1887

OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2016-2025

image of OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2016-2025

The OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2016-2025 provides an assessment of prospects for the coming decade of the national, regional and global agricultural commodity markets across 41 countries and 12 regions, including OECD countries (European Union as a region) and other key agricultural producers, such as India, China, Brazil, the Russian Federation and Argentina among others. This year's special feature focuses on the prospects and challenges of the agricultural sector in Sub-Saharan Africa. This edition marks the twelfth year of partnership between the two organisations.

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From Chapter: Statistical Annex
.

Table A.6.1 - Other coarse grain projections: Production and trade

English French

OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2016-2025 - © OECD 2016

‌A.6.1Other coarse grain projections: Production and trade
A.6.1Other coarse grain projections: Production and trade
  Marketing year
‌‌
‌PRODUCTION (kt)‌
Growth (%) 4
IMPORTS (kt)
Growth (%) 4
EXPORTS (kt)
Growth (%) 4
Average
2013-15est
‌2025‌
‌2006-15‌
‌2016-25‌
Average
2013-15est
‌2025‌
‌2006-15‌
‌2016-25‌
Average
2013-15est
‌2025‌
‌2006-15‌
‌2016-25‌
WORLD
298 937
 
324 230
 
0.37
 
1.15
 
40 917
 
47 903
 
5.99
 
2.61
 
45 469
 
49 758
 
4.55
 
2.50
 
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES
185 801
 
184 852
 
0.01
 
0.51
 
7 595
 
8 704
 
-3.08
 
0.92
 
38 886
 
40 380
 
4.03
 
2.45
 
NORTH AMERICA
29 922
 
28 523
 
-0.92
 
0.38
 
1 986
 
3 573
 
-0.89
 
5.15
 
12 133
 
14 367
 
1.01
 
3.29
 
Canada
12 344
 
12 942
 
-3.23
 
0.80
 
104
 
492
 
3.73
 
2.45
 
4 796
 
6 390
 
-1.07
 
1.61
 
United States
17 578
 
15 581
 
0.92
 
0.04
 
1 882
 
3 081
 
-1.17
 
5.77
 
7 337
 
7 977
 
2.14
 
4.83
 
EUROPE
138 365
 
137 295
 
-0.08
 
0.41
 
1 170
 
1 444
 
-8.75
 
1.11
 
18 565
 
17 888
 
5.15
 
2.33
 
European Union
95 042
 
93 272
 
0.42
 
0.36
 
573
 
676
 
-12.10
 
2.56
 
10 600
 
10 255
 
7.38
 
2.43
 
Russia
26 544
 
26 876
 
-0.66
 
0.24
 
80
 
258
 
-3.79
 
0.14
 
3 910
 
4 025
 
11.69
 
2.73
 
Ukraine
10 191
 
9 833
 
-2.32
 
1.00
 
9
 
5
 
-9.38
 
-0.43
 
3 972
 
3 505
 
0.71
 
1.64
 
OCEANIA DEVELOPED
12 132
 
12 618
 
2.70
 
1.28
 
41
 
50
 
88.98
 
-0.66
 
7 699
 
7 445
 
9.13
 
1.27
 
Australia
11 674
 
12 098
 
2.69
 
1.27
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
7 699
 
7 444
 
9.16
 
1.27
 
New Zealand
458
 
519
 
3.71
 
1.49
 
41
 
50
 
98.03
 
-0.66
 
0
 
0
 
-26.80
 
0.00
 
OTHER DEVELOPED 1
5 382
 
6 416
 
3.09
 
1.69
 
4 398
 
3 637
 
-0.23
 
-1.97
 
489
 
680
 
-3.71
 
2.50
 
Japan
212
 
213
 
-0.61
 
0.13
 
3 284
 
2 397
 
-1.82
 
-2.96
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
Kazakhstan
2 864
 
3 484
 
1.63
 
1.96
 
10
 
10
 
-20.96
 
0.27
 
468
 
670
 
-3.35
 
2.52
 
South Africa
557
 
660
 
3.43
 
1.97
 
166
 
189
 
5.87
 
-1.82
 
20
 
10
 
-10.47
 
1.34
 
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
113 136
 
139 378
 
1.03
 
2.06
 
33 322
 
39 199
 
9.75
 
3.03
 
6 584
 
9 378
 
7.33
 
2.75
 
AFRICA
48 874
 
63 535
 
1.85
 
2.63
 
3 724
 
4 928
 
6.79
 
0.98
 
2 336
 
2 537
 
10.40
 
3.37
 
NORTH AFRICA
5 578
 
6 302
 
2.59
 
1.70
 
2 699
 
3 886
 
9.57
 
1.10
 
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
-0.01
 
Algeria
1 485
 
1 862
 
4.41
 
2.08
 
759
 
1 001
 
28.57
 
0.75
 
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
-0.05
 
Egypt
810
 
969
 
-3.00
 
2.05
 
92
 
75
 
24.15
 
-3.87
 
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
0.28
 
SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA
43 295
 
57 232
 
1.81
 
2.74
 
1 024
 
1 042
 
2.06
 
0.56
 
2 336
 
2 537
 
10.40
 
3.37
 
Ethiopia
11 358
 
16 903
 
7.29
 
3.91
 
81
 
0
 
-43.43
 
-0.11
 
1 350
 
2 082
 
42.68
 
6.65
 
Ghana
407
 
478
 
-2.29
 
1.65
 
0
 
0
 
-60.84
 
0.44
 
20
 
6
 
185.78
 
-7.25
 
Mozambique
237
 
346
 
-7.45
 
2.34
 
0
 
16
 
-45.83
 
..
 
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
..
 
Nigeria
8 331
 
10 324
 
-0.55
 
2.08
 
20
 
24
 
0.00
 
-0.81
 
100
 
63
 
-5.27
 
1.60
 
Tanzania
1 166
 
1 596
 
2.46
 
3.34
 
3
 
102
 
20.18
 
22.11
 
0
 
0
 
15.62
 
..
 
Zambia
45
 
60
 
-3.09
 
2.96
 
0
 
1
 
-56.03
 
36.35
 
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
..
 
LATIN AMERICA and CARIBBEAN
20 520
 
24 706
 
3.51
 
1.71
 
3 070
 
3 185
 
-1.52
 
0.65
 
3 549
 
6 435
 
8.42
 
3.32
 
Argentina
7 042
 
10 166
 
7.51
 
2.56
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
3 383
 
6 227
 
11.16
 
3.31
 
Brazil
2 583
 
3 062
 
2.04
 
2.40
 
398
 
511
 
5.92
 
2.06
 
12
 
7
 
-38.64
 
2.93
 
Chile
697
 
735
 
5.28
 
1.49
 
725
 
746
 
21.06
 
-0.27
 
50
 
49
 
7.72
 
0.26
 
Colombia
26
 
29
 
-21.52
 
1.36
 
1 052
 
1 301
 
19.89
 
1.77
 
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
-0.13
 
Mexico
8 060
 
8 296
 
2.31
 
0.66
 
657
 
473
 
-19.63
 
-1.21
 
0
 
0
 
-20.81
 
3.19
 
Paraguay
31
 
36
 
1.09
 
1.59
 
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
-0.32
 
2
 
2
 
0.00
 
4.06
 
Peru
269
 
311
 
1.89
 
1.63
 
120
 
121
 
0.85
 
-0.73
 
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
0.05
 
Uruguay
527
 
638
 
-0.27
 
1.41
 
5
 
5
 
19.20
 
-0.02
 
90
 
135
 
-0.08
 
5.74
 
ASIA and PACIFIC
43 742
 
51 138
 
-0.79
 
1.56
 
26 528
 
31 086
 
12.48
 
3.68
 
699
 
406
 
-3.64
 
-5.01
 
Bangladesh
77
 
94
 
24.51
 
1.88
 
0
 
0
 
-1.78
 
10.90
 
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
..
 
China 2
9 612
 
11 055
 
-1.46
 
1.24
 
13 902
 
15 886
 
35.79
 
6.76
 
148
 
172
 
-9.20
 
-0.21
 
India
18 387
 
21 314
 
-1.17
 
1.66
 
2
 
6
 
26.85
 
0.98
 
532
 
215
 
11.56
 
-7.57
 
Indonesia
0
 
0
 
-4.06
 
1.74
 
104
 
114
 
12.89
 
0.75
 
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
-0.75
 
Iran
2 881
 
3 517
 
1.59
 
1.90
 
1 310
 
1 720
 
9.74
 
1.57
 
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
-0.11
 
Korea
90
 
96
 
-9.13
 
-0.53
 
104
 
106
 
0.18
 
-0.49
 
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
0.00
 
Malaysia
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
1.24
 
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
0.36
 
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
-0.36
 
Pakistan
613
 
731
 
1.80
 
1.87
 
16
 
92
 
37.68
 
10.49
 
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
-3.92
 
Philippines
0
 
0
 
-29.27
 
1.34
 
37
 
42
 
1.43
 
0.97
 
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
-0.96
 
Saudi Arabia
292
 
432
 
0.69
 
3.00
 
8 627
 
10 126
 
4.02
 
1.27
 
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
-0.09
 
Thailand
167
 
190
 
-0.06
 
1.37
 
24
 
15
 
-3.25
 
-6.57
 
2
 
2
 
0.00
 
1.32
 
Turkey
8 102
 
9 708
 
-0.46
 
1.55
 
433
 
306
 
16.56
 
-5.75
 
9
 
11
 
-15.61
 
0.35
 
Viet Nam
2
 
2
 
2.86
 
1.58
 
70
 
82
 
11.52
 
1.13
 
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
-1.12
 
LEAST DEVELOPED COUNTRIES (LDC)
34 445
 
46 250
 
2.47
 
2.88
 
791
 
696
 
0.45
 
-0.42
 
2 216
 
2 469
 
11.99
 
3.49
 
OECD 3
155 366
 
154 562
 
0.33
 
0.52
 
8 991
 
9 689
 
-3.87
 
0.49
 
30 492
 
32 126
 
4.65
 
2.50
 
BRICS
57 683
 
62 967
 
-0.89
 
0.99
 
14 548
 
16 850
 
30.60
 
6.32
 
4 623
 
4 429
 
7.08
 
1.68
 
..
Not available
Note: Marketing year: See Glossary of Terms for definitions.
Average 2013-15est: Data for 2015 are estimated.
Disclaimer: http://oe.cd/disclaimer
1.
Includes Israel and also transition economies: Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan, Armenia, Azerbaijan and Georgia.
2.
Refers to mainland only. The economies of Chinese Taipei, Hong Kong (China) and Macau (China) are included in the Other Asia Pacific aggregate.
3.
Excludes Iceland but includes all EU28 member countries.
4.
Least-squares growth rate (see glossary).
Source: OECD/FAO (2016), “OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook”,OECD Agriculture statistics(database). doi:dx.doi.org/10.1787/agr-outl-data-en

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