1887

OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2016-2025

image of OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2016-2025

The OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2016-2025 provides an assessment of prospects for the coming decade of the national, regional and global agricultural commodity markets across 41 countries and 12 regions, including OECD countries (European Union as a region) and other key agricultural producers, such as India, China, Brazil, the Russian Federation and Argentina among others. This year's special feature focuses on the prospects and challenges of the agricultural sector in Sub-Saharan Africa. This edition marks the twelfth year of partnership between the two organisations.

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From Chapter: Statistical Annex
.

Table A.5.1 - Maize projections: Production and trade

English French

OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2016-2025 - © OECD 2016

‌A.5.1Maize projections: Production and trade
A.5.1Maize projections: Production and trade
  Marketing year
‌‌
‌PRODUCTION (kt)‌
Growth (%) 4
IMPORTS (kt)
Growth (%) 4
EXPORTS (kt)
Growth (%) 4
Average
2013-15est
‌2025‌
‌2006-15‌
‌2016-25‌
Average
2013-15est
‌2025‌
‌2006-15‌
‌2016-25‌
Average
2013-15est
‌2025‌
‌2006-15‌
‌2016-25‌
WORLD
1 014 259
 
1 146 044
 
3.81
 
1.35
 
123 050
 
141 538
 
4.21
 
1.16
 
130 221
 
141 538
 
4.12
 
1.16
 
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES
497 977
 
541 505
 
2.72
 
0.99
 
31 533
 
32 849
 
1.14
 
-1.05
 
76 563
 
82 072
 
2.02
 
1.14
 
NORTH AMERICA
365 710
 
395 403
 
1.87
 
0.82
 
2 065
 
2 944
 
-2.17
 
-1.79
 
47 765
 
50 032
 
-3.69
 
0.74
 
Canada
13 080
 
14 809
 
3.61
 
2.08
 
1 151
 
1 940
 
-11.38
 
-2.63
 
962
 
978
 
14.52
 
-1.08
 
United States
352 631
 
380 594
 
1.81
 
0.77
 
914
 
1 004
 
18.40
 
-0.04
 
46 803
 
49 054
 
-3.93
 
0.78
 
EUROPE
116 978
 
128 880
 
5.63
 
1.23
 
12 202
 
11 893
 
7.68
 
-1.86
 
26 932
 
30 126
 
30.61
 
1.42
 
European Union
67 881
 
73 481
 
2.19
 
0.99
 
11 477
 
11 300
 
9.06
 
-1.92
 
2 692
 
2 643
 
14.35
 
-0.62
 
Russia
11 989
 
15 266
 
16.42
 
2.05
 
37
 
30
 
-24.63
 
0.14
 
3 586
 
4 351
 
63.02
 
1.97
 
Ukraine
27 124
 
28 698
 
18.67
 
1.36
 
57
 
59
 
12.98
 
-0.05
 
18 111
 
19 127
 
36.47
 
1.55
 
OCEANIA DEVELOPED
603
 
657
 
0.74
 
1.05
 
100
 
97
 
34.02
 
1.72
 
63
 
78
 
36.45
 
2.05
 
Australia
382
 
441
 
0.67
 
1.42
 
1
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
58
 
73
 
37.60
 
2.21
 
New Zealand
221
 
216
 
0.93
 
0.32
 
99
 
97
 
69.85
 
1.72
 
6
 
5
 
..
 
0.00
 
OTHER DEVELOPED 1
14 685
 
16 565
 
4.80
 
3.87
 
17 167
 
17 915
 
-1.19
 
-0.33
 
1 803
 
1 836
 
10.13
 
15.69
 
Japan
0
 
0
 
1.36
 
0.03
 
14 856
 
15 998
 
-1.57
 
0.57
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
Kazakhstan
656
 
869
 
6.85
 
1.25
 
1
 
2
 
..
 
0.17
 
32
 
98
 
15.38
 
-1.72
 
South Africa
12 680
 
14 106
 
5.21
 
4.46
 
382
 
55
 
..
 
-21.64
 
1 746
 
1 713
 
9.80
 
25.43
 
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
516 283
 
604 536
 
4.93
 
1.68
 
91 516
 
108 690
 
5.56
 
1.95
 
53 658
 
59 466
 
7.40
 
1.20
 
AFRICA
59 205
 
78 163
 
4.33
 
3.04
 
18 809
 
22 516
 
5.17
 
1.59
 
3 258
 
2 793
 
11.32
 
2.38
 
NORTH AFRICA
5 999
 
7 083
 
-2.47
 
1.60
 
15 656
 
18 353
 
6.46
 
1.82
 
50
 
43
 
-1.82
 
-1.80
 
Algeria
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
4 155
 
5 102
 
8.90
 
2.05
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
Egypt
5 833
 
6 889
 
-2.49
 
1.60
 
7 933
 
9 106
 
7.04
 
1.69
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA
53 206
 
71 080
 
5.41
 
3.19
 
3 153
 
4 163
 
0.53
 
0.65
 
3 208
 
2 750
 
11.72
 
2.47
 
Ethiopia
6 736
 
9 378
 
8.76
 
3.39
 
10
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
637
 
701
 
..
 
1.64
 
Ghana
1 663
 
2 104
 
4.35
 
2.30
 
30
 
24
 
-4.38
 
-0.10
 
133
 
97
 
15.67
 
0.42
 
Mozambique
1 777
 
2 515
 
1.22
 
4.20
 
123
 
198
 
2.41
 
-5.21
 
20
 
14
 
-23.12
 
1.31
 
Nigeria
10 690
 
14 104
 
5.21
 
2.70
 
200
 
206
 
18.53
 
-2.35
 
150
 
145
 
1.93
 
1.76
 
Tanzania
5 631
 
6 996
 
7.08
 
3.64
 
13
 
23
 
-21.88
 
-5.93
 
383
 
13
 
42.11
 
16.85
 
Zambia
2 877
 
4 285
 
10.35
 
4.88
 
2
 
1
 
-33.62
 
-0.74
 
800
 
1 154
 
27.27
 
8.21
 
LATIN AMERICA and CARIBBEAN
154 879
 
188 605
 
5.69
 
1.85
 
27 646
 
31 578
 
3.11
 
1.78
 
46 445
 
54 188
 
8.94
 
1.20
 
Argentina
32 967
 
39 000
 
8.82
 
1.73
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
18 518
 
17 917
 
6.75
 
0.87
 
Brazil
79 714
 
101 200
 
6.98
 
2.19
 
732
 
799
 
-4.66
 
5.03
 
24 302
 
31 458
 
9.74
 
1.39
 
Chile
1 415
 
1 674
 
1.37
 
1.59
 
1 056
 
980
 
-5.30
 
0.09
 
102
 
100
 
3.11
 
-0.09
 
Colombia
1 455
 
1 601
 
-1.38
 
1.29
 
4 744
 
5 691
 
4.82
 
1.91
 
85
 
70
 
9.91
 
-1.81
 
Mexico
24 203
 
26 407
 
0.81
 
0.94
 
10 549
 
12 554
 
3.42
 
1.44
 
257
 
194
 
0.27
 
9.28
 
Paraguay
4 075
 
5 412
 
18.08
 
1.69
 
7
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
2 933
 
4 173
 
24.29
 
1.16
 
Peru
1 606
 
2 167
 
2.33
 
1.77
 
2 285
 
2 811
 
6.12
 
3.49
 
7
 
7
 
0.45
 
-0.36
 
Uruguay
589
 
609
 
10.73
 
1.31
 
125
 
18
 
-5.42
 
-2.36
 
157
 
190
 
..
 
2.41
 
ASIA and PACIFIC
302 198
 
337 768
 
4.68
 
1.30
 
45 061
 
54 595
 
7.48
 
2.20
 
3 955
 
2 485
 
-5.35
 
0.09
 
Bangladesh
2 542
 
3 067
 
15.12
 
1.80
 
30
 
51
 
-26.25
 
3.40
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
China 2
218 878
 
240 480
 
4.98
 
1.10
 
3 708
 
6 219
 
89.35
 
16.27
 
73
 
99
 
-32.25
 
0.89
 
India
23 143
 
26 314
 
4.06
 
2.28
 
6
 
4
 
2.45
 
-0.52
 
1 965
 
998
 
2.02
 
2.69
 
Indonesia
19 023
 
23 296
 
5.02
 
1.81
 
3 151
 
4 255
 
29.79
 
1.81
 
135
 
238
 
3.27
 
-0.24
 
Iran
1 217
 
1 057
 
-7.45
 
1.83
 
4 992
 
6 521
 
10.14
 
1.93
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
Korea
80
 
92
 
0.60
 
1.44
 
10 198
 
10 161
 
2.17
 
0.33
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
Malaysia
56
 
50
 
7.28
 
0.89
 
3 714
 
4 432
 
4.97
 
1.97
 
8
 
7
 
-1.21
 
-1.93
 
Pakistan
4 718
 
5 988
 
4.86
 
2.10
 
5
 
12
 
-11.52
 
8.75
 
200
 
19
 
..
 
-17.12
 
Philippines
7 553
 
8 620
 
2.13
 
1.37
 
542
 
701
 
28.76
 
2.08
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
Saudi Arabia
80
 
117
 
-7.73
 
2.72
 
3 033
 
4 081
 
8.19
 
1.38
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
Thailand
4 739
 
5 446
 
2.60
 
1.37
 
134
 
58
 
-7.87
 
0.49
 
534
 
458
 
-8.20
 
-0.30
 
Turkey
6 083
 
6 893
 
6.33
 
1.46
 
1 541
 
1 708
 
9.87
 
0.85
 
133
 
95
 
17.94
 
-0.35
 
Viet Nam
5 223
 
6 123
 
3.12
 
1.57
 
5 089
 
6 742
 
28.71
 
1.51
 
135
 
189
 
37.89
 
-0.74
 
LEAST DEVELOPED COUNTRIES (LDC)
42 503
 
55 610
 
6.14
 
3.13
 
1 870
 
3 226
 
-0.64
 
2.07
 
3 309
 
2 551
 
11.61
 
2.28
 
OECD 3
466 169
 
504 811
 
1.90
 
0.86
 
53 679
 
57 551
 
1.82
 
0.04
 
51 012
 
53 142
 
-3.04
 
0.69
 
BRICS
346 405
 
397 366
 
5.61
 
1.57
 
4 865
 
7 106
 
14.04
 
8.93
 
31 671
 
38 618
 
8.24
 
1.80
 
..
Not available
Note: Marketing year: See Glossary of Terms for definitions.
Average 2013-15est: Data for 2015 are estimated.
Disclaimer: http://oe.cd/disclaimer
1.
Includes Israel and also transition economies: Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan, Armenia, Azerbaijan and Georgia.
2.
Refers to mainland only. The economies of Chinese Taipei, Hong Kong (China) and Macau (China) are included in the Other Asia Pacific aggregate.
3.
Excludes Iceland but includes all EU28 member countries.
4.
Least-squares growth rate (see glossary).
Source: OECD/FAO (2016), “OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook”,OECD Agriculture statistics(database). doi:dx.doi.org/10.1787/agr-outl-data-en

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