OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2015
This edition of the Agricultural Outlook – the twenty-first OECD edition and the eleventh prepared jointly with the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO) – provides projections to 2024 for major agricultural commodities, biofuels and fish. The 2015 report provides a special focus on prospects and challenges for Brazilian agriculture.
The market projections not only cover OECD member countries (European Union as a region) but also FAO member countries, notably Brazil, the Russian Federation, India, People's Republic of China and South Africa.
OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2015 - © OECD 2015
A.13 | Main policy assumptions for sugar markets | ||||||||||||
A.13 | Main policy assumptions for sugar markets | ||||||||||||
Marketing year | |||||||||||||
| | | Average 2012-14est | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 |
| ARGENTINA | ||||||||||||
| Tariff, sugar | ARS/t | 35.0 | 35.0 | 35.0 | 35.0 | 35.0 | 35.0 | 35.0 | 35.0 | 35.0 | 35.0 | 35.0 |
| BANGLADESH | ||||||||||||
| Tariff, white sugar | % | 32.5 | 32.5 | 32.5 | 32.5 | 32.5 | 32.5 | 32.5 | 32.5 | 32.5 | 32.5 | 32.5 |
| BRAZIL | ||||||||||||
| Tariff, raw sugar | % | 16.0 | 16.0 | 16.0 | 16.0 | 16.0 | 16.0 | 16.0 | 16.0 | 16.0 | 16.0 | 16.0 |
| Tariff, white sugar | % | 16.0 | 16.0 | 16.0 | 16.0 | 16.0 | 16.0 | 16.0 | 16.0 | 16.0 | 16.0 | 16.0 |
| CANADA | ||||||||||||
| Tariff, raw sugar | CAD/t | 24.7 | 24.7 | 24.7 | 24.7 | 24.7 | 24.7 | 24.7 | 24.7 | 24.7 | 24.7 | 24.7 |
| Tariff, white sugar | CAD/t | 30.9 | 30.9 | 30.9 | 30.9 | 30.9 | 30.9 | 30.9 | 30.9 | 30.9 | 30.9 | 30.9 |
| CHINA 1 | ||||||||||||
| TRQ sugar | kt | 1 954.0 | 1 954.0 | 1 954.0 | 1 954.0 | 1 954.0 | 1 954.0 | 1 954.0 | 1 954.0 | 1 954.0 | 1 954.0 | 1 954.0 |
| In-quota tariff, raw sugar | % | 15.0 | 15.0 | 15.0 | 15.0 | 15.0 | 15.0 | 15.0 | 15.0 | 15.0 | 15.0 | 15.0 |
| In-quota tariff, white sugar | % | 20.0 | 20.0 | 20.0 | 20.0 | 20.0 | 20.0 | 20.0 | 20.0 | 20.0 | 20.0 | 20.0 |
| Tariff, over-quota | % | 50.0 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 50.0 |
| EUROPEAN UNION | ||||||||||||
| Voluntary coupled support | ||||||||||||
| Sugarbeet 2 | mln EUR | 0 | 174 | 177 | 178 | 179 | 180 | 169 | 169 | 169 | 169 | 169 |
| Reference price, white sugar | EUR/t | 404.4 | 404.4 | 404.4 | 404.4 | 404.4 | 404.4 | 404.4 | 404.4 | 404.4 | 404.4 | 404.4 |
| Production quota 3 | Mt wse | 13.3 | 13.3 | 13.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| WTO export limit 4 | kt wse | 1 375.0 | 1 375.0 | 1 375.0 | 1 375.0 | 1 375.0 | 1 375.0 | 1 375.0 | 1 375.0 | 1 375.0 | 1 375.0 | 1 375.0 |
| Tariff, raw sugar | EUR/t | 339.0 | 339.0 | 339.0 | 339.0 | 339.0 | 339.0 | 339.0 | 339.0 | 339.0 | 339.0 | 339.0 |
| Tariff, white sugar | EUR/t | 419.0 | 419.0 | 419.0 | 419.0 | 419.0 | 419.0 | 419.0 | 419.0 | 419.0 | 419.0 | 419.0 |
| INDIA | ||||||||||||
| Intervention price, sugarcane | INR/t | 2 000.0 | 2 200.0 | 2 200.0 | 2 200.0 | 2 200.0 | 2 200.0 | 2 200.0 | 2 200.0 | 2 200.0 | 2 200.0 | 2 200.0 |
| Applied tariff, raw sugar | % | 60.0 | 60.0 | 60.0 | 60.0 | 60.0 | 60.0 | 60.0 | 60.0 | 60.0 | 60.0 | 60.0 |
| INDONESIA | ||||||||||||
| Tariff, white sugar | % | 25.0 | 25.0 | 25.0 | 25.0 | 25.0 | 25.0 | 25.0 | 25.0 | 25.0 | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| JAPAN | ||||||||||||
| Minimum stabilisation price, raw sugar | JPY/kg | 153.2 | 153.2 | 153.2 | 153.2 | 153.2 | 153.2 | 153.2 | 153.2 | 153.2 | 153.2 | 153.2 |
| Tariff, raw sugar | JPY/kg | 71.8 | 71.8 | 71.8 | 71.8 | 71.8 | 71.8 | 71.8 | 71.8 | 71.8 | 71.8 | 71.8 |
| Tariff, white sugar | JPY/kg | 103.1 | 103.1 | 103.1 | 103.1 | 103.1 | 103.1 | 103.1 | 103.1 | 103.1 | 103.1 | 103.1 |
| KOREA | ||||||||||||
| Tariff, raw sugar | % | 3.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 |
| Tariff, white sugar | % | 35.0 | 35.0 | 35.0 | 35.0 | 35.0 | 35.0 | 35.0 | 35.0 | 35.0 | 35.0 | 35.0 |
| MEXICO | ||||||||||||
| Mexico common external tariff, raw sugar | USD/t | 338.6 | 338.6 | 338.6 | 338.6 | 338.6 | 338.6 | 338.6 | 338.6 | 338.6 | 338.6 | 338.6 |
| Mexico common external tariff, white sugar | USD/t | 357.4 | 357.4 | 357.4 | 357.4 | 357.4 | 357.4 | 357.4 | 357.4 | 357.4 | 357.4 | 357.4 |
| RUSSIAN FEDERATION | ||||||||||||
| Minimum tariff, raw sugar | USD/t | 148.0 | 140.0 | 140.0 | 140.0 | 140.0 | 140.0 | 140.0 | 140.0 | 140.0 | 140.0 | 140.0 |
| Minimum tariff, white sugar | USD/t | 340.0 | 340.0 | 340.0 | 340.0 | 340.0 | 340.0 | 340.0 | 340.0 | 340.0 | 340.0 | 340.0 |
| UNITED STATES | ||||||||||||
| Loan rate, raw sugar | USD/t | 413.4 | 413.4 | 413.4 | 413.4 | 413.4 | 413.4 | 413.4 | 413.4 | 413.4 | 413.4 | 413.4 |
| Loan rate, white sugar | USD/t | 531.1 | 531.1 | 531.1 | 531.1 | 531.1 | 531.1 | 531.1 | 531.1 | 531.1 | 531.1 | 531.1 |
| TRQ, raw sugar | kt rse | 1 311 | 1 319 | 1 324 | 1 327 | 1 331 | 1 334 | 1 335 | 1 336 | 1 337 | 1 339 | 1 340 |
| TRQ, refined sugar | kt rse | 49.0 | 49.0 | 49.0 | 49.0 | 49.0 | 49.0 | 49.0 | 49.0 | 49.0 | 49.0 | 49.0 |
| Raw sugar 2nd tier WTO tariff | USD/t | 338.6 | 338.6 | 338.6 | 338.6 | 338.6 | 338.6 | 338.6 | 338.6 | 338.6 | 338.6 | 338.6 |
| White sugar 2nd tier WTO tariff | USD/t | 357.4 | 357.4 | 357.4 | 357.4 | 357.4 | 357.4 | 357.4 | 357.4 | 357.4 | 357.4 | 357.4 |
| SOUTH AFRICA | ||||||||||||
| Tariff, raw sugar | % | 105.0 | 105.0 | 105.0 | 105.0 | 105.0 | 105.0 | 105.0 | 105.0 | 105.0 | 105.0 | 105.0 |
| TANZANIA | ||||||||||||
| Applied tariff, white sugar | % | 25.0 | 25.0 | 25.0 | 25.0 | 25.0 | 25.0 | 25.0 | 25.0 | 25.0 | 25.0 | 25.0 |
| VIET NAM | ||||||||||||
| Applied tariff, white sugar | % | 40.0 | 40.0 | 40.0 | 40.0 | 40.0 | 40.0 | 40.0 | 40.0 | 40.0 | 40.0 | 40.0 |
Note: Marketing year: See Glossary of Terms for definitions. Average 2012-14est: Data for 2014 are estimated. The sources for tariffs and Tariff Rate Quotas are the national questionnaire reply, UNCTAD and WTO. | |||||||||||||
Disclaimer: http://oe.cd/disclaimer | |||||||||||||
Refers to mainland only. | |||||||||||||
Implemented in 10 Member States. | |||||||||||||
Production that receives official support. | |||||||||||||
It is assumed that no export subsidies will be granted for sugar after the abolition of the quota. | |||||||||||||
Source: OECD/FAO (2015), “OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook”,OECD Agriculture statistics(database). doi:dx.doi.org/10.1787/agr-outl-data-en |