1887

OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2015

image of OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2015

This edition of the Agricultural Outlook – the twenty-first OECD edition and the eleventh prepared jointly with the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO) – provides projections to 2024 for major agricultural commodities, biofuels and fish. The 2015 report provides a special focus on prospects and challenges for Brazilian agriculture.

The market projections not only cover OECD member countries (European Union as a region) but also FAO member countries, notably Brazil, the Russian Federation, India, People's Republic of China and South Africa.

English French, Spanish, Chinese

From Chapter: Statistical Annex
.

Table A.11 - Main policy assumptions for oilseed markets

English French

OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2015 - © OECD 2015

‌A.11Main policy assumptions for oilseed markets
A.11Main policy assumptions for oilseed markets
  Marketing year
‌‌
‌‌
Average
2012-14est
‌2015‌
‌2016‌
‌2017‌
‌2018‌
‌2019‌
‌2020‌
‌2021‌
‌2022‌
‌2023‌
‌2024‌
ARGENTINA
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Oilseed export tax
%
33.5
 
33.5
 
33.5
 
33.5
 
33.5
 
33.5
 
33.5
 
33.5
 
33.5
 
33.5
 
33.5
 
Protein meal export tax
%
31.0
 
31.0
 
31.0
 
31.0
 
31.0
 
31.0
 
31.0
 
31.0
 
31.0
 
31.0
 
31.0
 
Oilseed oil export tax
%
31.0
 
31.0
 
31.0
 
31.0
 
31.0
 
31.0
 
31.0
 
31.0
 
31.0
 
31.0
 
31.0
 
AUSTRALIA
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Tariffs
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Soybean oil
%
8.0
 
8.0
 
8.0
 
8.0
 
8.0
 
8.0
 
8.0
 
8.0
 
8.0
 
8.0
 
8.0
 
Rapeseed oil
%
8.0
 
8.0
 
8.0
 
8.0
 
8.0
 
8.0
 
8.0
 
8.0
 
8.0
 
8.0
 
8.0
 
CANADA
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Tariffs
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Rapeseed oil
%
6.4
 
6.4
 
6.4
 
6.4
 
6.4
 
6.4
 
6.4
 
6.4
 
6.4
 
6.4
 
6.4
 
EUROPEAN UNION 2
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Voluntary coupled support
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Oilseeds
mln EUR
0
 
11
 
12
 
12
 
12
 
13
 
13
 
13
 
13
 
13
 
13
 
Tariffs
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Soybean oil
%
6.00
 
6.00
 
6.00
 
6.00
 
6.00
 
6.00
 
6.00
 
6.00
 
6.00
 
6.00
 
6.00
 
Rapeseed oil
%
6.00
 
6.00
 
6.00
 
6.00
 
6.00
 
6.00
 
6.00
 
6.00
 
6.00
 
6.00
 
6.00
 
JAPAN
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
New output payments
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Soybeans
JPY/kg
190.4
 
194.3
 
194.3
 
194.3
 
194.3
 
194.3
 
194.3
 
194.3
 
194.3
 
194.3
 
194.3
 
Tariffs
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Soybean oil
JPY/kg
10.9
 
10.9
 
10.9
 
10.9
 
10.9
 
10.9
 
10.9
 
10.9
 
10.9
 
10.9
 
10.9
 
Rapeseed oil
JPY/kg
10.9
 
10.9
 
10.9
 
10.9
 
10.9
 
10.9
 
10.9
 
10.9
 
10.9
 
10.9
 
10.9
 
KOREA
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Soybean tariff-quota
kt
1 032
 
1 032
 
1 032
 
1 032
 
1 032
 
1 032
 
1 032
 
1 032
 
1 032
 
1 032
 
1 032
 
In-quota tariff
%
5
 
5
 
5
 
5
 
5
 
5
 
5
 
5
 
5
 
5
 
5
 
Out-of-quota tariff
%
487
 
487
 
487
 
487
 
487
 
487
 
487
 
487
 
487
 
487
 
487
 
Soybean (for food) mark up
'000 KRW/t
131
 
131
 
131
 
131
 
131
 
131
 
131
 
131
 
131
 
131
 
131
 
MEXICO
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Tariffs
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Soybeans
%
33
 
33
 
33
 
33
 
33
 
33
 
33
 
33
 
33
 
33
 
33
 
Soybeans meal
%
23.8
 
23.8
 
23.8
 
23.8
 
23.8
 
23.8
 
23.8
 
23.8
 
23.8
 
23.8
 
23.8
 
Soybeans oil
%
45
 
45
 
45
 
45
 
45
 
45
 
45
 
45
 
45
 
45
 
45
 
UNITED STATES
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
ARC participation rate
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Soybeans
%
19.6
 
58.8
 
58.8
 
58.8
 
58.8
 
40.0
 
40.0
 
40.0
 
40.0
 
40.0
 
40.0
 
Soybeans loan rate
USD/t
183.7
 
183.7
 
183.7
 
183.7
 
183.7
 
183.7
 
183.7
 
183.7
 
183.7
 
183.7
 
183.7
 
Tariffs
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Rapeseed
%
3
 
3
 
3
 
3
 
3
 
3
 
3
 
3
 
3
 
3
 
3
 
Soybean meal
%
2.2
 
2.2
 
2.2
 
2.2
 
2.2
 
2.2
 
2.2
 
2.2
 
2.2
 
2.2
 
2.2
 
Rapeseed meal
%
1.2
 
1.2
 
1.2
 
1.2
 
1.2
 
1.2
 
1.2
 
1.2
 
1.2
 
1.2
 
1.2
 
Soybean oil
%
12.7
 
12.7
 
12.7
 
12.7
 
12.7
 
12.7
 
12.7
 
12.7
 
12.7
 
12.7
 
12.7
 
Rapeseed oil
%
3.2
 
3.2
 
3.2
 
3.2
 
3.2
 
3.2
 
3.2
 
3.2
 
3.2
 
3.2
 
3.2
 
Subsidised export limits (WTO)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Oilseed oils
kt
141
 
141
 
141
 
141
 
141
 
141
 
141
 
142
 
142
 
142
 
142
 
CHINA
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Tariffs
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Soybeans
%
2.4
 
2.4
 
2.4
 
2.4
 
2.4
 
2.4
 
2.4
 
2.4
 
2.4
 
2.4
 
2.4
 
Soybean meal
%
6.3
 
6.3
 
6.3
 
6.3
 
6.3
 
6.3
 
6.3
 
6.3
 
6.3
 
6.3
 
6.3
 
Soybean oil in-quota tariff
%
9.0
 
9.0
 
9.0
 
9.0
 
9.0
 
9.0
 
9.0
 
9.0
 
9.0
 
9.0
 
9.0
 
Vegetable oil tariff-quota
kt
7 998.1
 
7 998.1
 
7 998.1
 
7 998.1
 
7 998.1
 
7 998.1
 
7 998.1
 
7 998.1
 
7 998.1
 
7 998.1
 
7 998.1
 
INDIA
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Input subsidy rate, oilseeds 3
INR/t
4 888.3
 
4 888.3
 
4 888.3
 
4 888.3
 
4 888.3
 
4 888.3
 
4 888.3
 
4 888.3
 
4 888.3
 
4 888.3
 
4 888.3
 
Soybean tariff
%
30.0
 
30.0
 
30.0
 
30.0
 
30.0
 
30.0
 
30.0
 
30.0
 
30.0
 
30.0
 
30.0
 
Rapeseed tariff
%
30.0
 
30.0
 
30.0
 
30.0
 
30.0
 
30.0
 
30.0
 
30.0
 
30.0
 
30.0
 
30.0
 
Sunflower tariff
%
30.0
 
30.0
 
30.0
 
30.0
 
30.0
 
30.0
 
30.0
 
30.0
 
30.0
 
30.0
 
30.0
 
Oilseed tariff
%
30.0
 
30.0
 
30.0
 
30.0
 
30.0
 
30.0
 
30.0
 
30.0
 
30.0
 
30.0
 
30.0
 
Soybean meal tariff
%
100.0
 
100.0
 
100.0
 
100.0
 
100.0
 
100.0
 
100.0
 
100.0
 
100.0
 
100.0
 
100.0
 
Rapeseed meal tariff
%
100.0
 
100.0
 
100.0
 
100.0
 
100.0
 
100.0
 
100.0
 
100.0
 
100.0
 
100.0
 
100.0
 
Sunflower meal tariff
%
100.0
 
100.0
 
100.0
 
100.0
 
100.0
 
100.0
 
100.0
 
100.0
 
100.0
 
100.0
 
100.0
 
Soybean oil tariff
%
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
Rapeseed oil tariff
%
7.5
 
7.5
 
7.5
 
7.5
 
7.5
 
7.5
 
7.5
 
7.5
 
7.5
 
7.5
 
7.5
 
Sunflower oil tariff
%
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
Palm oil tariff
%
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
Note: Marketing year: See Glossary of Terms for definitions.
Average 2012-14est: Data for 2014 are estimated.
The sources for tariffs and Tariff Rate Quotas are the national questionnaire reply, UNCTAD and WTO.
Disclaimer: http://oe.cd/disclaimer
1.
Estimated net amounts for all direct payments. Possible reductions of the payments due to the degressivity as well as potential transfers between direct aids and rural development envelopes are not accounted for.
2.
Till 2014, EU farmers can be granted the Single payment scheme (SPS) or the Single area payment scheme (SAPS), which provides flat-rate payments independent from current production decisions and market developments. From 2015, it becomes the Basic payment scheme (BPS) and it shall account for 68% maximum of the national direct payment envelopes. On top of this, from 2015 onwards, new compulsory policy instruments are introduced: the Green Payment (30%) and young farmer scheme (2%).
3.
Indian input subsidies consist of those for electricty, fertiliser and irrigation.
Source: OECD/FAO (2015), “OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook”,OECD Agriculture statistics(database). doi:dx.doi.org/10.1787/agr-outl-data-en

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