OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2016-2025
The OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2016-2025 provides an assessment of prospects for the coming decade of the national, regional and global agricultural commodity markets across 41 countries and 12 regions, including OECD countries (European Union as a region) and other key agricultural producers, such as India, China, Brazil, the Russian Federation and Argentina among others. This year's special feature focuses on the prospects and challenges of the agricultural sector in Sub-Saharan Africa. This edition marks the twelfth year of partnership between the two organisations.
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Statistical Annex
OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2016-2025 - © OECD 2016
| A.6.1 | Other coarse grain projections: Production and trade | ||||||||||||
| A.6.1 | Other coarse grain projections: Production and trade | ||||||||||||
| Marketing year | |||||||||||||
| | | PRODUCTION (kt) | Growth (%) 4 | IMPORTS (kt) | Growth (%) 4 | EXPORTS (kt) | Growth (%) 4 | ||||||
Average 2013-15est | 2025 | 2006-15 | 2016-25 | Average 2013-15est | 2025 | 2006-15 | 2016-25 | Average 2013-15est | 2025 | 2006-15 | 2016-25 | ||
| | WORLD | 298 937 | 324 230 | 0.37 | 1.15 | 40 917 | 47 903 | 5.99 | 2.61 | 45 469 | 49 758 | 4.55 | 2.50 |
| | DEVELOPED COUNTRIES | 185 801 | 184 852 | 0.01 | 0.51 | 7 595 | 8 704 | -3.08 | 0.92 | 38 886 | 40 380 | 4.03 | 2.45 |
| | NORTH AMERICA | 29 922 | 28 523 | -0.92 | 0.38 | 1 986 | 3 573 | -0.89 | 5.15 | 12 133 | 14 367 | 1.01 | 3.29 |
| | Canada | 12 344 | 12 942 | -3.23 | 0.80 | 104 | 492 | 3.73 | 2.45 | 4 796 | 6 390 | -1.07 | 1.61 |
| | United States | 17 578 | 15 581 | 0.92 | 0.04 | 1 882 | 3 081 | -1.17 | 5.77 | 7 337 | 7 977 | 2.14 | 4.83 |
| | EUROPE | 138 365 | 137 295 | -0.08 | 0.41 | 1 170 | 1 444 | -8.75 | 1.11 | 18 565 | 17 888 | 5.15 | 2.33 |
| | European Union | 95 042 | 93 272 | 0.42 | 0.36 | 573 | 676 | -12.10 | 2.56 | 10 600 | 10 255 | 7.38 | 2.43 |
| | Russia | 26 544 | 26 876 | -0.66 | 0.24 | 80 | 258 | -3.79 | 0.14 | 3 910 | 4 025 | 11.69 | 2.73 |
| | Ukraine | 10 191 | 9 833 | -2.32 | 1.00 | 9 | 5 | -9.38 | -0.43 | 3 972 | 3 505 | 0.71 | 1.64 |
| | OCEANIA DEVELOPED | 12 132 | 12 618 | 2.70 | 1.28 | 41 | 50 | 88.98 | -0.66 | 7 699 | 7 445 | 9.13 | 1.27 |
| | Australia | 11 674 | 12 098 | 2.69 | 1.27 | 0 | 0 | .. | .. | 7 699 | 7 444 | 9.16 | 1.27 |
| | New Zealand | 458 | 519 | 3.71 | 1.49 | 41 | 50 | 98.03 | -0.66 | 0 | 0 | -26.80 | 0.00 |
| | OTHER DEVELOPED 1 | 5 382 | 6 416 | 3.09 | 1.69 | 4 398 | 3 637 | -0.23 | -1.97 | 489 | 680 | -3.71 | 2.50 |
| | Japan | 212 | 213 | -0.61 | 0.13 | 3 284 | 2 397 | -1.82 | -2.96 | 0 | 0 | .. | .. |
| | Kazakhstan | 2 864 | 3 484 | 1.63 | 1.96 | 10 | 10 | -20.96 | 0.27 | 468 | 670 | -3.35 | 2.52 |
| | South Africa | 557 | 660 | 3.43 | 1.97 | 166 | 189 | 5.87 | -1.82 | 20 | 10 | -10.47 | 1.34 |
| | DEVELOPING COUNTRIES | 113 136 | 139 378 | 1.03 | 2.06 | 33 322 | 39 199 | 9.75 | 3.03 | 6 584 | 9 378 | 7.33 | 2.75 |
| | AFRICA | 48 874 | 63 535 | 1.85 | 2.63 | 3 724 | 4 928 | 6.79 | 0.98 | 2 336 | 2 537 | 10.40 | 3.37 |
| | NORTH AFRICA | 5 578 | 6 302 | 2.59 | 1.70 | 2 699 | 3 886 | 9.57 | 1.10 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.01 |
| | Algeria | 1 485 | 1 862 | 4.41 | 2.08 | 759 | 1 001 | 28.57 | 0.75 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.05 |
| | Egypt | 810 | 969 | -3.00 | 2.05 | 92 | 75 | 24.15 | -3.87 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.28 |
| | SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA | 43 295 | 57 232 | 1.81 | 2.74 | 1 024 | 1 042 | 2.06 | 0.56 | 2 336 | 2 537 | 10.40 | 3.37 |
| | Ethiopia | 11 358 | 16 903 | 7.29 | 3.91 | 81 | 0 | -43.43 | -0.11 | 1 350 | 2 082 | 42.68 | 6.65 |
| | Ghana | 407 | 478 | -2.29 | 1.65 | 0 | 0 | -60.84 | 0.44 | 20 | 6 | 185.78 | -7.25 |
| | Mozambique | 237 | 346 | -7.45 | 2.34 | 0 | 16 | -45.83 | .. | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | .. |
| | Nigeria | 8 331 | 10 324 | -0.55 | 2.08 | 20 | 24 | 0.00 | -0.81 | 100 | 63 | -5.27 | 1.60 |
| | Tanzania | 1 166 | 1 596 | 2.46 | 3.34 | 3 | 102 | 20.18 | 22.11 | 0 | 0 | 15.62 | .. |
| | Zambia | 45 | 60 | -3.09 | 2.96 | 0 | 1 | -56.03 | 36.35 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | .. |
| | LATIN AMERICA and CARIBBEAN | 20 520 | 24 706 | 3.51 | 1.71 | 3 070 | 3 185 | -1.52 | 0.65 | 3 549 | 6 435 | 8.42 | 3.32 |
| | Argentina | 7 042 | 10 166 | 7.51 | 2.56 | 0 | 0 | .. | .. | 3 383 | 6 227 | 11.16 | 3.31 |
| | Brazil | 2 583 | 3 062 | 2.04 | 2.40 | 398 | 511 | 5.92 | 2.06 | 12 | 7 | -38.64 | 2.93 |
| | Chile | 697 | 735 | 5.28 | 1.49 | 725 | 746 | 21.06 | -0.27 | 50 | 49 | 7.72 | 0.26 |
| | Colombia | 26 | 29 | -21.52 | 1.36 | 1 052 | 1 301 | 19.89 | 1.77 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.13 |
| | Mexico | 8 060 | 8 296 | 2.31 | 0.66 | 657 | 473 | -19.63 | -1.21 | 0 | 0 | -20.81 | 3.19 |
| | Paraguay | 31 | 36 | 1.09 | 1.59 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.32 | 2 | 2 | 0.00 | 4.06 |
| | Peru | 269 | 311 | 1.89 | 1.63 | 120 | 121 | 0.85 | -0.73 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| | Uruguay | 527 | 638 | -0.27 | 1.41 | 5 | 5 | 19.20 | -0.02 | 90 | 135 | -0.08 | 5.74 |
| | ASIA and PACIFIC | 43 742 | 51 138 | -0.79 | 1.56 | 26 528 | 31 086 | 12.48 | 3.68 | 699 | 406 | -3.64 | -5.01 |
| | Bangladesh | 77 | 94 | 24.51 | 1.88 | 0 | 0 | -1.78 | 10.90 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | .. |
| | China 2 | 9 612 | 11 055 | -1.46 | 1.24 | 13 902 | 15 886 | 35.79 | 6.76 | 148 | 172 | -9.20 | -0.21 |
| | India | 18 387 | 21 314 | -1.17 | 1.66 | 2 | 6 | 26.85 | 0.98 | 532 | 215 | 11.56 | -7.57 |
| | Indonesia | 0 | 0 | -4.06 | 1.74 | 104 | 114 | 12.89 | 0.75 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.75 |
| | Iran | 2 881 | 3 517 | 1.59 | 1.90 | 1 310 | 1 720 | 9.74 | 1.57 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.11 |
| | Korea | 90 | 96 | -9.13 | -0.53 | 104 | 106 | 0.18 | -0.49 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| | Malaysia | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1.24 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.36 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.36 |
| | Pakistan | 613 | 731 | 1.80 | 1.87 | 16 | 92 | 37.68 | 10.49 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -3.92 |
| | Philippines | 0 | 0 | -29.27 | 1.34 | 37 | 42 | 1.43 | 0.97 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.96 |
| | Saudi Arabia | 292 | 432 | 0.69 | 3.00 | 8 627 | 10 126 | 4.02 | 1.27 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.09 |
| | Thailand | 167 | 190 | -0.06 | 1.37 | 24 | 15 | -3.25 | -6.57 | 2 | 2 | 0.00 | 1.32 |
| | Turkey | 8 102 | 9 708 | -0.46 | 1.55 | 433 | 306 | 16.56 | -5.75 | 9 | 11 | -15.61 | 0.35 |
| | Viet Nam | 2 | 2 | 2.86 | 1.58 | 70 | 82 | 11.52 | 1.13 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -1.12 |
| | LEAST DEVELOPED COUNTRIES (LDC) | 34 445 | 46 250 | 2.47 | 2.88 | 791 | 696 | 0.45 | -0.42 | 2 216 | 2 469 | 11.99 | 3.49 |
| | OECD 3 | 155 366 | 154 562 | 0.33 | 0.52 | 8 991 | 9 689 | -3.87 | 0.49 | 30 492 | 32 126 | 4.65 | 2.50 |
| | BRICS | 57 683 | 62 967 | -0.89 | 0.99 | 14 548 | 16 850 | 30.60 | 6.32 | 4 623 | 4 429 | 7.08 | 1.68 |
Not available | |||||||||||||
| Note: Marketing year: See Glossary of Terms for definitions. Average 2013-15est: Data for 2015 are estimated. | |||||||||||||
| Disclaimer: http://oe.cd/disclaimer | |||||||||||||
Includes Israel and also transition economies: Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan, Armenia, Azerbaijan and Georgia. | |||||||||||||
Refers to mainland only. The economies of Chinese Taipei, Hong Kong (China) and Macau (China) are included in the Other Asia Pacific aggregate. | |||||||||||||
Excludes Iceland but includes all EU28 member countries. | |||||||||||||
Least-squares growth rate (see glossary). | |||||||||||||
| Source: OECD/FAO (2016), “OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook”,OECD Agriculture statistics(database). doi:dx.doi.org/10.1787/agr-outl-data-en | |||||||||||||