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OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2015

image of OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2015

This edition of the Agricultural Outlook – the twenty-first OECD edition and the eleventh prepared jointly with the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO) – provides projections to 2024 for major agricultural commodities, biofuels and fish. The 2015 report provides a special focus on prospects and challenges for Brazilian agriculture.

The market projections not only cover OECD member countries (European Union as a region) but also FAO member countries, notably Brazil, the Russian Federation, India, People's Republic of China and South Africa.

English French, Spanish, Chinese

From Chapter: Statistical Annex
.

Table B.1 - Information on food price changes

English French

OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2015 - © OECD 2015

‌B.1Information on food price changes
B.1Information on food price changes
  
‌‌
Total inflation % change
(year-on-year)
Food inflation % change
(year-on-year)
 2
Expenditure share of food
Food contribution to total change in inflation 3
‌2014‌
‌2015‌
‌2014‌
‌2015‌
‌2014‌
‌2015‌
‌2014‌
‌2015‌
OECD
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Australia 1
2.9
 
..
 
2.4
 
..
 
12.8
 
12.8
 
0.3
 
..
 
Austria
1.6
 
0.7
 
2.7
 
0.6
 
12.0
 
12.0
 
0.3
 
0.1
 
Belgium
1.1
 
-0.7
 
1.6
 
-0.8
 
17.4
 
17.4
 
0.3
 
-0.1
 
Canada
1.5
 
1.0
 
1.0
 
5.4
 
11.5
 
11.5
 
0.1
 
0.6
 
Chile
3.0
 
4.5
 
4.4
 
9.5
 
18.9
 
18.9
 
0.8
 
1.8
 
Czech Republic
0.2
 
0.1
 
3.9
 
-1.5
 
17.0
 
17.0
 
0.7
 
-0.3
 
Denmark
1.0
 
-0.1
 
-1.0
 
0.4
 
11.5
 
11.5
 
-0.1
 
0.0
 
Estonia
1.1
 
-1.3
 
2.5
 
-1.9
 
21.7
 
21.7
 
0.5
 
-0.4
 
Finland
1.6
 
-0.2
 
3.9
 
-1.4
 
13.4
 
13.4
 
0.5
 
-0.2
 
France
0.7
 
-0.4
 
0.1
 
-0.4
 
14.7
 
14.7
 
0.0
 
-0.1
 
Germany
1.3
 
-0.4
 
3.2
 
-1.0
 
10.4
 
10.4
 
0.3
 
-0.1
 
Greece
-1.5
 
-2.8
 
-0.8
 
-0.5
 
17.1
 
17.1
 
-0.1
 
-0.1
 
Hungary
-0.1
 
-1.5
 
-0.7
 
-1.2
 
19.6
 
19.6
 
-0.1
 
-0.2
 
Iceland
3.1
 
0.8
 
3.6
 
1.3
 
14.9
 
14.9
 
0.5
 
0.2
 
Ireland
0.2
 
-0.6
 
-1.7
 
-2.4
 
11.7
 
11.7
 
-0.2
 
-0.3
 
Israel
1.4
 
-0.5
 
2.7
 
-4.1
 
14.3
 
14.3
 
0.4
 
-0.6
 
Italy
0.7
 
-0.6
 
1.3
 
0.1
 
16.3
 
16.3
 
0.2
 
0.0
 
Japan
1.4
 
2.4
 
1.5
 
4.6
 
19.0
 
19.0
 
0.3
 
0.9
 
Korea
1.1
 
0.8
 
-1.8
 
2.0
 
14.4
 
14.4
 
-0.3
 
0.3
 
Luxembourg
1.5
 
-0.4
 
3.1
 
-0.6
 
11.1
 
11.1
 
0.3
 
-0.1
 
Mexico
4.5
 
3.1
 
4.9
 
5.4
 
18.9
 
18.9
 
0.9
 
1.0
 
Netherlands
1.4
 
0.0
 
0.6
 
-0.6
 
11.3
 
11.3
 
0.1
 
-0.1
 
New Zealand 1
1.5
 
..
 
0.5
 
..
 
17.4
 
17.4
 
0.1
 
..
 
Norway
2.3
 
2.0
 
3.1
 
2.4
 
13.3
 
13.3
 
0.4
 
0.3
 
Poland
0.7
 
-1.1
 
1.4
 
-3.9
 
24.1
 
24.1
 
0.3
 
-0.9
 
Portugal
0.1
 
-0.4
 
0.2
 
-0.1
 
18.1
 
18.1
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
Slovak Republic
0.0
 
-0.4
 
0.8
 
-1.9
 
18.4
 
18.4
 
0.2
 
-0.4
 
Slovenia
0.8
 
-0.5
 
1.6
 
-1.3
 
17.0
 
17.0
 
0.3
 
-0.2
 
Spain
0.2
 
-1.3
 
1.2
 
-0.4
 
18.2
 
18.2
 
0.2
 
-0.1
 
Sweden
-0.2
 
-0.2
 
0.3
 
1.5
 
13.9
 
13.9
 
0.0
 
0.2
 
Switzerland
0.1
 
-0.5
 
1.1
 
0.3
 
10.8
 
10.8
 
0.1
 
0.0
 
Turkey
7.8
 
7.2
 
10.9
 
11.0
 
26.8
 
26.8
 
2.9
 
2.9
 
United Kingdom
1.9
 
0.3
 
2.0
 
-2.5
 
11.8
 
11.8
 
0.2
 
-0.3
 
United States
1.6
 
-0.1
 
0.5
 
3.3
 
7.8
 
7.8
 
0.0
 
0.3
 
OECD Total
1.7
 
0.5
 
1.5
 
2.3
 
..
 
..
 
..
 
..
 
Enhanced Engagement
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Brazil
5.6
 
7.1
 
7.3
 
8.7
 
22.5
 
22.5
 
1.6
 
2.0
 
China
2.5
 
0.8
 
3.7
 
1.1
 
33.6
 
33.6
 
1.2
 
0.4
 
India
8.2
 
7.0
 
11.4
 
8.2
 
35.4
 
35.4
 
4.0
 
2.9
 
Indonesia
7.2
 
7.2
 
7.2
 
4.8
 
19.6
 
19.6
 
2.2
 
1.6
 
Russian Federation
6.1
 
15.0
 
6.7
 
23.4
 
32.8
 
32.8
 
2.2
 
7.7
 
South Africa
5.8
 
4.4
 
4.9
 
6.1
 
18.3
 
18.3
 
0.9
 
1.1
 
Non OECD
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Algeria
2.0
 
4.7
 
1.7
 
5.6
 
43.8
 
43.8
 
0.7
 
2.5
 
Argentina
13.7
 
21.0
 
12.6
 
23.6
 
20.3
 
20.3
 
2.6
 
4.8
 
Bangladesh
7.5
 
6.0
 
10.2
 
6.1
 
28.6
 
28.6
 
2.9
 
1.7
 
Bolivia
6.1
 
5.9
 
8.7
 
9.5
 
39.3
 
39.3
 
3.4
 
3.7
 
Botswana
4.3
 
3.7
 
3.6
 
2.3
 
23.7
 
23.7
 
0.9
 
0.5
 
Bulgaria
-2.2
 
-1.0
 
-1.8
 
-1.0
 
37.2
 
37.2
 
-0.7
 
-0.4
 
Colombia
2.0
 
3.8
 
1.2
 
5.4
 
34.7
 
34.7
 
0.4
 
1.9
 
Costa Rica
3.2
 
4.5
 
2.2
 
7.4
 
25.7
 
25.7
 
0.6
 
1.9
 
Dominican Republic
2.8
 
1.2
 
0.7
 
8.1
 
29.2
 
29.2
 
0.2
 
2.4
 
Ecuador
2.9
 
3.5
 
3.1
 
3.2
 
31.7
 
31.7
 
1.0
 
1.0
 
Egypt
11.3
 
10.7
 
18.5
 
8.2
 
26.3
 
26.3
 
4.9
 
2.2
 
El Salvador
0.8
 
-0.8
 
1.7
 
3.0
 
38.1
 
38.1
 
0.6
 
1.1
 
Ethiopia
7.8
 
7.7
 
10.9
 
8.2
 
57.0
 
57.0
 
6.2
 
4.7
 
Ghana
13.8
 
16.4
 
7.1
 
6.9
 
37.0
 
37.0
 
2.6
 
2.6
 
Guatelama
4.2
 
2.3
 
8.9
 
8.7
 
28.6
 
28.6
 
2.5
 
2.5
 
Haiti
3.4
 
6.6
 
3.2
 
5.8
 
50.4
 
50.4
 
1.6
 
2.9
 
Honduras
6.0
 
3.8
 
5.1
 
6.6
 
31.8
 
31.8
 
1.6
 
2.1
 
Hong Kong, China
4.6
 
4.1
 
4.2
 
3.7
 
16.1
 
16.1
 
0.7
 
0.6
 
Iraq
4.0
 
-0.4
 
10.2
 
-7.2
 
35.0
 
35.0
 
3.6
 
-2.5
 
Jordan
3.3
 
0.2
 
3.0
 
1.6
 
35.2
 
35.2
 
1.1
 
0.6
 
Kenya
7.2
 
5.5
 
10.1
 
7.7
 
36.0
 
36.0
 
3.7
 
2.8
 
Madagascar
6.1
 
6.1
 
6.4
 
4.9
 
60.0
 
60.0
 
3.8
 
2.9
 
Malawi
26.0
 
21.2
 
26.0
 
21.5
 
25.0
 
25.0
 
6.5
 
5.4
 
Malaysia
0.4
 
1.0
 
0.5
 
2.8
 
56.3
 
56.3
 
0.3
 
1.6
 
Moldavia
5.1
 
4.7
 
7.3
 
4.6
 
60.0
 
60.0
 
4.4
 
2.7
 
Morocco
0.5
 
1.6
 
-0.6
 
2.1
 
40.4
 
40.4
 
-0.2
 
0.8
 
New Caledonia
0.0
 
0.5
 
-0.7
 
1.4
 
21.0
 
21.0
 
-0.1
 
0.3
 
Nicaragua
5.4
 
5.2
 
9.9
 
4.9
 
26.1
 
26.1
 
2.6
 
1.3
 
Niger
0.1
 
0.8
 
0.3
 
0.0
 
29.0
 
29.0
 
0.1
 
0.0
 
Nigeria
8.0
 
8.2
 
9.3
 
9.2
 
51.8
 
51.8
 
4.8
 
4.8
 
Pakistan
8.4
 
3.9
 
8.4
 
2.2
 
45.5
 
45.5
 
3.8
 
1.0
 
Panama
3.4
 
0.9
 
4.5
 
-15.5
 
33.6
 
33.6
 
1.5
 
-5.2
 
Paraguay
3.9
 
3.4
 
4.8
 
4.0
 
39.1
 
39.1
 
1.9
 
1.6
 
Peru
3.1
 
3.0
 
2.8
 
1.8
 
29.0
 
29.0
 
0.8
 
0.5
 
Philipinnes
4.2
 
2.4
 
3.3
 
5.3
 
39.0
 
39.0
 
1.3
 
2.1
 
Romania
1.0
 
-0.1
 
-2.2
 
1.0
 
37.4
 
37.4
 
-0.8
 
0.4
 
Rwanda
3.2
 
0.4
 
4.2
 
0.2
 
48.4
 
48.4
 
2.0
 
0.1
 
Senegal
0.5
 
-2.4
 
0.3
 
-3.5
 
53.4
 
53.4
 
0.2
 
-1.9
 
Singapore
1.4
 
-0.3
 
3.0
 
2.4
 
8.5
 
8.5
 
0.3
 
0.2
 
Sri Lanka
4.4
 
3.2
 
1.3
 
12.0
 
41.0
 
41.0
 
0.5
 
4.9
 
Chinese Taipei
0.8
 
-0.9
 
1.0
 
4.5
 
16.6
 
16.6
 
0.2
 
0.7
 
Tanzania
6.0
 
4.0
 
6.0
 
4.9
 
33.6
 
33.6
 
3.8
 
3.1
 
Thailand
1.9
 
-0.4
 
3.6
 
2.3
 
33.0
 
33.0
 
1.2
 
0.8
 
Tunisia
5.0
 
5.9
 
5.9
 
7.1
 
33.8
 
33.8
 
2.0
 
2.4
 
Uganda
1.3
 
6.9
 
-3.3
 
11.1
 
27.2
 
27.2
 
-0.9
 
3.0
 
Uruguay
9.2
 
8.0
 
8.8
 
11.0
 
19.2
 
19.2
 
1.7
 
2.1
 
Zambia
7.3
 
7.7
 
5.9
 
7.4
 
52.5
 
52.5
 
3.1
 
3.9
 
..
Not available
Disclaimer: http://oe.cd/disclaimer
1.
No data available for January 2015 in Australia and New Zealand.
2.
CPI food: definition based on national sources.
3.
Contribution is food inflation multiplied by expenditure share, expressed in %.
Source: OECD and national sources.

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