OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2016-2025
The OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2016-2025 provides an assessment of prospects for the coming decade of the national, regional and global agricultural commodity markets across 41 countries and 12 regions, including OECD countries (European Union as a region) and other key agricultural producers, such as India, China, Brazil, the Russian Federation and Argentina among others. This year's special feature focuses on the prospects and challenges of the agricultural sector in Sub-Saharan Africa. This edition marks the twelfth year of partnership between the two organisations.
OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2016-2025 - © OECD 2016
A.11.1 | Protein meal projections: Production and trade | ||||||||||||
A.11.1 | Protein meal projections: Production and trade | ||||||||||||
Marketing year | |||||||||||||
| | PRODUCTION (kt) | Growth (%) 4 | IMPORTS (kt) | Growth (%) 4 | EXPORTS (kt) | Growth (%) 4 | ||||||
Average 2013-15est | 2025 | 2006-15 | 2016-25 | Average 2013-15est | 2025 | 2006-15 | 2016-25 | Average 2013-15est | 2025 | 2006-15 | 2016-25 | ||
| WORLD | 301 149 | 385 732 | 3.94 | 2.23 | 80 424 | 99 497 | 3.02 | 1.88 | 84 186 | 99 497 | 3.44 | 1.88 |
| DEVELOPED COUNTRIES | 99 351 | 111 581 | 2.40 | 0.99 | 37 409 | 40 315 | 0.21 | 0.66 | 22 090 | 23 508 | 6.84 | 1.11 |
| NORTH AMERICA | 49 414 | 56 014 | 1.16 | 0.96 | 4 576 | 5 043 | 6.07 | 0.71 | 14 862 | 15 926 | 5.47 | 1.24 |
| Canada | 4 906 | 6 299 | 7.93 | 2.35 | 827 | 633 | -6.95 | -3.67 | 3 729 | 4 506 | 11.18 | 2.10 |
| United States | 44 508 | 49 715 | 0.58 | 0.80 | 3 749 | 4 410 | 12.02 | 1.61 | 11 133 | 11 420 | 3.98 | 0.95 |
| EUROPE | 41 153 | 45 196 | 4.10 | 0.87 | 26 373 | 27 927 | -1.49 | 0.64 | 6 978 | 7 429 | 10.71 | 1.03 |
| European Union | 27 975 | 28 562 | 1.89 | 0.27 | 24 062 | 25 237 | -1.73 | 0.55 | 968 | 1 037 | 5.09 | 0.42 |
| Russia | 6 981 | 8 323 | 9.84 | 1.11 | 427 | 519 | -8.28 | 3.42 | 1 795 | 1 226 | 10.76 | -2.50 |
| Ukraine | 5 355 | 7 389 | 13.24 | 3.16 | 42 | 26 | -8.79 | -1.75 | 3 854 | 4 796 | 13.70 | 2.35 |
| OCEANIA DEVELOPED | 2 459 | 3 044 | 16.58 | 2.88 | 2 735 | 3 614 | 11.41 | 1.63 | 87 | 91 | 28.54 | 0.00 |
| Australia | 2 451 | 3 035 | 16.67 | 2.89 | 719 | 754 | 0.43 | -1.02 | 67 | 61 | 23.36 | 0.00 |
| New Zealand | 9 | 9 | 2.38 | 0.00 | 2 016 | 2 861 | 21.01 | 2.46 | 20 | 30 | 195.27 | 0.00 |
| OTHER DEVELOPED 1 | 6 324 | 7 327 | -0.53 | 1.31 | 3 726 | 3 731 | 1.93 | -0.03 | 163 | 63 | -3.25 | -10.26 |
| Japan | 3 230 | 3 099 | -3.18 | -0.60 | 1 976 | 2 208 | 1.53 | 1.11 | 1 | 0 | -7.92 | 0.00 |
| Kazakhstan | 337 | 380 | 2.97 | 1.67 | 5 | 9 | -7.75 | 5.65 | 92 | 39 | -5.15 | -8.91 |
| South Africa | 1 129 | 2 034 | 10.63 | 5.07 | 1 144 | 578 | 0.59 | -6.56 | 45 | 4 | 12.79 | -26.50 |
| DEVELOPING COUNTRIES | 201 798 | 274 151 | 4.76 | 2.77 | 43 015 | 59 181 | 6.11 | 2.80 | 62 096 | 75 988 | 2.42 | 2.13 |
| AFRICA | 5 940 | 6 952 | 3.06 | 1.35 | 4 525 | 6 042 | 10.74 | 2.39 | 523 | 345 | 1.26 | -3.76 |
| NORTH AFRICA | 2 845 | 3 335 | 6.04 | 1.11 | 3 979 | 5 032 | 10.88 | 1.85 | 6 | 6 | 4.24 | -0.12 |
| Algeria | 285 | 281 | 13.46 | 0.56 | 1 291 | 1 614 | 9.88 | 2.08 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.15 |
| Egypt | 1 675 | 2 042 | 4.81 | 1.24 | 1 132 | 1 689 | 17.25 | 3.22 | 2 | 2 | 0.00 | -0.25 |
| SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA | 3 095 | 3 617 | 0.83 | 1.57 | 546 | 1 010 | 9.58 | 5.63 | 517 | 339 | 1.23 | -3.81 |
| Ethiopia | 36 | 68 | 2.62 | 2.53 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.07 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.07 |
| Ghana | 66 | 80 | 4.71 | 2.17 | 12 | 11 | 0.47 | -2.89 | 3 | 3 | 0.00 | 2.08 |
| Mozambique | 38 | 43 | 0.00 | 1.38 | 23 | 59 | 4.82 | 8.40 | 4 | 2 | 0.00 | -7.74 |
| Nigeria | 929 | 1 061 | 1.38 | 1.53 | 214 | 536 | 26.26 | 7.20 | 173 | 81 | 2.00 | -6.72 |
| Tanzania | 171 | 190 | 4.56 | 1.43 | 13 | 40 | 57.07 | 6.37 | 52 | 22 | 1.35 | -5.99 |
| Zambia | 33 | 38 | 1.06 | 1.98 | 7 | 19 | 0.00 | 8.48 | 1 | 1 | 0.00 | -2.22 |
| LATIN AMERICA and CARIBBEAN | 76 439 | 108 818 | 3.48 | 3.32 | 8 898 | 12 081 | 3.21 | 2.50 | 48 342 | 63 840 | 2.89 | 2.84 |
| Argentina | 33 181 | 42 857 | 2.49 | 3.02 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 29 824 | 37 311 | 2.56 | 2.89 |
| Brazil | 31 621 | 50 839 | 3.88 | 4.15 | 3 | 5 | -40.45 | 0.21 | 14 073 | 20 771 | 1.74 | 3.20 |
| Chile | 276 | 240 | 2.55 | 0.16 | 1 205 | 1 987 | 5.23 | 5.18 | 1 | 1 | -20.57 | -0.50 |
| Colombia | 730 | 1 079 | 5.45 | 1.69 | 958 | 1 336 | 6.27 | 3.08 | 67 | 54 | 2.87 | -2.98 |
| Mexico | 4 181 | 4 949 | 2.80 | 1.35 | 1 875 | 2 972 | 2.03 | 2.98 | 20 | 20 | 8.87 | 0.00 |
| Paraguay | 3 118 | 4 791 | 12.11 | 2.33 | 2 | 2 | -11.34 | 0.05 | 2 583 | 3 998 | 15.68 | 2.53 |
| Peru | 196 | 248 | 8.25 | 1.09 | 953 | 1 389 | 4.18 | 3.47 | 5 | 4 | 4.98 | -1.66 |
| Uruguay | 133 | 173 | 1.81 | 1.93 | 216 | 218 | 9.14 | -0.27 | 5 | 5 | 0.98 | 0.19 |
| ASIA and PACIFIC | 119 420 | 158 381 | 5.77 | 2.48 | 29 592 | 41 058 | 6.50 | 2.95 | 13 231 | 11 803 | 0.85 | -0.85 |
| Bangladesh | 668 | 816 | 7.76 | 1.37 | 582 | 1 331 | 15.62 | 7.03 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.48 |
| China 2 | 77 737 | 103 692 | 7.96 | 2.58 | 892 | 1 550 | 2.47 | 5.17 | 1 895 | 1 289 | 9.31 | -3.85 |
| India | 14 038 | 18 317 | -0.63 | 2.86 | 112 | 91 | 13.48 | -0.01 | 2 396 | 1 773 | -12.07 | 0.69 |
| Indonesia | 6 494 | 8 552 | 6.93 | 2.27 | 4 251 | 5 123 | 7.89 | 1.28 | 4 215 | 3 891 | 7.40 | -1.26 |
| Iran | 1 376 | 1 966 | 3.23 | 1.26 | 2 160 | 4 008 | 9.37 | 5.99 | 133 | 78 | 6.16 | -5.65 |
| Korea | 807 | 897 | -0.27 | 0.94 | 3 785 | 4 276 | 2.12 | 1.28 | 166 | 150 | 112.04 | 0.00 |
| Malaysia | 3 253 | 4 090 | 1.61 | 1.97 | 1 439 | 1 355 | 6.86 | -0.86 | 2 614 | 2 939 | 2.28 | 0.87 |
| Pakistan | 3 224 | 5 464 | 3.80 | 3.17 | 829 | 851 | 11.77 | 0.45 | 240 | 372 | 16.24 | -0.45 |
| Philippines | 960 | 1 190 | 0.88 | 1.88 | 2 381 | 3 181 | 4.34 | 2.48 | 509 | 398 | 1.57 | -2.42 |
| Saudi Arabia | 44 | 3 | 5.77 | 1.19 | 862 | 1 414 | 5.46 | 3.62 | 0 | 0 | -22.69 | -0.46 |
| Thailand | 1 985 | 2 418 | 3.65 | 1.56 | 3 283 | 5 249 | 3.84 | 4.76 | 7 | 7 | -8.56 | -0.46 |
| Turkey | 3 284 | 4 673 | 5.04 | 2.64 | 1 632 | 1 182 | 10.68 | -1.91 | 119 | 160 | 9.87 | 1.44 |
| Viet Nam | 1 285 | 1 495 | 25.63 | 1.40 | 4 520 | 7 844 | 12.14 | 4.33 | 97 | 57 | 30.04 | -4.12 |
| LEAST DEVELOPED COUNTRIES (LDC) | 2 837 | 3 391 | 1.88 | 1.56 | 827 | 1 772 | 12.10 | 6.71 | 258 | 186 | 1.19 | -2.92 |
| OECD 3 | 92 493 | 102 386 | 1.61 | 0.85 | 43 153 | 48 317 | 0.86 | 1.03 | 16 323 | 17 490 | 5.52 | 1.17 |
| BRICS | 131 505 | 183 205 | 5.81 | 2.97 | 2 579 | 2 743 | -1.73 | 0.99 | 20 204 | 25 063 | 0.46 | 2.17 |
Note: Average 2013-15est: Data for 2015 are estimated. | |||||||||||||
Disclaimer: http://oe.cd/disclaimer | |||||||||||||
Includes Israel and also transition economies: Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan, Armenia, Azerbaijan and Georgia. | |||||||||||||
Refers to mainland only. The economies of Chinese Taipei, Hong Kong (China) and Macau (China) are included in the Other Asia Pacific aggregate. | |||||||||||||
Excludes Iceland but includes all EU28 member countries. | |||||||||||||
Least-squares growth rate (see glossary). | |||||||||||||
Source: OECD/FAO (2016), “OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook”,OECD Agriculture statistics(database). doi:dx.doi.org/10.1787/agr-outl-data-en |