1887

OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2019-2028

image of OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2019-2028

The Agricultural Outlook 2019-2028 is a collaborative effort of the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) and the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) of the United Nations. It brings together the commodity, policy and country expertise of both organisations as well as input from collaborating member countries to provide an annual assessment of the prospects for the coming decade of national, regional and global agricultural commodity markets.

This year's Special Feature will focus on agricultural development in Latin America.

English French

From Chapter: Statistical Annex
.

Table A.30 - Main policy assumptions for meat markets

English French

OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2019-2028 - © OECD 2019

‌C.30Main policy assumptions for meat markets
C.30Main policy assumptions for meat markets
  
‌‌
‌‌
Average
2016-18est
‌2019‌
‌2020‌
‌2021‌
‌2022‌
‌2023‌
‌2024‌
‌2025‌
‌2026‌
‌2027‌
2028
ARGENTINA
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Beef export tax 1
%
2.7
 
8.2
 
8.2
 
..
 
..
 
..
 
..
 
..
 
..
 
..
 
..
 
CANADA
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Beef tariff-quota
kt pw
129.2
 
129.2
 
129.2
 
129.2
 
129.2
 
129.2
 
129.2
 
129.2
 
129.2
 
129.2
 
129.2
 
In-quota tariff
%
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
Out-of-quota tariff
%
26.5
 
26.5
 
26.5
 
26.5
 
26.5
 
26.5
 
26.5
 
26.5
 
26.5
 
26.5
 
26.5
 
Poultry meat tariff-quota
kt pw
92.5
 
96.4
 
98.6
 
99.2
 
100.3
 
101.4
 
102.2
 
103.0
 
103.6
 
104.2
 
104.8
 
In-quota tariff
%
5.0
 
5.0
 
5.0
 
5.0
 
5.0
 
5.0
 
5.0
 
5.0
 
5.0
 
5.0
 
5.0
 
Out-of-quota tariff
%
249.0
 
249.0
 
249.0
 
249.0
 
249.0
 
249.0
 
249.0
 
249.0
 
249.0
 
249.0
 
249.0
 
EUROPEAN UNION 2
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Voluntary coupled support
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Beef and veal 3
mln EUR
1 695
 
1 693
 
1 693
 
1 693
 
1 693
 
1 693
 
1 693
 
1 693
 
1 693
 
1 693
 
1 693
 
Sheep and goat meat 4
mln EUR
484
 
491
 
496
 
496
 
496
 
496
 
496
 
496
 
496
 
496
 
496
 
Beef basic price 5
EUR/kg dwt
2.2
 
2.2
 
2.2
 
2.2
 
2.2
 
2.2
 
2.2
 
2.2
 
2.2
 
2.2
 
2.2
 
Beef buy-in price 5,6
EUR/kg dwt
1.9
 
1.9
 
1.9
 
1.9
 
1.9
 
1.9
 
1.9
 
1.9
 
1.9
 
1.9
 
1.9
 
Beef tariff-quota
kt cwe
340.4
 
359.8
 
369.0
 
378.3
 
387.5
 
389.0
 
390.6
 
392.2
 
392.7
 
393.2
 
393.7
 
Pig tariff-quota
kt cwe
176.7
 
203.5
 
216.9
 
230.3
 
245.7
 
246.6
 
247.5
 
248.4
 
249.3
 
250.2
 
251.1
 
Poultry tariff-quota
kt rtc
1 011.5
 
1 017.9
 
1 021.1
 
1 024.3
 
1 026.3
 
1 028.4
 
1 030.5
 
1 032.5
 
1 034.6
 
1 036.7
 
1 038.7
 
Sheep meat tariff-quota
kt cwe
295.1
 
296.1
 
296.3
 
296.5
 
296.7
 
296.9
 
297.1
 
297.1
 
297.5
 
297.7
 
297.9
 
JAPAN 7
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Beef stabilisation prices
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Upper price
JPY/kg dwt
1 208.3
 
1 255.0
 
1 255.0
 
1 255.0
 
1 255.0
 
1 255.0
 
1 255.0
 
1 255.0
 
1 255.0
 
1 255.0
 
1 255.0
 
Lower price
JPY/kg dwt
905.0
 
925.0
 
925.0
 
925.0
 
925.0
 
925.0
 
925.0
 
925.0
 
925.0
 
925.0
 
925.0
 
Beef tariff
%
38.5
 
38.5
 
38.5
 
38.5
 
38.5
 
38.5
 
38.5
 
38.5
 
38.5
 
38.5
 
38.5
 
Pigmeat stabilisation prices
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Upper price
JPY/kg dwt
596.7
 
595.0
 
595.0
 
595.0
 
595.0
 
595.0
 
595.0
 
595.0
 
595.0
 
595.0
 
595.0
 
Lower price
JPY/kg dwt
441.7
 
440.0
 
440.0
 
440.0
 
440.0
 
440.0
 
440.0
 
440.0
 
440.0
 
440.0
 
440.0
 
Pig meat import system
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Tariff
%
4.3
 
4.3
 
4.3
 
4.3
 
4.3
 
4.3
 
4.3
 
4.3
 
4.3
 
4.3
 
4.3
 
Standard import price
JPY/kg dwt
409.9
 
409.9
 
409.9
 
409.9
 
409.9
 
409.9
 
409.9
 
409.9
 
409.9
 
409.9
 
409.9
 
Poultry meat tariff
%
7.4
 
7.4
 
7.4
 
7.4
 
7.4
 
7.4
 
7.4
 
7.4
 
7.4
 
7.4
 
7.4
 
KOREA
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Beef tariff
%
40.0
 
40.0
 
40.0
 
40.0
 
40.0
 
40.0
 
40.0
 
40.0
 
40.0
 
40.0
 
40.0
 
Pigmeat tariff
%
23.8
 
23.8
 
23.8
 
23.8
 
23.8
 
23.8
 
23.8
 
23.8
 
23.8
 
23.8
 
23.8
 
Poultry meat tariff
%
21.0
 
21.0
 
21.0
 
21.0
 
21.0
 
21.0
 
21.0
 
21.0
 
21.0
 
21.0
 
21.0
 
MEXICO 8
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Beef and veal tariff-quota
kt pw
220.0
 
220.0
 
220.0
 
220.0
 
220.0
 
220.0
 
220.0
 
220.0
 
220.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
In-quota tariff
%
50.0
 
50.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
Out-of-quota tariff 9
%
20.0
 
20.0
 
20.0
 
20.0
 
20.0
 
20.0
 
20.0
 
20.0
 
20.0
 
20.0
 
20.0
 
Poultry meat tariff-quota
kt pw
300.0
 
300.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
In-quota tariff
%
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
Out-of-quota tariff
%
83.3
 
75.0
 
75.0
 
75.0
 
75.0
 
75.0
 
75.0
 
75.0
 
75.0
 
75.0
 
75.0
 
RUSSIA
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Beef tariff-quota
kt pw
570.0
 
570.0
 
570.0
 
570.0
 
570.0
 
570.0
 
570.0
 
570.0
 
570.0
 
570.0
 
570.0
 
In-quota tariff
%
15.0
 
15.0
 
15.0
 
15.0
 
15.0
 
15.0
 
15.0
 
15.0
 
15.0
 
15.0
 
15.0
 
Out-of-quota tariff
%
53.3
 
55.0
 
55.0
 
55.0
 
55.0
 
55.0
 
55.0
 
55.0
 
55.0
 
55.0
 
55.0
 
Pigmeat tariff-quota 10
kt pw
430.0
 
430.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
0.0
 
In-quota tariff
%
..
 
..
 
25.0
 
25.0
 
25.0
 
25.0
 
25.0
 
25.0
 
25.0
 
25.0
 
25.0
 
Out-of-quota tariff
%
65.0
 
65.0
 
25.0
 
25.0
 
25.0
 
25.0
 
25.0
 
25.0
 
25.0
 
25.0
 
25.0
 
Poultry tariff-quota
kt pw
357.3
 
354.0
 
354.0
 
354.0
 
354.0
 
354.0
 
354.0
 
354.0
 
354.0
 
354.0
 
354.0
 
In-quota tariff
%
25.0
 
25.0
 
25.0
 
25.0
 
25.0
 
25.0
 
25.0
 
25.0
 
25.0
 
25.0
 
25.0
 
Out-of-quota tariff
%
80.0
 
80.0
 
80.0
 
80.0
 
80.0
 
80.0
 
80.0
 
80.0
 
80.0
 
80.0
 
80.0
 
UNITED STATES
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Beef tariff-quota
kt pw
696.6
 
696.6
 
696.6
 
696.6
 
696.6
 
696.6
 
696.6
 
696.6
 
696.6
 
696.6
 
696.6
 
In-quota tariff
%
4.8
 
4.8
 
4.8
 
4.8
 
4.8
 
4.8
 
4.8
 
4.8
 
4.8
 
4.8
 
4.8
 
Out-of-quota tariff
%
26.4
 
26.4
 
26.4
 
26.4
 
26.4
 
26.4
 
26.4
 
26.4
 
26.4
 
26.4
 
26.4
 
CHINA
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Beef tariff
%
15.5
 
15.5
 
15.5
 
15.5
 
15.5
 
15.5
 
15.5
 
15.5
 
15.5
 
15.5
 
15.5
 
Pigmeat tariff
%
16.0
 
16.0
 
16.0
 
16.0
 
16.0
 
16.0
 
16.0
 
16.0
 
16.0
 
16.0
 
16.0
 
Sheep meat tariff
%
15.0
 
15.0
 
15.0
 
15.0
 
15.0
 
15.0
 
15.0
 
15.0
 
15.0
 
15.0
 
15.0
 
Poultry meat tariff
%
19.1
 
19.1
 
19.1
 
19.1
 
19.1
 
19.1
 
19.1
 
19.1
 
19.1
 
19.1
 
19.1
 
INDIA
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Beef tariff
%
38.5
 
38.5
 
38.5
 
38.5
 
38.5
 
38.5
 
38.5
 
38.5
 
38.5
 
38.5
 
38.5
 
Pigmeat tariff
%
30.0
 
30.0
 
30.0
 
30.0
 
30.0
 
30.0
 
30.0
 
30.0
 
30.0
 
30.0
 
30.0
 
Sheep meat tariff
%
30.0
 
30.0
 
30.0
 
30.0
 
30.0
 
30.0
 
30.0
 
30.0
 
30.0
 
30.0
 
30.0
 
Poultry meat tariff
%
30.0
 
30.0
 
30.0
 
30.0
 
30.0
 
30.0
 
30.0
 
30.0
 
30.0
 
30.0
 
30.0
 
SOUTH AFRICA
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Sheep meat tariff-quota
kt pw
6.0
 
6.0
 
6.0
 
6.0
 
6.0
 
6.0
 
6.0
 
6.0
 
6.0
 
6.0
 
6.0
 
In-quota tariff
%
20.0
 
20.0
 
20.0
 
20.0
 
20.0
 
20.0
 
20.0
 
20.0
 
20.0
 
20.0
 
20.0
 
Out-of-quota tariff
%
40.0
 
40.0
 
40.0
 
40.0
 
40.0
 
40.0
 
40.0
 
40.0
 
40.0
 
40.0
 
40.0
 
..
Not available
Note: Average 2016-18est: Data for 2018 are estimated.
Disclaimer: http://oe.cd/disclaimer
1.
In Argentina, a temporary export tax is applied on all goods from September 4th 2018 until December 31st 2020.
2.
Since 2015 the Basic payment scheme (BPS) holds, which shall account for 68% maximum of the national direct payment envelopes. On top of this, compulsory policy instruments have been introduced: the Green Payment (30%) and young farmer scheme (2%).
3.
Implemented in 24 Member States.
4.
Implemented in 22 Member States.
5.
Price for R3 grade male cattle.
6.
Safety-net trigger.
7.
Year beginning 1 April.
8.
Intended for countries which whom Mexico has no free trade agreements.
9.
25% for frozen beef.
10.
Eliminated in 2020 and replaced by import tariff.
Source: OECD/FAO (2019), “OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook”,OECD Agriculture statistics(database). doi:dx.doi.org/10.1787/agr-outl-data-en

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