Agricultural Commodity Price Volatility
An Overview
- Auteur(s):
- Marilyne Huchet-Bourdon1
- Author Affiliations
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- 1: AgroCampus Ouest, Rennes, France
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Date de publication
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06 déc 2011
- Bibliographic information
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- N°:
- 52
- Pages
- 52
- DOI
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10.1787/5kg0t00nrthc-en
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l'abstract
Recent years have witnessed a sharp increase in many commodity prices. This report examines the question of whether commodity price volatility has materially changed with the rapid run up in world prices in 2006-09, followed by an equally sharp decline in many commodity prices. The report analyses international price volatility for selected agricultural commodities over the past half-century and their relationship with crude oil, fertiliser and the euro-dollar exchange rates. The analysis utilises different data sources, frequency of price observations, periods of observation, price volatility measures and a number of statistical tests to examine the various dimensions of the issue.
- Mots-clés:
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agricultural markets,
correlation and causality,
price volatility