Development Centre Studies

OECD Development Centre

1990-0295 (online)
1563-4302 (print)
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This series of monographs from the OECD Development Centre covers development issues generally and in some cases issues in specific countries. It  includes Angus Maddison’s books containing long-term historical estimates of GDP for various areas of the world.

Also available in French, Spanish
Chinese Economic Performance in the Long Run

Chinese Economic Performance in the Long Run You or your institution have access to this content

OECD Development Centre

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Angus Maddison
25 Sep 1998
9789264163553 (PDF) ;9789264161801(print)

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This book is unique in its depth of perspective. It uses a comparative approach to explain why China’s role in the world economy has changed so dramatically in the last thousand years. It concludes that China is likely to resume its natural role as the world’s largest economy by the year 2015, thus regaining the position it had held until the end of the nineteenth century.

The study provides a major reassessment of the scale and scope of China’s resurgence over the past half century, employing quantitative measurement techniques which are standard practice in OECD countries, but which have not hitherto been available for China.

Written by the author of many studies on comparative economic history, including two best sellers for the OECD Development Centre, this book is essential reading for all those who seek to understand the role of China in the world economy, in the past, as well as in the present and the future.

Also available in French
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Table of Contents

Foreword by the Secretary-General of the OECD
Preface by Javier Santiso
Author's Prelude to the Second Edition
Summary and Conclusions
Chapter 1. Intensive and Extensive Growth in Imperial China
Chapter 2. Economic Decline and External Humiliation, 1820-1949
Chapter 3. Dynamics of Development in the New China
Chapter 4. Problems and Prospects: The Outlook for China and the World Economy 2003-2030
Appendix A. Performance in Farming, Fishery, Forestry, and Agricultural Sidelines, China 1933-95
Appendix B. Industrial Performance, China, 1913-2003
Appendix C. Growth and Level of Chinese Gross National Product
Appendix D. Population and EmploymentAppendix E. Foreign Trade
Appendix F. Pople and Places in Pinyin and Wade-Giles

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