Fiscal Policy in Latin America
Countercyclical and Sustainable at Last?
- Authors:
- Christian Daude1, Ángel Melguizo1, Alejandro Neut1
- Author Affiliations
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Publication Date
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25 Aug 2010
- Bibliographic information
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- No.:
- 291
- Pages
- 55
- DOI
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10.1787/5km8zdcp7j41-en
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Abstract
This paper analyses fiscal policy for several economies in Latin America, from the early nineties to the 2009 crisis. We present original estimates of cyclically-adjusted public revenues for Argentina, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Costa Rica, Mexico, Peru and Uruguay implementing the standardised OECD methodology and extending it to include commodity cycles, which have a direct and significant effect on the fiscal balance of several Latin American countries. Based on these estimates, we evaluate the size of automatic tax stabilisers and the cyclicality of discretionary fiscal policy. Additionally, we highlight the uncertainty stemming from the estimation of the output gap, due to large and simultaneous cyclical, temporary and permanent shocks in several Latin American economies.
- Keywords:
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public finances,
business cycle,
fiscal policy
- JEL Classification:
- E62: Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics / Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook / Fiscal Policy
- H30: Public Economics / Fiscal Policies and Behavior of Economic Agents / General
- H60: Public Economics / National Budget, Deficit, and Debt / General