OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2016-2025
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OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2016-2025

The OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2016-2025 provides an assessment of prospects for the coming decade of the national, regional and global agricultural commodity markets across 41 countries and 12 regions, including OECD countries (European Union as a region) and other key agricultural producers, such as India, China, Brazil, the Russian Federation and Argentina among others. This year's special feature focuses on the prospects and challenges of the agricultural sector in Sub-Saharan Africa. This edition marks the twelfth year of partnership between the two organisations.

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04 July 2016
DOI: 
10.1787/agr_outlook-2016-en
From chapter Commodity snapshots
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Table
 

Table 3.A1.3 – World sugar projections You or your institution have access to this content

OECD
DOI: 
10.1787/agr_outlook-2016-table101-en
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OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2016-2025 - © OECD 2016

‌3.A1.3World sugar projections
3.A1.3World sugar projections
  Marketing year
‌‌
‌‌
Average
2013-15est
‌2016‌
‌2017‌
‌2018‌
‌2019‌
‌2020‌
‌2021‌
‌2022‌
‌2023‌
‌2024‌
‌2025‌
WORLD
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
SUGARBEET
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Production
Mt
257.0
 
268.2
 
271.9
 
274.2
 
276.8
 
278.9
 
279.7
 
280.0
 
280.4
 
282.1
 
284.1
 
Area
Mha
4.4
 
4.5
 
4.5
 
4.5
 
4.6
 
4.6
 
4.5
 
4.5
 
4.5
 
4.5
 
4.5
 
Yield
t/ha
58.63
 
58.99
 
59.79
 
60.31
 
60.71
 
61.16
 
61.51
 
61.88
 
62.28
 
62.69
 
63.10
 
Biofuel use
Mt
12.8
 
12.7
 
10.0
 
10.5
 
10.4
 
10.4
 
10.4
 
9.5
 
9.5
 
9.3
 
9.3
 
SUGARCANE
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Production
Mt
1 811.6
 
1 850.3
 
1 875.1
 
1 908.5
 
1 943.3
 
1 976.0
 
2 009.2
 
2 046.4
 
2 083.4
 
2 118.0
 
2 151.9
 
Area
Mha
26.9
 
27.2
 
27.3
 
27.7
 
28.0
 
28.3
 
28.7
 
29.1
 
29.4
 
29.7
 
30.0
 
Yield
t/ha
67.37
 
68.08
 
68.57
 
68.98
 
69.41
 
69.74
 
70.03
 
70.42
 
70.86
 
71.30
 
71.73
 
Biofuel use
Mt
374.3
 
409.5
 
414.0
 
420.0
 
430.3
 
440.1
 
448.4
 
457.1
 
462.9
 
471.4
 
479.0
 
SUGAR
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Production
Mt tq
170.8
 
173.7
 
177.8
 
181.9
 
187.2
 
191.4
 
194.7
 
198.8
 
202.6
 
206.2
 
210.0
 
Consumption
Mt tq
166.8
 
172.9
 
175.3
 
178.2
 
181.8
 
185.7
 
189.6
 
193.5
 
197.3
 
201.0
 
204.7
 
Closing stocks
Mt tq
74.5
 
68.4
 
67.4
 
67.5
 
69.3
 
71.4
 
72.9
 
74.6
 
76.3
 
77.9
 
79.6
 
Price, raw sugar 1
USD/t
323.0
 
325.3
 
330.4
 
337.6
 
335.8
 
330.9
 
334.0
 
333.1
 
333.5
 
337.4
 
341.9
 
Price, white sugar 2
USD/t
408.0
 
398.6
 
388.3
 
402.5
 
405.8
 
407.0
 
406.9
 
408.8
 
413.7
 
419.0
 
424.5
 
Price, HFCS 3
USD/t
539.7
 
472.1
 
450.8
 
457.6
 
470.1
 
477.2
 
476.3
 
487.7
 
498.6
 
500.6
 
508.3
 
DEVELOPED COUNTRIES
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
SUGARBEET
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Production
Mt
202.2
 
210.8
 
213.5
 
214.8
 
216.1
 
216.9
 
216.6
 
215.8
 
215.1
 
215.8
 
216.7
 
SUGARCANE
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Production
Mt
78.1
 
82.9
 
85.0
 
86.9
 
89.2
 
90.4
 
90.8
 
91.0
 
91.5
 
92.3
 
93.1
 
SUGAR
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Production
Mt tq
39.1
 
40.2
 
41.5
 
41.9
 
42.6
 
42.9
 
43.0
 
43.2
 
43.4
 
43.7
 
43.9
 
Consumption
Mt tq
47.6
 
47.4
 
47.0
 
46.7
 
47.0
 
47.3
 
47.5
 
47.8
 
48.1
 
48.3
 
48.6
 
Closing stocks
Mt tq
14.1
 
12.4
 
12.7
 
12.9
 
13.4
 
13.9
 
14.2
 
14.4
 
14.5
 
14.5
 
14.5
 
HFCS
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Production
Mt
9.5
 
9.4
 
10.1
 
10.3
 
10.4
 
10.5
 
10.7
 
10.8
 
10.9
 
11.0
 
11.1
 
Consumption
Mt
8.2
 
8.1
 
8.7
 
8.9
 
9.0
 
9.0
 
9.2
 
9.2
 
9.3
 
9.3
 
9.3
 
DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
SUGARBEET
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Production
Mt
54.8
 
57.4
 
58.4
 
59.4
 
60.7
 
62.0
 
63.2
 
64.2
 
65.3
 
66.3
 
67.4
 
SUGARCANE
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Production
Mt
1 733.5
 
1 767.4
 
1 790.2
 
1 821.7
 
1 854.0
 
1 885.6
 
1 918.4
 
1 955.3
 
1 992.0
 
2 025.7
 
2 058.8
 
SUGAR
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Production
Mt tq
131.8
 
133.5
 
136.4
 
140.0
 
144.6
 
148.5
 
151.7
 
155.6
 
159.3
 
162.6
 
166.1
 
Consumption
Mt tq
119.2
 
125.5
 
128.3
 
131.4
 
134.8
 
138.4
 
142.0
 
145.7
 
149.2
 
152.6
 
156.2
 
Closing stocks
Mt tq
60.3
 
56.0
 
54.7
 
54.6
 
55.9
 
57.5
 
58.7
 
60.2
 
61.8
 
63.4
 
65.1
 
HFCS
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Production
Mt
3.3
 
3.4
 
3.4
 
3.5
 
3.5
 
3.6
 
3.6
 
3.6
 
3.7
 
3.7
 
3.8
 
Consumption
Mt
4.1
 
4.3
 
4.4
 
4.5
 
4.6
 
4.7
 
4.7
 
4.8
 
4.9
 
5.0
 
5.1
 
OECD 4
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
SUGARBEET
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Production
Mt
161.3
 
166.8
 
169.9
 
171.1
 
172.5
 
173.1
 
172.7
 
172.1
 
171.6
 
172.0
 
172.7
 
SUGARCANE
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Production
Mt
120.3
 
125.0
 
126.2
 
128.0
 
130.8
 
132.3
 
132.5
 
132.3
 
132.4
 
133.0
 
134.1
 
SUGAR
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Production
Mt tq
37.9
 
38.9
 
40.2
 
40.6
 
41.2
 
41.5
 
41.6
 
41.7
 
41.8
 
42.0
 
42.3
 
Consumption
Mt tq
43.8
 
43.9
 
43.4
 
43.2
 
43.5
 
43.8
 
44.0
 
44.2
 
44.5
 
44.7
 
44.9
 
Closing stocks
Mt tq
12.4
 
11.2
 
11.3
 
11.2
 
11.4
 
11.7
 
11.7
 
11.7
 
11.6
 
11.6
 
11.6
 
HFCS
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Production
Mt
10.6
 
10.5
 
11.1
 
11.3
 
11.5
 
11.6
 
11.8
 
11.9
 
12.0
 
12.1
 
12.2
 
Consumption
Mt
10.3
 
10.2
 
10.8
 
11.1
 
11.2
 
11.3
 
11.5
 
11.6
 
11.7
 
11.9
 
11.9
 
Note: Marketing year: See Glossary of Terms for definitions.
Average 2013-15est: Data for 2015 are estimated.
tq : tel quel.
HFCS: High fructose corn syrup.
Disclaimer: http://oe.cd/disclaimer
1.
Raw sugar world price, ICE contract No11 nearby, October/September.
2.
Refined sugar price, White Sugar Futures Contract No. 407, Euronext market, Liffe, London, Europe, October/September.
3.
United States wholesale list price HFCS-55, October/September.
4.
Excludes Iceland but includes all EU28 member countries.
Source: OECD/FAO (2016), “OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook”,OECD Agriculture statistics(database). doi:dx.doi.org/10.1787/agr-outl-data-en

 
 
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