This June 2009 issue of OECD's twice-yearly OECD Economic Outlook provides analysis of recent economic developments and economic projections for OECD and major non-OECD countries through the end of 2010. Its comprehensive statistical annex is a useful reference tool for international economic comparisons. This issue finds that a recovery is in sight but that damage from the crisis is likely to be long-lasting.
Real GDP is contracting, largely reflecting a specialisation in export-dependent manufacturing. Falling investment and recession in major export markets are contributing to a sharp downturn this year, followed by a weak recovery in 2010, driven by the gradual pick-up of private consumption and export demand. Inflation is set to fall sharply, reflecting both the global recession and slower growth of administered prices.