1887

OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2016-2025

image of OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2016-2025

The OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2016-2025 provides an assessment of prospects for the coming decade of the national, regional and global agricultural commodity markets across 41 countries and 12 regions, including OECD countries (European Union as a region) and other key agricultural producers, such as India, China, Brazil, the Russian Federation and Argentina among others. This year's special feature focuses on the prospects and challenges of the agricultural sector in Sub-Saharan Africa. This edition marks the twelfth year of partnership between the two organisations.

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From Chapter: Statistical Annex
.

Table A.6.2 - Other coarse grain projections: Consumption, feed, food

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OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2016-2025 - © OECD 2016

‌A.6.2Other coarse grain projections: Consumption, feed, food
A.6.2Other coarse grain projections: Consumption, feed, food
  Marketing year
‌‌
CONSUMPTION (kt)
Growth (%) 4
FEED (kt)
Growth (%) 4
FOOD (kg/cap)
Growth (%) 4
Average
2013-15est
‌2025‌
‌2006-15‌
‌2016-25‌
Average
2013-15est
‌2025‌
‌2006-15‌
‌2016-25‌
Average
2013-15est
‌2025‌
‌2006-15‌
‌2016-25‌
WORLD
290 505
 
321 650
 
0.30
 
1.11
 
163 544
 
177 911
 
0.34
 
1.26
 
10.3
 
11.1
 
-0.20
 
0.75
 
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES
150 695
 
153 054
 
-1.36
 
0.06
 
105 180
 
107 663
 
-1.42
 
0.42
 
7.8
 
7.4
 
-1.09
 
-0.62
 
NORTH AMERICA
18 722
 
17 533
 
-3.01
 
-0.83
 
11 484
 
10 502
 
-5.05
 
-1.24
 
3.4
 
3.1
 
-0.92
 
-0.93
 
Canada
7 223
 
6 958
 
-5.16
 
0.03
 
6 476
 
6 305
 
-5.28
 
0.07
 
7.9
 
6.5
 
-1.33
 
-1.56
 
United States
11 499
 
10 576
 
-1.35
 
-1.36
 
5 008
 
4 197
 
-4.57
 
-2.97
 
2.9
 
2.7
 
-0.82
 
-0.78
 
EUROPE
118 270
 
120 988
 
-1.09
 
0.14
 
84 737
 
87 415
 
-0.87
 
0.63
 
11.5
 
11.2
 
-0.91
 
-0.39
 
European Union
82 419
 
83 875
 
-0.79
 
0.11
 
59 833
 
61 454
 
-0.96
 
0.74
 
9.4
 
9.5
 
0.18
 
-0.02
 
Russia
22 454
 
23 111
 
-1.77
 
-0.14
 
15 329
 
15 999
 
-0.78
 
-0.03
 
15.9
 
14.5
 
-1.85
 
-1.25
 
Ukraine
6 462
 
6 303
 
-3.19
 
0.88
 
4 357
 
4 121
 
-2.14
 
1.10
 
19.1
 
19.3
 
-4.12
 
0.06
 
OCEANIA DEVELOPED
4 744
 
5 223
 
-4.61
 
1.29
 
3 213
 
4 010
 
-4.40
 
2.35
 
9.9
 
8.0
 
-2.05
 
-2.08
 
Australia
4 242
 
4 654
 
-5.35
 
1.29
 
2 782
 
3 506
 
-5.30
 
2.51
 
8.8
 
7.0
 
-3.92
 
-2.78
 
New Zealand
501
 
569
 
5.16
 
1.29
 
430
 
504
 
4.61
 
1.30
 
15.8
 
13.2
 
8.81
 
0.39
 
OTHER DEVELOPED 1
8 959
 
9 309
 
1.23
 
0.12
 
5 747
 
5 736
 
1.49
 
-0.53
 
3.2
 
3.2
 
-0.84
 
-0.21
 
Japan
3 526
 
2 633
 
-1.64
 
-2.60
 
2 227
 
1 328
 
-2.81
 
-5.27
 
3.8
 
3.8
 
1.23
 
-0.04
 
Kazakhstan
2 302
 
2 811
 
1.62
 
1.77
 
1 459
 
1 815
 
3.00
 
1.88
 
2.6
 
2.6
 
-1.38
 
-0.21
 
South Africa
690
 
834
 
2.90
 
0.94
 
57
 
68
 
4.08
 
1.01
 
3.8
 
3.9
 
-2.59
 
-0.21
 
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
139 810
 
168 596
 
2.37
 
2.18
 
58 364
 
70 248
 
4.30
 
2.68
 
10.8
 
11.9
 
-0.09
 
0.91
 
AFRICA
50 501
 
65 744
 
2.09
 
2.43
 
6 922
 
8 811
 
4.06
 
1.78
 
33.8
 
34.9
 
-0.21
 
0.30
 
NORTH AFRICA
8 044
 
10 142
 
3.97
 
1.37
 
5 182
 
6 817
 
5.99
 
1.49
 
13.7
 
13.6
 
-0.66
 
-0.29
 
Algeria
2 245
 
2 848
 
7.30
 
1.56
 
1 615
 
2 108
 
11.18
 
1.66
 
15.3
 
15.4
 
-0.66
 
-0.08
 
Egypt
902
 
1 042
 
-1.86
 
1.45
 
547
 
603
 
-3.24
 
1.14
 
3.3
 
3.4
 
-1.45
 
0.36
 
SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA
42 457
 
55 602
 
1.77
 
2.63
 
1 741
 
1 994
 
-0.52
 
2.84
 
37.8
 
38.6
 
-0.27
 
0.22
 
Ethiopia
10 106
 
14 772
 
5.85
 
3.57
 
535
 
640
 
18.74
 
3.54
 
86.3
 
102.8
 
2.40
 
1.48
 
Ghana
389
 
471
 
-3.32
 
1.86
 
26
 
34
 
-2.17
 
2.68
 
10.2
 
10.0
 
-6.70
 
0.14
 
Mozambique
300
 
362
 
-3.04
 
2.80
 
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
1.06
 
10.6
 
9.6
 
-5.43
 
0.21
 
Nigeria
8 251
 
10 281
 
-0.47
 
2.07
 
413
 
554
 
-0.58
 
2.93
 
37.3
 
36.6
 
-1.24
 
-0.31
 
Tanzania
1 185
 
1 691
 
2.92
 
3.69
 
38
 
46
 
0.10
 
2.65
 
20.1
 
21.4
 
0.09
 
0.88
 
Zambia
45
 
60
 
-6.17
 
3.04
 
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
3.78
 
2.4
 
2.2
 
-10.29
 
0.47
 
LATIN AMERICA and CARIBBEAN
19 897
 
21 385
 
1.90
 
1.15
 
15 525
 
16 403
 
1.52
 
1.07
 
4.0
 
4.0
 
2.28
 
0.49
 
Argentina
3 579
 
3 931
 
5.28
 
1.62
 
2 715
 
3 144
 
5.04
 
1.72
 
20.2
 
16.6
 
5.94
 
0.34
 
Brazil
3 019
 
3 561
 
4.34
 
2.35
 
1 824
 
2 047
 
2.89
 
2.41
 
2.1
 
2.5
 
6.82
 
1.86
 
Chile
1 372
 
1 431
 
10.53
 
0.57
 
1 192
 
1 235
 
13.15
 
0.56
 
2.1
 
2.1
 
0.18
 
-0.06
 
Colombia
1 078
 
1 330
 
13.72
 
1.77
 
714
 
905
 
22.85
 
1.98
 
1.5
 
1.5
 
-0.98
 
-0.45
 
Mexico
8 833
 
8 759
 
-0.59
 
0.52
 
8 146
 
7 927
 
-0.70
 
0.46
 
5.5
 
5.9
 
-0.78
 
0.09
 
Paraguay
29
 
35
 
1.19
 
1.48
 
27
 
32
 
1.29
 
1.54
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
-1.33
 
0.09
 
Peru
389
 
432
 
1.53
 
0.91
 
25
 
33
 
0.45
 
2.60
 
6.2
 
5.9
 
0.32
 
-0.30
 
Uruguay
442
 
507
 
-0.23
 
0.47
 
161
 
179
 
1.11
 
0.07
 
1.2
 
1.2
 
-0.33
 
-0.04
 
ASIA and PACIFIC
69 412
 
81 468
 
2.71
 
2.26
 
35 916
 
45 034
 
5.72
 
3.54
 
5.8
 
5.9
 
-1.40
 
0.18
 
Bangladesh
77
 
94
 
24.51
 
1.88
 
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
1.93
 
0.5
 
0.5
 
23.07
 
0.82
 
China 2
23 020
 
26 584
 
9.13
 
3.96
 
11 490
 
15 641
 
24.39
 
9.17
 
3.5
 
2.9
 
-0.80
 
-2.41
 
India
18 193
 
21 091
 
-0.85
 
1.82
 
648
 
653
 
9.81
 
3.47
 
12.8
 
13.5
 
-1.98
 
0.69
 
Indonesia
104
 
114
 
12.89
 
0.75
 
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
2.07
 
0.4
 
0.4
 
11.44
 
-0.22
 
Iran
4 208
 
5 220
 
3.11
 
1.68
 
4 031
 
5 029
 
3.42
 
1.71
 
0.3
 
0.3
 
-1.21
 
-0.92
 
Korea
194
 
202
 
-5.56
 
-0.50
 
49
 
49
 
-7.87
 
-0.71
 
2.9
 
3.0
 
-5.16
 
-0.75
 
Malaysia
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
1.39
 
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
1.70
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
..
 
..
 
Pakistan
629
 
823
 
2.09
 
2.54
 
195
 
262
 
0.00
 
2.93
 
2.1
 
2.3
 
1.41
 
0.70
 
Philippines
37
 
42
 
1.35
 
0.97
 
30
 
34
 
1.67
 
0.84
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.92
 
-0.05
 
Saudi Arabia
8 785
 
10 492
 
2.99
 
1.18
 
8 589
 
10 270
 
3.07
 
1.18
 
2.9
 
2.8
 
-2.38
 
-0.06
 
Thailand
189
 
203
 
-0.62
 
0.47
 
53
 
62
 
-0.20
 
1.46
 
1.5
 
1.5
 
-0.29
 
-0.20
 
Turkey
8 459
 
9 968
 
-0.49
 
1.19
 
7 459
 
8 917
 
-0.15
 
1.25
 
3.8
 
3.7
 
-0.89
 
-0.14
 
Viet Nam
72
 
84
 
11.17
 
1.14
 
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
1.22
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.90
 
0.46
 
LEAST DEVELOPED COUNTRIES (LDC)
33 402
 
44 343
 
2.35
 
2.74
 
1 516
 
1 696
 
-1.27
 
2.68
 
29.3
 
31.7
 
0.44
 
0.72
 
OECD 3
130 567
 
132 084
 
-1.19
 
0.07
 
95 605
 
97 575
 
-1.48
 
0.46
 
6.2
 
6.1
 
-0.39
 
-0.33
 
BRICS
59 826
 
66 709
 
3.08
 
1.39
 
29 347
 
34 408
 
5.04
 
3.49
 
7.9
 
8.1
 
-1.46
 
0.17
 
..
Not available
Note: Marketing year: See Glossary of Terms for definitions.
Average 2013-15est: Data for 2015 are estimated.
Disclaimer: http://oe.cd/disclaimer
1.
Includes Israel and also transition economies: Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan, Armenia, Azerbaijan and Georgia.
2.
Refers to mainland only. The economies of Chinese Taipei, Hong Kong (China) and Macau (China) are included in the Other Asia Pacific aggregate.
3.
Excludes Iceland but includes all EU28 member countries.
4.
Least-squares growth rate (see glossary).
Source: OECD/FAO (2016), “OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook”,OECD Agriculture statistics(database). doi:dx.doi.org/10.1787/agr-outl-data-en

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