World Energy Outlook

International Energy Agency

2072-5302 (en ligne)
1026-1141 (imprimé)
Cacher / Voir l'abstract

The International Energy Agency’s annual energy projections. Based on scenarios, these projections compare what will happen if policies remain the same and what might happen if policies were improved. Each edition tends to have a particular geographical or policy focus.

World Energy Outlook 2012

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International Energy Agency

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12 nov 2012
Pages :
9789264181342 (PDF) ;9789264180840(imprimé)

Cacher / Voir l'abstract

Industry and government decision-makers and others with a stake in the energy sector all need WEO-2012. It presents authoritative projections of energy trends through to 2035 and insights into what they mean for energy security, environmental sustainability and economic development.

Oil, coal, natural gas, renewables and nuclear power are all covered, together with an update on climate change issues. Global energy demand, production, trade, investment and carbon dioxide emissions are broken down by region or country, by fuel and by sector.

Special strategic analyses cover
-What unlocking the purely economic potential for energy efficiency could do, country by country and sector by sector, for energy markets, the economy and the environment.
-The Iraqi energy sector, examining both its importance in satisfying the country’s own needs and its crucial role in meeting global oil and gas demand.
-An examination of the cost of delaying action on climate change.
-The water-energy nexus, as water resources become increasingly stressed and access more contentious.
-Measures of progress towards providing universal access to modern energy services.

There are many uncertainties; but many decisions cannot wait. The insights of WEO‑2012 are invaluable to those who must shape our energy future.

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Table des matières

1. Understanding the scenarios

-Defining the scenarioes
-Non-policy assumptions
--Economic growth
--Energy prices
--CO2 policies
2. Energy trends to 2035
-Global energy trends by scenario
-Energy trends in the New Policies Scenario
--Primary energy demand
--Energy supply and trade
--Energy-related CO2 emissions
--Economic implications
-US Developments redefining the global energy map
--Diverging trends in energy dependency
--The impact of unconventional gas
--The direction of oil trade and supply security
3. Oil Market Outlook
--Primatey oi demand trends
--Regional trends
--Sectoral Trends
--Special topic: heavy freight road transport
--Reserves and resources
--Production prospects
--Investment in oil and gas
4. Natural Gas Market Outlook
--Gas demand trends
--Regional trends
--Sectoral trends
--Reserves and resources
--Gas production prospects
--Focus on prospects for unconventional gas
--Inter-regional trade
--The pricing of internationally traded gas
5. Coal Market Outlook
--Overview of global demand trends
--Sectoral trends
--Regional trends
--Reserves and resources
--Overview of global supply trends
--Regional trends
-Coal markets and industry trends
--Developments in international pricing
--Cost and investment developments
6. Power Sector Outlook
-Electricity demand
-Electricity supply
--Capacity retirements and additions
--Fossil fuelled generation
--Nuclear power
--Transmission and distribution
--CO2 emissions
-Regional trends
-Focus on electricity prices
7. Renewable Energy Outlook
-Recent developemnts
-Outlook for renewable energy by scenario
-Outlook by type in the New Policies Scenario
--Focus on bioenergy
--Wind power
--Solar photovoltaics
--Other renewables for electricity and heat
-Cost of renewables
--Production costs
--Subsidies to renewables
--Integratio fo variable renewables into the electricity system
-Benefits of renewables
8. Climate change mitigation and the 450 Scenario
-Recent developments
-The world of the 450 scenario
--Comparison to other scenarios
--Primary energy demand and electricity generation in the 450 scenario
--Energy-related emissions and abatement
--Benefits fo the 450 scenario
-Carbon in energy reserves and energy infrastructure
--Potential CO2 emissions in fossil-fuel reserves
--Emissiosn lock-in
9. Energy efficiency: The current state of play

-The current status of energy efficiency
--Existing policies
--Barriers to energy efficiency deployment
-The outlook for energy efficiency
--Trends by region
--Trends by sector
--Role in reducing CO2 emissions
--Untapped economically viable potential in the New Policies Scenario
10. A blueprint for an energy efficient world
-The Efficient World Scenario
--Methodology and assumptions
-Energy marktes in the Efficient World Scenario
--Trends by fuel
--Energy intensity
--Energy prices
--Energy trade
--Investment and fuel savings
-Implications for the global economy
-Environmental implications
--Energy-related CO2 emissions
--Local pollution
-The role of energy efficiency in increasing energy access
-Building the Efficient World Scenario: A Blueprint for savings
11. Unlocking energy efficiency at the sectoral level
-The balance of sectoral opportunities
--Techno-economic potential and policy framework
--Trends by sub-sector
--Techno-economic potential and policy framework
--Trends by sub-sector
--Techno-economic potential and polity framework
--Trends by sub-sector
-Power generation and electricity demand
--Techno-economic potential and policy framework
12. Pathways to energy efficiency
-What is included in the profiles?
--How to read the profiles
-United States
-European Union
13. Iraq Today: Energy and the economy

-Iraq's energy sector
--Overview of energy supply
--Overview of energy demand
-The context for Iraq's energy development
--The economy
--Legal and institutional framework
--Environment and water
-Projecting future developments
14. Iraq oil and gas resources and supply potential
--Reserves and resources
--Crude oil conversion and bringing oil to market
--Water requirements
-Natural Gas
--Reserves and resources
-Oil and gas investment
15. Iraq: Fuelling future reconstruction and growth
-Overview of energy demand trends
-Outlook for the power sector in the Central Scenario
--Electricity demand
--Electricity generation
--Transmission and distribution
--Investment in the power sector
--Measuring the value of changes in the power sector
-Outlook for end-use sectors
--Buildings and other sectors
--Energy-related emissions
-High case
-Delayed case
16. Implications of Iraq's energy development
-Energy in Iraq's economic and social development
--The Central Scenario
--Economic development in the High and Delayed Cases
-Iraq's impact on international oil markets
--The Central Scenario
--Iraq's oil market impact in the High and Delayed Cases
-Iraq's impact on international gas markets
17. Water for energy
--Facing a more water constrained future
-Water for energy linkages
--Primary energy production
--Electricity generation
--The vulnerability of energy to water constraints
-Outlook for water requirements for energy production
-Regional stress points
--United States
18. Measuring progress towards energy for all
-Global status of modern energy access
-Outlook for energy access in the New Policies Scenario
--Access to electricity
--Acces to clean cooking facilities
-Energy for All Case
-Energy Development Index
--Energy development framework
--Results from the Energy Development Index
Annex A. Tables for scenario projections
Annex B. Policies and measures by scenario
Annex C. Definitions
Annex D. References

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