OECD Economic Outlook

Frequency :
Semiannual
ISSN :
1609-7408 (online)
ISSN :
0474-5574 (print)
DOI :
10.1787/16097408
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The OECD Economic Outlook is the OECD’s twice-yearly analysis of the major economic trends and prospects for the next two years.  Prepared by the OECD Economics Department, the Outlook puts forward a consistent set of projections for output, employment, prices and current balances based on a review of each member country and of the induced effect on each of them on international developments.

Coverage is provided for all OECD member countries as well as for selected non-member countries. Each issue includes a general assessment, chapters summarizing developments and providing projections for each individual country, three to five chapters on topics of current interest such as housing, and an extensive statistical annex with a wide variety of variables including debt. Subscribers to the print edition also have access to an online edition, published on internet six to eight weeks prior to the release of the print edition, and now available from Issue 1 from 1967 onwards.

Also available in: French, German
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OECD Economic Outlook, Volume 1998 Issue 1

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Author(s):
OECD
Publication Date :
08 June 1998
Pages :
324
ISBN :
9789264162976 (PDF) ; 9789264159570 (print)
DOI :
10.1787/eco_outlook-v1998-1-en

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The OECD Economics Department's economic projections covering the next two years. In addition to the themes featured in every edition, this issue also addresses these important issues: the crisis in Asia,  forces shaping fiscal policy, progress on the implementation of the OECD Jobs Strategy, how social security systems influence retirement decisions, using economic instruments in dealing with climate change, and how the international competitiveness of OECD countries is affected by emerging market economies.
 
Also available in: French

 

Editorial
I. General assessment of the macroeconomic situation
-Main features of the outlook to 1999
-The crisis in emerging Asia
-Policy requirements in OECD countries
II. Developments in individual OECD countries
-United States
-Japan
-Germany
-France
-Italy
-United Kingdom
-Canada
-Australia
-Austria
-Belgium
-Czech Republic
-Denmark
-Finland
-Greece
-Hungary
-Iceland
-Ireland
-Korea
-Luxembourg
-Mexico
-The Netherlands
-New Zealand
-Norway
-Poland
-Portugal
-Spain
-Sweden
-Switzerland
-Turkey
III. Developments in selected non-member countries
-East Asia and China
-Russia and Central and Eastern Europe
-South America
IV. Forces shaping tax policy
-Pressures on public expenditures
-High taxes and economic distortions
-Tax-base erosion
-Geographical mobility of tax bases
V. Implementing the OECD Jobs Strategy: Progress Report
VI. The retirement decision
VII. The economics of climate change

-The costs of a world-wide programme to reduce CO2 emissions
-Reducing the costs of controlling emissions
-Carbon taxes and tradable emissions permits
VIII. The influence of emerging market economies on OECD countries’ international competitiveness
Annex
-Country Classification
-Weighting Scheme for Aggregate Measures
-Annex Tables (data generally show annual percent changes and cover the period 1981 onward:
-1. Real GDP
-2. Nominal GDP
-3. Real Private Consumption Expenditure
-4. Real Public Consumption Expenditure
-5. Real Total Gross Fixed Capital Formation
-6. Real Gross Private Non-Residential Fixed Capital Formation
-7. Real Gross Private Residential Fixed Capital Formation
-8. Real Total Domestic Demand
-9. Real Exports of Goods and Services
-10. Real Imports of Goods and Services
-11. Output Gaps
-12. Compensation per Employee in the Business Sector
-13. Unit Labour Costs in the Business Sector
-14. GDP Deflators
-15. Private Consumption Deflators
-16. Consumer Prices
-17. Oil and Other Primary Commodity Markets (supply, demand, trade, prices)
-18. Labour Force
-19. Labour Force Participation Rates
-20. Employment
-21. Unemployment Rates: Commonly Used Definitions
-22. Standardised Unemployment Rates
-23. Labour Force, Employment, & Unemployment (in millions)
-24. Capital Income Shares in the Business Sector
-25. Rates of Return on Capital in the Business Sector
-26. Household Saving Rates
-27. Gross National Saving Rate
-28 General Government Total Outlays as % of GDP
-29. General Government Current Receipts as % of GDP
-30. General Government Financial Balances (surplus or deficit as a % of GDP)
-31. General Government Structural Balances (surplus or deficit as a % of potential GDP)
-32. General Government Primary Balances (surplus or deficit as a % of nominal GDP)
-33. General Government Net Debt Interest Payments as a % of GDP
-34. General Government Gross Financial Liabilities as a % of Nominal GDP
-35. General Government Net Financial Liabilities as a % of Nominal GDP
-36. Short-Term Interest Rates
-37. Long-Term Interest Rates
-38. Nominal Exchange Rates vis-a-vis US dollar (average of daily rates)
-39. Effective Exchange Rates (Index 1991=100)
-40. Export Volumes
-41. Import Volumes
-42. Export Prices
-43. Import Prices
-44. Relative Unit Labour Costs
-45. Relative Export Prices
-46. Export Performance for Total Goods
-47. Shares in World Exports and Imports
-48. Trade Balances
-49. Non-Factor Services, net
-50. Investment Income, net
-51. Current Account Balances billion of dollars
-52. Current Account Balances as a % of GDP
-53. Structure of Current Account Balances by Region
-54. Semiannual Demand and Output Projections
-55. Semiannual Price, Cost, (private consumption and GDP deflators) and Unemployment Projections
-56. Contributions to Changes in Real GDP in G7 Countries
-57. Contributions to Changes in Real GDP in Other OECD Countries
-58. Household Saving, Net Wealth, and Indebtedness
-59. Productivity in the Business Sector
-60. Central Government Financial Balances
-61. Maastricht Definition of General Government Gross Public Debt
-62. Monetary and Credit Aggregates
-63. Export Market Growth and Performance in Mfd Goods
-64. Geographical Structure of OECD Trade