OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2016-2025
The OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2016-2025 provides an assessment of prospects for the coming decade of the national, regional and global agricultural commodity markets across 41 countries and 12 regions, including OECD countries (European Union as a region) and other key agricultural producers, such as India, China, Brazil, the Russian Federation and Argentina among others. This year's special feature focuses on the prospects and challenges of the agricultural sector in Sub-Saharan Africa. This edition marks the twelfth year of partnership between the two organisations.
OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2016-2025 - © OECD 2016
3.A1.8 | World biofuel projections | ||||||||||||
3.A1.8 | World biofuel projections | ||||||||||||
| | | Average 2013-15est | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 |
| ETHANOL | ||||||||||||
| World | ||||||||||||
| Production | mln L | 111.5 | 119.3 | 122.0 | 123.2 | 124.2 | 125.1 | 125.1 | 125.7 | 126.4 | 128.0 | 128.4 |
| of which maize based | mln L | 59.2 | 62.9 | 64.9 | 64.8 | 64.4 | 64.2 | 63.3 | 63.1 | 63.0 | 63.4 | 62.6 |
| of which sugar cane based | mln L | 26.9 | 29.5 | 29.9 | 30.3 | 31.1 | 31.8 | 32.4 | 33.0 | 33.4 | 34.1 | 34.6 |
| of which biomass based | mln L | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| Consumption | mln L | 111.5 | 119.9 | 123.1 | 124.4 | 125.3 | 126.1 | 126.0 | 126.6 | 127.3 | 128.8 | 129.2 |
| of which fuel use | mln L | 89.0 | 96.5 | 99.4 | 100.3 | 100.8 | 101.2 | 100.7 | 101.0 | 101.2 | 102.4 | 102.3 |
| Exports | mln L | 7.3 | 7.7 | 7.8 | 8.0 | 7.8 | 8.2 | 8.0 | 7.8 | 7.7 | 7.4 | 6.9 |
| Price 1 | USD/t | 57.8 | 46.7 | 48.8 | 49.5 | 50.5 | 52.7 | 54.0 | 56.5 | 58.2 | 60.9 | 60.3 |
| Developed countries | ||||||||||||
| Production | mln L | 66.5 | 71.3 | 73.3 | 73.7 | 73.4 | 73.1 | 72.1 | 71.6 | 71.4 | 71.8 | 71.0 |
| Consumption | mln L | 68.0 | 71.9 | 74.3 | 74.8 | 74.6 | 74.4 | 73.2 | 72.7 | 72.3 | 72.9 | 72.2 |
| of which fuel use | mln L | 61.6 | 65.4 | 67.7 | 68.3 | 68.1 | 67.9 | 66.7 | 66.2 | 65.8 | 66.4 | 65.6 |
| Net trade | mln L | -1.4 | -0.4 | -0.9 | -1.1 | -1.2 | -1.3 | -1.1 | -1.0 | -0.9 | -1.1 | -1.2 |
| Developing countries | ||||||||||||
| Production | mln L | 45.1 | 48.0 | 48.6 | 49.5 | 50.8 | 52.0 | 53.0 | 54.1 | 55.0 | 56.2 | 57.4 |
| Consumption | mln L | 43.5 | 48.0 | 48.9 | 49.6 | 50.7 | 51.7 | 52.8 | 53.9 | 54.9 | 55.9 | 57.0 |
| of which fuel use | mln L | 33.7 | 37.9 | 38.7 | 39.3 | 40.4 | 41.2 | 42.2 | 43.3 | 44.2 | 45.1 | 46.2 |
| Net trade | mln L | 1.0 | -0.2 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| OECD 2 | ||||||||||||
| Production | mln L | 64.8 | 69.6 | 71.6 | 71.9 | 71.6 | 71.3 | 70.3 | 69.8 | 69.6 | 69.9 | 69.1 |
| Consumption | mln L | 66.8 | 70.8 | 73.1 | 73.6 | 73.4 | 73.1 | 71.9 | 71.4 | 71.1 | 71.6 | 70.9 |
| of which fuel use | mln L | 60.8 | 64.7 | 67.0 | 67.5 | 67.3 | 67.0 | 65.8 | 65.3 | 64.9 | 65.5 | 64.7 |
| Net trade | mln L | -1.9 | -1.0 | -1.5 | -1.7 | -1.8 | -1.8 | -1.7 | -1.6 | -1.5 | -1.7 | -1.7 |
| BIODIESEL | ||||||||||||
| World | ||||||||||||
| Production | mln L | 31.1 | 33.2 | 34.5 | 35.3 | 36.7 | 37.9 | 38.8 | 39.6 | 40.2 | 40.8 | 41.4 |
| of which vegetable oil based | mln L | 25.2 | 26.3 | 26.6 | 26.9 | 27.5 | 28.4 | 29.0 | 29.3 | 29.5 | 29.8 | 30.1 |
| of which waste based | mln L | 2.4 | 2.9 | 3.4 | 3.7 | 4.2 | 4.4 | 4.7 | 5.1 | 5.4 | 5.8 | 6.0 |
| of which biomass based | mln L | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Consumption | mln L | 30.3 | 33.5 | 34.7 | 35.5 | 36.9 | 38.1 | 39.0 | 39.8 | 40.4 | 41.0 | 41.6 |
| Exports | mln L | 4.0 | 2.2 | 2.6 | 2.7 | 2.7 | 2.7 | 2.7 | 2.7 | 2.7 | 2.7 | 2.6 |
| Price 3 | USD/t | 93.9 | 72.1 | 71.9 | 73.7 | 76.8 | 81.5 | 85.9 | 87.3 | 87.1 | 88.4 | 88.4 |
| Developed countries | ||||||||||||
| Production | mln L | 18.1 | 19.4 | 19.9 | 20.3 | 21.1 | 21.7 | 22.0 | 22.3 | 22.4 | 22.4 | 22.4 |
| Consumption | mln L | 19.9 | 20.7 | 21.5 | 22.0 | 22.9 | 23.4 | 23.7 | 24.0 | 24.0 | 24.1 | 24.1 |
| Net trade | mln L | -1.8 | -1.3 | -1.6 | -1.7 | -1.7 | -1.7 | -1.7 | -1.7 | -1.7 | -1.7 | -1.7 |
| Developing countries | ||||||||||||
| Production | mln L | 13.0 | 13.9 | 14.6 | 15.0 | 15.5 | 16.3 | 16.8 | 17.3 | 17.8 | 18.4 | 18.9 |
| Consumption | mln L | 10.4 | 12.7 | 13.2 | 13.5 | 14.0 | 14.7 | 15.3 | 15.8 | 16.4 | 16.9 | 17.5 |
| Net trade | mln L | 2.6 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.4 |
| OECD 2 | ||||||||||||
| Production | mln L | 18.7 | 20.1 | 20.7 | 21.1 | 22.0 | 22.5 | 22.9 | 23.1 | 23.2 | 23.3 | 23.3 |
| Consumption | mln L | 20.3 | 21.3 | 22.2 | 22.7 | 23.5 | 24.1 | 24.5 | 24.7 | 24.8 | 24.8 | 24.8 |
| Net trade | mln L | -1.7 | -1.2 | -1.5 | -1.6 | -1.6 | -1.6 | -1.6 | -1.6 | -1.5 | -1.5 | -1.5 |
Note: Average 2013-15est: Data for 2015 are estimated. | |||||||||||||
Disclaimer: http://oe.cd/disclaimer | |||||||||||||
Wholesale price, United states, Omaha. | |||||||||||||
Excludes Iceland but includes all EU28 member countries. | |||||||||||||
Producer price Germany net of biodiesel tariff and energy tax. | |||||||||||||
Source: OECD/FAO (2016), “OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook”,OECD Agriculture statistics(database). doi:dx.doi.org/10.1787/agr-outl-data-en |