OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2016-2025

The OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2016-2025 provides an assessment of prospects for the coming decade of the national, regional and global agricultural commodity markets across 41 countries and 12 regions, including OECD countries (European Union as a region) and other key agricultural producers, such as India, China, Brazil, the Russian Federation and Argentina among others. This year's special feature focuses on the prospects and challenges of the agricultural sector in Sub-Saharan Africa. This edition marks the twelfth year of partnership between the two organisations.
OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2016-2025 - © OECD 2016
A.16.2 | Meat projections: Consumption, food | ||||||||
A.16.2 | Meat projections: Consumption, food | ||||||||
Calendar year | |||||||||
| | CONSUMPTION (kt cwe) | Growth (%) 1 | FOOD (kg rwe/cap) 5 | Growth (%) 1 | ||||
Average 2013-15est | 2025 | 2006-15 | 2016-25 | Average 2013-15est | 2025 | 2006-15 | 2016-25 | ||
| WORLD | 307 867 | 356 943 | 1.97 | 1.33 | 34.0 | 35.3 | 0.86 | 0.32 |
| DEVELOPED COUNTRIES | 114 044 | 124 845 | 0.45 | 0.64 | 65.0 | 69.2 | 0.12 | 0.37 |
| NORTH AMERICA | 40 076 | 45 951 | -0.27 | 0.96 | 90.3 | 96.0 | -1.02 | 0.24 |
| Canada | 3 027 | 3 327 | -0.40 | 0.63 | 68.1 | 68.5 | -1.38 | -0.18 |
| United States | 37 049 | 42 625 | -0.26 | 0.99 | 92.8 | 99.1 | -0.99 | 0.28 |
| EUROPE | 58 045 | 60 868 | 0.64 | 0.27 | 62.0 | 65.2 | 0.63 | 0.30 |
| European Union | 42 191 | 43 527 | 0.05 | -0.06 | 66.7 | 68.4 | -0.07 | -0.13 |
| Russia | 10 595 | 11 637 | 2.67 | 1.28 | 59.3 | 66.5 | 2.80 | 1.47 |
| Ukraine | 2 437 | 2 769 | 2.15 | 1.44 | 44.0 | 53.6 | 2.78 | 2.07 |
| OCEANIA DEVELOPED | 3 115 | 3 611 | 1.56 | 1.35 | 89.3 | 91.2 | 0.06 | 0.19 |
| Australia | 2 714 | 3 160 | 2.00 | 1.40 | 92.5 | 94.2 | 0.37 | 0.19 |
| New Zealand | 402 | 451 | -1.00 | 0.98 | 72.6 | 74.8 | -1.86 | 0.15 |
| OTHER DEVELOPED 2 | 12 808 | 14 414 | 1.75 | 1.05 | 37.7 | 40.7 | 1.16 | 0.69 |
| Japan | 5 576 | 5 664 | 0.79 | 0.08 | 35.1 | 36.8 | 0.87 | 0.39 |
| Kazakhstan | 987 | 1 206 | 0.13 | 1.61 | 45.0 | 49.4 | -0.99 | 0.67 |
| South Africa | 3 127 | 3 728 | 2.52 | 1.64 | 47.8 | 52.9 | 1.48 | 1.01 |
| DEVELOPING COUNTRIES | 193 822 | 232 098 | 2.97 | 1.72 | 26.6 | 28.0 | 1.64 | 0.54 |
| AFRICA | 15 148 | 20 196 | 3.39 | 2.75 | 11.1 | 11.3 | 0.96 | 0.27 |
| NORTH AFRICA | 4 915 | 5 893 | 3.98 | 1.61 | 22.2 | 22.4 | 2.23 | 0.10 |
| Algeria | 824 | 1 014 | 3.03 | 1.78 | 17.6 | 18.4 | 1.26 | 0.34 |
| Egypt | 2 374 | 2 930 | 3.51 | 1.88 | 20.8 | 21.0 | 1.40 | 0.12 |
| SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA | 10 233 | 14 303 | 3.11 | 3.26 | 8.9 | 9.3 | 0.55 | 0.61 |
| Ethiopia | 563 | 787 | 0.16 | 3.24 | 4.5 | 4.8 | -2.26 | 0.91 |
| Ghana | 303 | 402 | 6.14 | 3.15 | 9.7 | 10.2 | 3.88 | 1.11 |
| Mozambique | 238 | 359 | 4.85 | 3.78 | 7.0 | 7.9 | 1.82 | 1.08 |
| Nigeria | 1 336 | 1 828 | 1.33 | 2.94 | 6.1 | 6.3 | -1.57 | 0.38 |
| Tanzania | 477 | 706 | 1.96 | 3.77 | 7.0 | 7.5 | -1.09 | 0.81 |
| Zambia | 296 | 468 | 12.35 | 4.54 | 14.0 | 15.9 | 8.44 | 1.45 |
| LATIN AMERICA and CARIBBEAN | 45 412 | 53 305 | 2.48 | 1.36 | 58.0 | 61.7 | 1.42 | 0.46 |
| Argentina | 4 699 | 5 427 | 1.51 | 1.21 | 84.6 | 88.9 | 0.71 | 0.32 |
| Brazil | 19 622 | 22 910 | 2.38 | 1.21 | 75.8 | 82.1 | 1.49 | 0.53 |
| Chile | 1 478 | 1 607 | 2.14 | 1.16 | 66.7 | 65.7 | 1.04 | 0.27 |
| Colombia | 2 545 | 3 001 | 4.07 | 1.26 | 43.1 | 47.1 | 3.16 | 0.58 |
| Mexico | 7 207 | 8 771 | 2.15 | 1.79 | 46.8 | 50.6 | 0.76 | 0.72 |
| Paraguay | 442 | 612 | 1.45 | 2.18 | 50.7 | 61.2 | 0.15 | 0.98 |
| Peru | 1 649 | 2 064 | 5.71 | 1.76 | 45.2 | 49.9 | 4.48 | 0.63 |
| Uruguay | 329 | 399 | 2.39 | 0.83 | 72.0 | 84.3 | 1.97 | 0.49 |
| ASIA and PACIFIC | 133 262 | 158 598 | 3.09 | 1.72 | 25.9 | 28.0 | 1.98 | 0.86 |
| Bangladesh | 634 | 793 | 2.07 | 1.91 | 3.3 | 3.7 | 0.97 | 0.92 |
| China 3 | 85 700 | 99 956 | 2.88 | 1.69 | 50.0 | 56.5 | 2.34 | 1.43 |
| India | 4 343 | 5 911 | -1.07 | 2.59 | 2.8 | 3.4 | -1.81 | 1.46 |
| Indonesia | 3 448 | 4 667 | 4.40 | 2.17 | 11.1 | 13.4 | 3.06 | 1.14 |
| Iran | 2 640 | 3 258 | 2.05 | 1.69 | 28.9 | 32.3 | 1.00 | 0.81 |
| Korea | 3 212 | 3 730 | 2.85 | 1.18 | 50.6 | 56.6 | 2.28 | 0.86 |
| Malaysia | 1 892 | 2 342 | 3.81 | 1.74 | 53.5 | 57.6 | 2.19 | 0.51 |
| Pakistan | 3 038 | 3 944 | 4.01 | 2.41 | 12.8 | 13.6 | 1.97 | 0.58 |
| Philippines | 3 522 | 4 314 | 2.87 | 1.74 | 28.7 | 30.1 | 1.44 | 0.35 |
| Saudi Arabia | 1 808 | 2 189 | 4.81 | 1.56 | 50.5 | 51.2 | 2.33 | 0.05 |
| Thailand | 1 899 | 2 063 | 0.04 | 0.73 | 22.8 | 24.5 | -0.16 | 0.66 |
| Turkey | 2 676 | 3 142 | 6.96 | 1.13 | 28.3 | 30.4 | 4.96 | 0.45 |
| Viet Nam | 5 987 | 7 616 | 7.08 | 2.14 | 51.0 | 59.1 | 5.93 | 1.29 |
| LEAST DEVELOPED COUNTRIES (LDC) | 11 407 | 15 229 | 3.88 | 2.78 | 9.9 | 10.4 | 1.77 | 0.52 |
| OECD 4 | 107 263 | 117 933 | 0.39 | 0.61 | 65.7 | 69.1 | -0.15 | 0.20 |
| BRICS | 123 387 | 144 141 | 2.61 | 1.61 | 32.2 | 35.1 | 1.76 | 0.98 |
Note: Calendar year: Year ending 30 September New Zealand. Average 2013-15est: Data for 2015 are estimated. | |||||||||
Disclaimer: http://oe.cd/disclaimer | |||||||||
Least-squares growth rate (see glossary). | |||||||||
Includes Israel and also transition economies: Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan, Armenia, Azerbaijan and Georgia. | |||||||||
Refers to mainland only. The economies of Chinese Taipei, Hong Kong (China) and Macau (China) are included in the Other Asia Pacific aggregate. | |||||||||
Excludes Iceland but includes all EU28 member countries. | |||||||||
Per capita consumption expressed in retail weight. Carcass weight to retail weight conversion factors of 0.7 for beef and veal, 0.78 for pigmeat and 0.88 for both sheep meat and poultry meat. | |||||||||
Source: OECD/FAO (2016), “OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook”,OECD Agriculture statistics(database). doi:dx.doi.org/10.1787/agr-outl-data-en |