1887

OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2015

image of OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2015

This edition of the Agricultural Outlook – the twenty-first OECD edition and the eleventh prepared jointly with the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO) – provides projections to 2024 for major agricultural commodities, biofuels and fish. The 2015 report provides a special focus on prospects and challenges for Brazilian agriculture.

The market projections not only cover OECD member countries (European Union as a region) but also FAO member countries, notably Brazil, the Russian Federation, India, People's Republic of China and South Africa.

English French, Spanish, Chinese

From Chapter: Statistical Annex
.

Table A.18 - Main policy assumptions for meat markets

English French

OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2015 - © OECD 2015

‌A.18Main policy assumptions for meat markets
A.18Main policy assumptions for meat markets
  
‌‌
‌‌
Average
2012-14est
‌2015‌
‌2016‌
‌2017‌
‌2018‌
‌2019‌
‌2020‌
‌2021‌
‌2022‌
‌2023‌
‌2024‌
ARGENTINA
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Beef export tax
%
15.0
 
15.0
 
15.0
 
15.0
 
15.0
 
15.0
 
15.0
 
15.0
 
15.0
 
15.0
 
15.0
 
CANADA
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Beef tariff-quota
kt pw
76.4
 
76.4
 
76.4
 
76.4
 
76.4
 
76.4
 
76.4
 
76.4
 
76.4
 
76.4
 
76.4
 
In-quota tariff
%
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
Out-of-quota tariff
%
26.5
 
26.5
 
26.5
 
26.5
 
26.5
 
26.5
 
26.5
 
26.5
 
26.5
 
26.5
 
26.5
 
Poultry meat tariff-quota
kt pw
45.4
 
45.4
 
45.4
 
45.4
 
45.4
 
45.4
 
45.4
 
45.4
 
45.4
 
45.4
 
45.4
 
In-quota tariff
%
2.5
 
2.5
 
2.5
 
2.5
 
2.5
 
2.5
 
2.5
 
2.5
 
2.5
 
2.5
 
2.5
 
Out-of-quota tariff
%
196.6
 
196.6
 
196.6
 
196.6
 
196.6
 
196.6
 
196.6
 
196.6
 
196.6
 
196.6
 
196.6
 
EUROPEAN UNION 1
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Voluntary coupled support
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Beef and veal 2
mln EUR
1 665
 
1 702
 
1 697
 
1 694
 
1 694
 
1 693
 
1 693
 
1 693
 
1 693
 
1 693
 
1 693
 
Sheep and goat meat 3
mln EUR
0
 
478
 
481
 
484
 
487
 
491
 
496
 
496
 
496
 
496
 
496
 
Beef basic price 4
EUR/kg dw
2.2
 
2.2
 
2.2
 
2.2
 
2.2
 
2.2
 
2.2
 
2.2
 
2.2
 
2.2
 
2.2
 
Beef buy-in price 4,5
EUR/kg dw
1.7
 
1.9
 
1.9
 
1.9
 
1.9
 
1.9
 
1.9
 
1.9
 
1.9
 
1.9
 
1.9
 
Beef tariff-quota
kt cwe
305.3
 
327.6
 
329.2
 
330.8
 
332.3
 
333.9
 
335.5
 
337.1
 
338.6
 
340.2
 
341.8
 
Pig tariff-quota
kt cwe
126.8
 
162.4
 
163.3
 
164.2
 
165.1
 
166.0
 
166.9
 
167.8
 
168.7
 
169.6
 
170.5
 
Poultry tariff-quota
kt rtc
913.5
 
1 011.9
 
1 013.9
 
1 016.0
 
1 018.1
 
1 020.1
 
1 022.2
 
1 024.3
 
1 026.3
 
1 028.4
 
1 030.5
 
Sheep meat tariff-quota
kt cwe
291.7
 
294.2
 
294.7
 
295.1
 
295.6
 
296.1
 
296.3
 
296.5
 
296.7
 
296.9
 
297.1
 
Subsidised export limits (WTO)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Beef 6
kt cwe
989.6
 
989.6
 
989.6
 
989.6
 
989.6
 
989.6
 
989.6
 
989.6
 
989.6
 
989.6
 
989.6
 
Pigmeat 6
kt cwe
588.4
 
588.4
 
588.4
 
588.4
 
588.4
 
588.4
 
588.4
 
588.4
 
588.4
 
588.4
 
588.4
 
Poultry meat
kt cwe
430.8
 
430.8
 
430.8
 
430.8
 
430.8
 
430.8
 
430.8
 
430.8
 
430.8
 
430.8
 
430.8
 
JAPAN 7
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Beef stabilisation prices
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Upper price
JPY/kg dw
1 078.3
 
1 105.0
 
1 105.0
 
1 105.0
 
1 105.0
 
1 105.0
 
1 105.0
 
1 105.0
 
1 105.0
 
1 105.0
 
1 105.0
 
Lower price
JPY/kg dw
830.0
 
850.0
 
850.0
 
850.0
 
850.0
 
850.0
 
850.0
 
850.0
 
850.0
 
850.0
 
850.0
 
Beef tariff
%
38.5
 
38.5
 
38.5
 
38.5
 
38.5
 
38.5
 
38.5
 
38.5
 
38.5
 
38.5
 
38.5
 
Pigmeat stabilisation prices
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Upper price
JPY/kg dw
555.0
 
570.0
 
570.0
 
570.0
 
570.0
 
570.0
 
570.0
 
570.0
 
570.0
 
570.0
 
570.0
 
Lower price
JPY/kg dw
410.0
 
425.0
 
425.0
 
425.0
 
425.0
 
425.0
 
425.0
 
425.0
 
425.0
 
425.0
 
425.0
 
Pig meat import system
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Tariff
%
4.3
 
4.3
 
4.3
 
4.3
 
4.3
 
4.3
 
4.3
 
4.3
 
4.3
 
4.3
 
4.3
 
Standard import price
JPY/kg dw
409.9
 
409.9
 
409.9
 
409.9
 
409.9
 
409.9
 
409.9
 
409.9
 
409.9
 
409.9
 
409.9
 
Poultry meat tariff
%
7.4
 
7.4
 
7.4
 
7.4
 
7.4
 
7.4
 
7.4
 
7.4
 
7.4
 
7.4
 
7.4
 
KOREA
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Beef tariff
%
40.0
 
40.0
 
40.0
 
40.0
 
40.0
 
40.0
 
40.0
 
40.0
 
40.0
 
40.0
 
40.0
 
Beef mark-up
%
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
Pigmeat tariff
%
23.8
 
23.8
 
23.8
 
23.8
 
23.8
 
23.8
 
23.8
 
23.8
 
23.8
 
23.8
 
23.8
 
Poultry meat tariff
%
21.0
 
21.0
 
21.0
 
21.0
 
21.0
 
21.0
 
21.0
 
21.0
 
21.0
 
21.0
 
21.0
 
MEXICO
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Pigmeat tariff
%
45.0
 
45.0
 
45.0
 
45.0
 
45.0
 
45.0
 
45.0
 
45.0
 
45.0
 
45.0
 
45.0
 
Pigmeat NAFTA tariff
%
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
Poultry meat tariff-quota
kt pw
213.5
 
300.0
 
300.0
 
300.0
 
300.0
 
300.0
 
300.0
 
300.0
 
300.0
 
300.0
 
300.0
 
In-quota tariff
%
16.7
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
Out-of-quota tariff
%
186.3
 
125.0
 
100.0
 
75.0
 
75.0
 
75.0
 
75.0
 
75.0
 
75.0
 
75.0
 
75.0
 
RUSSIAN FEDERATION
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Beef tariff-quota
kt pw
566.7
 
570.0
 
570.0
 
570.0
 
570.0
 
570.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
In-quota tariff
%
15.0
 
15.0
 
15.0
 
15.0
 
15.0
 
15.0
 
27.5
 
27.5
 
27.5
 
27.5
 
27.5
 
Out-of-quota tariff
%
51.7
 
55.0
 
55.0
 
55.0
 
55.0
 
55.0
 
27.5
 
27.5
 
27.5
 
27.5
 
27.5
 
Pigmeat tariff-quota
kt pw
430.0
 
430.0
 
430.0
 
430.0
 
430.0
 
430.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
In-quota tariff
%
10.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
25.0
 
25.0
 
25.0
 
25.0
 
25.0
 
Out-of-quota tariff
%
71.7
 
65.0
 
65.0
 
65.0
 
65.0
 
65.0
 
25.0
 
25.0
 
25.0
 
25.0
 
25.0
 
Poultry tariff-quota
kt pw
352.7
 
364.0
 
354.0
 
354.0
 
354.0
 
354.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
In-quota tariff
%
25.0
 
25.0
 
25.0
 
25.0
 
25.0
 
25.0
 
37.5
 
37.5
 
37.5
 
38.0
 
38.0
 
Out-of-quota tariff
%
80.0
 
80.0
 
80.0
 
80.0
 
80.0
 
80.0
 
37.5
 
37.5
 
37.5
 
38.0
 
38.0
 
UNITED STATES
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Beef tariff-quota
kt pw
696.6
 
696.6
 
696.6
 
696.6
 
696.6
 
696.6
 
696.6
 
696.6
 
696.6
 
696.6
 
696.6
 
In-quota tariff
%
4.8
 
4.8
 
4.8
 
4.8
 
4.8
 
4.8
 
4.8
 
4.8
 
4.8
 
4.8
 
4.8
 
Out-of-quota tariff
%
26.4
 
26.4
 
26.4
 
26.4
 
26.4
 
26.4
 
26.4
 
26.4
 
26.4
 
26.4
 
26.4
 
CHINA
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Beef tariff
%
15.5
 
15.5
 
15.5
 
15.5
 
15.5
 
15.5
 
15.5
 
15.5
 
15.5
 
15.5
 
15.5
 
Pigmeat tariff
%
16.0
 
16.0
 
16.0
 
16.0
 
16.0
 
16.0
 
16.0
 
16.0
 
16.0
 
16.0
 
16.0
 
Sheep meat tariff
%
15.0
 
15.0
 
15.0
 
15.0
 
15.0
 
15.0
 
15.0
 
15.0
 
15.0
 
15.0
 
15.0
 
Poultry meat tariff
%
19.1
 
19.1
 
19.1
 
19.1
 
19.1
 
19.1
 
19.1
 
19.1
 
19.1
 
19.1
 
19.1
 
INDIA
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Beef tariff
%
100.0
 
100.0
 
100.0
 
100.0
 
100.0
 
100.0
 
100.0
 
100.0
 
100.0
 
100.0
 
100.0
 
Pigmeat tariff
%
100.0
 
100.0
 
100.0
 
100.0
 
100.0
 
100.0
 
100.0
 
100.0
 
100.0
 
100.0
 
100.0
 
Sheep meat tariff
%
91.9
 
91.9
 
91.9
 
91.9
 
91.9
 
91.9
 
91.9
 
91.9
 
91.9
 
91.9
 
91.9
 
Poultry meat tariff
%
87.0
 
87.0
 
87.0
 
87.0
 
87.0
 
87.0
 
87.0
 
87.0
 
87.0
 
87.0
 
87.0
 
Eggs tariff
%
150.0
 
150.0
 
150.0
 
150.0
 
150.0
 
150.0
 
150.0
 
150.0
 
150.0
 
150.0
 
150.0
 
SOUTH AFRICA
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Sheep meat tariff-quota
kt pw
6.0
 
6.0
 
6.0
 
6.0
 
6.0
 
6.0
 
6.0
 
6.0
 
6.0
 
6.0
 
6.0
 
In-quota tariff
%
20.0
 
20.0
 
20.0
 
20.0
 
20.0
 
20.0
 
20.0
 
20.0
 
20.0
 
20.0
 
20.0
 
Out-of-quota tariff
%
96.0
 
96.0
 
96.0
 
96.0
 
96.0
 
96.0
 
96.0
 
96.0
 
96.0
 
96.0
 
96.0
 
Note: Average 2012-14est: Data for 2014 are estimated.
Disclaimer: http://oe.cd/disclaimer
1.
Till 2014, EU farmers can be granted the Single payment scheme (SPS) or the Single area payment scheme (SAPS), which provides flat-rate payments independent from current production decisions and market developments. From 2015, it becomes the Basic payment scheme (BPS) and it shall account for 68% maximum of the national direct payment envelopes. On top of this, from 2015 onwards, new compulsory policy instruments are introduced: the Green Payment (30%) and young farmer scheme (2%).
2.
Implemented in 24 Member States.
3.
Implemented in 22 Member States.
4.
Price for R3 grade male cattle.
5.
Safety-net trigger.
6.
Includes live trade.
7.
Year beginning 1 April.
Source: OECD/FAO (2015), “OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook”,OECD Agriculture statistics(database). doi:dx.doi.org/10.1787/agr-outl-data-en

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