OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2015

This edition of the Agricultural Outlook – the twenty-first OECD edition and the eleventh prepared jointly with the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO) – provides projections to 2024 for major agricultural commodities, biofuels and fish. The 2015 report provides a special focus on prospects and challenges for Brazilian agriculture.
The market projections not only cover OECD member countries (European Union as a region) but also FAO member countries, notably Brazil, the Russian Federation, India, People's Republic of China and South Africa.
OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2015 - © OECD 2015
A.30 | Main policy assumptions for cotton markets | ||||||||||||
A.30 | Main policy assumptions for cotton markets | ||||||||||||
Marketing year | |||||||||||||
| | | Average 2012-14est | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 |
| ARGENTINA | ||||||||||||
| Export tax equivalent of export barriers | % | 5.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 |
| Tariff equivalent of import barriers | % | 7.5 | 7.5 | 7.5 | 7.5 | 7.5 | 7.5 | 7.5 | 7.5 | 7.5 | 7.5 | 7.5 |
| BRAZIL | ||||||||||||
| Producer Minimum Price, lint cotton | BRL/t | 3 202.2 | 3 660.0 | 3 660.0 | 3 660.0 | 3 660.0 | 3 660.0 | 3 660.0 | 3 660.0 | 3 660.0 | 3 660.0 | 3 660.0 |
| Tariff equivalent of import barriers | % | 8.0 | 8.0 | 8.0 | 8.0 | 8.0 | 8.0 | 8.0 | 8.0 | 8.0 | 8.0 | 8.0 |
| EUROPEAN UNION | ||||||||||||
| Area for coupled payment | kha | 301.7 | 301.7 | 301.7 | 301.7 | 301.7 | 301.7 | 301.7 | 301.7 | 301.7 | 301.7 | 301.7 |
| Coupled payment per ha 1 | EUR/ha | 900.0 | 830.0 | 830.0 | 830.0 | 830.0 | 830.0 | 830.0 | 830.0 | 830.0 | 830.0 | 830.0 |
| Tariff equivalent of import barriers | % | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| INDIA | ||||||||||||
| Minimum support price | INR/t | 38 500.0 | 38 500.0 | 40 271.1 | 41 452.8 | 43 061.4 | 44 677.5 | 46 327.2 | 48 169.3 | 51 031.4 | 51 031.4 | 51 031.4 |
| Tariff equivalent of import barriers | % | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| JAPAN | ||||||||||||
| Tariff equivalent of import barriers | % | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| KOREA | ||||||||||||
| Tariff equivalent of import barriers | % | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| MEXICO | ||||||||||||
| Tariff equivalent of import barriers | % | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| RUSSIAN FEDERATION | ||||||||||||
| Tariff equivalent of import barriers | % | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| UNITED STATES | ||||||||||||
| STAX participation rate | % | 0.0 | 95.0 | 95.0 | 95.0 | 95.0 | 95.0 | 95.0 | 95.0 | 95.0 | 95.0 | 95.0 |
| Loan rate, upland cotton | USD/t | 1 146.4 | 1 146.4 | 1 146.4 | 1 146.4 | 1 146.4 | 1 146.4 | 1 146.4 | 1 146.4 | 1 146.4 | 1 146.4 | 1 146.4 |
| CRP area | Mha | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 |
| Economic Adjustment Assistance payment level | USD/t | 66.1 | 66.1 | 66.1 | 66.1 | 66.1 | 66.1 | 66.1 | 66.1 | 66.1 | 66.1 | 66.1 |
| TRQ | kt | 73.2 | 73.2 | 73.2 | 73.2 | 73.2 | 73.2 | 73.2 | 73.2 | 73.2 | 73.2 | 73.2 |
| In-quota tariff | USD/t | 44.0 | 44.0 | 44.0 | 44.0 | 44.0 | 44.0 | 44.0 | 44.0 | 44.0 | 44.0 | 44.0 |
| Out-of-quota tariff | USD/t | 314.0 | 314.0 | 314.0 | 314.0 | 314.0 | 314.0 | 314.0 | 314.0 | 314.0 | 314.0 | 314.0 |
| CHINA | ||||||||||||
| TRQ | kt | 894.0 | 894.0 | 894.0 | 894.0 | 894.0 | 894.0 | 894.0 | 894.0 | 894.0 | 894.0 | 894.0 |
| In-quota tariff | % | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Out-of-quota tariff | % | 40.0 | 40.0 | 40.0 | 40.0 | 40.0 | 40.0 | 40.0 | 40.0 | 40.0 | 40.0 | 40.0 |
| TURKEY | ||||||||||||
| Tariff equivalent of import barriers | % | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Note: Marketing year: See Glossary of Terms for definitions. Average 2012-14est: Data for 2014 are estimated. | |||||||||||||
Disclaimer: http://oe.cd/disclaimer | |||||||||||||
If the area is higher than the ceiling, the amount is proportionally reduced. | |||||||||||||
Source: OECD/FAO (2015), “OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook”,OECD Agriculture statistics(database). doi:dx.doi.org/10.1787/agr-outl-data-en |