World Energy Outlook 2011
Agence Internationale de l'Energie
Date de publication
09 nov 2011
; 9789264124134 (imprimé)
World Energy Outlook 2011 brings together the latest data, policy developments, and the experience of another year to provide robust analysis and insight into global energy markets, today and for the next 25 years. This edition of the IEA’s flagship WEO publication gives the latest energy demand and supply projections for different future scenarios, broken down by country, fuel and sector. It also gives special focus to such topical energy sector issues as:
• Russia's energy prospects and their implications for global markets.
• The role of coal in driving economic growth in an emissions-constrained world.
• The implications of a possible delay in oil and gas sector investment in the Middle East and North Africa.
• How high-carbon infrastructure "lock-in" is making the 2°C climate change goal more challenging and expensive to meet.
• The scale of fossil fuel subsidies and support for renewable energy and their impact on energy, economic and environmental trends.
• A "Low Nuclear Case" to investigate what a rapid slowdown in the use of nuclear power would mean for the global energy landscape.
• The scale and type of investment needed to provide modern energy to the billions of the world’s poor that do not have it.
PART A: GLOBAL ENERGY TRENDS
1. Context and analytical framework
-Defining the scenarios
-Main non-policy assumptions
2. Energy projections to 2035
-Overview of energy trends by scenario
-Energy trends in the New Policies Scenario
3. Oil market outlook
-Impact of deferred upstream investment in the Middle East and North Africa
4. Natural gas market outlook
-Are we entering a Golden Age of Gas?
5. Power and renewables outlook
-Focus on T&D infrastructure
6. Climate change and the 450 Scenario
-Overview of trends in the 450 Scenario
-Implications of delayed action
PART B: OUTLOOK FOR RUSSIAN ENERGY
7. Russian domestic energy prospects
-Key assumptions for the Russian energy outlook
-Russian domestic energy outlook
8. Russian resources and supply potential
-Hydropower and other renewables
9. Implications of Russia’s energy development
-Energy and national economic development
-Eurasian and global energy security
-Environment and climate change
Comparing this Outlook with Russian scenarios and objectives
PART C: OUTLOOK FOR COAL MARKETS
10. Coal demand prospects
-Understanding the drivers of coal demand
11. Coal supply and investment prospects
-Overview of projections
-Understanding the drivers of coal supply
-Coal market and industry structure
-Focus on the New Policies Scenario
PART D: SPECIAL TOPICS
12. The implications of less nuclear power
-Why the Low Nuclear Case?
-The role of nuclear energy today
-What might cause expansion of nuclear capacity to slow?
-Implications of the Low Nuclear Case for the global energy landscape
-Meeting the global climate goal with less nuclear power generation
13. Energy for all
-Current status of modern energy access
-Outlook for energy access and investment in the New Policies Scenario
-Investment needed to achieve modern energy access for all
-Broader implications of achieving modern energy access for all
-Financing to achieve modern energy access for all
-Sources of financing and barriers to scaling up
-Implications for policy
14. Developments in energy subsidies
-Overview of energy subsidies
-Annex A. Tables for scenario projections
-Annex B. Policies and measures by scenario
-Annex C. Units, definitions, regional and country groupings, abbreviations and acronyms
-Annex D. References