OECD Economic Outlook, Volume 2013 Issue 1
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OECD Economic Outlook, Volume 2013 Issue 1

The OECD Economic Outlook is the OECD’s twice-yearly analysis of the major economic trends and prospects for the next two years. The Outlook puts forward a consistent set of projections for output, employment, prices, fiscal and current account balances.

Coverage is provided for all OECD member countries as well as for selected non-member countries. This issue includes a general assessment, chapters summarising developments and providing projections for each individual country, a special chapter on growth prospects and fiscal requirements over the long term, and a statistical annex.

 

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OECD

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After contracting through 2012, the economy is expected to start expanding at a subdued pace in the course of 2013. Partly due to a rising participation rate, unemployment is projected to increase until mid-2014. As deleveraging, high uncertainty and poor business confidence will continue to weigh on private domestic demand, growth will hinge on exports and the current account surplus should widen further. Though moderated by economic slack, core inflation is projected to remain somewhat above 3% over the projection horizon as inflation expectations remain entrenched at a high level.

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