Economic Paper

2310-1385 (online)
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This series examines current economic issues from a Commonwealth perspective. The titles in the series are technical papers of topical interest to specialists concerned with trade, micro and macroeconomics, development economics and related subjects.

Implications for Developing Countries of Likely Reforms of the Common Agricultural Policy of the European Union

Implications for Developing Countries of Likely Reforms of the Common Agricultural Policy of the European Union You do not have access to this content

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Alan Swinbank, Kate Jordan, Nick Beard
01 Jan 1999
9781848597082 (PDF)

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Over the next three years negotiations will be taking place in the WTO (World Trade Organisation) on agriculture. This report will help participants and analysts to understand the EU’s negotiating position. It includes: an assessment of the prospects of CAP (Common Agricultural Policy) reform for each major commodity group; an explanation of the pressures and constraints which affect the proposals; a detailed explanation of how the likely changes would affect ACP (African Caribbean and Pacific) countries.

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  • Preface

    In May 1998 we asked Professor Alan Swinbank to prepare, with his colleagues, a report outlining likely reforms to the European Union's (EU) Common Agricultural Policy (CAP), and exploring the implications of those reforms for developing countries' trade and for possible changes in the Agreement on Agriculture negotiated as part of the Uruguay Round Accords.

  • Executive Summary

    Subject to the warning that these are educated guesses which must be treated with extreme caution, the following package is the most likely outcome of the forthcoming review in the WTO of the Agreement on Agriculture.

  • A Timeframe for Reform of the Common Agricultural Policy

    This chapter outlines our ‘best guess’ of the policy changes that the EU will implement in its CAP over the next ten years in the light of domestic and international pressures for reform. It can be assumed throughout that the analysis will extend from the present until 2010.

  • The Impact of Cap Reform

    Throughout this study we are considering the terms of access for developing country exports to the EU market and how this will alter as a result of domestic reforms to the Common Agricultural Policy, future multilateral trade liberalisation and revision of the EU-ACP Lomé IV Convention, Chapter 1 has outlined our prognosis of the main changes to the EU's CAP to be expected over the next ten-year period and our expectations of likely outcomes for agriculture in the next Round.

  • The Next Round

    Reform of the EU's Common Agricultural Policy as proposed under Agenda 2000, illustrates that the Uruguay Round Agreement an Agriculture does matter. WTO export constraints are biting and are the main motive for Agenda 2000. With Community enlargement, matters will be made worse.

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