OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2015
This edition of the Agricultural Outlook – the twenty-first OECD edition and the eleventh prepared jointly with the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO) – provides projections to 2024 for major agricultural commodities, biofuels and fish. The 2015 report provides a special focus on prospects and challenges for Brazilian agriculture.
The market projections not only cover OECD member countries (European Union as a region) but also FAO member countries, notably Brazil, the Russian Federation, India, People's Republic of China and South Africa.
OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2015 - © OECD 2015
A.16.1 | Poultry meat projections: Production and trade | ||||||||||||
A.16.1 | Poultry meat projections: Production and trade | ||||||||||||
Calendar year | |||||||||||||
| | PRODUCTION (kt rtc) | Growth (%) 4 | IMPORTS (kt rtc) | Growth (%) 4 | EXPORTS (kt rtc) | Growth (%) 4 | ||||||
Average 2012-14est | 2024 | 2005-14 | 2015-24 | Average 2012-14est | 2024 | 2005-14 | 2015-24 | Average 2012-14est | 2024 | 2005-14 | 2015-24 | ||
| WORLD | 107 638 | 133 785 | 3.40 | 1.99 | 12 119 | 16 010 | 5.75 | 2.98 | 12 674 | 16 834 | 5.75 | 2.81 |
| DEVELOPED COUNTRIES | 44 499 | 53 515 | 2.46 | 1.57 | 3 055 | 2 997 | -2.49 | 0.76 | 5 555 | 7 746 | 5.18 | 3.92 |
| NORTH AMERICA | 20 887 | 25 865 | 0.74 | 2.02 | 321 | 353 | 3.62 | 0.75 | 3 850 | 5 195 | 3.84 | 3.69 |
| Canada | 1 220 | 1 441 | 0.59 | 1.36 | 255 | 284 | 1.84 | 0.76 | 177 | 195 | 1.78 | 1.13 |
| United States | 19 667 | 24 424 | 0.75 | 2.06 | 66 | 69 | 14.52 | 0.69 | 3 673 | 5 000 | 3.95 | 3.80 |
| EUROPE | 18 530 | 21 816 | 4.43 | 1.21 | 1 587 | 1 244 | -6.51 | -1.71 | 1 605 | 2 407 | 8.84 | 4.78 |
| European Union | 12 836 | 14 355 | 2.17 | 0.84 | 800 | 902 | 0.19 | 1.04 | 1 298 | 1 654 | 6.05 | 3.64 |
| Russian Federation | 3 818 | 4 864 | 12.79 | 1.71 | 494 | 80 | -13.91 | -15.74 | 36 | 199 | 85.57 | 22.95 |
| Ukraine | 1 177 | 1 635 | 10.48 | 2.39 | 101 | 48 | -9.04 | -3.74 | 130 | 252 | 44.41 | 3.89 |
| OCEANIA DEVELOPED | 1 253 | 1 495 | 3.53 | 1.24 | 0 | 0 | .. | .. | 46 | 61 | 5.79 | 1.65 |
| Australia | 1 074 | 1 297 | 3.85 | 1.37 | 0 | 0 | .. | .. | 46 | 61 | 5.79 | 1.65 |
| New Zealand | 179 | 198 | 1.73 | 0.43 | 0 | 0 | .. | .. | 0 | 0 | .. | .. |
| OTHER DEVELOPED 1 | 3 828 | 4 339 | 3.37 | 0.93 | 1 146 | 1 399 | 4.00 | 3.56 | 54 | 83 | 11.78 | -1.58 |
| Japan | 1 475 | 1 496 | 1.40 | -0.47 | 437 | 400 | 2.03 | 2.35 | 9 | 11 | 15.77 | 0.00 |
| South Africa | 1 516 | 1 847 | 5.69 | 1.81 | 396 | 617 | 6.75 | 4.77 | 36 | 63 | 27.61 | -2.03 |
| DEVELOPING COUNTRIES | 63 140 | 80 271 | 4.11 | 2.28 | 9 064 | 13 013 | 10.26 | 3.57 | 7 119 | 9 088 | 6.22 | 1.94 |
| AFRICA | 3 293 | 4 222 | 3.25 | 2.30 | 1 621 | 2 950 | 17.39 | 5.79 | 42 | 14 | 22.31 | -8.83 |
| NORTH AFRICA | 1 959 | 2 506 | 2.91 | 2.24 | 362 | 510 | 55.93 | 3.62 | 35 | 8 | 54.37 | -12.33 |
| Algeria | 278 | 300 | 0.68 | 0.74 | 5 | 19 | 13.66 | 13.00 | 0 | 0 | 149.57 | -4.04 |
| Egypt | 772 | 1 051 | 1.17 | 2.46 | 261 | 354 | 80.91 | 3.40 | 32 | 4 | 59.10 | -16.23 |
| SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA | 1 334 | 1 717 | 3.76 | 2.38 | 1 259 | 2 440 | 14.02 | 6.31 | 7 | 6 | -0.91 | -0.95 |
| LATIN AMERICA and CARIBBEAN | 23 822 | 29 880 | 3.76 | 2.08 | 1 684 | 1 741 | 6.99 | 0.34 | 4 419 | 6 101 | 4.28 | 2.74 |
| Argentina | 1 934 | 2 557 | 7.87 | 2.45 | 14 | 13 | -1.28 | 0.00 | 299 | 622 | 16.18 | 6.35 |
| Brazil | 12 882 | 15 702 | 3.63 | 1.84 | 3 | 3 | 25.93 | 0.02 | 3 938 | 5 298 | 3.56 | 2.49 |
| Chile | 678 | 828 | 2.27 | 1.80 | 82 | 89 | 21.98 | 0.42 | 120 | 111 | 5.52 | -0.42 |
| Mexico | 2 839 | 3 906 | 1.83 | 2.95 | 643 | 463 | 5.00 | -2.89 | 2 | 5 | 60.74 | 0.69 |
| Uruguay | 92 | 116 | 7.13 | 1.92 | 4 | 3 | 26.77 | -2.70 | 15 | 22 | 58.70 | 3.32 |
| ASIA and PACIFIC | 36 024 | 46 168 | 4.44 | 2.41 | 5 759 | 8 322 | 9.81 | 3.66 | 2 658 | 2 974 | 9.97 | 0.56 |
| Bangladesh | 212 | 266 | 3.18 | 2.01 | 1 | 6 | 0.47 | 41.82 | 0 | 0 | -33.31 | -31.45 |
| China 2 | 18 153 | 23 112 | 3.83 | 2.65 | 525 | 740 | -1.69 | 5.34 | 621 | 614 | 4.20 | -0.89 |
| India | 2 454 | 3 521 | 6.48 | 2.57 | 0 | 1 | 2.67 | 17.34 | 6 | 0 | 28.12 | -31.60 |
| Indonesia | 1 794 | 2 312 | 5.32 | 2.47 | 1 | 6 | -20.75 | 16.93 | 0 | 0 | -29.83 | -14.46 |
| Iran, Islamic Republic of | 2 007 | 2 380 | 5.62 | 1.49 | 27 | 60 | 25.23 | 12.60 | 50 | 38 | 13.24 | -5.24 |
| Korea | 715 | 971 | 3.80 | 2.92 | 148 | 80 | 10.60 | -6.40 | 29 | 23 | 30.38 | 0.00 |
| Malaysia | 1 367 | 1 854 | 4.43 | 2.79 | 47 | 50 | 10.54 | 0.00 | 43 | 41 | 14.31 | 0.00 |
| Pakistan | 863 | 1 195 | 8.77 | 2.99 | 14 | 32 | 49.83 | 8.67 | 17 | 25 | 99.69 | 2.39 |
| Saudi Arabia | 603 | 723 | 1.44 | 0.40 | 847 | 1 040 | 9.06 | 2.99 | 23 | 4 | 2.27 | -14.98 |
| Turkey | 1 773 | 2 172 | 8.79 | 1.84 | 1 | 1 | 13.25 | 0.57 | 369 | 393 | 33.34 | -0.65 |
| LEAST DEVELOPED COUNTRIES (LDC) | 2 394 | 3 133 | 5.65 | 2.58 | 1 102 | 2 213 | 12.96 | 6.66 | 4 | 4 | 23.48 | -0.96 |
| OECD 3 | 43 182 | 51 987 | 1.68 | 1.65 | 2 913 | 2 805 | 4.03 | 0.01 | 5 733 | 7 474 | 5.26 | 3.30 |
| BRICS | 38 824 | 49 045 | 4.65 | 2.25 | 1 418 | 1 441 | -6.36 | 1.66 | 4 638 | 6 175 | 3.87 | 2.32 |
Not available | |||||||||||||
Note: Calendar year: Year ending 30 September for New Zealand. Average 2012-14est: Data for 2014 are estimated. | |||||||||||||
Disclaimer: http://oe.cd/disclaimer | |||||||||||||
Includes Israel and also transition economies: Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan, Armenia, Azerbaijan and Georgia. | |||||||||||||
Refers to mainland only. The economies of Chinese Taipei, Hong Kong (China) and Macau (China) are included in the Other Asia Pacific aggregate. | |||||||||||||
Excludes Iceland but includes all EU28 member countries. | |||||||||||||
Least-squares growth rate (see glossary). | |||||||||||||
Source: OECD/FAO (2015), “OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook”,OECD Agriculture statistics(database). doi:dx.doi.org/10.1787/agr-outl-data-en |