1887

2010 OECD Economic Outlook, Volume 2010 Issue 2

image of OECD Economic Outlook, Volume 2010 Issue 2

The OECD Economic Outlook analyses the current economic situation and examines the economic policies required to foster a sustained recovery in member countries. This issue covers the outlook to end-2012 for both OECD countries and selected non-OECD economies. Together with a wide range of cross-country statistics, the Outlook provides a unique resource to keep abreast of world economic developments.

In addition to the themes featured regularly, this issue contains a special chapter entitled “Fiscal consolidation: Requirements, timing, instruments and institutional arrangements. It addresses the following questions: How much budget consolidation is required in individual OECD countries to stabilise the ratio of government debt to GDP and what are the requirements to bring gross debt ratios to 60% of GDP? What factors should determine the appropriate speed of consolidation? What instruments should be employed for consolidation and what kind of public spending should be cut and what kind of taxes should be raised? What fiscal rules and institutions are most likely to foster consolidation?

English Also available in: French, German

United Kingdom

The economy is recovering from the recession, supported by both growing domestic demand and rising exports. The substantial but necessary fiscal tightening and weak real income growth create headwinds and growth is projected to remain subdued in 2011. The recovery will gain a bit more momentum in 2012 when exports are expected to increase further and business investment to grow more robustly. Unemployment is set to fall gradually. Inflation will remain above the 2% target through 2011 due to an initial boost from the rise in VAT, but is projected to fall below the target in 2012 when the effects of the increase in the VAT rate wane. Underlying inflation, excluding effects from changes in VAT, remains low due to significant economic slack.

English Also available in: French, German

Tables

Graphs

This is a required field
Please enter a valid email address
Approval was a Success
Invalid data
An Error Occurred
Approval was partially successful, following selected items could not be processed due to error