OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2019-2028
The Agricultural Outlook 2019-2028 is a collaborative effort of the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) and the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) of the United Nations. It brings together the commodity, policy and country expertise of both organisations as well as input from collaborating member countries to provide an annual assessment of the prospects for the coming decade of national, regional and global agricultural commodity markets.
This year's Special Feature will focus on agricultural development in Latin America.
OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2019-2028 - © OECD 2019
C.25.1 | Meat projections: Production and trade | ||||||||||||
C.25.1 | Meat projections: Production and trade | ||||||||||||
Calendar year | |||||||||||||
| | PRODUCTION (kt cwe) 4 | Growth (%) 5 | IMPORTS (kt cwe) 6 | Growth (%) 5 | EXPORTS (kt cwe) 6 | Growth (%) 5 | ||||||
Average 2016-18est | 2028 | 2009-18 | 2019-28 | Average 2016-18est | 2028 | 2009-18 | 2019-28 | Average 2016-18est | 2028 | 2009-18 | 2019-28 | ||
| WORLD | 323 876 | 364 383 | 1.74 | 1.09 | 33 028 | 39 262 | 3.05 | 1.48 | 33 577 | 39 762 | 3.01 | 1.39 |
| NORTH AMERICA | 49 220 | 55 216 | 1.09 | 0.79 | 2 674 | 2 840 | 3.11 | 0.70 | 9 177 | 11 054 | 1.35 | 1.25 |
| Canada | 4 833 | 5 268 | 0.43 | 0.60 | 638 | 728 | 0.44 | 1.03 | 2 005 | 2 309 | 1.28 | 0.89 |
| United States | 44 387 | 49 947 | 1.17 | 0.81 | 2 036 | 2 112 | 4.09 | 0.58 | 7 172 | 8 745 | 1.38 | 1.35 |
| LATIN AMERICA | 52 156 | 61 411 | 1.80 | 1.40 | 4 363 | 5 226 | 4.92 | 1.46 | 8 435 | 11 363 | 1.85 | 2.68 |
| Argentina | 5 498 | 6 706 | 1.67 | 1.52 | 52 | 51 | -5.30 | 0.30 | 494 | 1 141 | -3.21 | 5.90 |
| Brazil | 26 678 | 30 263 | 1.60 | 1.08 | 53 | 67 | 5.50 | 1.17 | 6 212 | 8 190 | 1.74 | 2.62 |
| Chile | 1 474 | 1 801 | 1.21 | 1.83 | 528 | 581 | 11.59 | 0.35 | 335 | 379 | 2.81 | 0.54 |
| Colombia | 2 739 | 3 542 | 3.99 | 2.26 | 192 | 294 | 15.51 | 2.50 | 27 | 57 | -2.21 | 3.54 |
| Mexico | 6 605 | 8 168 | 2.17 | 1.75 | 1 941 | 2 102 | 5.93 | 0.54 | 321 | 378 | 13.49 | 0.83 |
| Paraguay | 687 | 802 | 4.47 | 2.16 | 37 | 49 | 8.47 | 0.39 | 360 | 426 | 6.85 | 2.67 |
| Peru | 1 866 | 2 278 | 4.56 | 1.55 | 82 | 231 | 14.61 | 7.75 | 5 | 3 | -5.65 | -1.54 |
| EUROPE | 62 710 | 64 825 | 1.82 | 0.23 | 5 187 | 5 244 | -3.77 | -0.01 | 7 902 | 8 247 | 4.66 | 0.25 |
| European Union 1 | 43 462 | 43 986 | 1.06 | 0.05 | 1 594 | 1 667 | -1.15 | 0.25 | 6 002 | 6 206 | 3.79 | 0.21 |
| United Kingdom | 3 900 | 4 025 | 1.89 | 0.24 | 1 832 | 1 999 | 1.12 | 0.82 | 792 | 711 | 2.50 | -0.62 |
| Russia | 10 338 | 11 218 | 5.56 | 0.58 | 939 | 702 | -12.81 | -2.18 | 229 | 305 | 35.68 | 2.35 |
| Ukraine | 2 157 | 2 405 | 1.83 | 1.44 | 299 | 355 | -5.94 | -1.26 | 333 | 401 | 28.40 | 1.10 |
| AFRICA | 16 941 | 20 322 | 2.35 | 1.88 | 2 959 | 4 496 | 5.23 | 4.29 | 300 | 311 | 7.41 | 1.33 |
| Egypt | 2 081 | 2 763 | 2.15 | 2.43 | 438 | 645 | 7.22 | 3.74 | 7 | 8 | 8.54 | -0.41 |
| Ethiopia | 498 | 585 | -2.80 | 1.71 | 0 | 0 | .. | .. | 17 | 25 | 8.02 | 3.27 |
| Nigeria | 1 189 | 1 346 | 0.58 | 1.42 | 4 | 7 | -4.03 | 4.03 | 1 | 1 | .. | -1.97 |
| South Africa | 3 142 | 3 906 | 2.57 | 2.27 | 630 | 762 | 8.58 | 1.77 | 170 | 196 | 21.22 | 3.47 |
| ASIA | 136 393 | 155 282 | 1.84 | 1.35 | 17 327 | 20 826 | 5.17 | 1.47 | 4 574 | 5 138 | 7.05 | 0.84 |
| China 2 | 83 592 | 92 216 | 1.07 | 1.14 | 3 371 | 3 489 | 17.83 | -1.26 | 518 | 579 | -1.03 | 2.25 |
| India | 7 141 | 9 121 | 2.63 | 2.26 | 1 | 15 | -9.40 | 26.35 | 1 651 | 1 639 | 9.30 | 0.44 |
| Indonesia | 3 217 | 3 921 | 5.19 | 2.25 | 175 | 290 | 8.89 | 4.04 | 1 | 1 | -10.60 | -0.36 |
| Iran | 3 030 | 3 600 | 2.95 | 1.80 | 166 | 165 | -3.48 | -0.22 | 81 | 82 | 11.71 | 0.74 |
| Japan | 3 323 | 3 312 | 0.50 | -0.18 | 3 011 | 3 246 | 2.90 | 0.49 | 17 | 17 | 7.61 | -0.21 |
| Kazakhstan | 867 | 1 078 | 2.40 | 1.86 | 262 | 279 | 0.55 | 2.45 | 12 | 11 | 45.03 | -2.02 |
| Korea | 2 470 | 2 719 | 3.48 | 0.67 | 1 323 | 1 544 | 5.90 | 1.11 | 29 | 32 | -0.98 | 0.00 |
| Malaysia | 2 092 | 2 483 | 4.19 | 1.67 | 340 | 444 | 6.10 | 2.70 | 183 | 170 | 5.11 | -1.03 |
| Pakistan | 3 599 | 4 610 | 4.52 | 2.18 | 34 | 39 | 9.76 | 1.22 | 74 | 87 | 6.84 | 1.24 |
| Philippines | 3 504 | 4 276 | 2.75 | 1.85 | 542 | 924 | 9.68 | 4.43 | 11 | 7 | -6.99 | -0.47 |
| Saudi Arabia | 682 | 922 | 2.58 | 2.30 | 991 | 952 | 1.29 | 1.50 | 73 | 62 | 21.12 | -1.44 |
| Thailand | 2 923 | 3 546 | 2.10 | 1.54 | 25 | 22 | 8.18 | -1.33 | 1 129 | 1 537 | 7.20 | 2.14 |
| Turkey | 3 412 | 4 167 | 6.21 | 1.81 | 48 | 68 | 3.55 | -2.02 | 536 | 715 | 15.24 | 0.20 |
| Viet Nam | 4 970 | 6 014 | 3.00 | 1.80 | 1 465 | 1 957 | 8.69 | 3.54 | 38 | 12 | 5.77 | -8.28 |
| OCEANIA | 6 456 | 7 327 | 1.89 | 1.30 | 516 | 629 | 3.00 | 1.81 | 3 190 | 3 651 | 2.42 | 1.53 |
| Australia | 4 915 | 5 717 | 2.17 | 1.53 | 333 | 389 | 2.20 | 1.57 | 2 124 | 2 576 | 2.91 | 2.12 |
| New Zealand | 1 403 | 1 445 | 0.98 | 0.35 | 78 | 94 | 6.74 | 1.33 | 1 063 | 1 073 | 1.45 | 0.23 |
| DEVELOPED COUNTRIES | 128 554 | 138 978 | 1.56 | 0.59 | 12 582 | 13 459 | -0.14 | 0.60 | 20 491 | 23 191 | 2.81 | 0.94 |
| DEVELOPING COUNTRIES | 195 322 | 225 405 | 1.86 | 1.41 | 20 446 | 25 802 | 5.52 | 1.98 | 13 086 | 16 571 | 3.33 | 2.05 |
| LEAST DEVELOPED COUNTRIES (LDC) | 10 940 | 13 063 | 4.12 | 1.93 | 1 176 | 2 181 | 3.83 | 6.72 | 27 | 24 | -4.83 | -1.46 |
| OECD 3 | 121 749 | 132 333 | 1.36 | 0.63 | 13 587 | 14 804 | 2.93 | 0.66 | 20 415 | 23 153 | 2.63 | 0.88 |
| BRICS | 130 891 | 146 724 | 1.60 | 1.18 | 4 996 | 5 034 | 3.47 | -0.96 | 8 780 | 10 908 | 3.19 | 2.25 |
Not available | |||||||||||||
Note: Calendar year; except year ending 30 September for New Zealand. Average 2016-18est: Data for 2018 are estimated. | |||||||||||||
Disclaimer: http://oe.cd/disclaimer | |||||||||||||
Refers to all current European Union member States except the United Kingdom. | |||||||||||||
Refers to mainland only. The economies of Chinese Taipei, Hong Kong (China) and Macau (China) are included in the Asia aggregate. | |||||||||||||
Excludes Iceland but includes all EU member countries | |||||||||||||
Gross indigenous production. | |||||||||||||
Least-squares growth rate (see glossary). | |||||||||||||
Excludes trade of live animals. | |||||||||||||
Source: OECD/FAO (2019), “OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook”,OECD Agriculture statistics(database). doi:dx.doi.org/10.1787/agr-outl-data-en |