OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2015
This edition of the Agricultural Outlook – the twenty-first OECD edition and the eleventh prepared jointly with the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO) – provides projections to 2024 for major agricultural commodities, biofuels and fish. The 2015 report provides a special focus on prospects and challenges for Brazilian agriculture.
The market projections not only cover OECD member countries (European Union as a region) but also FAO member countries, notably Brazil, the Russian Federation, India, People's Republic of China and South Africa.
OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2015 - © OECD 2015
A.12.1 | Sugar projections: Production and trade | ||||||||||||
A.12.1 | Sugar projections: Production and trade | ||||||||||||
Marketing year | |||||||||||||
| | PRODUCTION (kt) | Growth (%) 4 | IMPORTS (kt) | Growth (%) 4 | EXPORTS (kt) | Growth (%) 4 | ||||||
Average 2012-14est | 2024 | 2005-14 | 2015-24 | Average 2012-14est | 2024 | 2005-14 | 2015-24 | Average 2012-14est | 2024 | 2005-14 | 2015-24 | ||
| WORLD | 182 245 | 220 491 | 1.90 | 2.22 | 54 127 | 70 580 | 2.61 | 3.09 | 57 951 | 73 006 | 2.31 | 2.97 |
| DEVELOPED COUNTRIES | 42 098 | 45 282 | 0.10 | 0.93 | 15 326 | 14 729 | -0.65 | 0.32 | 6 882 | 7 758 | -5.11 | 0.82 |
| NORTH AMERICA | 7 996 | 8 301 | 1.39 | 0.57 | 4 454 | 5 092 | 2.78 | 1.05 | 177 | 322 | -8.67 | 0.00 |
| Canada | 118 | 134 | 0.72 | 1.29 | 1 251 | 1 410 | -0.07 | 0.73 | 55 | 95 | -3.17 | 0.00 |
| United States | 7 877 | 8 167 | 1.41 | 0.56 | 3 202 | 3 682 | 4.16 | 1.18 | 121 | 227 | -10.21 | 0.00 |
| EUROPE | 26 136 | 27 519 | 0.16 | 0.84 | 5 772 | 4 154 | -3.34 | -1.66 | 2 470 | 2 905 | -5.33 | 1.94 |
| European Union | 17 890 | 18 465 | -0.93 | 0.84 | 3 852 | 2 022 | 2.98 | -3.33 | 1 670 | 1 809 | -7.05 | 1.28 |
| Russian Federation | 4 816 | 5 102 | 6.12 | 0.72 | 1 128 | 1 533 | -13.62 | 1.28 | 88 | 125 | -10.00 | 0.00 |
| Ukraine | 1 890 | 1 975 | -2.03 | -0.09 | 8 | 3 | -27.31 | -5.40 | 83 | 95 | 31.88 | 12.48 |
| OCEANIA DEVELOPED | 4 687 | 5 512 | -1.69 | 1.40 | 330 | 344 | 4.96 | 0.59 | 3 371 | 4 262 | -2.56 | 0.99 |
| Australia | 4 687 | 5 512 | -1.69 | 1.40 | 99 | 100 | 39.01 | 0.00 | 3 361 | 4 257 | -2.53 | 0.99 |
| New Zealand | 0 | 0 | .. | .. | 232 | 244 | 0.13 | 0.84 | 10 | 5 | -12.97 | 0.00 |
| OTHER DEVELOPED 1 | 3 279 | 3 950 | -0.64 | 1.76 | 4 770 | 5 139 | -0.10 | 1.46 | 864 | 268 | -9.08 | -7.08 |
| Japan | 730 | 765 | -2.79 | 0.46 | 1 400 | 1 343 | -0.16 | -0.89 | 4 | 5 | 2.51 | 0.00 |
| South Africa | 2 457 | 3 062 | 0.05 | 2.08 | 352 | 571 | -1.30 | 9.10 | 614 | 199 | -8.97 | -8.34 |
| DEVELOPING COUNTRIES | 140 147 | 175 209 | 2.52 | 2.59 | 38 802 | 55 852 | 4.18 | 3.95 | 51 069 | 65 248 | 4.01 | 3.26 |
| AFRICA | 9 143 | 14 084 | 3.16 | 4.07 | 11 895 | 15 936 | 5.56 | 3.64 | 3 199 | 4 204 | 4.64 | 4.16 |
| NORTH AFRICA | 2 540 | 3 190 | 2.08 | 2.15 | 4 847 | 6 943 | 5.24 | 4.08 | 451 | 999 | 34.76 | 13.04 |
| Algeria | 0 | 0 | .. | .. | 1 786 | 2 693 | 6.20 | 5.03 | 295 | 984 | 209.63 | 13.76 |
| Egypt | 2 100 | 2 588 | 3.01 | 2.05 | 1 433 | 2 431 | 6.61 | 5.08 | 155 | 16 | 10.07 | -4.87 |
| SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA | 6 603 | 10 894 | 3.61 | 4.70 | 7 048 | 8 993 | 5.79 | 3.31 | 2 748 | 3 205 | 2.85 | 2.38 |
| LATIN AMERICA and CARIBBEAN | 61 746 | 76 511 | 2.12 | 2.92 | 2 393 | 2 093 | 0.86 | -1.21 | 34 068 | 42 921 | 3.40 | 3.64 |
| Argentina | 2 030 | 2 424 | -2.41 | 1.47 | 1 | 1 | -12.43 | 0.00 | 241 | 252 | -12.57 | -0.74 |
| Brazil | 38 944 | 48 379 | 2.20 | 3.43 | 0 | 0 | .. | .. | 25 715 | 31 893 | 3.05 | 4.14 |
| Chile | 303 | 437 | -0.97 | 3.75 | 556 | 529 | 4.15 | 0.39 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | -0.03 |
| Mexico | 6 853 | 6 998 | 2.56 | 0.87 | 135 | 234 | 1.34 | 0.01 | 2 157 | 2 265 | 20.52 | 2.39 |
| Uruguay | 35 | 68 | 29.06 | 6.65 | 113 | 115 | 0.03 | 0.19 | 7 | 10 | 32.78 | -0.18 |
| ASIA and PACIFIC | 69 258 | 84 614 | 2.87 | 2.08 | 24 514 | 37 822 | 3.95 | 4.47 | 13 803 | 18 123 | 5.75 | 2.27 |
| Bangladesh | 105 | 113 | -5.96 | 0.41 | 1 824 | 4 474 | 10.67 | 8.68 | 192 | 973 | 165.05 | 22.25 |
| China 2 | 13 370 | 16 408 | 1.11 | 2.59 | 3 925 | 5 903 | 19.46 | 3.00 | 142 | 89 | -0.03 | -2.53 |
| India | 26 603 | 27 430 | 1.70 | 0.35 | 965 | 4 897 | 34.95 | 20.05 | 1 539 | 277 | 3.46 | -16.50 |
| Indonesia | 2 768 | 3 020 | 0.63 | 1.23 | 3 619 | 6 079 | 9.44 | 4.80 | 0 | 0 | -30.05 | 0.55 |
| Iran, Islamic Republic of | 1 380 | 2 226 | 2.35 | 4.11 | 1 356 | 1 251 | -2.11 | 0.61 | 0 | 0 | -60.38 | -0.04 |
| Korea | 0 | 0 | .. | .. | 1 727 | 1 935 | 1.36 | 1.05 | 291 | 211 | -1.65 | -4.45 |
| Malaysia | 10 | 14 | -19.66 | 3.26 | 1 849 | 2 409 | 2.69 | 3.37 | 245 | 72 | -6.70 | -3.26 |
| Pakistan | 5 567 | 7 698 | 5.80 | 3.86 | 67 | 81 | -19.86 | -2.67 | 388 | 576 | 44.03 | 13.33 |
| Saudi Arabia | 0 | 0 | .. | .. | 1 330 | 2 100 | 2.03 | 3.89 | 275 | 337 | 2.03 | 2.08 |
| Thaïland | 11 576 | 17 169 | 9.13 | 3.41 | 10 | 15 | 32.85 | -0.27 | 7 803 | 12 753 | 12.42 | 3.30 |
| Turkey | 2 465 | 3 185 | 2.49 | 2.54 | 106 | 318 | 32.77 | 2.31 | 63 | 77 | 7.79 | -1.31 |
| LEAST DEVELOPED COUNTRIES (LDC) | 4 494 | 7 981 | 4.69 | 5.19 | 7 578 | 11 544 | 6.87 | 5.00 | 1 819 | 2 942 | 8.69 | 7.33 |
| OECD 3 | 41 184 | 43 925 | 0.06 | 0.99 | 13 346 | 12 692 | 1.91 | -0.04 | 7 738 | 8 957 | -1.97 | 1.14 |
| BRICS | 86 191 | 100 380 | 1.89 | 2.18 | 6 370 | 12 905 | 1.89 | 7.03 | 28 097 | 32 583 | 2.18 | 3.39 |
Not available | |||||||||||||
Note: Marketing year: See Glossary of Terms for definitions. Average 2012-14est: Data for 2014 are estimated. Sugar data are expressed in raw sugar equivalent. | |||||||||||||
Disclaimer: http://oe.cd/disclaimer | |||||||||||||
Includes Israel and also transition economies: Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan, Armenia, Azerbaijan and Georgia. | |||||||||||||
Refers to mainland only. The economies of Chinese Taipei, Hong Kong (China) and Macau (China) are included in the Other Asia Pacific aggregate. | |||||||||||||
Excludes Iceland but includes all EU28 member countries. | |||||||||||||
Least-squares growth rate (see glossary). | |||||||||||||
Source: OECD/FAO (2015), “OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook”,OECD Agriculture statistics(database). doi:dx.doi.org/10.1787/agr-outl-data-en |