OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2019-2028

The Agricultural Outlook 2019-2028 is a collaborative effort of the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) and the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) of the United Nations. It brings together the commodity, policy and country expertise of both organisations as well as input from collaborating member countries to provide an annual assessment of the prospects for the coming decade of national, regional and global agricultural commodity markets.
This year's Special Feature will focus on agricultural development in Latin America.
Table A.35 - Fresh dairy products projections: Production and food consumption
Also available in: French
OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2019-2028 - © OECD 2019
C.35 | Fresh dairy products projections: Production and food consumption | ||||||||
C.35 | Fresh dairy products projections: Production and food consumption | ||||||||
Calendar year | |||||||||
| | PRODUCTION (kt) | Growth (%) 4 | FOOD CONSUMPTION (kg/cap) | Growth (%) 4 | ||||
Average 2016-18est | 2028 | 2009-18 | 2019-28 | Average 2016-18est | 2028 | 2009-18 | 2019-28 | ||
| WORLD | 413 766 | 509 466 | 2.08 | 2.00 | 55.0 | 60.9 | 0.94 | 1.05 |
| NORTH AMERICA | 26 212 | 24 418 | -1.53 | -0.47 | 72.6 | 62.6 | -2.26 | -1.17 |
| Canada | 2 896 | 2 842 | -0.93 | -0.13 | 79.1 | 71.0 | -1.91 | -0.92 |
| United States | 23 315 | 21 576 | -1.60 | -0.51 | 71.9 | 61.6 | -2.30 | -1.20 |
| LATIN AMERICA | 33 599 | 39 173 | -0.07 | 1.63 | 52.0 | 55.1 | -1.12 | 0.80 |
| Argentina | 1 548 | 1 668 | -1.17 | 0.52 | 29.0 | 27.8 | -1.70 | -0.37 |
| Brazil | 14 605 | 19 078 | 0.94 | 2.87 | 70.3 | 85.9 | 0.09 | 2.26 |
| Chile | 492 | 484 | -10.87 | 0.09 | 27.3 | 24.9 | -11.64 | -0.55 |
| Colombia | 6 023 | 6 241 | 1.99 | 0.15 | 122.8 | 118.5 | 1.03 | -0.46 |
| Mexico | 3 545 | 3 336 | -1.77 | -0.48 | 27.5 | 23.0 | -3.11 | -1.49 |
| Paraguay | 536 | 669 | 1.37 | 2.23 | 78.7 | 86.9 | 0.04 | 1.12 |
| Peru | 1 716 | 2 319 | 1.73 | 2.86 | 53.4 | 64.1 | 0.43 | 1.80 |
| EUROPE | 77 503 | 76 776 | -0.60 | -0.16 | 102.9 | 102.6 | -0.66 | -0.08 |
| European Union 1 | 38 118 | 38 211 | -0.16 | -0.03 | 83.7 | 83.6 | -0.14 | -0.03 |
| United Kingdom | 7 463 | 6 936 | 0.53 | -0.82 | 112.8 | 106.7 | -0.12 | -0.63 |
| Russia | 16 028 | 15 739 | -1.80 | -0.18 | 111.3 | 111.3 | -1.87 | 0.01 |
| Ukraine | 7 271 | 6 870 | -1.78 | -0.43 | 164.4 | 164.7 | -1.29 | 0.10 |
| AFRICA | 33 528 | 41 426 | 0.11 | 2.25 | 27.0 | 25.7 | -2.43 | -0.12 |
| Egypt | 1 418 | 1 650 | 0.19 | 1.98 | 14.5 | 14.2 | -1.90 | 0.40 |
| Ethiopia | 3 157 | 3 957 | -0.77 | 2.53 | 30.1 | 29.5 | -3.28 | 0.30 |
| Nigeria | 253 | 287 | 2.12 | 0.89 | 1.3 | 1.1 | -0.55 | -1.60 |
| South Africa | 2 628 | 3 046 | 0.42 | 1.27 | 46.3 | 48.0 | -0.92 | 0.28 |
| ASIA | 239 765 | 324 359 | 4.31 | 2.85 | 53.7 | 66.9 | 3.29 | 2.11 |
| China 2 | 23 344 | 26 181 | -1.53 | 0.97 | 17.0 | 18.8 | -1.65 | 0.86 |
| India | 113 835 | 160 360 | 5.35 | 3.24 | 85.0 | 107.7 | 4.09 | 2.27 |
| Indonesia | 774 | 902 | -2.99 | 1.50 | 2.9 | 3.1 | -4.16 | 0.63 |
| Iran | 565 | 679 | -10.11 | 0.17 | 7.0 | 7.7 | -11.18 | -0.51 |
| Japan | 4 286 | 4 428 | -0.51 | 0.30 | 33.6 | 36.1 | -0.39 | 0.67 |
| Kazakhstan | 4 653 | 5 208 | -0.27 | 1.09 | 255.7 | 259.9 | -1.73 | 0.25 |
| Korea | 1 377 | 1 346 | -0.02 | -0.24 | 27.0 | 25.6 | -0.42 | -0.49 |
| Malaysia | 87 | 113 | 2.04 | 2.55 | 2.8 | 3.1 | 0.34 | 1.34 |
| Pakistan | 45 510 | 64 979 | 7.38 | 3.55 | 231.0 | 273.8 | 5.20 | 1.85 |
| Philippines | 9 | 12 | 5.66 | 2.00 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 3.98 | 0.61 |
| Saudi Arabia | 1 132 | 1 296 | 9.87 | 0.59 | 34.4 | 33.5 | 7.05 | -0.78 |
| Thailand | 1 076 | 1 240 | 2.89 | 1.24 | 15.6 | 17.8 | 2.50 | 1.18 |
| Turkey | 14 715 | 18 665 | 6.28 | 1.88 | 182.3 | 213.4 | 4.63 | 1.33 |
| Viet Nam | 640 | 959 | 9.51 | 3.83 | 6.7 | 9.1 | 8.32 | 2.96 |
| OCEANIA | 3 159 | 3 313 | 1.79 | 0.37 | 72.0 | 65.4 | -0.28 | -0.89 |
| Australia | 2 604 | 2 707 | 1.50 | 0.30 | 106.5 | 97.7 | 0.06 | -0.79 |
| New Zealand | 535 | 582 | 3.62 | 0.67 | 50.9 | 49.8 | -1.78 | -0.27 |
| DEVELOPED COUNTRIES | 134 484 | 138 531 | -0.22 | 0.27 | 94.2 | 94.3 | -0.61 | 0.03 |
| DEVELOPING COUNTRIES | 279 282 | 370 935 | 3.35 | 2.73 | 45.9 | 53.8 | 2.01 | 1.60 |
| LEAST DEVELOPED COUNTRIES (LDC) | 20 882 | 27 595 | -0.28 | 2.89 | 24.7 | 25.5 | -2.60 | 0.63 |
| OECD 3 | 101 345 | 103 284 | 0.16 | 0.15 | 75.3 | 73.7 | -0.37 | -0.19 |
| BRICS | 170 441 | 224 403 | 2.91 | 2.62 | 54.2 | 67.1 | 2.12 | 2.08 |
Note: Calendar year; except year ending 30 June for Australia and 31 May for New Zealand. Average 2016-18est: Data for 2018 are estimated. | |||||||||
Disclaimer: http://oe.cd/disclaimer | |||||||||
Refers to all current European Union member States except the United Kingdom. | |||||||||
Refers to mainland only. The economies of Chinese Taipei, Hong Kong (China) and Macau (China) are included in the Asia aggregate. | |||||||||
Excludes Iceland but includes all EU member countries | |||||||||
Least-squares growth rate (see glossary). | |||||||||
Source: OECD/FAO (2019), “OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook”,OECD Agriculture statistics(database). doi:dx.doi.org/10.1787/agr-outl-data-en |