OECD Economic Outlook, Volume 2006 Issue 2
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OECD Economic Outlook, Volume 2006 Issue 2

Twice a year, the OECD Economic Outlook analyses the major trends and examines the economic policies required to foster high and sustainable growth in member countries. Developments in major non-OECD economies are also evaluated. The present issue covers the outlook to end-2008. Together with a wide range of cross-country statistics, the Outlook provides a unique tool to keep abreast of world economic developments.

In addition to the themes featured regularly, this issue contains a special chapter entitled Has the rise in debt made households more vulnerable?, which addresses the following questions:

  • What factors explain the observed rise in household debt in many OECD countries?
  • Have asset price movements offset the impact on households’ financial positions?
  • Are some sectors or groups particularly vulnerable to adverse asset market or income developments?
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English
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Author(s):
OECD

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Real GDP growth will remain fairly robust, though moderating gradually over the projection period as the impulse from recent terms-of-trade gains diminishes. Growth will continue to be driven mainly by consumption, but investment growth is also expected to be relatively strong. Inflation is likely to decline despite continued rapid money-supply growth, as rising confidence in the rouble contributes to the rapid growth of money demand. However, inflationary pressures are likely to abate only gradually, given the government’s plans for further spending increases in 2007.
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