1887

OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2015

image of OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2015

This edition of the Agricultural Outlook – the twenty-first OECD edition and the eleventh prepared jointly with the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO) – provides projections to 2024 for major agricultural commodities, biofuels and fish. The 2015 report provides a special focus on prospects and challenges for Brazilian agriculture.

The market projections not only cover OECD member countries (European Union as a region) but also FAO member countries, notably Brazil, the Russian Federation, India, People's Republic of China and South Africa.

English French, Spanish, Chinese

From Chapter: Commodity snapshots
.

OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2015 - © OECD 2015

‌3.A1.7World fish and seafood projections
3.A1.7World fish and seafood projections
  Calendar year
‌‌
‌‌
Average
2012-14est
‌2015‌
‌2016‌
‌2017‌
‌2018‌
‌2019‌
‌2020‌
‌2021‌
‌2022‌
‌2023‌
‌2024‌
FISH
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
World
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Production
kt
161 180
 
168 792
 
169 486
 
174 471
 
177 582
 
180 775
 
182 833
 
182 831
 
186 256
 
189 130
 
191 348
 
of which aquaculture
kt
69 942
 
76 945
 
79 113
 
82 124
 
84 843
 
87 544
 
89 352
 
90 869
 
92 648
 
94 618
 
96 395
 
Consumption
kt
160 982
 
168 779
 
169 473
 
174 458
 
177 569
 
180 762
 
182 820
 
182 818
 
186 243
 
189 117
 
191 335
 
of which for food
kt
140 807
 
149 520
 
151 142
 
155 028
 
158 031
 
161 124
 
163 298
 
164 577
 
167 327
 
169 905
 
172 199
 
of which for reduction
kt
14 998
 
14 774
 
13 911
 
15 075
 
15 248
 
15 413
 
15 362
 
14 147
 
14 886
 
15 247
 
15 236
 
Price
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Aquaculture 1
USD/t
2 132.1
 
2 183.9
 
2 187.2
 
2 075.6
 
2 015.4
 
2 007.4
 
2 041.0
 
2 158.4
 
2 174.5
 
2 188.3
 
2 215.3
 
Capture 2
USD/t
1 525.2
 
1 528.7
 
1 564.4
 
1 535.5
 
1 521.2
 
1 537.2
 
1 566.2
 
1 621.5
 
1 644.4
 
1 666.9
 
1 693.5
 
Product traded 3
USD/t
2 913.9
 
2 983.5
 
2 992.1
 
2 843.3
 
2 760.9
 
2 749.9
 
2 795.9
 
2 956.7
 
2 978.7
 
2 997.6
 
3 034.6
 
Developed countries
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Production
kt
28 472
 
28 780
 
28 884
 
29 095
 
29 202
 
29 367
 
29 492
 
29 552
 
29 641
 
29 729
 
29 821
 
of which aquaculture
kt
4 310
 
4 439
 
4 574
 
4 762
 
4 968
 
5 175
 
5 333
 
5 440
 
5 560
 
5 659
 
5 762
 
Consumption
kt
36 665
 
36 921
 
36 372
 
36 770
 
36 855
 
37 010
 
37 093
 
37 073
 
37 247
 
37 519
 
37 696
 
of which for food
kt
31 634
 
32 231
 
31 692
 
32 140
 
32 276
 
32 494
 
32 636
 
32 635
 
32 894
 
33 203
 
33 417
 
of which for reduction
kt
4 221
 
4 073
 
4 062
 
4 013
 
3 960
 
3 898
 
3 839
 
3 820
 
3 735
 
3 698
 
3 660
 
Developing countries
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Production
kt
132 707
 
140 012
 
140 601
 
145 376
 
148 380
 
151 408
 
153 341
 
153 279
 
156 615
 
159 401
 
161 527
 
of which aquaculture
kt
65 632
 
72 505
 
74 540
 
77 362
 
79 875
 
82 369
 
84 019
 
85 429
 
87 088
 
88 958
 
90 632
 
Consumption
kt
124 317
 
131 858
 
133 101
 
137 688
 
140 715
 
143 753
 
145 728
 
145 745
 
148 996
 
151 599
 
153 639
 
of which for food
kt
109 173
 
117 290
 
119 450
 
122 888
 
125 755
 
128 630
 
130 662
 
131 942
 
134 433
 
136 702
 
138 782
 
of which for reduction
kt
10 777
 
10 701
 
9 849
 
11 062
 
11 288
 
11 515
 
11 524
 
10 326
 
11 151
 
11 550
 
11 576
 
OECD
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Production
kt
30 829
 
31 302
 
31 144
 
31 571
 
31 771
 
32 061
 
32 277
 
32 183
 
32 526
 
32 642
 
32 766
 
of which aquaculture
kt
5 962
 
6 184
 
6 385
 
6 644
 
6 906
 
7 196
 
7 434
 
7 615
 
7 766
 
7 918
 
8 061
 
Consumption
kt
38 509
 
39 057
 
38 492
 
38 993
 
39 167
 
39 432
 
39 613
 
39 571
 
39 950
 
40 321
 
40 596
 
of which for food
kt
31 656
 
32 568
 
32 185
 
32 702
 
32 909
 
33 210
 
33 446
 
33 529
 
33 905
 
34 329
 
34 655
 
of which for reduction
kt
6 097
 
5 961
 
5 779
 
5 763
 
5 729
 
5 695
 
5 639
 
5 514
 
5 516
 
5 464
 
5 413
 
FISHMEAL
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
World
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Production
kt
4 666.3
 
4 701.3
 
4 518.7
 
4 840.2
 
4 913.2
 
4 986.3
 
5 009.3
 
4 728.6
 
4 950.5
 
5 072.2
 
5 100.4
 
from whole fish
kt
3 446.2
 
3 433.0
 
3 239.1
 
3 535.8
 
3 592.0
 
3 646.3
 
3 647.7
 
3 359.1
 
3 556.9
 
3 661.9
 
3 673.0
 
Consumption
kt
4 872.8
 
4 782.4
 
4 573.8
 
4 600.9
 
4 863.0
 
4 936.0
 
5 067.8
 
4 971.4
 
4 693.7
 
5 045.9
 
5 074.1
 
Variation in stocks
kt
-206.5
 
-81.1
 
-55.1
 
239.3
 
50.2
 
50.3
 
-58.6
 
-242.8
 
256.8
 
26.4
 
26.3
 
Price 4
USD/t
1 674.3
 
1 574.5
 
1 547.9
 
1 296.7
 
1 323.1
 
1 370.7
 
1 387.1
 
1 565.4
 
1 459.2
 
1 487.5
 
1 520.3
 
Developed countries
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Production
kt
1 316.5
 
1 377.3
 
1 394.5
 
1 397.0
 
1 395.9
 
1 398.2
 
1 398.7
 
1 405.2
 
1 399.0
 
1 402.7
 
1 406.5
 
from whole fish
kt
977.3
 
978.0
 
979.3
 
971.5
 
962.5
 
951.0
 
940.1
 
939.3
 
921.9
 
916.2
 
910.3
 
Consumption
kt
1 689.2
 
1 502.1
 
1 411.8
 
1 422.3
 
1 474.6
 
1 453.7
 
1 457.7
 
1 385.6
 
1 288.0
 
1 377.8
 
1 381.1
 
Variation in stocks
kt
11.7
 
-42.4
 
-6.1
 
24.3
 
0.2
 
0.3
 
-28.6
 
19.2
 
14.8
 
1.4
 
1.3
 
Developing countries
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Production
kt
3 349.8
 
3 324.0
 
3 124.2
 
3 443.2
 
3 517.3
 
3 588.1
 
3 610.6
 
3 323.5
 
3 551.5
 
3 669.5
 
3 693.9
 
from whole fish
kt
2 469.0
 
2 455.0
 
2 259.9
 
2 564.3
 
2 629.4
 
2 695.3
 
2 707.5
 
2 419.8
 
2 635.1
 
2 745.7
 
2 762.7
 
Consumption
kt
3 183.6
 
3 280.3
 
3 162.0
 
3 178.6
 
3 388.5
 
3 482.3
 
3 610.1
 
3 585.8
 
3 405.7
 
3 668.0
 
3 693.0
 
Variation in stocks
kt
-218.2
 
-38.7
 
-49.0
 
215.0
 
50.0
 
50.0
 
-30.0
 
-262.0
 
242.0
 
25.0
 
25.0
 
OECD
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Production
kt
1 684.8
 
1 760.4
 
1 737.0
 
1 745.8
 
1 748.7
 
1 757.2
 
1 758.0
 
1 739.8
 
1 754.0
 
1 754.4
 
1 755.1
 
from whole fish
kt
1 327.1
 
1 351.9
 
1 312.6
 
1 311.0
 
1 306.1
 
1 300.8
 
1 290.2
 
1 264.7
 
1 267.7
 
1 258.6
 
1 249.8
 
Consumption
kt
1 913.6
 
1 735.2
 
1 628.8
 
1 662.7
 
1 728.8
 
1 720.4
 
1 736.7
 
1 650.6
 
1 542.2
 
1 660.9
 
1 672.6
 
Variation in stocks
kt
-30.1
 
-53.1
 
-18.1
 
34.3
 
0.2
 
0.3
 
-28.6
 
8.2
 
25.8
 
1.4
 
1.3
 
FISH OIL
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
World
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Production
kt
951.7
 
1 021.3
 
974.2
 
1 036.3
 
1 048.3
 
1 063.2
 
1 065.3
 
1 006.7
 
1 049.0
 
1 071.1
 
1 074.3
 
from whole fish
kt
575.3
 
600.4
 
552.3
 
610.5
 
618.4
 
625.9
 
622.5
 
559.7
 
597.2
 
614.4
 
612.7
 
Consumption
kt
996.3
 
1 039.9
 
1 029.9
 
942.0
 
1 049.2
 
1 064.0
 
1 066.0
 
1 102.5
 
954.2
 
1 071.6
 
1 074.8
 
Variation in stocks
kt
-44.6
 
-18.7
 
-55.6
 
94.3
 
-0.9
 
-0.8
 
-0.7
 
-95.8
 
94.8
 
-0.5
 
-0.5
 
Price 5
USD/t
1 951.3
 
1 731.1
 
1 661.1
 
1 571.5
 
1 575.9
 
1 608.8
 
1 639.0
 
1 823.1
 
1 700.1
 
1 727.0
 
1 754.5
 
Developed countries
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Production
kt
418.7
 
460.0
 
459.0
 
458.9
 
461.0
 
465.8
 
468.4
 
471.6
 
472.1
 
474.9
 
477.8
 
from whole fish
kt
173.8
 
181.1
 
179.3
 
175.6
 
173.7
 
171.4
 
168.8
 
168.1
 
164.1
 
162.3
 
160.5
 
Consumption
kt
596.4
 
661.9
 
654.5
 
565.6
 
630.6
 
631.1
 
624.6
 
660.2
 
535.1
 
604.5
 
599.5
 
Variation in stocks
kt
11.1
 
-9.7
 
-23.6
 
22.3
 
-0.9
 
-0.8
 
-0.7
 
-23.8
 
22.8
 
-0.5
 
-0.5
 
Developing countries
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Production
kt
533.0
 
561.3
 
515.3
 
577.4
 
587.4
 
597.5
 
596.9
 
535.1
 
576.9
 
596.1
 
596.5
 
from whole fish
kt
401.5
 
419.3
 
373.0
 
434.9
 
444.7
 
454.5
 
453.6
 
391.6
 
433.2
 
452.1
 
452.2
 
Consumption
kt
399.9
 
378.0
 
375.3
 
376.4
 
418.6
 
432.9
 
441.3
 
442.4
 
419.1
 
467.1
 
475.2
 
Variation in stocks
kt
-55.7
 
-9.0
 
-32.0
 
72.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
-72.0
 
72.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
OECD
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Production
kt
554.7
 
614.9
 
606.1
 
608.6
 
610.4
 
615.3
 
617.4
 
614.9
 
619.5
 
621.4
 
623.4
 
from whole fish
kt
268.7
 
286.4
 
276.5
 
275.3
 
273.0
 
270.6
 
267.2
 
260.5
 
260.4
 
257.5
 
254.7
 
Consumption
kt
747.4
 
806.1
 
792.4
 
702.0
 
783.4
 
786.6
 
781.0
 
810.3
 
674.8
 
760.1
 
753.8
 
Variation in stocks
kt
10.7
 
-23.5
 
-30.6
 
29.3
 
-0.9
 
-0.8
 
-0.7
 
-30.8
 
29.8
 
-0.5
 
-0.5
 
Note: The term “fish” indicates fish, crustaceans, molluscs and other aquatic animals, but excludes aquatic mammals, crocodiles, caimans, alligators and aquatic plants.
Average 2012-14est: Data for 2014 are estimated.
Disclaimer: http://oe.cd/disclaimer
1.
World unit value of aquaculture fisheries production (live weight basis).
2.
FAO estimated value of world ex vessel value of capture fisheries production excluding for reduction.
3.
World unit value of trade (sum of exports and imports).
4.
Fishmeal, 64-65% protein, Hamburg, Germany.
5.
Fish oil, any origin, N.W. Europe.
Source: OECD/FAO (2015), “OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook”,OECD Agriculture statistics(database). doi:dx.doi.org/10.1787/agr-outl-data-en

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