1887

OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2016-2025

image of OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2016-2025

The OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2016-2025 provides an assessment of prospects for the coming decade of the national, regional and global agricultural commodity markets across 41 countries and 12 regions, including OECD countries (European Union as a region) and other key agricultural producers, such as India, China, Brazil, the Russian Federation and Argentina among others. This year's special feature focuses on the prospects and challenges of the agricultural sector in Sub-Saharan Africa. This edition marks the twelfth year of partnership between the two organisations.

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From Chapter: Statistical Annex
.

Table A.5.2 - Maize projections: Consumption, feed, food

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OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2016-2025 - © OECD 2016

‌A.5.2Maize projections: Consumption, feed, food
A.5.2Maize projections: Consumption, feed, food
  Marketing year
‌‌
CONSUMPTION (kt)
Growth (%) 4
FEED (kt)
Growth (%) 4
FOOD (kg/cap)
Growth (%) 4
Average
2013-15est
‌2025‌
‌2006-15‌
‌2016-25‌
Average
2013-15est
‌2025‌
‌2006-15‌
‌2016-25‌
Average
2013-15est
‌2025‌
‌2006-15‌
‌2016-25‌
WORLD
986 696
 
1 143 402
 
3.61
 
1.19
 
555 897
 
682 947
 
2.60
 
1.68
 
18.0
 
19.5
 
0.90
 
0.72
 
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES
444 233
 
492 205
 
2.25
 
0.80
 
239 361
 
282 059
 
0.06
 
1.64
 
13.3
 
13.3
 
-0.08
 
-0.03
 
NORTH AMERICA
311 487
 
348 435
 
2.23
 
0.73
 
139 218
 
175 897
 
-1.42
 
2.22
 
18.2
 
17.5
 
-0.70
 
-0.36
 
Canada
13 052
 
15 721
 
0.69
 
1.40
 
7 830
 
10 141
 
-1.71
 
2.03
 
39.0
 
40.3
 
-2.54
 
0.29
 
United States
298 436
 
332 714
 
2.30
 
0.70
 
131 389
 
165 756
 
-1.40
 
2.23
 
15.9
 
14.9
 
-0.18
 
-0.57
 
EUROPE
102 389
 
110 493
 
2.99
 
0.98
 
80 668
 
84 385
 
3.06
 
0.63
 
8.2
 
8.3
 
0.41
 
0.06
 
European Union
77 060
 
82 036
 
2.59
 
0.82
 
60 300
 
61 473
 
2.82
 
0.29
 
9.8
 
9.8
 
0.21
 
0.00
 
Russia
8 318
 
10 933
 
9.45
 
2.05
 
6 492
 
8 536
 
8.57
 
2.13
 
1.3
 
1.6
 
3.77
 
1.58
 
Ukraine
9 203
 
9 604
 
6.53
 
1.19
 
7 208
 
7 598
 
7.08
 
1.40
 
11.0
 
11.4
 
0.84
 
0.15
 
OCEANIA DEVELOPED
648
 
676
 
1.61
 
1.02
 
428
 
431
 
0.10
 
0.88
 
3.6
 
3.1
 
-1.41
 
-1.15
 
Australia
338
 
367
 
-0.96
 
1.28
 
143
 
148
 
-6.62
 
1.14
 
3.2
 
2.8
 
-1.46
 
-1.36
 
New Zealand
309
 
308
 
5.28
 
0.72
 
285
 
283
 
5.85
 
0.75
 
5.5
 
5.2
 
-0.83
 
-0.38
 
OTHER DEVELOPED 1
29 709
 
32 601
 
0.31
 
0.97
 
19 047
 
21 346
 
-0.02
 
1.27
 
21.8
 
21.8
 
-0.24
 
-0.03
 
Japan
14 923
 
16 002
 
-1.69
 
0.57
 
11 142
 
12 374
 
-1.67
 
1.00
 
7.5
 
6.0
 
-1.30
 
-2.07
 
Kazakhstan
580
 
770
 
5.48
 
1.65
 
161
 
231
 
-6.47
 
1.85
 
0.2
 
0.2
 
121.67
 
-0.19
 
South Africa
11 149
 
12 417
 
2.79
 
1.37
 
5 100
 
5 838
 
3.50
 
1.87
 
88.4
 
89.2
 
-0.38
 
0.08
 
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
542 463
 
651 197
 
4.83
 
1.50
 
316 536
 
400 888
 
4.91
 
1.71
 
19.1
 
20.9
 
1.02
 
0.77
 
AFRICA
74 455
 
97 519
 
4.47
 
2.60
 
23 238
 
28 339
 
5.47
 
2.04
 
37.7
 
40.8
 
0.99
 
0.67
 
NORTH AFRICA
21 072
 
25 329
 
3.04
 
1.65
 
16 267
 
19 342
 
3.84
 
1.55
 
24.3
 
25.8
 
-0.27
 
0.54
 
Algeria
3 855
 
5 075
 
8.04
 
1.90
 
3 615
 
4 808
 
8.70
 
1.95
 
3.6
 
3.6
 
-0.45
 
0.01
 
Egypt
13 600
 
15 971
 
1.92
 
1.57
 
9 433
 
10 694
 
2.50
 
1.32
 
43.2
 
45.2
 
-0.47
 
0.40
 
SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA
53 383
 
72 190
 
5.08
 
2.95
 
6 971
 
8 997
 
10.29
 
3.17
 
40.4
 
43.5
 
1.09
 
0.61
 
Ethiopia
6 077
 
8 652
 
7.08
 
3.52
 
1 017
 
1 261
 
17.33
 
3.39
 
42.9
 
51.0
 
1.87
 
1.57
 
Ghana
1 643
 
2 030
 
4.39
 
2.39
 
250
 
348
 
19.92
 
3.22
 
42.7
 
42.4
 
-0.06
 
0.39
 
Mozambique
2 038
 
2 695
 
4.00
 
2.95
 
170
 
217
 
13.06
 
2.74
 
59.2
 
60.5
 
1.83
 
0.40
 
Nigeria
10 673
 
14 156
 
5.77
 
2.60
 
1 933
 
2 654
 
12.74
 
3.23
 
33.3
 
35.3
 
0.85
 
0.55
 
Tanzania
5 161
 
6 965
 
5.70
 
3.37
 
817
 
885
 
13.12
 
3.63
 
70.4
 
77.3
 
0.75
 
0.45
 
Zambia
2 145
 
3 042
 
8.06
 
3.45
 
250
 
368
 
23.55
 
4.43
 
88.8
 
95.3
 
1.52
 
0.70
 
LATIN AMERICA and CARIBBEAN
132 585
 
165 598
 
4.09
 
1.90
 
87 986
 
114 247
 
5.15
 
2.21
 
53.1
 
53.6
 
0.39
 
0.05
 
Argentina
14 613
 
21 080
 
10.93
 
2.55
 
10 841
 
15 235
 
13.62
 
2.22
 
38.5
 
40.7
 
-0.44
 
-0.11
 
Brazil
53 527
 
70 296
 
5.38
 
2.40
 
43 418
 
58 732
 
6.24
 
2.67
 
23.5
 
24.5
 
0.77
 
0.49
 
Chile
2 318
 
2 552
 
-2.17
 
0.94
 
1 774
 
1 952
 
-2.92
 
0.93
 
16.3
 
16.1
 
-0.48
 
-0.02
 
Colombia
6 115
 
7 218
 
3.04
 
1.81
 
3 999
 
4 913
 
3.76
 
2.35
 
43.2
 
43.3
 
0.67
 
0.02
 
Mexico
34 029
 
38 754
 
1.52
 
0.91
 
15 671
 
18 461
 
1.46
 
0.96
 
140.1
 
138.4
 
0.00
 
-0.17
 
Paraguay
981
 
1 194
 
7.73
 
2.22
 
238
 
282
 
14.43
 
1.83
 
37.4
 
34.0
 
-2.77
 
-0.07
 
Peru
3 767
 
4 938
 
4.40
 
2.61
 
2 895
 
3 943
 
4.75
 
3.10
 
17.9
 
17.4
 
-0.64
 
-0.26
 
Uruguay
409
 
436
 
1.42
 
0.39
 
79
 
68
 
-5.15
 
0.37
 
9.4
 
7.8
 
-6.79
 
-0.02
 
ASIA and PACIFIC
335 422
 
388 080
 
5.22
 
1.08
 
205 313
 
258 302
 
4.75
 
1.45
 
9.1
 
9.7
 
0.89
 
0.53
 
Bangladesh
2 510
 
3 127
 
11.68
 
1.63
 
1 567
 
1 952
 
15.78
 
1.60
 
4.3
 
4.8
 
3.51
 
0.77
 
China 2
215 680
 
245 146
 
5.53
 
0.79
 
133 167
 
170 708
 
4.70
 
1.31
 
7.7
 
8.2
 
1.68
 
0.62
 
India
20 167
 
25 115
 
3.61
 
2.11
 
7 484
 
10 033
 
6.59
 
2.99
 
6.9
 
7.4
 
-0.02
 
0.75
 
Indonesia
22 373
 
27 270
 
6.90
 
1.79
 
7 267
 
9 627
 
6.18
 
2.48
 
28.9
 
31.3
 
0.55
 
0.66
 
Iran
6 276
 
7 565
 
4.36
 
1.80
 
6 051
 
7 317
 
4.50
 
1.84
 
1.0
 
0.9
 
-1.21
 
-0.08
 
Korea
9 990
 
10 257
 
2.02
 
0.35
 
7 887
 
8 045
 
1.89
 
0.29
 
1.9
 
1.9
 
-0.43
 
-0.13
 
Malaysia
3 762
 
4 473
 
5.03
 
1.95
 
3 595
 
4 285
 
5.27
 
1.99
 
1.6
 
1.4
 
-1.59
 
-1.24
 
Pakistan
4 739
 
5 958
 
5.73
 
2.11
 
2 100
 
2 845
 
6.42
 
2.95
 
7.4
 
8.0
 
0.12
 
0.63
 
Philippines
8 011
 
9 311
 
2.74
 
1.36
 
5 450
 
6 040
 
2.12
 
1.04
 
18.1
 
19.4
 
1.44
 
0.62
 
Saudi Arabia
3 113
 
4 197
 
7.39
 
1.41
 
3 097
 
4 181
 
7.44
 
1.42
 
0.2
 
0.2
 
-2.38
 
-1.51
 
Thailand
4 205
 
5 031
 
2.32
 
1.48
 
3 803
 
4 568
 
2.18
 
1.61
 
1.3
 
1.3
 
-0.30
 
-0.19
 
Turkey
7 258
 
8 490
 
6.58
 
1.29
 
5 408
 
6 500
 
7.67
 
1.52
 
16.1
 
16.0
 
1.10
 
-0.12
 
Viet Nam
10 111
 
12 664
 
9.97
 
1.50
 
8 241
 
10 362
 
9.70
 
1.51
 
5.6
 
6.2
 
1.66
 
0.96
 
LEAST DEVELOPED COUNTRIES (LDC)
41 439
 
56 020
 
5.92
 
2.98
 
8 319
 
10 409
 
10.20
 
2.64
 
28.1
 
32.3
 
2.06
 
1.13
 
OECD 3
459 677
 
509 209
 
2.11
 
0.75
 
243 709
 
287 054
 
-0.01
 
1.54
 
24.3
 
24.8
 
0.33
 
0.16
 
BRICS
308 840
 
363 908
 
5.35
 
1.23
 
195 661
 
253 847
 
5.17
 
1.71
 
9.5
 
10.1
 
0.74
 
0.58
 
Note: Marketing year: See Glossary of Terms for definitions.
Average 2013-15est: Data for 2015 are estimated.
Disclaimer: http://oe.cd/disclaimer
1.
Includes Israel and also transition economies: Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan, Armenia, Azerbaijan and Georgia.
2.
Refers to mainland only. The economies of Chinese Taipei, Hong Kong (China) and Macau (China) are included in the Other Asia Pacific aggregate.
3.
Excludes Iceland but includes all EU28 member countries.
4.
Least-squares growth rate (see glossary).
Source: OECD/FAO (2016), “OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook”,OECD Agriculture statistics(database). doi:dx.doi.org/10.1787/agr-outl-data-en

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