1887

OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2015

image of OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2015

This edition of the Agricultural Outlook – the twenty-first OECD edition and the eleventh prepared jointly with the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO) – provides projections to 2024 for major agricultural commodities, biofuels and fish. The 2015 report provides a special focus on prospects and challenges for Brazilian agriculture.

The market projections not only cover OECD member countries (European Union as a region) but also FAO member countries, notably Brazil, the Russian Federation, India, People's Republic of China and South Africa.

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From Chapter: Statistical Annex
.

Table A.5.2 - Coarse grain projections: Consumption, feed use, per capita

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OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2015 - © OECD 2015

‌A.5.2Coarse grain projections: Consumption, feed use, per capita
A.5.2Coarse grain projections: Consumption, feed use, per capita
  Marketing year
‌‌
CONSUMPTION (kt)
Growth (%) 4
FEED USE (kt)
Growth (%) 4
PER CAPITA (kg)
Growth (%) 4
Average
2012-14est
‌2024‌
‌2005-14‌
‌2015-24‌
Average
2012-14est
‌2024‌
‌2005-14‌
‌2015-24‌
Average
2012-14est
‌2024‌
‌2005-14‌
‌2015-24‌
WORLD
1 214 979
 
1 440 131
 
2.42
 
1.35
 
694 740
 
850 663
 
1.57
 
1.64
 
28.0
 
29.9
 
0.57
 
0.70
 
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES
580 850
 
646 049
 
1.25
 
0.76
 
341 044
 
394 021
 
-0.69
 
1.25
 
21.6
 
21.5
 
-0.53
 
-0.22
 
NORTH AMERICA
317 193
 
358 977
 
2.11
 
0.88
 
143 405
 
181 609
 
-2.71
 
1.91
 
21.8
 
21.8
 
-1.57
 
-0.13
 
Canada
20 042
 
22 932
 
-2.06
 
1.12
 
14 194
 
16 440
 
-3.86
 
1.50
 
42.4
 
42.4
 
-6.90
 
-0.30
 
United States
297 150
 
336 045
 
2.44
 
0.87
 
129 211
 
165 169
 
-2.58
 
1.95
 
19.5
 
19.5
 
0.18
 
-0.10
 
EUROPE
219 096
 
240 132
 
0.35
 
0.66
 
169 257
 
182 555
 
1.31
 
0.79
 
21.3
 
21.0
 
-0.05
 
-0.40
 
European Union
158 604
 
168 908
 
0.35
 
0.48
 
120 533
 
123 696
 
0.84
 
0.54
 
19.0
 
19.4
 
0.26
 
0.20
 
Russian Federation
29 393
 
36 268
 
-0.02
 
1.14
 
26 134
 
32 633
 
4.12
 
1.40
 
20.5
 
17.9
 
-1.32
 
-2.58
 
Ukraine
16 317
 
18 511
 
2.51
 
1.34
 
10 878
 
12 941
 
3.52
 
1.78
 
45.0
 
45.1
 
0.71
 
0.08
 
OCEANIA DEVELOPED
6 082
 
5 944
 
-2.75
 
0.18
 
3 570
 
3 605
 
-5.62
 
0.40
 
16.2
 
13.4
 
0.07
 
-1.17
 
Australia
5 369
 
5 159
 
-3.43
 
0.01
 
2 980
 
2 946
 
-6.78
 
0.21
 
14.1
 
11.2
 
-1.60
 
-2.00
 
New Zealand
713
 
785
 
4.46
 
1.42
 
590
 
659
 
4.23
 
1.29
 
27.4
 
25.1
 
5.63
 
1.21
 
OTHER DEVELOPED 1
38 479
 
40 995
 
0.48
 
0.35
 
24 813
 
26 252
 
0.52
 
0.26
 
22.7
 
23.6
 
-0.47
 
0.20
 
Japan
19 072
 
18 332
 
-1.27
 
-0.60
 
13 927
 
13 102
 
-1.21
 
-0.90
 
6.2
 
7.1
 
-2.01
 
-0.03
 
South Africa
11 809
 
13 500
 
2.51
 
1.09
 
5 165
 
6 185
 
3.37
 
1.52
 
93.2
 
93.1
 
-0.45
 
0.01
 
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
634 129
 
794 082
 
3.61
 
1.85
 
353 696
 
456 642
 
4.23
 
1.98
 
29.5
 
31.7
 
0.74
 
0.80
 
AFRICA
118 456
 
153 140
 
3.24
 
2.39
 
27 270
 
36 408
 
4.30
 
2.43
 
71.5
 
71.2
 
0.25
 
0.14
 
NORTH AFRICA
26 874
 
32 992
 
2.54
 
1.74
 
19 267
 
24 436
 
3.21
 
1.99
 
39.5
 
38.2
 
-0.14
 
-0.28
 
Algeria
5 204
 
6 903
 
6.29
 
1.82
 
4 344
 
5 917
 
7.64
 
1.91
 
18.5
 
18.3
 
-0.66
 
0.07
 
Egypt
14 038
 
16 589
 
1.47
 
1.56
 
9 583
 
11 618
 
1.81
 
1.83
 
49.9
 
47.3
 
-0.17
 
-0.48
 
SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA
91 582
 
120 148
 
3.46
 
2.58
 
8 003
 
11 972
 
7.46
 
3.37
 
77.7
 
76.7
 
0.20
 
0.08
 
LATIN AMERICA and CARIBBEAN
139 749
 
168 830
 
2.96
 
1.49
 
92 398
 
112 944
 
3.58
 
1.61
 
53.2
 
54.6
 
0.77
 
0.15
 
Argentina
14 769
 
18 659
 
4.73
 
2.12
 
10 455
 
12 451
 
6.43
 
1.88
 
45.6
 
44.9
 
2.77
 
-0.08
 
Brazil
51 539
 
62 724
 
4.53
 
1.43
 
40 697
 
49 878
 
5.10
 
1.52
 
26.0
 
27.7
 
1.42
 
0.46
 
Chile
3 480
 
3 753
 
0.66
 
1.02
 
2 755
 
2 947
 
0.85
 
1.02
 
18.5
 
18.3
 
0.08
 
-0.01
 
Mexico
39 707
 
45 799
 
0.62
 
0.93
 
20 923
 
24 312
 
-0.05
 
0.91
 
130.0
 
134.0
 
0.55
 
0.06
 
Uruguay
888
 
1 010
 
2.75
 
0.67
 
316
 
386
 
2.42
 
1.07
 
22.8
 
22.8
 
-1.22
 
0.20
 
ASIA and PACIFIC
375 924
 
472 112
 
3.99
 
1.82
 
234 028
 
307 290
 
4.48
 
2.07
 
15.0
 
16.2
 
0.29
 
0.84
 
Bangladesh
2 301
 
3 043
 
13.19
 
2.12
 
1 367
 
1 914
 
20.27
 
2.45
 
4.6
 
4.9
 
4.35
 
0.69
 
China 2
219 948
 
277 696
 
4.86
 
1.70
 
145 861
 
192 758
 
5.43
 
1.95
 
11.3
 
12.3
 
1.43
 
0.81
 
India
36 272
 
45 631
 
1.04
 
2.56
 
5 927
 
8 311
 
4.58
 
3.63
 
20.5
 
22.7
 
-1.05
 
1.43
 
Indonesia
21 662
 
26 015
 
7.17
 
1.66
 
6 900
 
9 440
 
6.98
 
2.88
 
28.7
 
28.2
 
0.28
 
-0.13
 
Iran, Islamic Republic of
9 970
 
13 085
 
2.93
 
2.33
 
9 575
 
12 651
 
3.13
 
2.40
 
1.3
 
1.3
 
-1.24
 
0.06
 
Korea
9 239
 
11 304
 
0.36
 
1.20
 
7 022
 
9 024
 
0.19
 
1.55
 
4.5
 
4.4
 
-0.44
 
-0.17
 
Malaysia
3 612
 
5 232
 
4.71
 
2.64
 
3 445
 
5 059
 
4.93
 
2.74
 
1.6
 
1.5
 
-1.48
 
-0.03
 
Pakistan
4 999
 
6 197
 
4.87
 
2.05
 
2 078
 
2 724
 
4.91
 
2.75
 
9.3
 
9.9
 
0.85
 
0.64
 
Saudi Arabia
11 248
 
13 446
 
3.74
 
1.60
 
11 000
 
13 154
 
3.90
 
1.60
 
3.3
 
3.3
 
-1.77
 
0.02
 
Turkey
14 674
 
18 231
 
0.77
 
1.90
 
11 878
 
15 306
 
0.82
 
2.20
 
20.3
 
20.2
 
1.25
 
0.03
 
LEAST DEVELOPED COUNTRIES (LDC)
71 901
 
95 622
 
4.30
 
2.67
 
9 335
 
14 047
 
8.58
 
3.47
 
56.7
 
59.9
 
1.02
 
0.60
 
OECD 3
571 782
 
635 102
 
1.23
 
0.76
 
327 387
 
377 320
 
-1.08
 
1.24
 
28.3
 
29.6
 
0.17
 
0.28
 
BRICS
348 960
 
435 819
 
3.82
 
1.68
 
223 783
 
289 765
 
5.14
 
1.85
 
17.9
 
19.4
 
-0.02
 
0.90
 
Note: Marketing year: See Glossary of Terms for definitions.
Average 2012-14est: Data for 2014 are estimated.
Disclaimer: http://oe.cd/disclaimer
1.
Includes Israel and also transition economies: Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan, Armenia, Azerbaijan and Georgia.
2.
Refers to mainland only. The economies of Chinese Taipei, Hong Kong (China) and Macau (China) are included in the Other Asia Pacific aggregate.
3.
Excludes Iceland but includes all EU28 member countries.
4.
Least-squares growth rate (see glossary).
Source: OECD/FAO (2015), “OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook”,OECD Agriculture statistics(database). doi:dx.doi.org/10.1787/agr-outl-data-en

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