1887

OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2016-2025

image of OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2016-2025

The OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2016-2025 provides an assessment of prospects for the coming decade of the national, regional and global agricultural commodity markets across 41 countries and 12 regions, including OECD countries (European Union as a region) and other key agricultural producers, such as India, China, Brazil, the Russian Federation and Argentina among others. This year's special feature focuses on the prospects and challenges of the agricultural sector in Sub-Saharan Africa. This edition marks the twelfth year of partnership between the two organisations.

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From Chapter: Statistical Annex
.

Table A.16.1 - Meat projections: Production and trade

English French

OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2016-2025 - © OECD 2016

‌A.16.1Meat projections: Production and trade
A.16.1Meat projections: Production and trade
  Calendar year
‌‌
PRODUCTION (kt cwe) 4
Growth (%) 5
IMPORTS (kt cwe) 6
Growth (%) 5
EXPORTS (kt cwe) 6
Growth (%) 5
Average
2013-15est
‌2025‌
‌2006-15‌
‌2016-25‌
Average
2013-15est
‌2025‌
‌2006-15‌
‌2016-25‌
Average
2013-15est
‌2025‌
‌2006-15‌
‌2016-25‌
WORLD
309 383
 
357 460
 
1.98
 
1.33
 
28 051
 
35 842
 
3.94
 
2.32
 
29 142
 
35 816
 
3.62
 
2.33
 
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES
120 769
 
133 512
 
1.06
 
0.74
 
9 986
 
10 758
 
-1.14
 
1.35
 
16 502
 
19 183
 
3.99
 
1.81
 
NORTH AMERICA
46 122
 
53 576
 
0.28
 
1.21
 
2 660
 
2 942
 
1.00
 
1.24
 
8 704
 
10 707
 
3.40
 
2.37
 
Canada
4 747
 
5 251
 
-1.20
 
1.00
 
759
 
815
 
3.32
 
0.83
 
1 845
 
1 949
 
0.92
 
0.88
 
United States
41 376
 
48 326
 
0.46
 
1.23
 
1 902
 
2 127
 
0.17
 
1.40
 
6 859
 
8 758
 
4.17
 
2.74
 
EUROPE
58 685
 
62 507
 
1.51
 
0.29
 
3 547
 
3 297
 
-5.15
 
1.26
 
4 324
 
4 968
 
7.05
 
1.41
 
European Union
44 698
 
46 370
 
0.56
 
0.02
 
1 324
 
1 542
 
-2.74
 
0.95
 
3 636
 
4 246
 
5.91
 
1.53
 
Russia
8 798
 
10 530
 
6.39
 
1.28
 
1 572
 
1 138
 
-8.13
 
1.84
 
83
 
182
 
72.19
 
3.90
 
Ukraine
2 452
 
2 786
 
4.41
 
1.23
 
177
 
157
 
-9.17
 
2.34
 
198
 
174
 
29.64
 
-0.53
 
OCEANIA DEVELOPED
6 407
 
6 962
 
1.50
 
1.30
 
370
 
434
 
5.09
 
1.10
 
3 325
 
3 405
 
1.80
 
1.01
 
Australia
5 036
 
5 556
 
2.08
 
1.57
 
302
 
358
 
5.08
 
1.52
 
2 285
 
2 390
 
2.65
 
1.72
 
New Zealand
1 371
 
1 407
 
-0.42
 
0.29
 
68
 
77
 
5.06
 
-0.66
 
1 040
 
1 015
 
0.09
 
-0.50
 
OTHER DEVELOPED 1
9 555
 
10 466
 
2.03
 
0.82
 
3 408
 
4 084
 
1.79
 
1.55
 
149
 
104
 
17.03
 
-4.83
 
Japan
3 267
 
3 229
 
0.58
 
-0.16
 
2 347
 
2 451
 
1.32
 
0.48
 
12
 
16
 
10.90
 
3.63
 
Kazakhstan
807
 
964
 
0.65
 
1.50
 
179
 
241
 
-2.12
 
2.10
 
1
 
1
 
3.60
 
-1.84
 
South Africa
2 821
 
3 062
 
3.11
 
0.79
 
475
 
845
 
5.23
 
4.27
 
122
 
80
 
29.62
 
-5.64
 
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
188 614
 
223 948
 
2.61
 
1.70
 
18 065
 
25 085
 
8.01
 
2.77
 
12 640
 
16 633
 
3.17
 
2.96
 
AFRICA
12 907
 
16 184
 
2.53
 
2.17
 
2 382
 
4 154
 
8.89
 
5.30
 
89
 
89
 
-2.82
 
0.90
 
NORTH AFRICA
4 209
 
4 636
 
3.42
 
0.94
 
660
 
1 202
 
8.45
 
4.75
 
16
 
11
 
26.59
 
-5.32
 
Algeria
711
 
818
 
3.63
 
1.18
 
96
 
176
 
2.25
 
5.40
 
1
 
0
 
56.50
 
-10.87
 
Egypt
1 934
 
2 157
 
2.57
 
1.15
 
425
 
751
 
8.42
 
4.27
 
12
 
8
 
30.07
 
-6.68
 
SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA
8 698
 
11 548
 
2.12
 
2.71
 
1 722
 
2 951
 
9.15
 
5.53
 
73
 
77
 
-5.15
 
2.28
 
Ethiopia
603
 
832
 
0.80
 
3.20
 
0
 
1
 
-3.44
 
20.25
 
13
 
17
 
13.05
 
12.30
 
Ghana
136
 
166
 
5.12
 
1.86
 
163
 
232
 
7.14
 
4.27
 
0
 
0
 
-28.04
 
0.48
 
Mozambique
208
 
256
 
4.06
 
1.86
 
29
 
103
 
12.65
 
11.26
 
0
 
0
 
-17.76
 
-3.53
 
Nigeria
1 268
 
1 736
 
1.31
 
2.98
 
4
 
20
 
53.69
 
20.26
 
1
 
0
 
62.26
 
-18.22
 
Tanzania
473
 
663
 
1.89
 
3.13
 
4
 
43
 
13.15
 
26.09
 
0
 
0
 
-20.51
 
-8.34
 
Zambia
294
 
443
 
12.20
 
4.02
 
3
 
26
 
32.73
 
24.41
 
0
 
0
 
-9.47
 
-21.79
 
LATIN AMERICA and CARIBBEAN
50 536
 
61 398
 
2.07
 
1.78
 
3 613
 
4 322
 
4.77
 
1.52
 
8 254
 
11 887
 
0.71
 
3.74
 
Argentina
5 197
 
6 654
 
0.86
 
2.39
 
30
 
27
 
-8.61
 
-0.45
 
527
 
1 254
 
-4.47
 
9.71
 
Brazil
26 133
 
32 362
 
2.00
 
1.92
 
76
 
100
 
13.84
 
0.94
 
6 247
 
9 238
 
0.65
 
3.93
 
Chile
1 440
 
1 462
 
1.01
 
0.55
 
352
 
430
 
11.34
 
1.97
 
299
 
275
 
3.19
 
-0.74
 
Colombia
2 464
 
2 808
 
3.13
 
1.11
 
129
 
210
 
14.53
 
3.13
 
22
 
3
 
-18.58
 
-7.77
 
Mexico
6 073
 
7 558
 
1.98
 
2.08
 
1 601
 
1 795
 
4.95
 
0.70
 
224
 
245
 
16.30
 
0.06
 
Paraguay
770
 
916
 
3.31
 
1.14
 
11
 
24
 
14.35
 
4.54
 
340
 
330
 
6.57
 
-0.37
 
Peru
1 607
 
1 982
 
5.57
 
1.77
 
45
 
85
 
11.78
 
1.48
 
3
 
2
 
1.39
 
0.19
 
Uruguay
674
 
719
 
-0.04
 
0.05
 
41
 
49
 
14.72
 
1.43
 
351
 
328
 
-1.64
 
-0.64
 
ASIA and PACIFIC
125 172
 
146 366
 
2.84
 
1.62
 
12 070
 
16 609
 
8.96
 
2.55
 
4 297
 
4 656
 
10.08
 
1.25
 
Bangladesh
633
 
774
 
2.06
 
1.64
 
1
 
19
 
5.48
 
31.41
 
0
 
0
 
-4.71
 
-6.61
 
China 2
84 499
 
97 970
 
2.70
 
1.65
 
1 949
 
2 677
 
11.44
 
2.92
 
668
 
610
 
0.26
 
0.03
 
India
6 171
 
8 066
 
2.04
 
2.46
 
1
 
2
 
1.76
 
1.58
 
1 830
 
2 158
 
16.07
 
2.12
 
Indonesia
3 288
 
4 303
 
4.62
 
1.99
 
99
 
308
 
6.74
 
5.61
 
1
 
1
 
-0.64
 
-1.98
 
Iran
2 604
 
3 103
 
2.33
 
1.36
 
121
 
188
 
-0.67
 
6.36
 
69
 
19
 
15.24
 
-7.35
 
Korea
2 248
 
2 525
 
2.70
 
1.16
 
993
 
1 241
 
3.69
 
1.17
 
36
 
36
 
7.76
 
-0.38
 
Malaysia
1 644
 
1 928
 
3.71
 
1.46
 
297
 
442
 
5.87
 
2.43
 
64
 
42
 
13.53
 
-3.37
 
Pakistan
3 087
 
3 937
 
4.20
 
2.29
 
19
 
39
 
12.55
 
3.51
 
63
 
27
 
21.99
 
-7.23
 
Philippines
3 155
 
3 522
 
2.27
 
1.13
 
414
 
804
 
10.13
 
4.86
 
16
 
15
 
13.22
 
-0.78
 
Saudi Arabia
633
 
676
 
1.18
 
0.53
 
1 097
 
1 432
 
7.72
 
2.11
 
60
 
56
 
16.94
 
-1.65
 
Thailand
2 848
 
3 340
 
2.56
 
1.28
 
40
 
58
 
32.06
 
1.89
 
875
 
1 169
 
7.77
 
2.62
 
Turkey
3 063
 
3 477
 
8.41
 
0.94
 
5
 
5
 
10.63
 
-3.76
 
420
 
366
 
32.28
 
-0.64
 
Viet Nam
4 312
 
5 047
 
3.29
 
1.46
 
1 686
 
2 580
 
30.83
 
3.57
 
24
 
24
 
3.78
 
-0.63
 
LEAST DEVELOPED COUNTRIES (LDC)
10 089
 
12 745
 
3.24
 
2.15
 
1 481
 
2 662
 
9.75
 
6.25
 
27
 
29
 
8.57
 
5.21
 
OECD 3
114 772
 
126 712
 
0.77
 
0.75
 
9 890
 
11 165
 
1.69
 
1.01
 
16 682
 
19 310
 
3.99
 
1.77
 
BRICS
128 422
 
151 990
 
2.74
 
1.70
 
4 073
 
4 761
 
0.04
 
2.81
 
8 949
 
12 267
 
2.90
 
3.26
 
Note: Calendar year: Year ending 30 September for New Zealand.
Average 2013-15est: Data for 2015 are estimated.
Disclaimer: http://oe.cd/disclaimer
1.
Includes Israel and also transition economies: Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan, Armenia, Azerbaijan and Georgia.
2.
Refers to mainland only. The economies of Chinese Taipei, Hong Kong (China) and Macau (China) are included in the Other Asia Pacific aggregate.
3.
Excludes Iceland but includes all EU28 member countries.
4.
Gross indigenous production.
5.
Least-squares growth rate (see glossary).
6.
Excludes trade of live animals.
Source: OECD/FAO (2016), “OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook”,OECD Agriculture statistics(database). doi:dx.doi.org/10.1787/agr-outl-data-en

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