1887

OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2016-2025

image of OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2016-2025

The OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2016-2025 provides an assessment of prospects for the coming decade of the national, regional and global agricultural commodity markets across 41 countries and 12 regions, including OECD countries (European Union as a region) and other key agricultural producers, such as India, China, Brazil, the Russian Federation and Argentina among others. This year's special feature focuses on the prospects and challenges of the agricultural sector in Sub-Saharan Africa. This edition marks the twelfth year of partnership between the two organisations.

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From Chapter: Statistical Annex
.

Table A.27 - Milk projections: Production, inventories, yield

English French

OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2016-2025 - © OECD 2016

‌A.27Milk projections: Production, inventories, yield
A.27Milk projections: Production, inventories, yield
  Calendar year
‌‌
‌PRODUCTION (kt)‌
Growth (%) 4
INVENTORIES ('000 hd)
Growth (%) 4
YIELD (t/head)
Growth (%) 4
Average
2013-15est
‌2025‌
‌2006-15‌
‌2016-25‌
Average
2013-15est
‌2025‌
‌2006-15‌
‌2016-25‌
Average
2013-15est
‌2025‌
‌2006-15‌
‌2016-25‌
WORLD
782 465
 
959 089
 
1.98
 
1.81
 
682 068
 
766 459
 
2.00
 
1.03
 
1.15
 
1.25
 
-0.02
 
0.77
 
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES
385 157
 
433 001
 
1.08
 
0.95
 
77 312
 
75 347
 
-0.03
 
-0.25
 
4.98
 
5.75
 
1.11
 
1.21
 
NORTH AMERICA
102 008
 
116 347
 
1.45
 
1.07
 
10 217
 
10 260
 
0.09
 
0.00
 
9.98
 
11.34
 
1.36
 
1.07
 
Canada
8 931
 
9 594
 
1.22
 
0.37
 
955
 
934
 
-0.43
 
-0.20
 
9.35
 
10.28
 
1.66
 
0.57
 
United States
93 077
 
106 752
 
1.47
 
1.13
 
9 262
 
9 326
 
0.14
 
0.02
 
10.05
 
11.45
 
1.33
 
1.12
 
EUROPE
219 189
 
241 405
 
0.54
 
0.69
 
43 060
 
39 956
 
-1.06
 
-0.68
 
5.09
 
6.04
 
1.62
 
1.37
 
European Union
158 794
 
178 971
 
0.95
 
0.82
 
23 312
 
21 859
 
-0.65
 
-0.73
 
6.69
 
8.11
 
1.71
 
1.62
 
Russia
30 306
 
30 636
 
-0.69
 
-0.02
 
8 446
 
7 518
 
-1.27
 
-0.70
 
3.59
 
4.07
 
0.59
 
0.69
 
Ukraine
11 489
 
12 154
 
-1.18
 
0.78
 
3 480
 
3 171
 
-2.61
 
-0.66
 
3.30
 
3.83
 
1.47
 
1.45
 
OCEANIA DEVELOPED
31 052
 
37 122
 
3.18
 
1.95
 
6 755
 
7 607
 
1.86
 
1.29
 
4.60
 
4.88
 
1.30
 
0.66
 
Australia
9 767
 
11 577
 
-0.22
 
1.66
 
1 692
 
1 742
 
-0.68
 
0.29
 
5.77
 
6.65
 
0.46
 
1.37
 
New Zealand
21 285
 
25 545
 
5.13
 
2.08
 
5 064
 
5 865
 
2.85
 
1.60
 
4.20
 
4.36
 
2.22
 
0.47
 
OTHER DEVELOPED 1
32 908
 
38 127
 
1.79
 
1.40
 
17 280
 
17 524
 
2.06
 
-0.01
 
1.90
 
2.18
 
-0.27
 
1.41
 
Japan
7 354
 
7 437
 
-1.28
 
0.27
 
878
 
873
 
-1.76
 
0.01
 
8.38
 
8.52
 
0.48
 
0.26
 
Kazakhstan
5 010
 
6 020
 
-0.21
 
1.73
 
2 627
 
2 607
 
-0.59
 
0.00
 
1.91
 
2.31
 
0.38
 
1.73
 
South Africa
3 450
 
4 021
 
1.81
 
1.48
 
1 004
 
1 024
 
2.37
 
0.12
 
3.44
 
3.93
 
-0.55
 
1.36
 
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
397 308
 
526 088
 
2.92
 
2.57
 
619 765
 
709 787
 
2.39
 
1.20
 
0.64
 
0.74
 
0.52
 
1.36
 
AFRICA
42 761
 
54 173
 
2.33
 
2.33
 
238 490
 
281 710
 
2.53
 
1.52
 
0.18
 
0.19
 
-0.20
 
0.80
 
NORTH AFRICA
12 952
 
15 476
 
2.97
 
1.68
 
49 756
 
56 364
 
4.76
 
1.01
 
0.26
 
0.27
 
-1.71
 
0.66
 
Algeria
3 208
 
4 212
 
6.73
 
2.43
 
19 415
 
22 089
 
6.50
 
1.05
 
0.17
 
0.19
 
0.22
 
1.36
 
Egypt
5 950
 
6 636
 
0.85
 
1.06
 
6 649
 
6 365
 
0.64
 
-0.49
 
0.89
 
1.04
 
0.21
 
1.56
 
SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA
29 810
 
38 697
 
2.06
 
2.60
 
188 734
 
225 346
 
2.01
 
1.65
 
0.16
 
0.17
 
0.05
 
0.93
 
Ethiopia
4 313
 
6 276
 
5.77
 
3.64
 
15 008
 
18 675
 
7.60
 
1.82
 
0.29
 
0.34
 
-1.70
 
1.79
 
Ghana
42
 
56
 
1.69
 
2.67
 
321
 
359
 
1.79
 
0.89
 
0.13
 
0.16
 
-0.10
 
1.76
 
Mozambique
80
 
95
 
0.74
 
1.63
 
622
 
635
 
0.97
 
0.07
 
0.13
 
0.15
 
-0.22
 
1.57
 
Nigeria
578
 
797
 
3.58
 
3.04
 
2 437
 
2 876
 
3.82
 
1.48
 
0.24
 
0.28
 
-0.23
 
1.54
 
Tanzania
2 094
 
2 889
 
4.29
 
2.97
 
9 810
 
10 989
 
1.18
 
1.00
 
0.21
 
0.26
 
3.08
 
1.95
 
Zambia
89
 
108
 
0.91
 
1.84
 
297
 
326
 
0.95
 
0.73
 
0.30
 
0.33
 
-0.04
 
1.10
 
LATIN AMERICA and CARIBBEAN
81 745
 
98 598
 
1.45
 
1.67
 
50 436
 
55 037
 
1.92
 
0.66
 
1.62
 
1.79
 
-0.46
 
1.00
 
Argentina
11 267
 
13 470
 
1.39
 
1.74
 
2 367
 
2 493
 
0.49
 
0.33
 
4.76
 
5.40
 
0.89
 
1.41
 
Brazil
29 727
 
39 058
 
0.99
 
2.35
 
24 343
 
28 529
 
1.91
 
1.33
 
1.22
 
1.37
 
-0.90
 
1.01
 
Chile
2 722
 
3 131
 
1.56
 
1.31
 
1 395
 
1 332
 
-0.55
 
-0.49
 
1.95
 
2.35
 
2.12
 
1.81
 
Colombia
6 502
 
7 357
 
-0.73
 
0.98
 
5 502
 
5 397
 
2.24
 
-0.49
 
1.18
 
1.36
 
-2.90
 
1.48
 
Mexico
11 491
 
12 185
 
1.12
 
0.51
 
2 425
 
2 515
 
0.86
 
0.31
 
4.74
 
4.85
 
0.26
 
0.20
 
Paraguay
521
 
647
 
3.28
 
2.10
 
232
 
246
 
4.03
 
0.46
 
2.25
 
2.63
 
-0.72
 
1.63
 
Peru
1 851
 
2 238
 
2.79
 
1.90
 
1 116
 
1 150
 
1.17
 
0.29
 
1.66
 
1.95
 
1.60
 
1.60
 
Uruguay
2 113
 
2 163
 
3.20
 
0.20
 
764
 
673
 
0.12
 
-1.28
 
2.77
 
3.21
 
3.07
 
1.50
 
ASIA and PACIFIC
272 801
 
373 318
 
3.50
 
2.86
 
330 839
 
373 039
 
2.37
 
1.04
 
0.82
 
1.00
 
1.11
 
1.81
 
Bangladesh
3 550
 
4 730
 
2.93
 
2.85
 
38 438
 
45 798
 
3.75
 
1.49
 
0.09
 
0.10
 
-0.79
 
1.34
 
China 2
42 108
 
49 421
 
1.48
 
1.28
 
15 146
 
12 748
 
4.02
 
-1.91
 
2.53
 
3.51
 
-2.61
 
3.20
 
India
141 085
 
206 991
 
4.12
 
3.48
 
118 205
 
142 769
 
1.88
 
1.72
 
1.19
 
1.45
 
2.20
 
1.73
 
Indonesia
1 410
 
1 728
 
5.28
 
1.83
 
12 031
 
12 601
 
2.44
 
0.29
 
0.12
 
0.14
 
2.77
 
1.54
 
Iran
7 704
 
9 201
 
0.71
 
1.66
 
22 520
 
23 121
 
-0.69
 
0.08
 
0.34
 
0.40
 
1.41
 
1.58
 
Korea
2 171
 
2 227
 
0.00
 
0.09
 
261
 
255
 
0.09
 
-0.10
 
8.33
 
8.73
 
-0.08
 
0.18
 
Malaysia
86
 
98
 
5.32
 
1.19
 
166
 
161
 
3.87
 
-0.46
 
0.52
 
0.61
 
1.39
 
1.66
 
Pakistan
39 991
 
56 666
 
3.13
 
3.42
 
31 244
 
37 242
 
3.18
 
1.78
 
1.28
 
1.52
 
-0.05
 
1.61
 
Philippines
22
 
22
 
7.05
 
0.12
 
6
 
5
 
-1.22
 
-0.98
 
3.92
 
4.61
 
8.37
 
1.10
 
Saudi Arabia
2 373
 
2 800
 
7.61
 
1.49
 
4 559
 
4 661
 
0.06
 
0.08
 
0.52
 
0.60
 
7.55
 
1.40
 
Thailand
1 126
 
1 416
 
5.39
 
1.99
 
376
 
404
 
5.25
 
0.38
 
2.99
 
3.50
 
0.13
 
1.61
 
Turkey
19 270
 
23 005
 
6.87
 
1.44
 
24 614
 
25 276
 
6.04
 
-0.06
 
0.78
 
0.91
 
0.78
 
1.51
 
Viet Nam
501
 
685
 
8.99
 
2.85
 
187
 
215
 
2.43
 
1.18
 
2.67
 
3.19
 
6.40
 
1.65
 
LEAST DEVELOPED COUNTRIES (LDC)
32 624
 
42 481
 
2.23
 
2.59
 
236 088
 
278 724
 
2.44
 
1.52
 
0.14
 
0.15
 
-0.20
 
1.06
 
OECD 3
341 897
 
387 574
 
1.50
 
1.00
 
71 146
 
71 206
 
1.70
 
-0.13
 
4.81
 
5.44
 
-0.19
 
1.13
 
BRICS
246 677
 
330 127
 
2.54
 
2.60
 
167 144
 
192 589
 
1.88
 
1.27
 
1.48
 
1.71
 
0.65
 
1.31
 
Note: Calendar year: Year ending 30 June for Australia and 31 May for New Zealand.
Average 2013-15est: Data for 2015 are estimated.
Disclaimer: http://oe.cd/disclaimer
1.
Includes Israel and also transition economies: Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan, Armenia, Azerbaijan and Georgia.
2.
Refers to mainland only. The economies of Chinese Taipei, Hong Kong (China) and Macau (China) are included in the Other Asia Pacific aggregate.
3.
Excludes Iceland but includes all EU28 member countries.
4.
Least-squares growth rate (see glossary).
Source: OECD/FAO (2016), “OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook”,OECD Agriculture statistics(database). doi:dx.doi.org/10.1787/agr-outl-data-en

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