1887

OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2015

image of OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2015

This edition of the Agricultural Outlook – the twenty-first OECD edition and the eleventh prepared jointly with the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO) – provides projections to 2024 for major agricultural commodities, biofuels and fish. The 2015 report provides a special focus on prospects and challenges for Brazilian agriculture.

The market projections not only cover OECD member countries (European Union as a region) but also FAO member countries, notably Brazil, the Russian Federation, India, People's Republic of China and South Africa.

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From Chapter: Statistical Annex
.

Table A.24 - Milk projections: Production, inventories, yield

English French

OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2015 - © OECD 2015

‌A.24Milk projections: Production, inventories, yield
A.24Milk projections: Production, inventories, yield
  Calendar year
‌‌
‌PRODUCTION (kt)‌
Growth (%) 4
INVENTORIES ('000 hd)
Growth (%) 4
YIELD (t/head)
Growth (%) 4
Average
2012-14est
‌2024‌
‌2005-14‌
‌2015-24‌
Average
2012-14est
‌2024‌
‌2005-14‌
‌2015-24‌
Average
2012-14est
‌2024‌
‌2005-14‌
‌2015-24‌
WORLD
757 424
 
932 917
 
1.94
 
1.83
 
677 425
 
765 660
 
2.15
 
1.15
 
1.12
 
1.22
 
-0.21
 
0.67
 
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES
377 127
 
421 312
 
0.98
 
0.84
 
77 983
 
75 931
 
0.04
 
-0.27
 
4.84
 
5.55
 
0.94
 
1.11
 
NORTH AMERICA
100 381
 
113 939
 
1.49
 
0.90
 
10 195
 
10 182
 
0.08
 
-0.10
 
9.85
 
11.19
 
1.41
 
1.00
 
Canada
8 786
 
9 225
 
0.93
 
0.51
 
958
 
932
 
-0.61
 
-0.24
 
9.17
 
9.90
 
1.54
 
0.75
 
United States
91 596
 
104 714
 
1.55
 
0.93
 
9 237
 
9 250
 
0.16
 
-0.09
 
9.92
 
11.32
 
1.39
 
1.02
 
EUROPE
214 264
 
232 359
 
0.38
 
0.61
 
43 299
 
40 049
 
-1.14
 
-0.58
 
4.95
 
5.80
 
1.53
 
1.20
 
European Union
155 104
 
171 525
 
0.66
 
0.71
 
23 247
 
22 434
 
-0.75
 
-0.30
 
6.54
 
7.52
 
1.49
 
1.05
 
Russian Federation
31 763
 
32 843
 
0.17
 
0.38
 
8 778
 
8 163
 
-1.00
 
-0.45
 
3.62
 
4.02
 
1.18
 
0.83
 
Ukraine
11 632
 
12 217
 
-1.72
 
0.57
 
3 653
 
3 285
 
-2.86
 
-0.97
 
3.18
 
3.72
 
1.17
 
1.56
 
OCEANIA DEVELOPED
30 031
 
37 156
 
2.82
 
1.91
 
6 636
 
7 423
 
1.48
 
1.05
 
4.53
 
5.01
 
1.32
 
0.85
 
Australia
9 595
 
11 490
 
-0.97
 
1.83
 
1 693
 
1 700
 
-1.46
 
0.01
 
5.67
 
6.76
 
0.50
 
1.83
 
New Zealand
20 436
 
25 666
 
5.09
 
1.94
 
4 944
 
5 723
 
2.65
 
1.38
 
4.13
 
4.48
 
2.37
 
0.55
 
OTHER DEVELOPED 1
32 451
 
37 858
 
2.01
 
1.08
 
17 852
 
18 277
 
2.76
 
-0.16
 
1.82
 
2.07
 
-0.74
 
1.25
 
Japan
7 483
 
7 443
 
-1.29
 
0.14
 
902
 
876
 
-1.73
 
-0.24
 
8.30
 
8.49
 
0.45
 
0.39
 
South Africa
3 406
 
4 039
 
1.97
 
1.01
 
1 053
 
1 052
 
3.61
 
-0.56
 
3.24
 
3.84
 
-1.59
 
1.59
 
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
380 297
 
511 604
 
2.97
 
2.72
 
615 754
 
714 438
 
2.64
 
1.37
 
0.62
 
0.72
 
0.32
 
1.33
 
AFRICA
43 424
 
62 273
 
3.07
 
3.18
 
243 476
 
296 775
 
3.37
 
1.77
 
0.18
 
0.21
 
-0.29
 
1.38
 
NORTH AFRICA
13 366
 
15 868
 
4.25
 
1.48
 
51 718
 
62 534
 
6.55
 
1.18
 
0.26
 
0.25
 
-2.16
 
0.30
 
Algeria
3 040
 
4 091
 
6.95
 
2.14
 
20 062
 
22 319
 
7.94
 
0.37
 
0.15
 
0.18
 
-0.92
 
1.76
 
Egypt
6 089
 
6 511
 
2.05
 
0.58
 
6 575
 
5 862
 
0.43
 
-1.08
 
0.93
 
1.11
 
1.62
 
1.68
 
SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA
30 058
 
46 405
 
2.59
 
3.83
 
191 759
 
234 242
 
2.63
 
1.93
 
0.16
 
0.20
 
-0.04
 
1.86
 
LATIN AMERICA and CARIBBEAN
79 360
 
93 696
 
1.65
 
1.36
 
49 789
 
53 863
 
1.82
 
0.52
 
1.59
 
1.74
 
-0.17
 
0.83
 
Argentina
11 241
 
13 336
 
1.91
 
1.67
 
2 332
 
2 492
 
0.55
 
0.54
 
4.82
 
5.35
 
1.35
 
1.12
 
Brazil
28 640
 
33 906
 
1.21
 
1.51
 
23 637
 
27 290
 
1.85
 
1.21
 
1.21
 
1.24
 
-0.63
 
0.30
 
Chile
2 697
 
2 996
 
1.74
 
1.14
 
1 384
 
1 309
 
-2.27
 
-0.46
 
1.95
 
2.29
 
4.10
 
1.60
 
Mexico
11 314
 
12 161
 
1.17
 
0.64
 
2 410
 
2 510
 
1.04
 
0.36
 
4.69
 
4.85
 
0.13
 
0.27
 
Uruguay
2 187
 
2 491
 
4.00
 
0.87
 
850
 
817
 
1.45
 
-0.66
 
2.57
 
3.05
 
2.51
 
1.53
 
ASIA and PACIFIC
257 513
 
355 636
 
3.39
 
3.04
 
322 488
 
363 799
 
2.24
 
1.19
 
0.80
 
0.98
 
1.12
 
1.82
 
Bangladesh
3 590
 
5 087
 
3.89
 
3.06
 
39 104
 
44 590
 
4.97
 
1.27
 
0.09
 
0.11
 
-1.02
 
1.76
 
China 2
41 779
 
53 755
 
2.41
 
2.29
 
11 711
 
13 745
 
-0.16
 
1.49
 
3.25
 
3.58
 
2.53
 
0.84
 
India
130 556
 
190 897
 
3.78
 
3.64
 
118 210
 
142 014
 
2.22
 
1.86
 
1.10
 
1.34
 
1.53
 
1.75
 
Indonesia
1 456
 
1 948
 
6.99
 
2.52
 
12 129
 
13 715
 
3.44
 
0.81
 
0.12
 
0.14
 
3.43
 
1.70
 
Iran, Islamic Republic of
7 528
 
8 632
 
0.54
 
1.48
 
20 509
 
19 498
 
-3.39
 
-0.08
 
0.37
 
0.44
 
4.07
 
1.56
 
Korea
2 153
 
2 154
 
-0.47
 
-0.19
 
234
 
228
 
-1.81
 
-0.58
 
9.20
 
9.45
 
1.37
 
0.39
 
Malaysia
86
 
99
 
6.46
 
1.18
 
166
 
166
 
5.24
 
-0.42
 
0.52
 
0.59
 
1.15
 
1.60
 
Pakistan
38 390
 
51 845
 
3.13
 
2.95
 
29 588
 
32 868
 
2.66
 
1.18
 
1.30
 
1.58
 
0.46
 
1.75
 
Saudi Arabia
2 098
 
2 522
 
6.65
 
2.00
 
4 355
 
4 407
 
-1.58
 
0.44
 
0.48
 
0.57
 
8.36
 
1.56
 
Turkey
17 445
 
21 703
 
5.70
 
1.53
 
23 416
 
23 657
 
5.01
 
-0.33
 
0.75
 
0.92
 
0.66
 
1.86
 
LEAST DEVELOPED COUNTRIES (LDC)
32 856
 
51 101
 
2.88
 
3.94
 
239 316
 
291 145
 
3.23
 
1.90
 
0.14
 
0.18
 
-0.34
 
2.00
 
OECD 3
333 692
 
376 384
 
1.28
 
0.90
 
69 639
 
69 751
 
1.27
 
-0.13
 
4.79
 
5.40
 
0.01
 
1.03
 
BRICS
236 144
 
315 439
 
2.64
 
2.74
 
163 388
 
192 264
 
1.79
 
1.62
 
1.45
 
1.64
 
0.83
 
1.11
 
Note: Calendar year: Year ending 30 June for Australia and 31 May for New Zealand.
Average 2012-14est: Data for 2014 are estimated.
Disclaimer: http://oe.cd/disclaimer
1.
Includes Israel and also transition economies: Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan, Armenia, Azerbaijan and Georgia.
2.
Refers to mainland only. The economies of Chinese Taipei, Hong Kong (China) and Macau (China) are included in the Other Asia Pacific aggregate.
3.
Excludes Iceland but includes all EU28 member countries.
4.
Least-squares growth rate (see glossary).
Source: OECD/FAO (2015), “OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook”,OECD Agriculture statistics(database). doi:dx.doi.org/10.1787/agr-outl-data-en

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