OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2019-2028

The Agricultural Outlook 2019-2028 is a collaborative effort of the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) and the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) of the United Nations. It brings together the commodity, policy and country expertise of both organisations as well as input from collaborating member countries to provide an annual assessment of the prospects for the coming decade of national, regional and global agricultural commodity markets.
This year's Special Feature will focus on agricultural development in Latin America.
OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2019-2028 - © OECD 2019
C.39.1 | Fish and seafood projections: Production and trade | ||||||||||||
C.39.1 | Fish and seafood projections: Production and trade | ||||||||||||
Calendar year | |||||||||||||
| | PRODUCTION (kt) | Growth (%) 4 | IMPORTS (kt) | Growth (%) 4 | EXPORTS (kt) | Growth (%) 4 | ||||||
Average 2016-18est | 2028 | 2009-18 | 2019-28 | Average 2016-18est | 2028 | 2009-18 | 2019-28 | Average 2016-18est | 2028 | 2009-18 | 2019-28 | ||
| WORLD | 172 268 | 196 324 | 2.37 | 1.09 | 41 524 | 45 759 | 1.45 | 1.06 | 41 237 | 45 769 | 1.86 | 1.06 |
| NORTH AMERICA | 6 457 | 6 510 | 0.87 | 0.19 | 5 888 | 6 526 | 1.09 | 1.30 | 2 788 | 2 515 | 0.48 | -0.14 |
| Canada | 1 040 | 1 094 | -0.71 | 0.63 | 641 | 641 | 0.23 | 0.13 | 823 | 827 | -0.32 | 0.37 |
| United States | 5 417 | 5 416 | 1.21 | 0.10 | 5 247 | 5 885 | 1.20 | 1.44 | 1 965 | 1 688 | 0.85 | -0.39 |
| LATIN AMERICA | 14 837 | 16 551 | -1.19 | 0.37 | 2 433 | 2 910 | 2.55 | 2.36 | 4 481 | 5 275 | 2.72 | 0.94 |
| Argentina | 815 | 931 | 0.03 | 0.90 | 70 | 70 | 3.70 | 0.00 | 593 | 666 | -1.02 | 0.53 |
| Brazil | 1 299 | 1 523 | 1.09 | 1.42 | 714 | 871 | 2.87 | 2.63 | 47 | 62 | 0.44 | 0.99 |
| Chile | 3 025 | 3 668 | -3.21 | 0.82 | 134 | 135 | 9.66 | 0.00 | 1 483 | 2 095 | 4.37 | 2.33 |
| Colombia | 183 | 211 | 0.98 | 0.98 | 219 | 276 | 3.78 | 2.48 | 41 | 47 | -9.34 | -0.25 |
| Mexico | 1 840 | 2 024 | 0.96 | 0.39 | 509 | 684 | 7.85 | 4.85 | 238 | 184 | 0.80 | -1.40 |
| Paraguay | 24 | 32 | 1.95 | 1.75 | 5 | 5 | 6.41 | 0.00 | 0 | .. | .. | .. |
| Peru | 5 109 | 5 312 | -2.55 | -0.66 | 135 | 133 | 4.17 | 0.00 | 556 | 584 | 0.11 | -1.81 |
| EUROPE | 17 741 | 19 220 | 1.30 | 0.56 | 11 421 | 11 994 | -0.01 | 0.50 | 10 027 | 11 132 | 1.14 | 0.56 |
| European Union 1 | 5 859 | 6 376 | 0.54 | 0.55 | 8 090 | 8 348 | 0.94 | 0.65 | 2 570 | 2 809 | 1.41 | 0.69 |
| United Kingdom | 930 | 963 | 2.27 | 0.31 | 1 271 | 1 381 | -0.39 | 0.87 | 885 | 825 | 0.60 | -0.56 |
| Norway | 3 591 | 3 890 | 0.44 | 0.38 | 269 | 226 | 1.67 | -1.39 | 2 830 | 3 049 | -0.09 | 0.20 |
| Russia | 4 994 | 5 537 | 2.51 | 1.08 | 758 | 942 | -6.73 | -0.06 | 2 224 | 2 899 | 3.58 | 1.74 |
| Ukraine | 109 | 135 | -9.43 | 0.81 | 432 | 459 | -3.78 | -0.57 | 16 | 22 | -21.93 | -3.23 |
| AFRICA | 11 684 | 13 264 | 3.80 | 1.13 | 4 432 | 5 906 | 1.13 | 2.98 | 2 736 | 2 178 | 4.79 | -2.09 |
| Egypt | 1 807 | 2 504 | 5.44 | 2.90 | 560 | 503 | 6.27 | -0.51 | 48 | 45 | 25.75 | 0.00 |
| Ethiopia | 55 | 80 | 16.05 | 2.95 | 2 | 2 | 12.22 | 0.00 | 1 | 1 | -8.41 | 0.00 |
| Nigeria | 1 155 | 1 282 | 5.24 | 0.71 | 627 | 986 | -11.96 | 5.87 | 7 | 4 | -18.50 | -5.06 |
| South Africa | 577 | 545 | 0.18 | -0.13 | 260 | 336 | 7.03 | 1.65 | 170 | 163 | -0.49 | 0.13 |
| ASIA | 119 899 | 138 955 | 3.02 | 1.30 | 16 676 | 17 707 | 2.62 | 0.59 | 20 174 | 23 590 | 1.82 | 1.86 |
| China 2 | 62 351 | 71 529 | 3.12 | 1.34 | 4 301 | 4 271 | 4.80 | -0.35 | 8 130 | 9 164 | 1.87 | 2.14 |
| India | 11 469 | 13 643 | 4.92 | 1.11 | 40 | 60 | 9.55 | 4.03 | 1 267 | 1 321 | 5.09 | -0.55 |
| Indonesia | 12 462 | 16 253 | 7.30 | 2.09 | 153 | 203 | -6.00 | 2.57 | 1 295 | 2 922 | 2.28 | 6.30 |
| Iran | 1 182 | 1 545 | 8.40 | 1.93 | 74 | 60 | 2.13 | 0.00 | 113 | 139 | 11.98 | 2.96 |
| Japan | 3 766 | 3 451 | -3.05 | -0.82 | 3 583 | 2 994 | -0.33 | -1.19 | 706 | 710 | 3.04 | 0.88 |
| Kazakhstan | 36 | 34 | -1.84 | 0.00 | 60 | 70 | -4.25 | 2.29 | 40 | 40 | -1.93 | 0.00 |
| Korea | 1 901 | 1 865 | -2.15 | -0.14 | 1 841 | 2 006 | 3.25 | 0.46 | 590 | 707 | -2.56 | 1.13 |
| Malaysia | 1 723 | 1 809 | -0.24 | 0.68 | 523 | 538 | 0.50 | -0.15 | 285 | 222 | -1.62 | -1.74 |
| Pakistan | 678 | 707 | 1.88 | 0.45 | 13 | 13 | 27.80 | 0.00 | 197 | 212 | 3.38 | 0.60 |
| Philippines | 2 727 | 2 755 | -2.06 | 0.33 | 518 | 607 | 11.34 | 1.60 | 406 | 322 | 3.96 | -0.46 |
| Saudi Arabia | 120 | 148 | 4.41 | 1.48 | 319 | 423 | 5.52 | 2.66 | 66 | 98 | 10.65 | 2.28 |
| Thailand | 2 376 | 2 613 | -4.03 | 0.98 | 1 924 | 2 193 | 2.08 | 1.46 | 1 827 | 2 244 | -4.47 | 1.99 |
| Turkey | 624 | 727 | -0.44 | 1.12 | 111 | 132 | 4.11 | 1.36 | 223 | 268 | 14.01 | 2.42 |
| Viet Nam | 7 034 | 8 499 | 5.06 | 1.69 | 336 | 414 | 11.62 | 2.00 | 2 846 | 3 197 | 7.34 | 1.21 |
| OCEANIA | 1 650 | 1 824 | 2.22 | 1.01 | 675 | 716 | 1.47 | 0.80 | 1 031 | 1 079 | 3.51 | 0.45 |
| Australia | 274 | 321 | 0.89 | 2.01 | 469 | 518 | 0.35 | 1.07 | 78 | 84 | 3.49 | 1.96 |
| New Zealand | 535 | 563 | -0.30 | 0.68 | 51 | 52 | 0.30 | 0.00 | 402 | 420 | -0.93 | 0.68 |
| DEVELOPED COUNTRIES | 29 603 | 30 921 | 0.55 | 0.33 | 21 983 | 22 784 | 0.30 | 0.54 | 14 229 | 15 075 | 1.00 | 0.46 |
| DEVELOPING COUNTRIES | 142 666 | 165 403 | 2.78 | 1.24 | 19 556 | 22 975 | 2.88 | 1.60 | 27 013 | 30 693 | 2.34 | 1.36 |
| LEAST DEVELOPED COUNTRIES (LDC) | 13 119 | 15 356 | 3.83 | 1.34 | 1 308 | 2 098 | 11.22 | 4.36 | 1 594 | 1 158 | 6.25 | -2.91 |
| OECD 3 | 28 824 | 30 378 | -0.53 | 0.29 | 22 525 | 23 357 | 1.03 | 0.66 | 12 793 | 13 668 | 1.02 | 0.61 |
| BRICS | 80 689 | 92 777 | 3.26 | 1.28 | 6 073 | 6 480 | 2.52 | 0.18 | 11 838 | 13 609 | 2.45 | 1.74 |
Not available | |||||||||||||
Note: Fish: The term “fish” indicates fish, crustaceans, molluscs and other aquatic animals, but excludes aquatic mammals, crocodiles, caimans, alligators and aquatic plants. Imports and exports refer to trade of food fish i.e. for human consumption. All data are in live weight equivalent. Average 2016-18est: Data for 2018 are estimated. | |||||||||||||
Disclaimer: http://oe.cd/disclaimer | |||||||||||||
Refers to all current European Union member States except the United Kingdom. | |||||||||||||
Refers to mainland only. The economies of Chinese Taipei, Hong Kong (China) and Macau (China) are included in the Asia aggregate. | |||||||||||||
Excludes Iceland but includes all EU member countries | |||||||||||||
Least-squares growth rate (see glossary). | |||||||||||||
Source: OECD/FAO (2019), “OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook”,OECD Agriculture statistics(database). doi:dx.doi.org/10.1787/agr-outl-data-en |