OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2015

This edition of the Agricultural Outlook – the twenty-first OECD edition and the eleventh prepared jointly with the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO) – provides projections to 2024 for major agricultural commodities, biofuels and fish. The 2015 report provides a special focus on prospects and challenges for Brazilian agriculture.
The market projections not only cover OECD member countries (European Union as a region) but also FAO member countries, notably Brazil, the Russian Federation, India, People's Republic of China and South Africa.
OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2015 - © OECD 2015
A.10.1 | Vegetable oil projections: Production and trade | ||||||||||||
A.10.1 | Vegetable oil projections: Production and trade | ||||||||||||
Marketing year | |||||||||||||
| | PRODUCTION (kt) | Growth (%) 4 | IMPORTS (kt) | Growth (%) 4 | EXPORTS (kt) | Growth (%) 4 | ||||||
Average 2012-14est | 2024 | 2005-14 | 2015-24 | Average 2012-14est | 2024 | 2005-14 | 2015-24 | Average 2012-14est | 2024 | 2005-14 | 2015-24 | ||
| WOLRD | 169 444 | 210 509 | 4.38 | 1.80 | 68 264 | 81 806 | 4.22 | 1.70 | 69 939 | 81 806 | 4.47 | 1.70 |
| DEVELOPED COUNTRIES | 43 014 | 47 434 | 3.60 | 0.80 | 17 610 | 16 904 | 2.21 | -0.46 | 11 865 | 13 965 | 11.04 | 1.90 |
| NORTH AMERICA | 15 440 | 18 143 | 1.34 | 1.45 | 4 031 | 4 661 | 5.84 | 0.98 | 3 837 | 5 390 | 6.63 | 3.71 |
| Canada | 3 347 | 4 123 | 8.83 | 2.70 | 349 | 326 | 1.53 | 0.00 | 2 567 | 3 080 | 11.30 | 3.46 |
| United States | 12 093 | 14 021 | -0.17 | 1.10 | 3 682 | 4 335 | 6.33 | 1.06 | 1 269 | 2 310 | 0.31 | 4.06 |
| EUROPE | 24 361 | 25 866 | 5.68 | 0.41 | 11 116 | 9 006 | 0.98 | -1.98 | 7 789 | 8 278 | 14.12 | 0.88 |
| European Union | 15 089 | 15 376 | 3.76 | 0.14 | 9 120 | 6 978 | 0.99 | -2.54 | 1 671 | 1 331 | 14.08 | 0.74 |
| Russian Federation | 4 537 | 4 856 | 8.00 | 0.38 | 923 | 992 | -0.35 | 0.87 | 2 002 | 2 354 | 18.20 | 0.84 |
| Ukraine | 4 313 | 5 084 | 11.99 | 1.16 | 315 | 257 | -3.37 | -0.89 | 3 832 | 4 240 | 12.69 | 0.90 |
| OCEANIA DEVELOPED | 487 | 727 | 4.90 | 2.09 | 399 | 478 | 2.21 | 1.41 | 160 | 230 | 19.05 | 1.96 |
| Australia | 483 | 722 | 4.89 | 2.11 | 315 | 387 | 3.51 | 1.55 | 160 | 230 | 19.14 | 1.96 |
| New Zealand | 5 | 5 | 5.91 | 0.00 | 83 | 91 | -1.57 | 0.85 | 0 | 0 | -0.71 | 0.00 |
| OTHER DEVELOPED 1 | 2 727 | 2 698 | 0.72 | 0.08 | 2 065 | 2 759 | 2.99 | 2.81 | 80 | 67 | -3.70 | -1.55 |
| Japan | 1 508 | 1 112 | -0.88 | -2.78 | 762 | 1 151 | 1.48 | 3.32 | 2 | 0 | 39.34 | 0.00 |
| South Africa | 449 | 691 | 6.06 | 3.73 | 828 | 939 | 3.18 | 1.97 | 42 | 37 | -7.05 | -1.93 |
| DEVELOPING COUNTRIES | 126 430 | 163 075 | 4.66 | 2.12 | 50 654 | 64 902 | 4.99 | 2.34 | 58 073 | 67 841 | 3.44 | 1.65 |
| AFRICA | 5 676 | 6 995 | 2.84 | 1.94 | 7 761 | 10 683 | 4.68 | 2.94 | 1 064 | 775 | 6.74 | -2.58 |
| NORTH AFRICA | 772 | 939 | 4.84 | 1.22 | 3 120 | 3 835 | 2.54 | 1.81 | 419 | 311 | 8.48 | -1.81 |
| Algeria | 99 | 133 | 6.52 | 1.43 | 551 | 701 | -0.69 | 2.24 | 35 | 29 | -10.58 | -2.19 |
| Egypt | 407 | 460 | 5.20 | 0.99 | 1 749 | 2 168 | 4.42 | 1.86 | 338 | 242 | 12.35 | -1.82 |
| SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA | 4 904 | 6 055 | 2.55 | 2.05 | 4 641 | 6 848 | 6.41 | 3.64 | 645 | 465 | 6.06 | -3.06 |
| LATIN AMERICA and CARIBBEAN | 22 352 | 28 962 | 3.08 | 2.24 | 4 384 | 5 188 | 4.55 | 1.02 | 8 704 | 11 496 | -1.95 | 2.97 |
| Argentina | 7 990 | 10 240 | 1.21 | 2.05 | 16 | 17 | 5.28 | 0.00 | 4 653 | 6 470 | -3.57 | 2.54 |
| Brazil | 7 797 | 10 197 | 3.13 | 2.50 | 487 | 698 | 12.88 | 1.72 | 1 592 | 1 845 | -6.79 | 7.18 |
| Chile | 76 | 87 | 0.32 | 0.92 | 364 | 434 | 2.16 | 0.81 | 2 | 1 | -8.56 | -0.30 |
| Mexico | 1 614 | 1 784 | 3.06 | 1.01 | 797 | 923 | 3.28 | 1.41 | 26 | 19 | -7.98 | -0.25 |
| Uruguay | 65 | 82 | 6.65 | 1.42 | 81 | 112 | 8.76 | 3.14 | 1 | 2 | -11.74 | -1.18 |
| ASIA and PACIFIC | 98 401 | 127 118 | 5.17 | 2.10 | 38 509 | 49 031 | 5.11 | 2.37 | 48 305 | 55 569 | 4.68 | 1.48 |
| Bangladesh | 210 | 238 | 0.72 | 1.47 | 1 692 | 2 701 | 5.40 | 4.36 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.31 |
| China 2 | 23 427 | 30 137 | 6.65 | 2.00 | 9 029 | 9 201 | 0.83 | 0.97 | 323 | 481 | 5.10 | 4.17 |
| India | 7 440 | 9 438 | 0.75 | 2.00 | 11 562 | 17 920 | 10.30 | 3.77 | 147 | 82 | 1.92 | -1.32 |
| Indonesia | 35 161 | 49 219 | 8.06 | 2.59 | 56 | 45 | -1.82 | -0.23 | 24 466 | 30 364 | 6.73 | 2.07 |
| Iran, Islamic Republic of | 245 | 345 | -2.96 | 1.59 | 1 656 | 1 937 | 4.26 | 2.55 | 182 | 165 | 3.20 | -2.49 |
| Korea | 236 | 264 | 0.48 | 0.99 | 835 | 1 002 | 4.72 | 1.55 | 8 | 13 | 13.01 | 0.00 |
| Malaysia | 21 775 | 25 354 | 2.45 | 1.50 | 1 260 | 1 302 | 2.62 | -0.96 | 19 064 | 20 451 | 2.65 | 0.97 |
| Pakistan | 1 349 | 1 714 | 2.90 | 2.04 | 2 551 | 3 264 | 4.45 | 3.12 | 119 | 85 | 1.14 | -3.02 |
| Saudi Arabia | 15 | 3 | 4.91 | 0.95 | 497 | 629 | 3.79 | 1.62 | 1 | 1 | -25.50 | -1.64 |
| Turkey | 1 412 | 1 893 | 4.78 | 2.13 | 1 465 | 1 420 | 5.38 | -0.30 | 602 | 628 | 22.82 | 0.30 |
| LEAST DEVELOPED COUNTRIES (LDC) | 2 743 | 3 264 | 1.48 | 1.63 | 5 572 | 8 292 | 4.70 | 3.84 | 222 | 158 | 2.62 | -3.39 |
| OECD 3 | 35 982 | 39 521 | 2.42 | 0.79 | 18 310 | 17 649 | 2.75 | -0.50 | 6 390 | 7 698 | 9.33 | 2.73 |
| BRICS | 43 651 | 55 319 | 4.90 | 1.96 | 22 830 | 29 750 | 5.04 | 2.61 | 4 107 | 4 800 | 1.91 | 3.06 |
Note: Average 2012-14est: Data for 2014 are estimated. | |||||||||||||
Disclaimer: http://oe.cd/disclaimer | |||||||||||||
Includes Israel and also transition economies: Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan, Armenia, Azerbaijan and Georgia. | |||||||||||||
Refers to mainland only. The economies of Chinese Taipei, Hong Kong (China) and Macau (China) are included in the Other Asia Pacific aggregate. | |||||||||||||
Excludes Iceland but includes all EU28 member countries. | |||||||||||||
Least-squares growth rate (see glossary). | |||||||||||||
Source: OECD/FAO (2015), “OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook”,OECD Agriculture statistics(database). doi:dx.doi.org/10.1787/agr-outl-data-en |