1887

OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2021-2030

image of OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2021-2030

The OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2021-2030 is a collaborative effort of the Organisation for Economic Co-operation Development (OECD) and the Food and Agricultural Organization (FAO) of the United Nations, prepared with input from Member governments and international commodity organisations. It provides a consensus assessment of the ten-year prospects for agricultural commodity, fish and biofuel markets at national, regional and global levels, and serves as a reference for forward-looking policy analysis and planning.

The OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2021-2030 presents the trends driving food and agricultural markets over the coming decade. While progress is expected on many important fronts, in order to realize the 2030 Agenda and achieve the sustainable development goals (SDGs), concerted actions and additional improvements will be needed by the agricultural sector.

More information can be found at www.agri-outlook.org.

English Also available in: Chinese, Spanish, French

From Chapter: Statistical Annex

Table C.37 - Milk projections: Production, inventories, yield

English Also available in: French

OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2021-2030 - © OECD 2021

‌C.37Milk projections: Production, inventories, yield
C.37Milk projections: Production, inventories, yield
  Calendar year
‌‌
PRODUCTION (kt)
Growth (%) 1
INVENTORIES ('000 hd)
Growth (%)
YIELD (t/head)
Growth (%)
Average
2018-20est
‌2030‌
‌2011-20‌
‌2021-30‌
Average
2018-20est
‌2030‌
‌2011-20‌
‌2021-30‌
Average
2018-20est
‌2030‌
‌2011-20‌
‌2021-30‌
WORLD
851 046
 
1 019 691
 
1.91
 
1.75
 
714 635
 
800 198
 
1.12
 
1.08
 
1.19
 
1.27
 
0.79
 
0.66
 
NORTH AMERICA
110 189
 
125 096
 
1.57
 
1.07
 
10 417
 
10 647
 
0.38
 
0.09
 
10.58
 
11.75
 
1.18
 
0.98
 
Canada
10 565
 
12 015
 
2.81
 
1.17
 
1 050
 
1 182
 
1.32
 
-0.09
 
10.14
 
10.17
 
1.47
 
1.26
 
United States
99 624
 
113 081
 
1.44
 
1.06
 
9 367
 
9 465
 
0.27
 
0.11
 
10.64
 
11.95
 
1.17
 
0.95
 
LATIN AMERICA
80 926
 
95 762
 
0.46
 
1.62
 
39 167
 
41 635
 
-2.70
 
0.60
 
2.07
 
2.30
 
3.25
 
1.01
 
Argentina
10 545
 
11 877
 
-1.01
 
1.01
 
1 718
 
1 697
 
-0.20
 
-0.10
 
6.14
 
7.00
 
-0.81
 
1.11
 
Brazil
35 757
 
43 988
 
1.79
 
1.92
 
16 297
 
17 832
 
-4.89
 
0.91
 
2.19
 
2.47
 
7.03
 
1.00
 
Chile
2 037
 
2 418
 
-2.77
 
1.79
 
1 050
 
1 089
 
0.31
 
0.41
 
1.94
 
2.22
 
-3.07
 
1.38
 
Colombia
5 774
 
7 391
 
-1.59
 
2.80
 
5 644
 
6 414
 
-0.69
 
1.24
 
1.02
 
1.15
 
-0.90
 
1.54
 
Mexico
12 366
 
13 225
 
1.43
 
0.68
 
2 555
 
2 655
 
0.92
 
0.38
 
4.84
 
4.98
 
0.51
 
0.30
 
Paraguay
473
 
576
 
-1.14
 
2.03
 
213
 
238
 
-0.58
 
0.90
 
2.22
 
2.42
 
-0.56
 
1.12
 
Peru
2 102
 
2 806
 
2.16
 
2.91
 
1 171
 
1 373
 
0.39
 
1.48
 
1.80
 
2.04
 
1.76
 
1.42
 
EUROPE
225 955
 
233 935
 
0.89
 
0.35
 
40 796
 
37 754
 
-0.80
 
-0.67
 
5.54
 
6.20
 
1.71
 
1.03
 
European Union 2
152 216
 
160 972
 
1.28
 
0.48
 
20 552
 
19 201
 
-0.50
 
-0.54
 
7.29
 
8.23
 
1.89
 
1.01
 
United Kingdom
15 129
 
14 366
 
0.93
 
-0.05
 
1 878
 
1 770
 
0.57
 
-0.62
 
8.06
 
8.12
 
0.36
 
0.58
 
Russia
31 262
 
30 892
 
0.21
 
0.02
 
7 870
 
7 424
 
-1.32
 
-0.50
 
3.97
 
4.16
 
1.55
 
0.52
 
Ukraine
9 816
 
8 926
 
-2.01
 
-0.37
 
2 665
 
2 135
 
-4.01
 
-2.05
 
3.68
 
4.18
 
2.08
 
1.71
 
AFRICA
43 525
 
55 969
 
-0.72
 
2.69
 
232 533
 
262 447
 
1.38
 
1.24
 
0.19
 
0.21
 
-2.07
 
1.43
 
Egypt
4 499
 
5 252
 
-3.12
 
1.79
 
6 545
 
6 547
 
-0.25
 
0.40
 
0.69
 
0.80
 
-2.88
 
1.38
 
Ethiopia
2 758
 
4 304
 
-4.31
 
4.98
 
12 986
 
17 611
 
-1.08
 
3.12
 
0.21
 
0.24
 
-3.27
 
1.80
 
Nigeria
535
 
647
 
-0.90
 
2.22
 
2 327
 
2 476
 
-0.08
 
0.64
 
0.23
 
0.26
 
-0.82
 
1.57
 
South Africa
3 764
 
4 101
 
2.34
 
0.89
 
842
 
797
 
-1.54
 
-0.62
 
4.47
 
5.14
 
3.94
 
1.52
 
ASIA
359 546
 
477 617
 
3.59
 
2.74
 
385 355
 
441 581
 
1.70
 
1.25
 
0.93
 
1.08
 
1.86
 
1.48
 
China 3
36 469
 
40 467
 
0.26
 
0.51
 
13 500
 
13 439
 
-1.32
 
-0.39
 
2.40
 
2.71
 
1.91
 
0.97
 
India
191 476
 
266 674
 
5.30
 
3.20
 
145 473
 
175 483
 
2.47
 
1.78
 
1.32
 
1.52
 
2.76
 
1.40
 
Indonesia
1 514
 
1 980
 
0.38
 
2.80
 
14 600
 
17 220
 
2.74
 
1.49
 
0.10
 
0.12
 
-2.30
 
1.29
 
Iran
7 618
 
8 003
 
-0.69
 
0.65
 
20 380
 
17 803
 
-0.45
 
-1.06
 
0.37
 
0.45
 
-0.24
 
1.73
 
Japan
7 360
 
7 293
 
-0.25
 
-0.10
 
842
 
810
 
-1.24
 
-0.33
 
8.74
 
9.00
 
1.00
 
0.23
 
Kazakhstan
5 711
 
6 985
 
1.81
 
1.94
 
3 030
 
3 175
 
1.69
 
0.30
 
1.88
 
2.20
 
0.12
 
1.64
 
Korea
2 047
 
2 001
 
0.09
 
-0.35
 
258
 
254
 
0.24
 
-0.12
 
7.95
 
7.89
 
-0.14
 
-0.22
 
Malaysia
52
 
55
 
-6.65
 
0.58
 
105
 
95
 
-5.77
 
-1.22
 
0.49
 
0.58
 
-0.94
 
1.83
 
Pakistan
47 214
 
67 118
 
3.20
 
3.60
 
38 560
 
47 634
 
2.99
 
2.11
 
1.22
 
1.41
 
0.20
 
1.46
 
Philippines
15
 
17
 
-1.92
 
0.78
 
5
 
5
 
-0.05
 
-1.07
 
2.79
 
3.53
 
-1.87
 
1.88
 
Saudi Arabia
2 505
 
3 076
 
2.78
 
2.19
 
4 838
 
5 127
 
0.67
 
0.56
 
0.52
 
0.60
 
2.10
 
1.62
 
Thailand
655
 
716
 
-6.28
 
0.94
 
136
 
121
 
-5.49
 
-0.98
 
4.82
 
5.94
 
-0.84
 
1.94
 
Turkey
21 861
 
27 253
 
3.80
 
2.19
 
31 404
 
35 210
 
5.42
 
0.87
 
0.70
 
0.77
 
-1.54
 
1.31
 
Viet Nam
977
 
1 393
 
12.59
 
4.02
 
331
 
411
 
9.58
 
2.29
 
2.95
 
3.39
 
2.75
 
1.69
 
OCEANIA
30 905
 
31 311
 
0.95
 
0.06
 
6 367
 
6 135
 
-0.36
 
-0.27
 
4.86
 
5.10
 
1.32
 
0.33
 
Australia
9 246
 
9 056
 
-0.70
 
-0.02
 
1 422
 
1 392
 
-2.08
 
-0.27
 
6.51
 
6.51
 
1.41
 
0.26
 
New Zealand
21 636
 
22 234
 
1.77
 
0.09
 
4 913
 
4 717
 
0.25
 
-0.26
 
4.41
 
4.71
 
1.51
 
0.35
 
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES
403 931
 
435 996
 
1.20
 
0.70
 
75 573
 
75 285
 
-0.10
 
-0.03
 
5.35
 
5.79
 
1.29
 
0.74
 
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
447 115
 
583 695
 
2.60
 
2.60
 
639 062
 
724 913
 
1.27
 
1.21
 
0.70
 
0.81
 
1.31
 
1.37
 
LEAST DEVELOPED COUNTRIES (LDC)
27 158
 
34 326
 
0.29
 
2.56
 
218 082
 
241 317
 
0.98
 
1.01
 
0.12
 
0.14
 
-0.68
 
1.54
 
OECD 4
366 940
 
398 795
 
1.32
 
0.75
 
82 130
 
85 333
 
1.64
 
0.30
 
4.47
 
4.67
 
-0.31
 
0.45
 
BRICS
298 728
 
386 122
 
3.48
 
2.43
 
183 982
 
214 976
 
1.12
 
1.46
 
1.62
 
1.80
 
2.34
 
0.96
 
Note: Calendar year; except year ending 30 June for Australia and 31 May for New Zealand. Average 2018-20est: Data for 2020 are estimated.
Disclaimer: http://oe.cd/disclaimer
1.
Least-squares growth rate (see glossary).
2.
Refers to all current European Union member States (excludes the United Kingdom)
3.
Refers to mainland only. The economies of Chinese Taipei, Hong Kong (China) and Macau (China) are included in the Asia aggregate.
4.
Excludes Iceland and Costa Rica but includes all EU member countries.
Source: OECD/FAO (2021), “OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook”,OECD Agriculture statistics(database).dx.doi.org/10.1787/agr-outl-data-en

This is a required field
Please enter a valid email address
Approval was a Success
Invalid data
An Error Occurred
Approval was partially successful, following selected items could not be processed due to error