1887

OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2019-2028

image of OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2019-2028

The Agricultural Outlook 2019-2028 is a collaborative effort of the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) and the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) of the United Nations. It brings together the commodity, policy and country expertise of both organisations as well as input from collaborating member countries to provide an annual assessment of the prospects for the coming decade of national, regional and global agricultural commodity markets.

This year's Special Feature will focus on agricultural development in Latin America.

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From Chapter: Statistical Annex
.

Table A.36 - Milk projections: Production, inventories, yield

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OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2019-2028 - © OECD 2019

‌C.36Milk projections: Production, inventories, yield
C.36Milk projections: Production, inventories, yield
  Calendar year
‌‌
PRODUCTION (kt)
Growth (%) 4
INVENTORIES ('000 hd)
Growth (%) 4
YIELD (t/head)
Growth (%) 4
Average
2016-18est
‌2028‌
‌2009-18‌
‌2019-28‌
Average
2016-18est
‌2028‌
‌2009-18‌
‌2019-28‌
Average
2016-18est
‌2028‌
‌2009-18‌
‌2019-28‌
WORLD
826 106
 
981 218
 
2.14
 
1.66
 
681 852
 
773 185
 
0.79
 
1.22
 
1.21
 
1.27
 
1.34
 
0.44
 
NORTH AMERICA
107 461
 
114 218
 
1.64
 
0.49
 
10 350
 
10 422
 
0.31
 
0.05
 
10.38
 
10.96
 
1.32
 
0.44
 
Canada
9 833
 
10 631
 
2.11
 
0.59
 
962
 
962
 
-0.07
 
-0.04
 
10.22
 
11.05
 
2.18
 
0.64
 
United States
97 628
 
103 587
 
1.60
 
0.47
 
9 387
 
9 460
 
0.35
 
0.06
 
10.40
 
10.95
 
1.24
 
0.42
 
LATIN AMERICA
81 756
 
98 155
 
1.49
 
1.59
 
41 367
 
44 413
 
-1.73
 
0.70
 
1.98
 
2.21
 
3.28
 
0.89
 
Argentina
10 314
 
11 616
 
0.02
 
0.97
 
1 738
 
1 699
 
-0.18
 
-0.12
 
5.94
 
6.84
 
0.20
 
1.09
 
Brazil
35 234
 
44 625
 
2.80
 
2.02
 
17 975
 
19 927
 
-3.29
 
1.03
 
1.97
 
2.24
 
6.30
 
0.99
 
Chile
2 030
 
2 111
 
-2.99
 
0.53
 
1 748
 
1 564
 
3.20
 
-0.98
 
1.16
 
1.35
 
-6.00
 
1.53
 
Colombia
7 101
 
7 307
 
1.69
 
0.18
 
5 097
 
4 556
 
-1.19
 
-1.34
 
1.39
 
1.60
 
2.92
 
1.54
 
Mexico
12 154
 
13 340
 
1.45
 
0.77
 
2 504
 
2 636
 
0.80
 
0.47
 
4.85
 
5.06
 
0.65
 
0.30
 
Paraguay
536
 
669
 
1.37
 
2.23
 
220
 
250
 
0.75
 
0.99
 
2.44
 
2.68
 
0.61
 
1.23
 
Peru
1 947
 
2 592
 
1.78
 
2.87
 
1 169
 
1 349
 
0.95
 
1.39
 
1.67
 
1.92
 
0.83
 
1.45
 
EUROPE
222 757
 
235 529
 
0.79
 
0.54
 
42 010
 
39 604
 
-0.67
 
-0.52
 
5.30
 
5.95
 
1.47
 
1.07
 
European Union 1
149 218
 
159 384
 
1.30
 
0.57
 
21 139
 
19 957
 
-0.31
 
-0.50
 
6.95
 
7.90
 
1.77
 
1.11
 
United Kingdom
15 405
 
16 375
 
1.32
 
0.63
 
1 908
 
1 908
 
0.59
 
-0.09
 
8.08
 
8.58
 
0.72
 
0.73
 
Russia
30 284
 
30 666
 
-0.84
 
0.34
 
8 258
 
7 713
 
-1.14
 
-0.65
 
3.67
 
3.98
 
0.30
 
1.00
 
Ukraine
10 294
 
9 657
 
-1.43
 
-0.36
 
2 890
 
2 294
 
-3.81
 
-1.99
 
3.56
 
4.21
 
2.48
 
1.67
 
AFRICA
43 779
 
53 245
 
0.10
 
2.16
 
218 354
 
257 094
 
0.47
 
1.62
 
0.20
 
0.21
 
-0.36
 
0.52
 
Egypt
5 632
 
6 168
 
-0.24
 
1.28
 
6 843
 
6 680
 
0.90
 
-0.14
 
0.82
 
0.92
 
-1.13
 
1.42
 
Ethiopia
3 540
 
4 513
 
-0.74
 
2.69
 
16 249
 
20 107
 
2.47
 
1.84
 
0.22
 
0.22
 
-3.13
 
0.83
 
Nigeria
574
 
664
 
1.62
 
1.53
 
2 271
 
2 407
 
1.58
 
0.32
 
0.25
 
0.28
 
0.03
 
1.21
 
South Africa
3 241
 
3 840
 
0.24
 
1.73
 
1 006
 
1 029
 
0.16
 
0.36
 
3.22
 
3.73
 
0.09
 
1.37
 
ASIA
339 153
 
447 167
 
3.82
 
2.70
 
363 069
 
415 029
 
1.51
 
1.27
 
0.93
 
1.08
 
2.28
 
1.41
 
China 2
34 689
 
37 076
 
-0.21
 
0.58
 
12 189
 
11 457
 
-0.18
 
-0.44
 
2.51
 
2.88
 
0.31
 
1.10
 
India
168 894
 
232 835
 
4.77
 
3.12
 
129 704
 
148 086
 
1.20
 
1.47
 
1.30
 
1.57
 
3.53
 
1.63
 
Indonesia
1 237
 
1 608
 
-1.07
 
2.74
 
15 199
 
17 896
 
4.07
 
1.39
 
0.08
 
0.09
 
-4.94
 
1.33
 
Iran
6 502
 
7 827
 
-1.12
 
1.90
 
19 996
 
21 646
 
-1.69
 
0.66
 
0.33
 
0.36
 
0.58
 
1.23
 
Japan
7 312
 
7 504
 
-0.79
 
0.29
 
847
 
837
 
-1.57
 
-0.06
 
8.63
 
8.97
 
0.79
 
0.35
 
Kazakhstan
5 177
 
5 969
 
-0.21
 
1.44
 
4 087
 
4 251
 
4.91
 
0.42
 
1.27
 
1.40
 
-4.88
 
1.02
 
Korea
2 069
 
2 288
 
0.25
 
0.95
 
250
 
257
 
0.22
 
0.26
 
8.26
 
8.91
 
0.03
 
0.68
 
Malaysia
87
 
113
 
2.04
 
2.55
 
105
 
117
 
-5.30
 
0.80
 
0.83
 
0.97
 
7.75
 
1.74
 
Pakistan
54 004
 
75 012
 
6.25
 
3.34
 
35 075
 
42 595
 
2.93
 
1.52
 
1.54
 
1.76
 
3.23
 
1.80
 
Philippines
22
 
21
 
4.86
 
-0.51
 
5
 
4
 
-0.49
 
-2.06
 
4.02
 
4.86
 
5.37
 
1.59
 
Saudi Arabia
2 461
 
2 843
 
4.45
 
1.38
 
4 820
 
4 781
 
2.41
 
-0.10
 
0.51
 
0.59
 
1.99
 
1.48
 
Thailand
1 106
 
1 250
 
2.81
 
1.11
 
235
 
214
 
-0.93
 
-0.66
 
4.71
 
5.85
 
3.77
 
1.78
 
Turkey
20 141
 
25 954
 
5.54
 
2.18
 
26 466
 
30 739
 
6.17
 
0.92
 
0.76
 
0.84
 
-0.60
 
1.25
 
Viet Nam
640
 
959
 
9.51
 
3.83
 
319
 
404
 
11.58
 
2.18
 
2.00
 
2.37
 
-1.85
 
1.62
 
OCEANIA
31 200
 
32 904
 
1.77
 
0.54
 
6 703
 
6 624
 
1.10
 
0.00
 
4.66
 
4.97
 
0.66
 
0.54
 
Australia
9 618
 
9 682
 
0.12
 
0.40
 
1 548
 
1 489
 
-0.67
 
-0.02
 
6.21
 
6.50
 
0.79
 
0.41
 
New Zealand
21 514
 
23 150
 
2.60
 
0.60
 
5 101
 
5 085
 
1.70
 
0.01
 
4.22
 
4.55
 
0.88
 
0.59
 
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES
395 573
 
424 049
 
1.16
 
0.65
 
80 873
 
81 336
 
0.33
 
0.06
 
4.89
 
5.21
 
0.83
 
0.59
 
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
430 534
 
557 169
 
3.11
 
2.51
 
600 979
 
691 849
 
0.85
 
1.37
 
0.72
 
0.81
 
2.24
 
1.12
 
LEAST DEVELOPED COUNTRIES (LDC)
26 738
 
34 313
 
-0.02
 
2.65
 
205 635
 
243 308
 
0.23
 
1.71
 
0.13
 
0.14
 
-0.25
 
0.93
 
OECD 3
354 050
 
381 394
 
1.55
 
0.65
 
72 949
 
75 910
 
2.03
 
0.22
 
4.85
 
5.02
 
-0.47
 
0.43
 
BRICS
272 343
 
349 042
 
3.00
 
2.40
 
169 130
 
188 212
 
0.42
 
1.19
 
1.61
 
1.85
 
2.57
 
1.19
 
Note: Calendar year; except year ending 30 June for Australia and 31 May for New Zealand. Average 2016-18est: Data for 2018 are estimated.
Disclaimer: http://oe.cd/disclaimer
1.
Refers to all current European Union member States except the United Kingdom.
2.
Refers to mainland only. The economies of Chinese Taipei, Hong Kong (China) and Macau (China) are included in the Asia aggregate.
3.
Excludes Iceland but includes all EU member countries
4.
Least-squares growth rate (see glossary).
Source: OECD/FAO (2019), “OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook”,OECD Agriculture statistics(database). doi:dx.doi.org/10.1787/agr-outl-data-en

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