
1.61
 
11 133
 
11 420
 
3.98
 
0.95
 
EUROPE
41 153
 
45 196
 
4.10
 
0.87
 
26 373
 
27 927
 
-1.49
 
0.64
 
6 978
 
7 429
 
10.71
 
1.03
 
European Union
27 975
 
28 562
 
1.89
 
0.27
 
24 062
 
25 237
 
-1.73
 
0.55
 
968
 
1 037
 
5.09
 
0.42
 
Russia
6 981
 
8 323
 
9.84
 
1.11
 
427
 
519
 
-8.28
 
3.42
 
1 795
 
1 226
 
10.76
 
-2.50
 
Ukraine
5 355
 
7 389
 
13.24
 
3.16
 
42
 
26
 
-8.79
 
-1.75
 
3 854
 
4 796
 
13.70
 
2.35
 
OCEANIA DEVELOPED
2 459
 
3 044
 
16.58
 
2.88
 
2 735
 
3 614
 
11.41
 
1.63
 
87
 
91
 
28.54
 
0.00
 
Australia
2 451
 
3 035
 
16.67
 
2.89
 
719
 
754
 
0.43
 
-1.02
 
67
 
61
 
23.36
 
0.00
 
New Zealand
9
 
9
 
2.38
 
0.00
 
2 016
 
2 861
 
21.01
 
2.46
 
20
 
30
 
195.27
 
0.00
 
OTHER DEVELOPED 1
6 324
 
7 327
 
-0.53
 
1.31
 
3 726
 
3 731
 
1.93
 
-0.03
 
163
 
63
 
-3.25
 
-10.26
 
Japan
3 230
 
3 099
 
-3.18
 
-0.60
 
1 976
 
2 208
 
1.53
 
1.11
 
1
 
0
 
-7.92
 
0.00
 
Kazakhstan
337
 
380
 
2.97
 
1.67
 
5
 
9
 
-7.75
 
5.65
 
92
 
39
 
-5.15
 
-8.91
 
South Africa
1 129
 
2 034
 
10.63
 
5.07
 
1 144
 
578
 
0.59
 
-6.56
 
45
 
4
 
12.79
 
-26.50
 
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
201 798
 
274 151
 
4.76
 
2.77
 
43 015
 
59 181
 
6.11
 
2.80
 
62 096
 
75 988
 
2.42
 
2.13
 
AFRICA
5 940
 
6 952
 
3.06
 
1.35
 
4 525
 
6 042
 
10.74
 
2.39
 
523
 
345
 
1.26
 
-3.76
 
NORTH AFRICA
2 845
 
3 335
 
6.04
 
1.11
 
3 979
 
5 032
 
10.88
 
1.85
 
6
 
6
 
4.24
 
-0.12
 
Algeria
285
 
281
 
13.46
 
0.56
 
1 291
 
1 614
 
9.88
 
2.08
 
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
-0.15
 
Egypt
1 675
 
2 042
 
4.81
 
1.24
 
1 132
 
1 689
 
17.25
 
3.22
 
2
 
2
 
0.00
 
-0.25
 
SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA
3 095
 
3 617
 
0.83
 
1.57
 
546
 
1 010
 
9.58
 
5.63
 
517
 
339
 
1.23
 
-3.81
 
Ethiopia
36
 
68
 
2.62
 
2.53
 
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
0.07
 
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
-0.07
 
Ghana
66
 
80
 
4.71
 
2.17
 
12
 
11
 
0.47
 
-2.89
 
3
 
3
 
0.00
 
2.08
 
Mozambique
38
 
43
 
0.00
 
1.38
 
23
 
59
 
4.82
 
8.40
 
4
 
2
 
0.00
 
-7.74
 
Nigeria
929
 
1 061
 
1.38
 
1.53
 
214
 
536
 
26.26
 
7.20
 
173
 
81
 
2.00
 
-6.72
 
Tanzania
171
 
190
 
4.56
 
1.43
 
13
 
40
 
57.07
 
6.37
 
52
 
22
 
1.35
 
-5.99
 
Zambia
33
 
38
 
1.06
 
1.98
 
7
 
19
 
0.00
 
8.48
 
1
 
1
 
0.00
 
-2.22
 
LATIN AMERICA and CARIBBEAN
76 439
 
108 818
 
3.48
 
3.32
 
8 898
 
12 081
 
3.21
 
2.50
 
48 342
 
63 840
 
2.89
 
2.84
 
Argentina
33 181
 
42 857
 
2.49
 
3.02
 
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
0.00
 
29 824
 
37 311
 
2.56
 
2.89
 
Brazil
31 621
 
50 839
 
3.88
 
4.15
 
3
 
5
 
-40.45
 
0.21
 
14 073
 
20 771
 
1.74
 
3.20
 
Chile
276
 
240
 
2.55
 
0.16
 
1 205
 
1 987
 
5.23
 
5.18
 
1
 
1
 
-20.57
 
-0.50
 
Colombia
730
 
1 079
 
5.45
 
1.69
 
958
 
1 336
 
6.27
 
3.08
 
67
 
54
 
2.87
 
-2.98
 
Mexico
4 181
 
4 949
 
2.80
 
1.35
 
1 875
 
2 972
 
2.03
 
2.98
 
20
 
20
 
8.87
 
0.00
 
Paraguay
3 118
 
4 791
 
12.11
 
2.33
 
2
 
2
 
-11.34
 
0.05
 
2 583
 
3 998
 
15.68
 
2.53
 
Peru
196
 
248
 
8.25
 
1.09
 
953
 
1 389
 
4.18
 
3.47
 
5
 
4
 
4.98
 
-1.66
 
Uruguay
133
 
173
 
1.81
 
1.93
 
216
 
218
 
9.14
 
-0.27
 
5
 
5
 
0.98
 
0.19
 
ASIA and PACIFIC
119 420
 
158 381
 
5.77
 
2.48
 
29 592
 
41 058
 
6.50
 
2.95
 
13 231
 
11 803
 
0.85
 
-0.85
 
Bangladesh
668
 
816
 
7.76
 
1.37
 
582
 
1 331
 
15.62
 
7.03
 
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
-0.48
 
China 2
77 737
 
103 692
 
7.96
 
2.58
 
892
 
1 550
 
2.47
 
5.17
 
1 895
 
1 289
 
9.31
 
-3.85
 
India
14 038
 
18 317
 
-0.63
 
2.86
 
112
 
91
 
13.48
 
-0.01
 
2 396
 
1 773
 
-12.07
 
0.69
 
Indonesia
6 494
 
8 552
 
6.93
 
2.27
 
4 251
 
5 123
 
7.89
 
1.28
 
4 215
 
3 891
 
7.40
 
-1.26
 
Iran
1 376
 
1 966
 
3.23
 
1.26
 
2 160
 
4 008
 
9.37
 
5.99
 
133
 
78
 
6.16
 
-5.65
 
Korea
807
 
897
 
-0.27
 
0.94
 
3 785
 
4 276
 
2.12
 
1.28
 
166
 
150
 
112.04
 
0.00
 
Malaysia
3 253
 
4 090
 
1.61
 
1.97
 
1 439
 
1 355
 
6.86
 
-0.86
 
2 614
 
2 939
 
2.28
 
0.87
 
Pakistan
3 224
 
5 464
 
3.80
 
3.17
 
829
 
851
 
11.77
 
0.45
 
240
 
372
 
16.24
 
-0.45
 
Philippines
960
 
1 190
 
0.88
 
1.88
 
2 381
 
3 181
 
4.34
 
2.48
 
509
 
398
 
1.57
 
-2.42
 
Saudi Arabia
44
 
3
 
5.77
 
1.19
 
862
 
1 414
 
5.46
 
3.62
 
0
 
0
 
-22.69
 
-0.46
 
Thailand
1 985
 
2 418
 
3.65
 
1.56
 
3 283
 
5 249
 
3.84
 
4.76
 
7
 
7
 
-8.56
 
-0.46
 
Turkey
3 284
 
4 673
 
5.04
 
2.64
 
1 632
 
1 182
 
10.68
 
-1.91
 
119
 
160
 
9.87
 
1.44
 
Viet Nam
1 285
 
1 495
 
25.63
 
1.40
 
4 520
 
7 844
 
12.14
 
4.33
 
97
 
57
 
30.04
 
-4.12
 
LEAST DEVELOPED COUNTRIES (LDC)
2 837
 
3 391
 
1.88
 
1.56
 
827
 
1 772
 
12.10
 
6.71
 
258
 
186
 
1.19
 
-2.92
 
OECD 3
92 493
 
102 386
 
1.61
 
0.85
 
43 153
 
48 317
 
0.86
 
1.03
 
16 323
 
17 490
 
5.52
 
1.17
 
BRICS
131 505
 
183 205
 
5.81
 
2.97
 
2 579
 
2 743
 
-1.73
 
0.99
 
20 204
 
25 063
 
0.46
 
2.17
 
Note: Average 2013-15est: Data for 2015 are estimated.
Disclaimer: http://oe.cd/disclaimer
1.
Includes Israel and also transition economies: Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan, Armenia, Azerbaijan and Georgia.
2.
Refers to mainland only. The economies of Chinese Taipei, Hong Kong (China) and Macau (China) are included in the Other Asia Pacific aggregate.
3.
Excludes Iceland but includes all EU28 member countries.
4.
Least-squares growth rate (see glossary).
Source: OECD/FAO (2016), “OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook”,OECD Agriculture statistics(database). doi:dx.doi.org/10.1787/agr-outl-data-en

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