1887

OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2015

image of OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2015

This edition of the Agricultural Outlook – the twenty-first OECD edition and the eleventh prepared jointly with the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO) – provides projections to 2024 for major agricultural commodities, biofuels and fish. The 2015 report provides a special focus on prospects and challenges for Brazilian agriculture.

The market projections not only cover OECD member countries (European Union as a region) but also FAO member countries, notably Brazil, the Russian Federation, India, People's Republic of China and South Africa.

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From Chapter: Statistical Annex
.

Table A.4.1 - Wheat projections: Production and trade

English French

OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2015 - © OECD 2015

‌A.4.1Wheat projections: Production and trade
A.4.1Wheat projections: Production and trade
  Marketing year
‌‌
‌PRODUCTION (kt)‌
Growth (%) 4
IMPORTS (kt)
Growth (%) 4
EXPORTS (kt)
Growth (%) 4
Average
2012-14est
‌2024‌
‌2005-14‌
‌2015-24‌
Average
2012-14est
‌2024‌
‌2005-14‌
‌2015-24‌
Average
2012-14est
‌2024‌
‌2005-14‌
‌2015-24‌
WORLD
700 372
 
786 699
 
1.81
 
1.00
 
145 666
 
164 576
 
3.94
 
1.06
 
147 691
 
164 576
 
3.88
 
1.06
 
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES
362 397
 
395 577
 
1.49
 
0.87
 
27 339
 
28 384
 
2.20
 
-0.31
 
126 512
 
138 949
 
4.25
 
1.14
 
NORTH AMERICA
89 517
 
92 785
 
1.22
 
0.50
 
4 340
 
3 990
 
5.81
 
-1.82
 
49 480
 
50 429
 
1.34
 
0.49
 
Canada
31 339
 
33 430
 
3.03
 
0.75
 
58
 
50
 
12.04
 
0.00
 
21 239
 
22 389
 
3.04
 
0.50
 
United States
58 179
 
59 355
 
0.34
 
0.36
 
4 282
 
3 940
 
5.73
 
-1.84
 
28 241
 
28 041
 
0.24
 
0.49
 
EUROPE
221 233
 
244 578
 
1.38
 
1.01
 
7 053
 
5 291
 
-3.11
 
-3.43
 
51 259
 
60 692
 
7.17
 
1.45
 
European Union
144 224
 
150 882
 
1.38
 
0.65
 
4 755
 
3 232
 
-3.19
 
-3.37
 
26 331
 
26 640
 
7.99
 
0.35
 
Russian Federation
49 607
 
62 460
 
0.51
 
1.84
 
331
 
23
 
-14.24
 
-28.51
 
14 964
 
23 246
 
4.14
 
2.64
 
Ukraine
20 271
 
23 791
 
3.13
 
1.28
 
7
 
10
 
-31.12
 
-0.16
 
8 976
 
9 710
 
10.78
 
1.99
 
OCEANIA DEVELOPED
24 781
 
26 918
 
5.87
 
0.56
 
513
 
650
 
6.40
 
1.91
 
18 084
 
19 835
 
7.72
 
1.99
 
Australia
24 362
 
26 450
 
5.94
 
0.55
 
19
 
20
 
19.70
 
0.00
 
18 084
 
19 834
 
7.72
 
1.99
 
New Zealand
419
 
468
 
3.40
 
1.11
 
494
 
630
 
6.13
 
1.98
 
0
 
0
 
-4.61
 
0.00
 
OTHER DEVELOPED 1
26 865
 
31 296
 
0.10
 
1.22
 
15 433
 
18 452
 
4.43
 
1.14
 
7 689
 
7 993
 
3.08
 
1.10
 
Japan
840
 
941
 
-0.86
 
1.03
 
5 979
 
5 768
 
1.57
 
-0.25
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
South Africa
1 853
 
1 765
 
-1.16
 
0.63
 
1 550
 
1 761
 
6.49
 
0.82
 
217
 
57
 
1.29
 
7.77
 
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
337 975
 
391 123
 
2.19
 
1.12
 
118 328
 
136 192
 
4.39
 
1.38
 
21 179
 
25 627
 
2.08
 
0.67
 
AFRICA
23 483
 
28 533
 
2.84
 
1.58
 
38 789
 
48 608
 
3.45
 
1.90
 
886
 
412
 
-2.82
 
-5.94
 
NORTH AFRICA
18 706
 
22 230
 
2.65
 
1.41
 
24 002
 
27 894
 
4.07
 
1.16
 
190
 
151
 
-7.65
 
-0.71
 
Algeria
2 900
 
3 586
 
2.60
 
2.13
 
6 950
 
7 463
 
3.95
 
0.53
 
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
-0.04
 
Egypt
8 799
 
10 621
 
1.21
 
1.37
 
9 767
 
11 899
 
4.09
 
1.48
 
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
-5.85
 
SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA
4 777
 
6 303
 
3.68
 
2.18
 
14 787
 
20 714
 
2.54
 
3.00
 
696
 
262
 
-0.97
 
-8.01
 
LATIN AMERICA and CARIBBEAN
23 438
 
34 714
 
0.23
 
2.01
 
21 846
 
22 572
 
1.71
 
0.62
 
8 990
 
17 097
 
-0.49
 
3.03
 
Argentina
9 737
 
16 867
 
-3.32
 
2.29
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
5 137
 
11 176
 
-4.68
 
3.31
 
Brazil
6 002
 
7 759
 
6.85
 
2.16
 
6 707
 
6 578
 
1.69
 
0.03
 
1 434
 
2 809
 
62.21
 
2.60
 
Chile
1 349
 
1 509
 
-0.58
 
0.65
 
955
 
1 055
 
8.12
 
0.95
 
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
-0.07
 
Mexico
3 489
 
4 800
 
0.70
 
2.00
 
4 137
 
3 453
 
2.43
 
-0.07
 
652
 
911
 
2.04
 
5.90
 
Uruguay
1 372
 
2 034
 
13.11
 
1.69
 
35
 
26
 
9.15
 
-2.15
 
1 000
 
1 356
 
36.95
 
2.33
 
ASIA and PACIFIC
291 054
 
327 876
 
2.31
 
0.99
 
57 693
 
65 011
 
6.35
 
1.27
 
11 303
 
8 118
 
4.95
 
-2.60
 
Bangladesh
1 288
 
1 445
 
6.22
 
0.66
 
2 517
 
2 980
 
3.68
 
0.73
 
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
1.72
 
China 2
122 690
 
130 852
 
2.28
 
0.38
 
4 422
 
3 579
 
42.58
 
4.02
 
342
 
330
 
-17.24
 
0.66
 
India
94 767
 
110 178
 
4.04
 
1.42
 
12
 
9
 
-41.32
 
0.91
 
5 609
 
2 134
 
107.50
 
-6.15
 
Indonesia
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
1.30
 
7 165
 
8 875
 
6.15
 
1.37
 
95
 
127
 
20.92
 
-1.36
 
Iran, Islamic Republic of
13 600
 
14 340
 
-0.21
 
0.81
 
5 446
 
5 976
 
20.91
 
1.78
 
300
 
501
 
22.94
 
-0.74
 
Korea
31
 
43
 
23.83
 
2.65
 
4 446
 
3 972
 
3.77
 
-0.59
 
50
 
53
 
-6.46
 
0.55
 
Malaysia
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
0.57
 
1 377
 
1 643
 
3.16
 
1.23
 
107
 
128
 
5.94
 
-1.22
 
Pakistan
24 323
 
30 571
 
1.76
 
1.84
 
483
 
788
 
-6.12
 
2.95
 
650
 
547
 
3.46
 
-4.30
 
Saudi Arabia
627
 
799
 
-18.11
 
2.45
 
2 967
 
3 549
 
67.19
 
1.08
 
0
 
0
 
-43.52
 
-0.08
 
Turkey
20 383
 
23 234
 
0.55
 
1.15
 
4 437
 
3 793
 
35.89
 
-1.31
 
2 871
 
3 428
 
3.38
 
1.33
 
LEAST DEVELOPED COUNTRIES (LDC)
12 870
 
15 758
 
4.03
 
1.75
 
15 862
 
21 433
 
3.37
 
2.66
 
138
 
58
 
-9.30
 
-3.37
 
OECD 3
285 680
 
302 199
 
1.55
 
0.65
 
32 163
 
29 019
 
3.27
 
-0.84
 
97 535
 
101 397
 
3.87
 
0.79
 
BRICS
274 917
 
313 014
 
2.56
 
1.06
 
13 021
 
11 950
 
3.16
 
0.55
 
22 566
 
28 576
 
7.55
 
1.44
 
..
Not available
Note: Marketing year: See Glossary of Terms for definitions.
Average 2012-14est: Data for 2014 are estimated.
Disclaimer: http://oe.cd/disclaimer
1.
Includes Israel and also transition economies: Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan, Armenia, Azerbaijan and Georgia.
2.
Refers to mainland only. The economies of Chinese Taipei, Hong Kong (China) and Macau (China) are included in the Other Asia Pacific aggregate.
3.
Excludes Iceland but includes all EU28 member countries.
4.
Least-squares growth rate (see glossary).
Source: OECD/FAO (2015), “OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook”,OECD Agriculture statistics(database). doi:dx.doi.org/10.1787/agr-outl-data-en

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