OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2015
This edition of the Agricultural Outlook – the twenty-first OECD edition and the eleventh prepared jointly with the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO) – provides projections to 2024 for major agricultural commodities, biofuels and fish. The 2015 report provides a special focus on prospects and challenges for Brazilian agriculture.
The market projections not only cover OECD member countries (European Union as a region) but also FAO member countries, notably Brazil, the Russian Federation, India, People's Republic of China and South Africa.
From Chapter:
Statistical Annex
OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2015 - © OECD 2015
| A.4.1 | Wheat projections: Production and trade | ||||||||||||
| A.4.1 | Wheat projections: Production and trade | ||||||||||||
| Marketing year | |||||||||||||
| | | PRODUCTION (kt) | Growth (%) 4 | IMPORTS (kt) | Growth (%) 4 | EXPORTS (kt) | Growth (%) 4 | ||||||
Average 2012-14est | 2024 | 2005-14 | 2015-24 | Average 2012-14est | 2024 | 2005-14 | 2015-24 | Average 2012-14est | 2024 | 2005-14 | 2015-24 | ||
| | WORLD | 700 372 | 786 699 | 1.81 | 1.00 | 145 666 | 164 576 | 3.94 | 1.06 | 147 691 | 164 576 | 3.88 | 1.06 |
| | DEVELOPED COUNTRIES | 362 397 | 395 577 | 1.49 | 0.87 | 27 339 | 28 384 | 2.20 | -0.31 | 126 512 | 138 949 | 4.25 | 1.14 |
| | NORTH AMERICA | 89 517 | 92 785 | 1.22 | 0.50 | 4 340 | 3 990 | 5.81 | -1.82 | 49 480 | 50 429 | 1.34 | 0.49 |
| | Canada | 31 339 | 33 430 | 3.03 | 0.75 | 58 | 50 | 12.04 | 0.00 | 21 239 | 22 389 | 3.04 | 0.50 |
| | United States | 58 179 | 59 355 | 0.34 | 0.36 | 4 282 | 3 940 | 5.73 | -1.84 | 28 241 | 28 041 | 0.24 | 0.49 |
| | EUROPE | 221 233 | 244 578 | 1.38 | 1.01 | 7 053 | 5 291 | -3.11 | -3.43 | 51 259 | 60 692 | 7.17 | 1.45 |
| | European Union | 144 224 | 150 882 | 1.38 | 0.65 | 4 755 | 3 232 | -3.19 | -3.37 | 26 331 | 26 640 | 7.99 | 0.35 |
| | Russian Federation | 49 607 | 62 460 | 0.51 | 1.84 | 331 | 23 | -14.24 | -28.51 | 14 964 | 23 246 | 4.14 | 2.64 |
| | Ukraine | 20 271 | 23 791 | 3.13 | 1.28 | 7 | 10 | -31.12 | -0.16 | 8 976 | 9 710 | 10.78 | 1.99 |
| | OCEANIA DEVELOPED | 24 781 | 26 918 | 5.87 | 0.56 | 513 | 650 | 6.40 | 1.91 | 18 084 | 19 835 | 7.72 | 1.99 |
| | Australia | 24 362 | 26 450 | 5.94 | 0.55 | 19 | 20 | 19.70 | 0.00 | 18 084 | 19 834 | 7.72 | 1.99 |
| | New Zealand | 419 | 468 | 3.40 | 1.11 | 494 | 630 | 6.13 | 1.98 | 0 | 0 | -4.61 | 0.00 |
| | OTHER DEVELOPED 1 | 26 865 | 31 296 | 0.10 | 1.22 | 15 433 | 18 452 | 4.43 | 1.14 | 7 689 | 7 993 | 3.08 | 1.10 |
| | Japan | 840 | 941 | -0.86 | 1.03 | 5 979 | 5 768 | 1.57 | -0.25 | 0 | 0 | .. | .. |
| | South Africa | 1 853 | 1 765 | -1.16 | 0.63 | 1 550 | 1 761 | 6.49 | 0.82 | 217 | 57 | 1.29 | 7.77 |
| | DEVELOPING COUNTRIES | 337 975 | 391 123 | 2.19 | 1.12 | 118 328 | 136 192 | 4.39 | 1.38 | 21 179 | 25 627 | 2.08 | 0.67 |
| | AFRICA | 23 483 | 28 533 | 2.84 | 1.58 | 38 789 | 48 608 | 3.45 | 1.90 | 886 | 412 | -2.82 | -5.94 |
| | NORTH AFRICA | 18 706 | 22 230 | 2.65 | 1.41 | 24 002 | 27 894 | 4.07 | 1.16 | 190 | 151 | -7.65 | -0.71 |
| | Algeria | 2 900 | 3 586 | 2.60 | 2.13 | 6 950 | 7 463 | 3.95 | 0.53 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.04 |
| | Egypt | 8 799 | 10 621 | 1.21 | 1.37 | 9 767 | 11 899 | 4.09 | 1.48 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -5.85 |
| | SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA | 4 777 | 6 303 | 3.68 | 2.18 | 14 787 | 20 714 | 2.54 | 3.00 | 696 | 262 | -0.97 | -8.01 |
| | LATIN AMERICA and CARIBBEAN | 23 438 | 34 714 | 0.23 | 2.01 | 21 846 | 22 572 | 1.71 | 0.62 | 8 990 | 17 097 | -0.49 | 3.03 |
| | Argentina | 9 737 | 16 867 | -3.32 | 2.29 | 0 | 0 | .. | .. | 5 137 | 11 176 | -4.68 | 3.31 |
| | Brazil | 6 002 | 7 759 | 6.85 | 2.16 | 6 707 | 6 578 | 1.69 | 0.03 | 1 434 | 2 809 | 62.21 | 2.60 |
| | Chile | 1 349 | 1 509 | -0.58 | 0.65 | 955 | 1 055 | 8.12 | 0.95 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.07 |
| | Mexico | 3 489 | 4 800 | 0.70 | 2.00 | 4 137 | 3 453 | 2.43 | -0.07 | 652 | 911 | 2.04 | 5.90 |
| | Uruguay | 1 372 | 2 034 | 13.11 | 1.69 | 35 | 26 | 9.15 | -2.15 | 1 000 | 1 356 | 36.95 | 2.33 |
| | ASIA and PACIFIC | 291 054 | 327 876 | 2.31 | 0.99 | 57 693 | 65 011 | 6.35 | 1.27 | 11 303 | 8 118 | 4.95 | -2.60 |
| | Bangladesh | 1 288 | 1 445 | 6.22 | 0.66 | 2 517 | 2 980 | 3.68 | 0.73 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1.72 |
| | China 2 | 122 690 | 130 852 | 2.28 | 0.38 | 4 422 | 3 579 | 42.58 | 4.02 | 342 | 330 | -17.24 | 0.66 |
| | India | 94 767 | 110 178 | 4.04 | 1.42 | 12 | 9 | -41.32 | 0.91 | 5 609 | 2 134 | 107.50 | -6.15 |
| | Indonesia | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1.30 | 7 165 | 8 875 | 6.15 | 1.37 | 95 | 127 | 20.92 | -1.36 |
| | Iran, Islamic Republic of | 13 600 | 14 340 | -0.21 | 0.81 | 5 446 | 5 976 | 20.91 | 1.78 | 300 | 501 | 22.94 | -0.74 |
| | Korea | 31 | 43 | 23.83 | 2.65 | 4 446 | 3 972 | 3.77 | -0.59 | 50 | 53 | -6.46 | 0.55 |
| | Malaysia | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.57 | 1 377 | 1 643 | 3.16 | 1.23 | 107 | 128 | 5.94 | -1.22 |
| | Pakistan | 24 323 | 30 571 | 1.76 | 1.84 | 483 | 788 | -6.12 | 2.95 | 650 | 547 | 3.46 | -4.30 |
| | Saudi Arabia | 627 | 799 | -18.11 | 2.45 | 2 967 | 3 549 | 67.19 | 1.08 | 0 | 0 | -43.52 | -0.08 |
| | Turkey | 20 383 | 23 234 | 0.55 | 1.15 | 4 437 | 3 793 | 35.89 | -1.31 | 2 871 | 3 428 | 3.38 | 1.33 |
| | LEAST DEVELOPED COUNTRIES (LDC) | 12 870 | 15 758 | 4.03 | 1.75 | 15 862 | 21 433 | 3.37 | 2.66 | 138 | 58 | -9.30 | -3.37 |
| | OECD 3 | 285 680 | 302 199 | 1.55 | 0.65 | 32 163 | 29 019 | 3.27 | -0.84 | 97 535 | 101 397 | 3.87 | 0.79 |
| | BRICS | 274 917 | 313 014 | 2.56 | 1.06 | 13 021 | 11 950 | 3.16 | 0.55 | 22 566 | 28 576 | 7.55 | 1.44 |
Not available | |||||||||||||
| Note: Marketing year: See Glossary of Terms for definitions. Average 2012-14est: Data for 2014 are estimated. | |||||||||||||
| Disclaimer: http://oe.cd/disclaimer | |||||||||||||
Includes Israel and also transition economies: Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan, Armenia, Azerbaijan and Georgia. | |||||||||||||
Refers to mainland only. The economies of Chinese Taipei, Hong Kong (China) and Macau (China) are included in the Other Asia Pacific aggregate. | |||||||||||||
Excludes Iceland but includes all EU28 member countries. | |||||||||||||
Least-squares growth rate (see glossary). | |||||||||||||
| Source: OECD/FAO (2015), “OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook”,OECD Agriculture statistics(database). doi:dx.doi.org/10.1787/agr-outl-data-en | |||||||||||||