1887

OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2015

image of OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2015

This edition of the Agricultural Outlook – the twenty-first OECD edition and the eleventh prepared jointly with the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO) – provides projections to 2024 for major agricultural commodities, biofuels and fish. The 2015 report provides a special focus on prospects and challenges for Brazilian agriculture.

The market projections not only cover OECD member countries (European Union as a region) but also FAO member countries, notably Brazil, the Russian Federation, India, People's Republic of China and South Africa.

English French, Spanish, Chinese

From Chapter: Statistical Annex
.

Table A.5.1 - Coarse grain projections: Production and trade

English French

OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2015 - © OECD 2015

‌A.5.1Coarse grain projections: Production and trade
A.5.1Coarse grain projections: Production and trade
  Marketing year
‌‌
‌PRODUCTION (kt)‌
Growth (%) 4
IMPORTS (kt)
Growth (%) 4
EXPORTS (kt)
Growth (%) 4
Average
2012-14est
‌2024‌
‌2005-14‌
‌2015-24‌
Average
2012-14est
‌2024‌
‌2005-14‌
‌2015-24‌
Average
2012-14est
‌2024‌
‌2005-14‌
‌2015-24‌
WORLD
1 255 318
 
1 449 401
 
2.95
 
1.40
 
145 379
 
179 094
 
3.80
 
2.01
 
159 390
 
184 989
 
4.08
 
1.94
 
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES
645 839
 
729 795
 
1.81
 
0.97
 
40 674
 
38 042
 
1.38
 
1.18
 
95 449
 
120 108
 
1.20
 
1.81
 
NORTH AMERICA
368 005
 
421 411
 
1.61
 
1.03
 
4 781
 
4 202
 
-0.57
 
-0.56
 
48 666
 
66 594
 
-4.14
 
1.53
 
Canada
24 990
 
27 473
 
-0.51
 
1.50
 
863
 
1 500
 
-13.53
 
-1.96
 
6 079
 
5 884
 
2.98
 
1.98
 
United States
343 015
 
393 938
 
1.76
 
1.00
 
3 918
 
2 702
 
6.36
 
0.39
 
42 587
 
60 710
 
-4.96
 
1.49
 
EUROPE
245 684
 
273 940
 
2.07
 
0.90
 
14 541
 
11 108
 
9.35
 
5.17
 
37 699
 
44 939
 
13.05
 
2.48
 
European Union
158 010
 
170 180
 
0.92
 
0.56
 
13 218
 
10 068
 
12.17
 
6.32
 
10 186
 
11 529
 
4.05
 
4.19
 
Russian Federation
35 257
 
41 321
 
2.19
 
1.35
 
252
 
83
 
-7.28
 
-10.32
 
5 365
 
5 072
 
16.29
 
1.70
 
Ukraine
36 076
 
42 476
 
9.68
 
1.63
 
28
 
25
 
-5.50
 
-0.15
 
19 792
 
23 915
 
19.50
 
1.76
 
OCEANIA DEVELOPED
12 279
 
11 358
 
0.71
 
0.10
 
49
 
61
 
43.23
 
4.23
 
6 441
 
5 475
 
5.24
 
0.04
 
Australia
11 608
 
10 627
 
0.61
 
0.03
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
6 434
 
5 468
 
5.25
 
0.04
 
New Zealand
671
 
731
 
3.28
 
1.21
 
49
 
61
 
46.49
 
4.23
 
7
 
7
 
12.33
 
0.00
 
OTHER DEVELOPED 1
19 870
 
23 086
 
4.09
 
1.34
 
21 303
 
22 671
 
-1.09
 
-0.03
 
2 644
 
3 100
 
6.98
 
2.03
 
Japan
217
 
201
 
-0.52
 
-0.44
 
18 826
 
19 746
 
-1.19
 
-0.22
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
South Africa
13 962
 
16 154
 
5.23
 
1.47
 
172
 
134
 
-16.08
 
-0.76
 
2 282
 
2 759
 
11.96
 
2.99
 
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
609 479
 
719 606
 
4.29
 
1.84
 
104 705
 
141 052
 
4.89
 
2.24
 
63 940
 
64 881
 
10.42
 
2.17
 
AFRICA
104 312
 
133 421
 
3.28
 
2.36
 
19 318
 
24 194
 
3.91
 
2.36
 
5 365
 
4 024
 
14.07
 
-1.35
 
NORTH AFRICA
11 303
 
13 928
 
-0.49
 
1.55
 
15 755
 
19 205
 
5.51
 
2.07
 
50
 
48
 
-3.21
 
-0.69
 
Algeria
1 514
 
2 252
 
4.80
 
3.28
 
3 856
 
4 686
 
7.96
 
1.42
 
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
-0.10
 
Egypt
6 981
 
8 094
 
-2.55
 
0.90
 
7 040
 
8 517
 
6.51
 
2.35
 
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
-0.16
 
SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA
93 010
 
119 493
 
3.83
 
2.46
 
3 563
 
4 989
 
-1.45
 
3.57
 
5 315
 
3 977
 
14.42
 
-1.35
 
LATIN AMERICA and CARIBBEAN
166 640
 
186 966
 
5.52
 
1.91
 
28 521
 
39 084
 
3.24
 
1.87
 
51 711
 
56 137
 
12.49
 
2.47
 
Argentina
37 577
 
45 385
 
7.50
 
2.62
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
..
 
21 742
 
26 675
 
11.04
 
2.50
 
Brazil
78 979
 
89 181
 
7.93
 
2.12
 
1 250
 
801
 
2.04
 
-2.24
 
26 408
 
26 435
 
13.63
 
2.76
 
Chile
1 942
 
2 156
 
0.49
 
2.61
 
1 744
 
1 762
 
0.98
 
-0.44
 
142
 
155
 
4.29
 
0.44
 
Mexico
30 115
 
30 476
 
0.69
 
0.45
 
10 402
 
15 603
 
1.66
 
2.12
 
476
 
195
 
12.74
 
8.17
 
Uruguay
1 112
 
1 095
 
5.27
 
0.67
 
45
 
35
 
-11.50
 
2.57
 
100
 
117
 
1.59
 
-2.72
 
ASIA and PACIFIC
338 527
 
399 219
 
4.07
 
1.64
 
56 866
 
77 774
 
6.22
 
2.40
 
6 864
 
4 720
 
0.22
 
2.35
 
Bangladesh
2 315
 
2 952
 
16.80
 
1.99
 
30
 
101
 
-23.67
 
16.83
 
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
-4.92
 
China 2
222 265
 
259 536
 
4.84
 
1.37
 
9 476
 
17 896
 
29.00
 
4.15
 
249
 
325
 
-27.28
 
0.98
 
India
40 830
 
48 699
 
1.92
 
2.70
 
20
 
4
 
-6.85
 
-0.48
 
4 313
 
2 842
 
20.08
 
6.70
 
Indonesia
19 009
 
22 070
 
5.76
 
1.99
 
2 772
 
4 100
 
30.51
 
1.00
 
20
 
18
 
-17.02
 
-1.27
 
Iran, Islamic Republic of
4 527
 
6 339
 
-1.04
 
2.28
 
5 610
 
6 812
 
7.81
 
2.69
 
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
-0.19
 
Korea
213
 
205
 
-4.42
 
-1.08
 
9 332
 
11 147
 
0.86
 
1.58
 
0
 
0
 
3.73
 
0.00
 
Malaysia
55
 
45
 
3.09
 
-0.03
 
3 566
 
5 198
 
4.53
 
2.68
 
8
 
6
 
-0.94
 
-2.61
 
Pakistan
5 012
 
6 233
 
4.33
 
2.19
 
21
 
32
 
0.27
 
2.90
 
250
 
44
 
278.70
 
-5.90
 
Saudi Arabia
372
 
468
 
-0.70
 
2.50
 
11 209
 
13 036
 
4.84
 
1.88
 
0
 
0
 
0.00
 
-0.14
 
Turkey
13 303
 
16 082
 
0.16
 
1.84
 
1 630
 
2 465
 
17.38
 
2.86
 
176
 
267
 
-8.16
 
1.73
 
LEAST DEVELOPED COUNTRIES (LDC)
75 178
 
94 675
 
4.80
 
2.39
 
2 425
 
4 621
 
-1.57
 
4.60
 
5 790
 
3 310
 
16.76
 
-3.46
 
OECD 3
585 312
 
653 329
 
1.28
 
0.88
 
62 549
 
67 649
 
1.71
 
1.47
 
66 087
 
84 216
 
-2.36
 
1.76
 
BRICS
391 293
 
454 891
 
4.78
 
1.65
 
11 171
 
18 918
 
16.26
 
3.59
 
38 617
 
37 433
 
10.37
 
2.86
 
..
Not available
Note: Marketing year: See Glossary of Terms for definitions.
Average 2012-14est: Data for 2014 are estimated.
Disclaimer: http://oe.cd/disclaimer
1.
Includes Israel and also transition economies: Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan, Armenia, Azerbaijan and Georgia.
2.
Refers to mainland only. The economies of Chinese Taipei, Hong Kong (China) and Macau (China) are included in the Other Asia Pacific aggregate.
3.
Excludes Iceland but includes all EU28 member countries.
4.
Least-squares growth rate (see glossary).
Source: OECD/FAO (2015), “OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook”,OECD Agriculture statistics(database). doi:dx.doi.org/10.1787/agr-outl-data-en

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