OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2016-2025
The OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2016-2025 provides an assessment of prospects for the coming decade of the national, regional and global agricultural commodity markets across 41 countries and 12 regions, including OECD countries (European Union as a region) and other key agricultural producers, such as India, China, Brazil, the Russian Federation and Argentina among others. This year's special feature focuses on the prospects and challenges of the agricultural sector in Sub-Saharan Africa. This edition marks the twelfth year of partnership between the two organisations.
OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2016-2025 - © OECD 2016
A.13 | Main policy assumptions for oilseed markets | ||||||||||||
A.13 | Main policy assumptions for oilseed markets | ||||||||||||
Marketing year | |||||||||||||
| | | Average 2013-15est | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
| ARGENTINA | ||||||||||||
| Export tax | ||||||||||||
| Soybean | % | 33.5 | 30.0 | 25.0 | 20.0 | 15.0 | 10.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Other oilseeds | % | 33.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Soybean meal | % | 31.0 | 27.0 | 22.0 | 17.0 | 12.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Soybean oil | % | 31.0 | 27.0 | 22.0 | 17.0 | 12.0 | 7.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| AUSTRALIA | ||||||||||||
| Tariffs | ||||||||||||
| Soybean oil | % | 8.0 | 8.0 | 8.0 | 8.0 | 8.0 | 8.0 | 8.0 | 8.0 | 8.0 | 8.0 | 8.0 |
| Rapeseed oil | % | 8.0 | 8.0 | 8.0 | 8.0 | 8.0 | 8.0 | 8.0 | 8.0 | 8.0 | 8.0 | 8.0 |
| CANADA | ||||||||||||
| Tariffs | ||||||||||||
| Rapeseed oil | % | 6.4 | 6.4 | 6.4 | 6.4 | 6.4 | 6.4 | 6.4 | 6.4 | 6.4 | 6.4 | 6.4 |
| EUROPEAN UNION 1 | ||||||||||||
| Voluntary coupled support | ||||||||||||
| Oilseeds | mln EUR | 83 | 84 | 86 | 87 | 88 | 89 | 89 | 89 | 89 | 89 | 89 |
| Tariffs | ||||||||||||
| Soybean oil | % | 6.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 |
| Rapeseed oil | % | 6.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 6.0 |
| JAPAN | ||||||||||||
| New output payments | ||||||||||||
| Soybean | JPY/kg | 193.3 | 197.2 | 197.2 | 197.2 | 197.2 | 197.2 | 197.2 | 197.2 | 197.2 | 197.2 | 197.2 |
| Tariffs | ||||||||||||
| Soybean oil | JPY/kg | 10.9 | 10.9 | 10.9 | 10.9 | 10.9 | 10.9 | 10.9 | 10.9 | 10.9 | 10.9 | 10.9 |
| Rapeseed oil | JPY/kg | 10.9 | 10.9 | 10.9 | 10.9 | 10.9 | 10.9 | 10.9 | 10.9 | 10.9 | 10.9 | 10.9 |
| KOREA | ||||||||||||
| Soybean tariff-quota | kt | 1 032 | 1 032 | 1 032 | 1 032 | 1 032 | 1 032 | 1 032 | 1 032 | 1 032 | 1 032 | 1 032 |
| In-quota tariff | % | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| Out-of-quota tariff | % | 487 | 487 | 487 | 487 | 487 | 487 | 487 | 487 | 487 | 487 | 487 |
| Soybean (for food) mark up | '000 KRW/t | 131 | 131 | 131 | 131 | 131 | 131 | 131 | 131 | 131 | 131 | 131 |
| MEXICO | ||||||||||||
| Tariffs | ||||||||||||
| Soybean | % | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 33 |
| Soybean meal | % | 23.8 | 23.8 | 23.8 | 23.8 | 23.8 | 23.8 | 23.8 | 23.8 | 23.8 | 23.8 | 23.8 |
| Soybean oil | % | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 | 45 |
| UNITED STATES | ||||||||||||
| ARC participation rate | ||||||||||||
| Soybean | % | 40.0 | 60.0 | 60.0 | 60.0 | 60.0 | 60.0 | 60.0 | 60.0 | 60.0 | 60.0 | 60.0 |
| Soybean loan rate | USD/t | 183.7 | 183.7 | 183.7 | 183.7 | 183.7 | 183.7 | 183.7 | 183.7 | 183.7 | 183.7 | 183.7 |
| Tariffs | ||||||||||||
| Rapeseed | % | 3.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 |
| Soybean meal | % | 2.2 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 2.2 |
| Rapeseed meal | % | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Soybean oil | % | 12.7 | 12.7 | 12.7 | 12.7 | 12.7 | 12.7 | 12.7 | 12.7 | 12.7 | 12.7 | 12.7 |
| Rapeseed oil | % | 3.2 | 3.2 | 3.2 | 3.2 | 3.2 | 3.2 | 3.2 | 3.2 | 3.2 | 3.2 | 3.2 |
| CHINA | ||||||||||||
| Tariffs | ||||||||||||
| Soybean | % | 2.4 | 2.4 | 2.4 | 2.4 | 2.4 | 2.4 | 2.4 | 2.4 | 2.4 | 2.4 | 2.4 |
| Soybean meal | % | 6.3 | 6.3 | 6.3 | 6.3 | 6.3 | 6.3 | 6.3 | 6.3 | 6.3 | 6.3 | 6.3 |
| Soybean oil in-quota tariff | % | 9.0 | 9.0 | 9.0 | 9.0 | 9.0 | 9.0 | 9.0 | 9.0 | 9.0 | 9.0 | 9.0 |
| Vegetable oil tariff-quota | kt | 7 998.1 | 7 998.1 | 7 998.1 | 7 998.1 | 7 998.1 | 7 998.1 | 7 998.1 | 7 998.1 | 7 998.1 | 7 998.1 | 7 998.1 |
| INDIA | ||||||||||||
| Soybean tariff | % | 30.0 | 30.0 | 30.0 | 30.0 | 30.0 | 30.0 | 30.0 | 30.0 | 30.0 | 30.0 | 30.0 |
| Rapeseed tariff | % | 50.0 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| Soybean meal tariff | % | 15.5 | 15.5 | 15.5 | 15.5 | 15.5 | 15.5 | 15.5 | 15.5 | 15.5 | 15.5 | 15.5 |
| Soybean oil tariff | % | 2.8 | 2.8 | 2.8 | 2.8 | 2.8 | 2.8 | 2.8 | 2.8 | 2.8 | 2.8 | 2.8 |
Note: Marketing year: See Glossary of Terms for definitions. Average 2013-15est: Data for 2015 are estimated. The sources for tariffs and Tariff Rate Quotas are the national questionnaire reply, UNCTAD and WTO. | |||||||||||||
Disclaimer: http://oe.cd/disclaimer | |||||||||||||
Till 2014, EU farmers can be granted the Single payment scheme (SPS) or the Single area payment scheme (SAPS), which provides flat-rate payments independent from current production decisions and market developments. From 2015, it becomes the Basic payment scheme (BPS) and it accounts for 68% maximum of the national direct payment envelopes. On top of this, from 2015 onwards, new compulsory policy instruments are introduced: the Green Payment (30%) and young farmer scheme (2%). | |||||||||||||
Source: OECD/FAO (2016), “OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook”,OECD Agriculture statistics(database). doi:dx.doi.org/10.1787/agr-outl-data-en |