1887

OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2015

image of OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2015

This edition of the Agricultural Outlook – the twenty-first OECD edition and the eleventh prepared jointly with the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO) – provides projections to 2024 for major agricultural commodities, biofuels and fish. The 2015 report provides a special focus on prospects and challenges for Brazilian agriculture.

The market projections not only cover OECD member countries (European Union as a region) but also FAO member countries, notably Brazil, the Russian Federation, India, People's Republic of China and South Africa.

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From Chapter: Commodity snapshots
.

OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2015 - © OECD 2015

‌3.A1.8Biofuel projections: Ethanol
3.A1.8Biofuel projections: Ethanol
  
‌‌
PRODUCTION (mln L)
Growth (%) 1
DOMESTIC USE
(mln L)
Growth (%) 1
FUEL USE (mln L)
Growth (%) 1
SHARE IN GASOLINE TYPE FUEL USE (%)
NET TRADE (mln L) 2
Average
2012-14est
‌2024‌
‌2015-24‌
Average
2012-14est
‌2024‌
‌2015-24‌
Average
2012-14est
‌2024‌
‌2015-24‌
Energy share
Volume share
Average
2012-14est
‌2024‌
Average
2012-14est
‌2024‌
Average
2012-14est
‌2024‌
NORTH AMERICA
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Canada
1 853
 
2 039
 
0.08
 
2 880
 
3 034
 
0.52
 
2 880
 
3 034
 
0.52
 
4.7
 
5.1
 
6.8
 
7.4
 
-1 027
 
-996
 
United States
53 961
 
56 691
 
0.04
 
52 499
 
55 063
 
0.05
 
51 452
 
53 447
 
-0.07
 
6.7
 
7.2
 
9.7
 
10.4
 
1 416
 
1 621
 
of which second generation
0
 
1 273
 
..
 
..
 
..
 
..
 
..
 
..
 
..
 
..
 
..
 
..
 
..
 
..
 
..
 
EUROPE
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
European Union
6 896
 
9 491
 
2.19
 
7 783
 
11 074
 
3.51
 
5 419
 
8 568
 
4.78
 
3.1
 
5.4
 
4.5
 
7.8
 
-887
 
-1 583
 
of which second generation
67
 
430
 
..
 
..
 
..
 
..
 
..
 
..
 
..
 
..
 
..
 
..
 
..
 
..
 
..
 
OCEANIA DEVELOPED
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Australia
340
 
348
 
0.05
 
327
 
347
 
0.05
 
327
 
347
 
0.05
 
1.0
 
1.0
 
1.4
 
1.5
 
13
 
0
 
OTHER DEVELOPED
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Japan
356
 
361
 
0.00
 
1 338
 
1 774
 
1.50
 
887
 
1 298
 
2.11
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
-982
 
-1 413
 
South Africa
265
 
466
 
6.53
 
87
 
263
 
11.22
 
46
 
222
 
15.53
 
..
 
..
 
..
 
..
 
179
 
203
 
SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Mozambique
92
 
128
 
0.67
 
126
 
160
 
2.27
 
70
 
103
 
3.69
 
..
 
..
 
..
 
..
 
-34
 
-33
 
Tanzania
145
 
195
 
0.39
 
199
 
254
 
2.35
 
110
 
163
 
3.82
 
..
 
..
 
..
 
..
 
-53
 
-59
 
LATIN AMERICA AND CARRIBBEAN
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Argentina
664
 
1 750
 
6.21
 
598
 
1 130
 
3.65
 
495
 
1 023
 
4.13
 
4.1
 
7.9
 
5.9
 
11.3
 
65
 
620
 
Brazil
26 566
 
42 482
 
3.71
 
24 367
 
38 968
 
3.13
 
22 600
 
36 890
 
3.26
 
37.7
 
45.0
 
47.5
 
55.0
 
2 199
 
3 514
 
Colombia
417
 
536
 
3.01
 
531
 
695
 
2.96
 
460
 
621
 
3.33
 
..
 
..
 
..
 
..
 
-114
 
-159
 
Mexico
84
 
227
 
9.19
 
285
 
533
 
3.06
 
0
 
0
 
..
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
-200
 
-306
 
Peru
361
 
377
 
0.38
 
331
 
368
 
1.63
 
234
 
283
 
2.14
 
..
 
..
 
..
 
..
 
29
 
9
 
ASIA AND PACIFIC
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
China
8 064
 
8 898
 
1.54
 
8 185
 
9 334
 
2.10
 
5 294
 
6 153
 
2.16
 
3.0
 
1.9
 
4.4
 
2.7
 
-121
 
-436
 
India
2 081
 
2 317
 
0.14
 
1 943
 
2 426
 
1.37
 
1 138
 
1 595
 
2.10
 
..
 
..
 
..
 
..
 
138
 
-109
 
Indonesia
197
 
207
 
0.66
 
156
 
209
 
1.31
 
108
 
157
 
1.75
 
..
 
..
 
..
 
..
 
41
 
-2
 
Malaysia
0
 
0
 
-0.01
 
0
 
0
 
1.26
 
0
 
0
 
2.30
 
..
 
..
 
..
 
..
 
0
 
0
 
Philippines
191
 
294
 
0.64
 
519
 
736
 
2.43
 
462
 
663
 
2.71
 
..
 
..
 
..
 
..
 
-328
 
-442
 
Thailand
1 242
 
2 323
 
5.09
 
1 092
 
2 100
 
4.71
 
984
 
1 980
 
5.08
 
..
 
..
 
..
 
..
 
150
 
223
 
Turkey
104
 
118
 
0.24
 
160
 
170
 
1.08
 
105
 
117
 
1.57
 
..
 
..
 
..
 
..
 
-55
 
-52
 
Viet Nam
448
 
582
 
2.74
 
357
 
475
 
2.47
 
254
 
380
 
3.15
 
..
 
..
 
..
 
..
 
91
 
108
 
TOTAL
108 197
 
134 436
 
1.57
 
107 771
 
134 118
 
1.58
 
93 777
 
117 522
 
1.57
 
7.0
 
7.8
 
10.1
 
11.3
 
5 667
 
4 300
 
..
Not available
Note: Average 2012-14est: Data for 2014 are estimated.
Disclaimer: http://oe.cd/disclaimer
1.
Least-squares growth rate (see glossary).
2.
For total net trade, sum of all positive net trade positions.
Source: OECD/FAO (2015), “OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook”,OECD Agriculture statistics(database). doi:dx.doi.org/10.1787/agr-outl-data-en

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