OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2015
This edition of the Agricultural Outlook – the twenty-first OECD edition and the eleventh prepared jointly with the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO) – provides projections to 2024 for major agricultural commodities, biofuels and fish. The 2015 report provides a special focus on prospects and challenges for Brazilian agriculture.
The market projections not only cover OECD member countries (European Union as a region) but also FAO member countries, notably Brazil, the Russian Federation, India, People's Republic of China and South Africa.
OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2015 - © OECD 2015
A.27.1 | Fish and seafood projections: Production and trade | ||||||||||||
A.27.1 | Fish and seafood projections: Production and trade | ||||||||||||
Calendar year | |||||||||||||
| | PRODUCTION (kt) | Growth (%) 3 | IMPORTS (kt) | Growth (%) 3 | EXPORTS (kt) | Growth (%) 3 | ||||||
Average 2012-14est | 2024 | 2005-14 | 2015-24 | Average 2012-14est | 2024 | 2005-14 | 2015-24 | Average 2012-14est | 2024 | 2005-14 | 2015-24 | ||
| WORLD | 161 180 | 191 348 | 2.12 | 1.42 | 37 613 | 45 080 | 2.41 | 1.75 | 38 037 | 45 080 | 2.65 | 1.75 |
| DEVELOPED COUNTRIES | 28 472 | 29 821 | -0.56 | 0.40 | 20 854 | 24 053 | 0.77 | 1.45 | 12 820 | 16 178 | 1.82 | 2.02 |
| NORTH AMERICA | 6 599 | 6 931 | -0.40 | 0.62 | 5 582 | 7 530 | 1.06 | 2.62 | 2 969 | 3 975 | 0.50 | 1.77 |
| Canada | 1 016 | 1 140 | -3.06 | 1.09 | 614 | 967 | 0.26 | 3.17 | 740 | 1 131 | -3.55 | 3.02 |
| United States | 5 583 | 5 791 | 0.16 | 0.53 | 4 968 | 6 564 | 1.14 | 2.54 | 2 230 | 2 844 | 2.25 | 2.91 |
| EUROPE | 16 138 | 17 150 | 0.12 | 0.50 | 10 390 | 11 830 | 1.38 | 1.48 | 8 595 | 10 519 | 2.70 | -0.51 |
| European Union | 6 077 | 6 124 | -1.95 | -0.11 | 7 826 | 9 154 | 1.41 | 1.52 | 2 246 | 2 745 | -0.72 | -2.99 |
| Norway | 3 408 | 4 350 | 1.55 | 2.55 | 269 | 149 | 1.47 | -3.34 | 2 902 | 3 788 | 4.86 | 3.61 |
| Russian Federation | 4 501 | 4 658 | 4.64 | 0.24 | 1 226 | 1 448 | 1.44 | 2.41 | 1 942 | 2 613 | 4.61 | -0.13 |
| OCEANIA DEVELOPED | 774 | 820 | -1.94 | 0.58 | 599 | 717 | 3.75 | 2.27 | 497 | 436 | -1.05 | 3.79 |
| Australia | 239 | 286 | -1.61 | 1.37 | 545 | 666 | 3.64 | 2.47 | 64 | 51 | -3.07 | 3.59 |
| New Zealand | 535 | 534 | -2.09 | 0.17 | 54 | 51 | 4.88 | 0.00 | 433 | 385 | -0.74 | 1.47 |
| OTHER DEVELOPED 1 | 4 961 | 4 919 | -2.55 | -0.29 | 4 283 | 3 976 | -1.19 | -0.66 | 759 | 1 249 | 0.02 | -0.44 |
| Japan | 4 298 | 4 168 | -2.28 | -0.33 | 3 747 | 3 222 | -1.94 | -1.49 | 562 | 985 | 0.62 | 3.42 |
| South Africa | 542 | 591 | -5.35 | -0.39 | 239 | 427 | 12.60 | 6.34 | 164 | 228 | -0.43 | 0.00 |
| DEVELOPING COUNTRIES | 132 707 | 161 527 | 2.79 | 1.62 | 16 759 | 21 027 | 4.78 | 2.11 | 25 217 | 28 902 | 3.11 | 3.42 |
| AFRICA | 9 155 | 11 088 | 2.97 | 1.70 | 3 834 | 5 361 | 4.74 | 3.39 | 1 951 | 1 849 | 1.43 | -0.63 |
| NORTH AFRICA | 2 912 | 3 186 | 4.11 | 0.43 | 580 | 1 044 | 5.51 | 8.04 | 555 | 543 | 5.03 | 0.03 |
| Egypt | 1 443 | 1 754 | 6.38 | 1.04 | 302 | 595 | 2.12 | 10.06 | 14 | 21 | -3.51 | 0.00 |
| SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA | 6 243 | 7 902 | 2.48 | 2.27 | 3 253 | 4 317 | 4.59 | 2.51 | 1 396 | 1 306 | 0.31 | -4.20 |
| Ghana | 360 | 373 | -0.87 | 0.55 | 297 | 320 | -0.75 | 1.06 | 17 | 19 | -13.65 | 1.57 |
| Nigeria | 974 | 1 200 | 7.33 | 1.82 | 1 240 | 1 837 | 3.15 | 2.78 | 52 | 38 | 14.84 | 0.64 |
| LATIN AMERICA and CARIBBEAN | 14 336 | 15 927 | -3.52 | 1.46 | 2 293 | 3 189 | 8.43 | 3.01 | 4 213 | 4 886 | 0.49 | -0.31 |
| Argentina | 826 | 904 | -2.98 | 0.35 | 57 | 50 | 4.98 | 0.00 | 660 | 742 | -2.36 | 2.00 |
| Brazil | 1 289 | 1 688 | 2.89 | 2.08 | 783 | 1 148 | 14.35 | 3.47 | 43 | 38 | -11.45 | -1.40 |
| Chile | 3 293 | 3 750 | -6.18 | 0.88 | 119 | 120 | 14.08 | 0.00 | 1 452 | 1 886 | -0.89 | 3.68 |
| Mexico | 1 763 | 1 958 | 2.65 | 1.12 | 325 | 622 | 5.20 | 4.52 | 164 | 140 | 4.21 | 1.62 |
| Peru | 4 814 | 5 180 | -5.62 | 2.76 | 119 | 120 | 11.82 | -0.74 | 659 | 633 | 6.07 | 2.75 |
| ASIA and PACIFIC | 109 216 | 134 512 | 4.03 | 1.63 | 10 632 | 12 477 | 4.15 | 1.39 | 19 053 | 22 167 | 3.94 | 2.75 |
| China 2 | 59 537 | 75 424 | 4.25 | 1.80 | 3 341 | 3 383 | 4.77 | -0.78 | 7 618 | 9 345 | 3.69 | 2.43 |
| India | 9 250 | 11 591 | 4.32 | 1.68 | 21 | 25 | 8.96 | 0.00 | 1 027 | 919 | 8.09 | -4.63 |
| Indonesia | 9 668 | 12 282 | 6.33 | 1.82 | 174 | 178 | 21.26 | 1.19 | 1 352 | 1 974 | 4.56 | 5.70 |
| Korea | 2 082 | 2 122 | -0.09 | 0.18 | 1 540 | 1 591 | -0.38 | 0.12 | 686 | 423 | 7.32 | -3.39 |
| Philippines | 3 153 | 3 486 | 1.48 | 0.64 | 305 | 537 | 12.14 | 8.30 | 606 | 92 | 12.36 | -18.98 |
| Thailand | 2 936 | 3 151 | -4.32 | 0.72 | 1 700 | 1 980 | 3.11 | 1.68 | 2 150 | 2 834 | 0.30 | 2.95 |
| Viet Nam | 5 978 | 8 168 | 7.57 | 3.04 | 284 | 400 | 19.73 | 2.87 | 2 514 | 3 685 | 11.89 | 3.85 |
| LEAST DEVELOPED COUNTRIES (LDC) | 13 152 | 15 704 | 5.71 | 1.50 | 970 | 1 039 | 13.22 | 0.93 | 1 334 | 1 247 | 1.45 | -1.06 |
| OECD | 30 829 | 32 766 | -1.59 | 0.57 | 20 410 | 23 557 | 0.62 | 1.31 | 12 956 | 15 727 | 1.46 | 1.89 |
| BRICS | 75 120 | 93 953 | 4.15 | 1.69 | 5 610 | 6 431 | 5.10 | 0.93 | 10 794 | 13 143 | 3.99 | 1.84 |
Note: Fish: The term “fish” indicates fish, crustaceans, molluscs and other aquatic animals, but excludes aquatic mammals, crocodiles, caimans, alligators and aquatic plants. Imports and exports refer to trade of food fish i.e. for human consumption. Average 2012-14est: Data for 2014 are estimated. | |||||||||||||
Disclaimer: http://oe.cd/disclaimer | |||||||||||||
Includes Israel and also transition economies: Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan, Armenia, Azerbaijan and Georgia. | |||||||||||||
Refers to mainland only. The economies of Chinese Taipei, Hong Kong (China) and Macau (China) are included in the Other Asia Pacific aggregate. | |||||||||||||
Least-squares growth rate (see glossary). | |||||||||||||
Source: OECD/FAO (2015), “OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook”,OECD Agriculture statistics(database). doi:dx.doi.org/10.1787/agr-outl-data-en |